Madden NFL 15: Breaking Down QB Passing Percentages

[gjneff]

Here's another good resource related to this topic: http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/drops/2013/

It tracks WR receptions, drops, and targets. Last year, Pierre Garcon and Andre Johnson led the league with 181 targets. Pierre Garcon caught 113 of those passes and dropped 7; Andre Johnson caught 108 and dropped 8. Since drops only caught the balls that hit the receiver's hand but he didn't catch, it can be assumed that the 61 passes thrown to Pierre Garcon were completely out of reach, reflecting the quarterback's accuracy. That means that one of out every three passes thrown his way were inaccurate.

That's not necessarily true. Some will be knocked down by a defender just making a play. Not always drop or off target.

[Mos1ted]

Re: Madden NFL 15: Breaking Down QB Passing Percentages

That's not necessarily true. Some will be knocked down by a defender just making a play. Not always drop or off target.

This is true, but even then, not every pass that's off target was knocked down or intercepted either.

For example, that same site I posted previously tracked defensive back stats as well, mainly interceptions and pass deflections. Alterraun Verner led the league with 28 passes defended -- 5 interceptions and 23 pass deflections. Richard Sherman led the league with interceptions with 8 and had 24 passes defended overall.

For convenience sake, let's said that Alterraun Verner covered Pierre Garcon for every single pass thrown Pierre's way during the 2013 season. Garcon was thrown the ball 181 times, more than any other receiver in the league.

Again, he catches 113 and drops 7. That means 61 passes didn't touch his hands. Alterraun Verner defends 28 of those passes with an interception or deflection. That still leaves 33 passes (18 percent) that touched neither the receiver's nor cornerback's hands.

And we don't know how many of those passes that Verner made plays on were accurate throws that he just jumped the route on or balls that were so off target that only he had a shot of making a play on it.

[Mos1ted]

Re: Madden NFL 15: Breaking Down QB Passing Percentages

Here is data for an unofficial stat known as air yards: http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/st...ir-yards/2013/

It's determined by subtracting a receiver's yards after the catch from a quarterback's passing yards. In other words, how far did the ball travel in the air before it was caught?

Peyton Manning led the league with 2,795 air yards, averaging 4.24 yards per attempt. Jay Cutler led the league with air yards per attempt with 4.50. Basically, an overwhelming number of passes are short passes, just like the other article I posted, so we can get too mad that the CPU QB on Madden throws short passes way more often than medium or deep passes.

[tuck243]

Few things I noticed... For starters it's only 16 games a season, which isn't a big sample size when it comes to percentages. Also, I took a look at Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, and Colin Kaepernick... For damn near every great game was a mediocre one... Tom for example... Tom only had 2 games last year when he completed over 70% of his passes... And 6 out of 18 games he completed 55% or less...

Peyton had a better year completion wise with 68% (which is a big difference with Tom's 60%), but only had 5 games where he completed over 70% of his passes (with the Raiders being 2 of those times)...

Colin had 9 games where he completed 55% or less of his throws with 4 games being below 50%... He also didn't have one 70% game....

I say all that to say this... We should see a few 55% games vs. a great QB like Tom... A couple from Manning... And a lot from players like Colin... We shouldn't see A LOT of 70%+ games from any of these QB's and if we do see them it should be against teams with crappy defenses...

[BenGerman]

Re: Madden NFL 15: Breaking Down QB Passing Percentages

Yeah, it's absolutely clear that more balls need to be thrown "away" from players. Not enough throws are getting to the ground, and that's a problem.

Ultimately, though, it won't happen until the game spaces the field more to represent an actual football field. There's way more green in real life than guys in jerseys, but you wouldn't know that by playing Madden.

[sticks323]

Wow you did a great job.You put in a lot of work.