I think these go in hand a bit with my thought process on my last post. It's hard to say he's over-hyped when he's basically one of a kind, but does that translate as well to the next level to deserve the NBA-hype was more so my question. I look at it in one way as he's completely NBA ready body wise, and his size/athletic combination is damn near one in a lifetime. In that regard, there hasn't really been anything like him. But in actuality there has, he's just heavier than those who have been like him. Meaning my question would be without the same "man vs boy" type of advantage he has now, especially in his situation with Duke, does he have this same immediate impact at the next level?
His advanced stats are through the roof, but it's kinda expected given how efficient he is. He's almost sort of breaking the metric which really muddies up how you should interpret it. In reality he's only making 7.9 shots a game though, so propping him up as some sort of offensive juggernaut seems a little pre-mature. All of those per 100 possession stats are factoring in that he would hold this same rate of efficiency if he were playing massive minutes on a replacement level team. Meaning if he went to a worse situation team wise and was playing 35 minutes a night instead of his 25 minutes a night, and teams could gear up on him and double him where they can't really at Duke, that he would still shoot 70% and score at a rate of 40pp100. I don't really see that as being a likely scenario, not just for him but for any player in that circumstance.
I look at a lot of those similarly to how I look at Clint Capela. Would his offensive rating numbers be through the roof like they are somewhere he had to do something other than run to the rim and get open dunks from others drawing attention? Likely not. And Zion could likely hit the league and do this as well, score incredibly efficiently on 7-8 shots a night and flirt with 20 & 10 territory, and dominate those same advanced stats. But that still wouldn't equate him to being some all-time great level player that you run your offense through and build a franchise around.. That's where I have question marks that fall a bit outside of the stats/highlights in comparison to the "hype".
Outside of all that I think there are also question marks on what position he plays, what position he defends, if he can stretch the floor, if he can defend those who stretch the floor.. I think possibly the biggest bright spot for him, outside of his athletic ability obviously, is that his play likely lets those around him thrive because he doesn't need lot's of possessions to maximize his strengths. For teams like Phoenix who has Booker, Ayton this might be good (although they have an entire roster full of guys at his position), or a team like NY with Porzingis coming back, and Knox showing he can be a big scoring piece as well.. For teams like Atlanta or Cleveland who need that "come save us" type of player, I would have big question marks on him being the right fit.
I look at Draymond a bit in terms of his value as that "glue guy" and I think Zion can be that. Not comparing them directly, because his upside is much higher, a better athlete with higher scoring potential, yet no indication that he will have Dray's defensive or play-making instincts. But similar in a sense of with others around him to shoulder some scoring and the "running" of the offense he might be a perfect fit and flourish in his strengths.