home runs come and go in bunches. 2 in 5 games is not unrealistic. you may then get someone hot and he hits 3 in one game. I would increase it to 30 but it still will not create hrs if your team is in a hr slump. i went about 10 games w/o one than hit 6 in one game. it was quite frustrating but i think one a game is about the average. it also depends on the team you are going against.