Question about potential?

[Syce]

Quote: Originally Posted by StevenSD

It's already happened for me. I drafted a LF rated 70 with a C potential in the 4th round. After one year in AA and AAA his rating bumped to 76 and his potential changed to B. The only reason why I drafted him was because he was super young, 19 years old, and the majority of his attributes were high except for fielding.

this just sounds like the guy you drafted was not scouted or not scouted enough.

[tabarnes19_SDS]

From what I see potential is tied to speed of progression and regression as well as a theoretical overall ceiling overall for the player. These are more fluid this year than ever.

Potential seems to swing up much easier than the past.

If you notice the oldest players on the rosters all have 99 potential this slows the regression.


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[StevenSD]

Quote: Originally Posted by Sycecg

this just sounds like the guy you drafted was not scouted or not scouted enough.

No I scouted him to almost 100% because I was confused to why he had great attributes but average potential. I figured it was because he didn't have much more room to grow except in fielding. His first season on my roster he had the C potential, but when the next year started he was a B potential.

I actually already have him on my roster as a backup outfielder because of depth issues due to early injuries. If I can produce with him correctly the guy is going to be a stud and a steal from the 4th round.

[mattyw55]

Someone has to explain this to me like I'm 5 years old. I still don't get this lol

So the 99 in my pitchers overall is just how fast he will progress but his overall could be anything?

[sink4ever]

Quote: Originally Posted by Sycecg

this just sounds like the guy you drafted was not scouted or not scouted enough.

Quote: Originally Posted by StevenSD

No I scouted him to almost 100% because I was confused to why he had great attributes but average potential. I figured it was because he didn't have much more room to grow except in fielding. His first season on my roster he had the C potential, but when the next year started he was a B potential. I actually already have him on my roster as a backup outfielder because of depth issues due to early injuries. If I can produce with him correctly the guy is going to be a stud and a steal from the 4th round.

Potential does actually change in game, it's influenced by performance. Usually once per week you'll get e-mails about a player's stock rising or falling, this means their potential has changed.

Quote: Originally Posted by mattyw55

Someone has to explain this to me like I'm 5 years old. I still don't get this lol So the 99 in my pitchers overall is just how fast he will progress but his overall could be anything?

I think (and others have more knowledge about this than I do) that the potential number means at least 3 things.

1. It is the ceiling for a player who has not yet reached their peak. I think you can see this when you draft a player with an overall rating that is greater than their potential. Their ratings actually go down, they don't just progress slowly.

2. It affects how quickly they progress. This may just be simple math. For instance, if you draft a 22 year old with a 60 OVR and 85 POT, assuming they peak at 27, that's a progression of 25 points over 5 years, an average of 5 per year. If you take the exact same situation but with a 95 POT, that's an increase of 35 over 5 years for an average of 7 per year. I may be off in my reasoning, it will be interesting to test out.

3. It affects how quickly a player regresses once they're past their peak. I think a player with a lower potential will regress quicker.

[johntait1]

Quote: Originally Posted by sink4ever

Potential does actually change in game, it's influenced by performance. Usually once per week you'll get e-mails about a player's stock rising or falling, this means their potential has changed.

Hmmm, I haven't gotten a single email and I'm in July in my franchise. Am I doing something wrong? I just get notices when it says someone had a great month or bad month in the minors. Do I look somewhere else?

[mattyw55]

Quote: Originally Posted by sink4ever

Potential does actually change in game, it's influenced by performance. Usually once per week you'll get e-mails about a player's stock rising or falling, this means their potential has changed. I think (and others have more knowledge about this than I do) that the potential number means at least 3 things. 1. It is the ceiling for a player who has not yet reached their peak. I think you can see this when you draft a player with an overall rating that is greater than their potential. Their ratings actually go down, they don't just progress slowly. 2. It affects how quickly they progress. This may just be simple math. For instance, if you draft a 22 year old with a 60 OVR and 85 POT, assuming they peak at 27, that's a progression of 25 points over 5 years, an average of 5 per year. If you take the exact same situation but with a 95 POT, that's an increase of 35 over 5 years for an average of 7 per year. I may be off in my reasoning, it will be interesting to test out. 3. It affects how quickly a player regresses once they're past their peak. I think a player with a lower potential will regress quicker.

Thank you sire I got it now but do players always progress at the end of the season? I've seen many players in my franchise that stay the same overall, maybe only going up 1 or 2 overall

[NDAlum]

Potential does not equal overall

Potential is how quickly a player can get to their ceiling.

There is no exact science it is fluid


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