Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

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  • 5dwright5
    Rookie
    • Jul 2008
    • 8

    #1

    Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

    A lot has been made of the Oakland Athletics during the past decade or so. You've got Michael Lewis' Moneyball. You've got the sabermetrics. You've got the trades, or the so-called "recycling" of the major league roster.

    Contrary to popular belief, however, the A's are just another baseball team.

    There are several misconceptions about the A's and what they do, mostly brought on by Moneyball. It's to the point where I feel even A's fans have no idea what's going on. Too many things are blown out of proportion, and if people would just take the time to listen, they'd realize that there's no elaborate plan, and that there's no constant recycling of the roster.

    That's what I'm here to do. I'm here to set the record straight on the 1998-2009 Oakland Athletics.

    Moneyball - What is it?: The ignorance of certain writers and fans around the baseball world is, unfortunately, greatly expressed whenever they speak about Moneyball. Several people, including the A's own fans and writers assume it to be about how sabermetrics are the greatest things since sliced bread, and that traditional stats are useless. Most, obviously, have never read the book. It's not about stats or sabermetrics. It's not about Billy Beane's ego.

    Moneyball is a book about the trials that a small market team goes through to develop a winner. It's about finding a cost-effective way to build an effective baseball team. The way you go about doing that is using undervalued resources to find the undervalued player, and maximizing that player's ability. In this case, those resources were statistics like on-base percentage, and different defensive metrics. They were used to predict the probability of a team being able to win however many games, or score however many runs to be successful. And it worked. They were able to pick up other team's castoffs in Scott Hatteberg, Terrence Long, Chad Bradford, Jeremy Giambi, Matt Stairs, and others, and turn this group of fat, slow, unexciting, unathletic players into a winner.

    Using these methods, the A's were able to win at least 87 games every year from 1999-2006.

    Now, how does this relate to my original point of how it's not some elaborate plan or complicated scheme that goes on just in Oakland? It's simple. Every team does it. Every team employs statisticians. The Boston Red Sox, owners of two World Series titles this decade, put even more emphasis on statistics than the A's do. Bill James, often called the "Father of Sabermetrics", works for the Red Sox as a consultant. Especially in this market, teams have a responsibility to use whatever resources they can to field a major league team.

    Moneyball is dead - Is it?: Many people like to argue that Moneyball doesn't work anymore due to the recent play of the Athletics, the firing of JP Ricciardi, and for other reasons of that nature. They say that Moneyball is clearly dead because of these developments. But is it?

    It depends on how you look at it. As I said, Moneyball was about using resources to find the undervalued player. I also said that more teams have employed statisticians and sabermatricians to help develop talent. I don't think Moneyball is dead, I think that it's now a league-wide practice which makes finding the undervalued player tougher. The reason we don't see any Scott Hattebergs or Jeremy Giambis is because teams aren't just giving those players away anymore. People realize the value in players that aren't "toolsy". They realize the value of on-base percentage. They realize the value of defense. Building a winner through Moneyball is tougher because Moneyball is no secret anymore. Everybody uses it, so nobody's at an advantage like the A's of the early 2,000's were.

    Several players from those teams were acquired from other teams. While Billy Beane does still find the occasional Jack Hannahan, and while Jack Zduriencik can still find a Franklin Gutierrez, those players aren't available everywhere, which has made the draft more important these days.

    And that is where Billy Beane has learned from his ways of the early part of the decade. He used to shun almost all high school players, but is now open to drafting them if they're talented enough. The draft is still a bit of a crapshoot, however, so building a successful club is doubly tough these days.

    So is Moneyball dead? This humble observer says absolutely not. In actuality, it's the exact opposite.



    To see the rest of the article, go here: http://baseballhaven.net/showthread.php?t=1036

    This was an article written by herro on Baseball Haven (baseball forum)

    Wanted to share that with you guys (great forum by the way)
  • 5dwright5
    Rookie
    • Jul 2008
    • 8

    #2
    Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

    surprised nobody had any thoughts or replies on this

    Comment

    • steelcurtain311
      Banned
      • Feb 2009
      • 2087

      #3
      Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

      It's an interesting read, but nothing I haven't already read. Moneyball shouldn't even exist, there shouldn't of been any need for it in any professional sport. The playing field should just be even.

