Look at the 15-6 (all FG) "mild" playoff upset in the 2006 playoffs. Manning's stats seemed pretty bad (
Comp-
Att-
Yd-
TD-
INT 15-
30-
170-
0-
2) but he also appeared totally in control, mostly due to the Colt's rising defense and the Raven's/Mcnair's inept offense.