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Old 09-12-2010, 08:32 PM   #1
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Coin Tosses

I have won 13 coin tosses in a row. What is wrong w/ my system? Is this a bug, or have I just been getting extremely lucky?
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Old 09-12-2010, 08:43 PM   #2
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You would think that you would have a 50/50 shot with only two chances, but since you get to choose before every 50/50 chance the odds are skewed. It's very possible to have a streak of 13.
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Old 09-12-2010, 09:23 PM   #3
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Re: Coin Tosses

Do you always receive the ball?
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Old 09-12-2010, 09:26 PM   #4
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Re: Coin Tosses

Quote:
Originally Posted by albert_24
Do you always receive the ball?
No. I always elect to kick.
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Old 09-13-2010, 01:25 AM   #5
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Re: Coin Tosses

Quote:
Originally Posted by ace23
No. I always elect to kick.
The CPU always elects to receive.
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Old 09-13-2010, 02:38 PM   #6
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Re: Coin Tosses

Quote:
Originally Posted by jaymee13
You would think that you would have a 50/50 shot with only two chances, but since you get to choose before every 50/50 chance the odds are skewed. It's very possible to have a streak of 13.
Please please please tell me you are joking with this statement.

And if you interested, the chances of winning 13 times in a row is 1 in 8192. Which given the amount of games of madden that get played it is actually quite likely it will happen to someone.

I am 100% the coin toss is fair, it is like the easiest thing to program into a game.
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Old 09-13-2010, 04:51 PM   #7
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Re: Coin Tosses

Quote:
Originally Posted by hampshire2012
Please please please tell me you are joking with this statement.

And if you interested, the chances of winning 13 times in a row is 1 in 8192. Which given the amount of games of madden that get played it is actually quite likely it will happen to someone.

I am 100% the coin toss is fair, it is like the easiest thing to program into a game.
But, if you win twelve in a row, the odds of winning the next one is still 50/50.
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Old 09-13-2010, 04:59 PM   #8
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Re: Coin Tosses

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vitch
But, if you win twelve in a row, the odds of winning the next one is still 50/50.
Correct (not that I need to tell you that!) I was trying to make the point that a) 13 coin toss wins in a row is not actually as unlikely as it may seem, and that b) there absolutely no way that the coin toss logic is unfair.
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