      I'm in the group that believes the whole moneyball thing in Oakland was a crock. What was the secret to their success? The same secret to everyone's success, pitching.

      A low market team like Washington brings in an OBP/OPS demon in Adam Dunn, yet they're still the worst team in the MLB. Why? Because they have no pitching. The key to winning is the same as it's ever been, great pitching and building off of that.

      Comment

      • TheLetterZ
        All Star
        • Jul 2002
        • 6752

        #4
        Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

        Originally posted by steelcurtain311

        A low market team like Washington brings in an OBP/OPS demon in Adam Dunn, yet they're still the worst team in the MLB. Why? Because they have no pitching. The key to winning is the same as it's ever been, great pitching and building off of that.
        Their hitting stinks too. Dunn and Zimmerman are good, but the rest of their lineup is awful. You need more than two good hitters.

        Comment

        • Dice
          Sitting by the door
          • Jul 2002
          • 6627

          #5
          Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

          The Moneyball Theory was the most overrated hype in the history of baseball. Any team can do wonders if they had 3 ace starters in their rotation.
          I have more respect for a man who let's me know where he stands, even if he's wrong. Than the one who comes up like an angel and is nothing but a devil. - Malcolm X

          Comment

          • CMH
            Making you famous
            • Oct 2002
            • 26203

            #6
            Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

            Moneyball is overhyped if people want to believe it's about OBP. As important a statistic it is, the infatuation with it goes beyond its relevance in baseball.

            Moneyball is about fielding a comptitive team with limited resources. The fact that the A's were able to maintain a high level of performance even after trading Hudson and Mulder proves that they had a great understanding of applying te theory.

            Beane flipped two of those aces for pitchers that were cost-effective and complimented Barry Zito. That was the madness behind his system. It worked but it can't work forever when richer teams are applying the same theory and scooping up the effective cost-effective players.
            "It may well be that we spectators, who are not divinely gifted as athletes, are the only ones able to truly see, articulate and animate the experience of the gift we are denied. And that those who receive and act out the gift of athletic genius must, perforce, be blind and dumb about it -- and not because blindness and dumbness are the price of the gift, but because they are its essence." - David Foster Wallace

            "You'll not find more penny-wise/pound-foolish behavior than in Major League Baseball." - Rob Neyer

            Comment

            • CMH
              Making you famous
              • Oct 2002
              • 26203

              #7
              Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

              It's also important to realize that Beane is still using the theory today, albeit differently.

              He acquired Matt Holliday with the hope of flipping him for better minor leaguers than he traded away. He banked on the belief that players in a contract year perform better and attract a greater bidding war. However, Holliday didn't perform well and sunk him.

              He tried similar with Giambi. I'm sure if Giambi had hit well, Beane could have traded him to a cntender for a solid minor leaguer (ala Jim Thome from Chicago to LA). But again, Giambi stunk and Beane had no choice but to release him.

              Now Beane is focused on using his young players exclusively. Probably in hopes to catch late 90's magic again and not repeat the mistake he made when he let Tejada and Zito walk.
              "It may well be that we spectators, who are not divinely gifted as athletes, are the only ones able to truly see, articulate and animate the experience of the gift we are denied. And that those who receive and act out the gift of athletic genius must, perforce, be blind and dumb about it -- and not because blindness and dumbness are the price of the gift, but because they are its essence." - David Foster Wallace

              "You'll not find more penny-wise/pound-foolish behavior than in Major League Baseball." - Rob Neyer

              Comment

              • Sportsforever
                NL MVP
                • Mar 2005
                • 20368

                #8
                Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

                I disagree that moneyball is just about metrics, fielding a team with limited resources, etc. To me, it was a culture shift from scouts/baseball men ruling the game to guys with like Theo Epstein making the decisions on player personnel.
                "People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." - Rogers Hornsby

                Comment

                • CMH
                  Making you famous
                  • Oct 2002
                  • 26203

