OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

[RaychelSnr]

The 2010 College Football season kicks off next weekend, but we have you covered with simulations of each major conference today with our friends at WhatIfSports and NCAA Football. We took the average of each simulation and came out with a final result.

If the simulations are any indication, we will end up with a pretty wild season, with several teams coming out of nowhere to contend for a National Title in one of the craziest BCS messes yet, with representatives from each major conference being in the mix for a BCS Championship game berth. Find out how the simulations did after the jump. And for more college football goodness, check out the Season Simulation WhatIfSports did by heading over to their site!

Read More - OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

[Cusefan]

Syracuse finishing 4th in the BE, Yea I can accept that.

[Beastly Wayz]

GO Bucks !!!

[mgoblue678]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

Read on another site that this same "simulation" also had UCONN beating Michigan 95% of the time which leads me to believe it has very little credibility, if any. Just for comparison it had UCONN beating Michigan a higher percentage of the time, than it had for Michigan beating Bowling Green. LOL at anybody putting any stock into this.

And using NCAA 11 for the other half which I assume was with the default rosters, that's just as bad. The default rosters aren't exactly realistic.

And really any "simulation" like this is flawed quite a bit simply because it is largely based on last year and college football is the most unpredictable sport year to year. There are just so many unknowns for a good number of teams going into each year. It looks to ignore the fact that some teams do improve significantly or get worse year to year.

[Buckeyes_Doc]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

Read on another site that this same "simulation" also had UCONN beating Michigan 95% of the time which leads me to believe it has very little credibility, if any. LOL at anybody putting any stock into this.

And using NCAA 11 for the other half which I assume was with the default rosters, that's just as bad. The default rosters aren't exactly realistic.

You're right. It should be 99% of the time.:wink:

[Cusefan]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

Read on another site that this same "simulation" also had UCONN beating Michigan 95% of the time which leads me to believe it has very little credibility, if any. LOL at anybody putting any stock into this.

And using NCAA 11 for the other half which I assume was with the default rosters, that's just as bad. The default rosters aren't exactly realistic.

It was actually is pretty accurate last year. UCONN is going to be Pretty good this year, My Money is on UCONN.

[russwg1970]

Read on another site that this same "simulation" also had UCONN beating Michigan 95% of the time which leads me to believe it has very little credibility, if any. Just for comparison it had UCONN beating Michigan a higher percentage of the time, than it had for Michigan beating Bowling Green. LOL at anybody putting any stock into this.

And using NCAA 11 for the other half which I assume was with the default rosters, that's just as bad. The default rosters aren't exactly realistic.

And really any "simulation" like this is flawed quite a bit simply because it is largely based on last year and college football is the most unpredictable sport year to year. There are just so many unknowns for a good number of teams going into each year. It looks to ignore the fact that some teams do improve significantly or get worse year to year.

UCONN is a pretty descent team, I almost think that's believable. I wonder if Rich has his resume updated?

[mgoblue678]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

It was actually is pretty accurate last year. UCONN is going to be Pretty good this year, My Money is on UCONN.

It is accurate for last year, because it is largely based on last year. Not exactly hard to figure that out.

And UCONN is solid, nothing more nothing less. Average QB, Average to Subpar Receivers and a bad pass defense. Doesn't exactly equal pretty good. Not to mention both of their starting DE's are out, good luck stopping Denard Robinson on the read option without good DE play.

LOL at people thinking that is believable. Right, because UCONN has a higher probability of beating Michigan than Michigan does of beating Bowling Green. Keep believing that is realistic though. At least according to Vegas UM is the favorite, all be it a slim one.

I would put money on Michigan lighting up UCONN's defense and UCONN does not have the passing game to keep up. I remember UCONN giving up 500+ yards to Syracuse in a game last year, Michigan has far more skill on offense than a team like Syracuse. And like I said UCONN's defense will also be missing their starting defensive ends, one of them Greg Loyd is a very good player.

Oh well, Michigan will just have to prove the doubters wrong this season. I doubt UCONN wins the game let alone 90% of the time.

[Cusefan]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

It is accurate for last year, because it is largely based on last year. Not exactly hard to figure that out.

And UCONN is solid, nothing more nothing less. Average QB, Average to Subpar Receivers and a bad pass defense. Doesn't exactly equal pretty good. Not to mention both of there starting DE's are out, good luck stopping Denard Robinson on the read option without good DE play.

LOL at people thinking that is believable. Right, because UCONN has a higher probability of beating Michigan than Michigan does of beating Bowling Green. Keep believing that is realistic though.

Michigan will light up UCONN's defense and UCONN does not have the passing game to keep up.

Here is what Gives UCONN the Edge, Greg Robinson. His Defense and his schemes will be nothing new to UCONN. UCONN is a veteran team that damn near won 10 games last year, Michigan continues on its downward spiral. Michigan will get punched in the face by a more experienced and physical team, How they react will only determine how many points they lose by.

