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Re: players not in the game caps
Name: Mike Billek
Position: Right Handed Pitcher
DOB: 03/04/1984
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 234lbs
Bats/Throws: R/R
History: Mike Billek has been up and down, and for once no one is referring to his weight. After his freshman season at the University of Central Florida Billek was as hot as any college prospect in baseball, but his sophomore season was one he spent frustrated and bored, coming into camp overweight and getting used less than he would have liked. His junior year he came back strong his junior season and the Cubs took him (with their second third round pick) in the 2005 draft as much for what he shows now, namely a Major League body, as what he might show in the future, late inning dominant stuff.
Some have said the Cubs should make that switch, from starter to reliever, now, but in his first year the Cubs kept him where he was comfortable, in the starting rotation. How long that will last will be largely dependent on how long Billek remains effective in the role. Though he averaged less than five innings a start in his first season in pro ball, that has less to do with stamina, and more to do with a club protecting their new investment.
What was a curse for Billek, getting less time his sophomore year, might have been a blessing for the Cubs, who find essentially one year less of wear and tear on a top pitching prospect. Still raw and at times too willing to just throw as hard as he can instead of 'pitching,' the Cubs will look to see how much polish he comes back with after an offseason. The move to the bullpen could come as early as spring of this year, and if it does, expect the Cubs to fast track him.
Pitches: Billek, like many college pitchers, has three pitches, and knows how to throw two. His fastball has gotten marquee billing since being one of the top high school pitchers in Florida, sitting in the 90-91 range but amping up to 95 occasionally, another reason many believe he's destined for the pen. He has a curveball, and sharpening it was a focus in his first season with the Cubs. He'll come back this spring with either a more conventional 12-6 curve, or a harder pure slider, and the Cubs would prefer the slider.
Billek throws a changeup, but rarely and without much confidence. Like most pitchers, it will be the primary focus of year two, and it's development will be key if he wants to remain a starter. He toyed with several grips last season and will spend much of this offseason deciding on one he can throw with the same arm action, and throw for strikes.
"You'd really like to see him pitch one inning a game," our scout said, "because you could see the extra velocity when he got in a jam. When he needed it there was an extra gear to the fastball, and even the slider got better, because he'd get charged and throw it harder. As a starter he just has to hold back to make sure something's in the tank."
Prediction: Billek is groomed as an eventual replacement for Ryan Dempster, and the conversion starts almost immediately. That means that Billek will be a starter for a few more months, and then move to the back of the bus, and start throwing that fastball at 95 consistently. His mentality seems to suit it, and his willingness to go right after the best fastball hitters in his league suits it. If he develops the changeup faster than most (i.e., within a year) it could keep him in the rotation perhaps as long as another year, but even if it is an above average pitch, it only makes him more dangerous as a late inning reliever.
ETA: Because he'll be late inning material, and because he'll turn just 22 as camp gets started, the Cubs have no reason to rocket him through the system, but he might do it anyway. He was pitching in Lo-A in his first pro season, and while that certainly isn't unheard of, it also isn't exactly the norm. His combination of pluses, including a mid 90s fastball, Major D1 program experience, a fresh arm, and an MLB ready body, are rarely found, and often too much time in the low minors can do nothing but screw guys like that up. He'll probably start at Lo-A this year, and could see time in West Tennessee before the season's over. A full year at Double-A will follow, but by 2008 he'll be knocking on the big league door, and asking where to put his toothbrush.
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