                  #9
                  Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

                  I think that's the umbrella covering the theory. There was no other way to build a team using new resources and ideas with old scouts set in their ways.
                  "It may well be that we spectators, who are not divinely gifted as athletes, are the only ones able to truly see, articulate and animate the experience of the gift we are denied. And that those who receive and act out the gift of athletic genius must, perforce, be blind and dumb about it -- and not because blindness and dumbness are the price of the gift, but because they are its essence." - David Foster Wallace

                  "You'll not find more penny-wise/pound-foolish behavior than in Major League Baseball." - Rob Neyer

                  Comment

                  • FedEx227
                    Pro
                    • Feb 2007
                    • 568

                    #10
                    Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

                    Originally posted by YankeePride
                    It's also important to realize that Beane is still using the theory today, albeit differently.

                    He acquired Matt Holliday with the hope of flipping him for better minor leaguers than he traded away. He banked on the belief that players in a contract year perform better and attract a greater bidding war. However, Holliday didn't perform well and sunk him.

                    He tried similar with Giambi. I'm sure if Giambi had hit well, Beane could have traded him to a cntender for a solid minor leaguer (ala Jim Thome from Chicago to LA). But again, Giambi stunk and Beane had no choice but to release him.

                    Now Beane is focused on using his young players exclusively. Probably in hopes to catch late 90's magic again and not repeat the mistake he made when he let Tejada and Zito walk.
                    People seem to have that disconnect with "Moneyball" which leads me to believe most of them didn't even read the book. Moneyball isn't about OBP or college draft picks. It's about value. The entire book is about value and a small market team competiting with limited resources.

                    At the time the book was written, OBP was the undervalued resource. They were able to get guys with great OBP who were otherwise pretty average players and coupled that with fantastic pitching to win. It was never about "OBP IS THE WAY TO GO!". While I still think it is, that was just one piece to the puzzle.

                    A few years later you'll notice the A's started stockpiling a lot of failed first round picks. Again, that was something Beane and his crew felt was undervalued at the time. So they took fliers on the Chris Denorfia's of the world.

                    More recently, despite not being "SABR" the A's have put a lot of emphasis on defense, as examples like the Rays and Mariners show not only that defense can come cheap, but can also be very helped to a team's success. 6-7 years ago, Beane didn't care about defense he cared about OBP, but now he cares about defense... it's all about VALUE. Where he can get the most value to attempt to compete with the big dogs.

                    So it's not "dead" because it never really existed. Moneyball isn't one thing, it's an everchanging, value-driven philosophy to building a small market baseball team.
                    PSN: VoicesWrestling
                    Podcasts: VoicesofWrestling.com / OverandBackNBA.com / KandPShow.com / All90sPodcast.com

                    Comment

                    • FedEx227
                      Pro
                      • Feb 2007
                      • 568

                      #11
                      Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

                      Originally posted by Sportsforever
                      I disagree that moneyball is just about metrics, fielding a team with limited resources, etc. To me, it was a culture shift from scouts/baseball men ruling the game to guys with like Theo Epstein making the decisions on player personnel.
                      That was something that was bound to happen eventually though. I mean, it's not like it's something that's completely new... hell Branch Rickey was a huge fan of OBP.

                      It just needed success to come with it, but the advent of the internet and just general advances in statistics have made it a more viable option.

                      The overlaying theme of the book was no doubt the stats vs. scout mentalty but the overlaying theme of Moneyball is value with limited resources.
                      PSN: VoicesWrestling
                      Podcasts: VoicesofWrestling.com / OverandBackNBA.com / KandPShow.com / All90sPodcast.com

                      Comment

                      • snepp
                        We'll waste him too.
                        • Apr 2003
                        • 10007

                        #12
                        Re: Setting Things Straight: The Truth About the Billy Beane Era

                        Originally posted by FedEx227
                        People seem to have that disconnect with "Moneyball" which leads me to believe most of them didn't even read the book. Moneyball isn't about OBP or college draft picks. It's about value. The entire book is about value and a small market team competiting with limited resources.

                        That's what happens when douchebags like Morgan are allowed to vomit their ignorance on a weekly basis to a mass a people who will blindly accept what he says as gospel.
                        Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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