[jmik58]

Quote: Originally Posted by Dr Death

No, his numbers were all, what I would call, off the chart. The guy I had prior, who had just graduated, was a 99 overall and the incoming, 5-star Freshman had numbers that were very close to his. I knew that by his Jr. year he would be a 99 easily. So initially I was very excited. I lost a 99 CB and replaced him w/ an 89... not bad. Then the season started. Every time the opponent had a "must-have" situation... 3rd and long, 4th and goal in the final minutes of a close game, etc... they threw his way and were successful. On regular situations, 2nd and 5 in the first quarter, he couldn't stop anything then either. I started blitzing more because I feared what this guy was going to give up. I was Colorado, it was my 6th year and I was coming off an 11-2 season and a big bowl win over, if memory serves, Penn State. I had an A+ schedule, because I don't like playing cupcakes when my team is loaded. And that Freshman CB nearly cost me 4 games out of the first six. I was 5-1... he did cost me a game against Oklahoma... but could have easily been 1-5 all because of him. If you looked at his numbers they were insanely good. As a coach you felt like you had Lester Hayes or Charles Woodson on the field. Only he turned out to be Toast. He couldn't defend, he couldn't tackle... he played six games and then played a few times when an injury occurred. He ended w/ 1 interception and that was off a tipped pass. He was actually out of position but the ball deflected to him. I've had other guys who never really lived up to their recruiting status, but none ever as badly as him.

Quote: Originally Posted by NCoffey

I've had this happen. Actually one year (I think it was 09) I did a SDSU dynasty, had a decent recruiting class (I think it was my 2nd year) where I got a 4* MLB and a 3*MLB (Nick Grant, he wore #11, will never forget it...lame, I know), The 4* ended up not doing ANYTHING for me, I think I even ended up cutting him before his Sr season, but the 3* was an absolute STUD! After putting him in the lineup in a Practice and watching him make plays I put him as my starter, he absolutely killed! I also had a 3* QB (Justin Turner #6) that same recruiting class that ended up starting after just a few games due to an injury and he never saw the bench the rest of his career (even after my starter who was rated well above him returned from injury). I've also had 5* guys not pan out. Most of them were worthy of starting, but were unreliable when I needed play-makers. A handful have been career backups though.

So we have questions about what ratings matter, what positions aren't affected by ratings in relation to on-field performance, and NOW you're telling me that players can be over-rated?

Moral of the story, practice with your team and know your team. I know I will after reading this thread.

It's all about on-field performance.

A 40 can play like a 90, 80% of the time; while a 90 might actually be a 70 with inflated entrance/scouting numbers, 10% of the time.

The more I know, the less I know. But I do know that 90% of all statistics are made up 23.5% of the time.