06-06-2014, 07:36 PM
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#1183
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Five Becomes Four
OVR: 45
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Culver City, CA
Posts: 21,504
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Re: FBGRatings Seeks to Recalibrate Madden Ratings, Change Game
Process question - how much do you weight your scouting data vs player performance on field over long stretches of time?
For example, Joe Flacco. All of his accuracy ratings approach 90. However, his true accuracy percentage on Pro Football Focus (which corrects for dropped passes, passes tipped at the line of scrimmage, spikes, and passes where the quarterback is hit as he's thrown), Flacco finished 25th amongst all qualifying QBs in 2013 and finished in the 20s in the 2012 and 2011 seasons as well. Among active QBs, he's 17th in career completion percentage.
How does your system weigh that against his high accuracy ratings which I presume are drawn straight from your scouting data? What am I missing from the equation here? Should I be looking instead at the Ravens' receivers not consistently running great routes and Flacco missing them on that accord and/or a poor pass blocking offensive line resulting in more throws under pressure?
Again, I ask not as a criticism but for an understanding of process with a specific example that jumped out at me.
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