Take it for what its worth, I won about 1.5K betting football games last year, I won about 70% of my games. I'm taking UCONN and the points.

The Preseason is fun, but reality is all but a week away, enjoy it while you can.

[Buckeyes_Doc]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

I'm taking UCONN as well. I don't have much confidence in a team who won 5 games last year.

[Cusefan]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

I'm taking UCONN as well. I don't have much confidence in a team who won 5 games last year.

I wouldn't put much confidence with any team that has Greg Robinson as a Defensive Coordinator.

[mgoblue678]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

Here is what Gives UCONN the Edge, Greg Robinson. His Defense and his schemes will be nothing new to UCONN. UCONN is a veteran team that damn near won 10 games last year, Michigan continues on its downward spiral.

The Preseason is fun, but reality is all but a week away, enjoy it while you can.

And if look closely the reason they didn't is because they could not win games when they had to pass at a high level in order to win. Calling their qb Frazier average and wr's average is actually being generous.

They will have to throw at high level if they want to stay in and win this game, if you want to put money on them doing something they didn't even do once last season go right ahead.

And seriously your obsession with hating Greg Robinson is bordering on ridiculous. Being a head coach and defensive coordinator is not the same thing, I remember trying to explain this to you last year I believe, but you wouldn't listen than so I am not going to bother now.

You guys are seriously missing the point, the simulation gives UCONN a 95% chance of winning, which is essentially the same odds it would give them to beat a D2 school. If you feel UCONN is going to win that is one thing, but the percentage is the ridiculous part which like I said throws the credibility of this simulation out the window.

I am only realistically looking at somewhere around a 7-5 record for UM due to the secondary issues, but this is one of the games I have a good deal of confidence in. Notre Dame the following week makes me much nervous.

[Sportsforever]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

And if look closely the reason they didn't is because they could not win games when they had to pass at a high level in order to win. Calling their qb Frazier average and wr's average is actually being generous.

They will have to throw at high level if they want to stay in and win this game, if you want to put money on them doing something they didn't even do once last season go right ahead.

And seriously your obsession with hating Greg Robinson is bordering on ridiculous. Being a head coach and defensive coordinator is not the same thing, I remember trying to explain this to you last year I believe, but you wouldn't listen than so I am not going to bother now.

You guys are seriously missing the point, the simulation gives UCONN a 95% chance of winning, which is essentially the same odds it would give them to beat a D2 school. If you feel UCONN is going to win that is one thing, but the percentage is the ridiculous part which like I said throws the credibility of this simulation out the window.

Look, I'll be pulling for Michigan to beat UCONN (and pretty much everyone else on their schedule as I like UM), but you need to be little more cautious with your optimism. I remember just a few years ago when Michigan fans were on here upset that their team had to play App St. because it was a joke game and we know how that ended. Bottom line, if I had to bet money today who wins, I would probably bet UCONN. Michigan just has too many questions at this point.

[Cusefan]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

And if look closely the reason they didn't is because they could not win games when they had to pass at a high level in order to win. Calling their qb Frazier average and wr's average is actually being generous.

They will have to throw at high level if they want to stay in and win this game, if you want to put money on them doing something they didn't even do once last season go right ahead.

And seriously your obsession with hating Greg Robinson is bordering on ridiculous. Being a head coach and defensive coordinator is not the same thing, I remember trying to explain this to you last year I believe, but you wouldn't listen than so I am not going to bother now.

You apparently did not listen to me last year, I seem to recall the Michigan Defense getting torched against any decent offense last year. I am not obsessed with Grob, I just know what a lousy coach he is. Lets look at some 2009 Michigan Defensive Rankings:

Total Defense 82
Scoring Defense 77
Pass Defense 67
Rushing Defense 91

They are not nearly as bad as the 2008 Syracuse Defensive rankings, but its about what one would expect from a crappy coach who goes to to teach better players.

I do have to thank Richrod though, He fired one hell of a Defensive Coordinator. The Syracuse Defense improved in every single defensive category, I am very glad we have him

[mgoblue678]

Re: OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

Look, I'll be pulling for Michigan to beat UCONN (and pretty much everyone else on their schedule as I like UM), but you need to be little more cautious with your optimism. I remember just a few years ago when Michigan fans were on here upset that their team had to play App St. because it was a joke game and we know how that ended. Bottom line, if I had to bet money today who wins, I would probably bet UCONN. Michigan just has too many questions at this point.

And what you fail to realize is UCONN has just as many. Like I said a subpar to average QB, subpar to average wr's, a pass defense that was even worse than Michigan's last year and both starting DE's being out.

If you want to point me to where I said UM will go 11-1 or something feel free. I realistically said somewhere around 7-5 , but this one of the games I feel confident due to the particular match ups.

UCONN should have trouble slowing down UM's offense and they don't have the potent passing game to take advantage of UM's secondary. Like I said the match up with ND creates more problems.