Mine downloaded last week. What's funny is that I had to replace my credit card because of some fraud crap, so I got a message from Microsoft that they were having trouble with my payment. So they actually sent the game without checking for payment.
Setting up a new payment was easy peazy online, so I'm still good to go.
NBA Live 19 is still waiting for a full download, as I just have the place setting on my console, at something like 101 mb.
Really hoping we see that good news that the game is ready to play Wednesday night. Already deleted Madden 18. It's go time!