Weird regression issue in CFM

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  • phantomshark
    Rookie
    • Sep 2010
    • 267

    #1

    Weird regression issue in CFM

    Just finished our first regular season in an online CFM. I am playing the Jets. I spent the season building up Geno Smith's accuracy, so going into week 17 he was at 80/80/71 SAC/MAC/DAC. After we advanced to the playoffs, he is now at 80/68/71. Why would he lose 12 points of MAC randomly like that? Also I have not noticed any other regression, none of my players lost any speed (or anything else that I can notice). The Lions said Matthew Staffords DAC dropped to 62, so it seems to be a QB accuracy thing. Anyone else notice anything weird?
  • mlb61
    Rookie
    • Oct 2014
    • 423

    #2
    Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

    Originally posted by phantomshark
    Just finished our first regular season in an online CFM. I am playing the Jets. I spent the season building up Geno Smith's accuracy, so going into week 17 he was at 80/80/71 SAC/MAC/DAC. After we advanced to the playoffs, he is now at 80/68/71. Why would he lose 12 points of MAC randomly like that? Also I have not noticed any other regression, none of my players lost any speed (or anything else that I can notice). The Lions said Matthew Staffords DAC dropped to 62, so it seems to be a QB accuracy thing. Anyone else notice anything weird?
    I've seen this after a QB throws three picks in one game. I've also seen a similarly large drop in INJ after an injury. If my starting QB throws two picks, the backup comes in.

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    • phantomshark
      Rookie
      • Sep 2010
      • 267

      #3
      Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

      Originally posted by mlb61
      I've seen this after a QB throws three picks in one game. I've also seen a similarly large drop in INJ after an injury. If my starting QB throws two picks, the backup comes in.
      It happened at the end of the regular season, and to a bunch of different QBs. They lost significant points in 1 accuracy rating, neither of the other ones were affected, and no other players had any regression yet in any stat.

      Comment

      • howboutdat
        MVP
        • Nov 2012
        • 1908

        #4
        Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

        Crack, it has be to he started doing crack to lose 12 points in accuracy . Did you check the stories to see if it mentioned him doing crack?

        Just another one of those horrible regression ideas. Is it not enough we cant hardly build a player up?
        Yup, i said it !



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        • BB_Dynasty
          Rookie
          • Oct 2014
          • 423

          #5
          Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

          Originally posted by phantomshark
          Just finished our first regular season in an online CFM. I am playing the Jets. I spent the season building up Geno Smith's accuracy, so going into week 17 he was at 80/80/71 SAC/MAC/DAC. After we advanced to the playoffs, he is now at 80/68/71. Why would he lose 12 points of MAC randomly like that? Also I have not noticed any other regression, none of my players lost any speed (or anything else that I can notice). The Lions said Matthew Staffords DAC dropped to 62, so it seems to be a QB accuracy thing. Anyone else notice anything weird?

          I would assume its because he has slow development trait. That's the only thing I can think of. Usually the regression doesn't hit hard until players are in their 30s.

          Comment

          • PBlue
            Banned
            • Sep 2015
            • 37

            #6
            Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

            Originally posted by howboutdat
            Crack, it has be to he started doing crack to lose 12 points in accuracy . Did you check the stories to see if it mentioned him doing crack?

            Just another one of those horrible regression ideas. Is it not enough we cant hardly build a player up?
            or a cracked jaw maybe because he acts like a chump in his own locker room.

            Comment

            • Ueauvan
              MVP
              • Mar 2009
              • 1625

              #7
              Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

              i lost -9 MAC and 15 AWR on Kap like this
              i also lost -2 BCV on Hyde after 1500+ yds 15+TDs 0 Fumbles after a season

              Comment

              • BB_Dynasty
                Rookie
                • Oct 2014
                • 423

                #8
                Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                Originally posted by Ueauvan
                i lost -9 MAC and 15 AWR on Kap like this
                i also lost -2 BCV on Hyde after 1500+ yds 15+TDs 0 Fumbles after a season
                He has a normal dev... did you have a bad season with him?

                Comment

                • cooper417
                  Rookie
                  • Feb 2014
                  • 174

                  #9
                  Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                  Usually regression is tied to whether or not you meet Goal #2 for a specific player.
                  For a starting QB, seems like the standard Goal #2 is 24 passing TDs. If you don't get 24, I imagine the QB accuracy will regress. Probably throw in how many INTs you threw into that equation.

                  I've seen this some in M15, but haven't made it through a season in M16 yet.

                  But in M15 each player regression was tied to their goal #2.

                  Comment

                  • phantomshark
                    Rookie
                    • Sep 2010
                    • 267

                    #10
                    Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                    My top goal for Geno was 20 TDs and I threw 34. Plus, regression hasn't happened yet in our league, the playoffs are still going on. The ONLY regression that happened in the whole league was several QBs losing a siginficant amount in 1 and only 1 accuracy stat (mainly either MAC or DAC) and no rhyme or reason as to why.

                    Comment

                    • The JareBear
                      Be Good To One Another
                      • Jul 2010
                      • 11560

                      #11
                      Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                      Originally posted by cooper417
                      Usually regression is tied to whether or not you meet Goal #2 for a specific player.
                      For a starting QB, seems like the standard Goal #2 is 24 passing TDs. If you don't get 24, I imagine the QB accuracy will regress. Probably throw in how many INTs you threw into that equation.

                      I've seen this some in M15, but haven't made it through a season in M16 yet.

                      But in M15 each player regression was tied to their goal #2.
                      I'm hoping this isn't the case anymore. I know someone at ea said regression was tweaked this year. We haven't made it to offseason yet so I'll find found soon hopefully.
                      "Successful people do not celebrate in the adversity or misfortune of others."

                      OS Blog

                      The Tortured Mind Of A Rockies Fan. In Arenado I Trust.

                      Comment

                      • ABR173rd
                        Rangers Lead The Way!!!!
                        • Aug 2009
                        • 1523

                        #12
                        Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                        Originally posted by phantomshark
                        Just finished our first regular season in an online CFM. I am playing the Jets. I spent the season building up Geno Smith's accuracy, so going into week 17 he was at 80/80/71 SAC/MAC/DAC. After we advanced to the playoffs, he is now at 80/68/71. Why would he lose 12 points of MAC randomly like that? Also I have not noticed any other regression, none of my players lost any speed (or anything else that I can notice). The Lions said Matthew Staffords DAC dropped to 62, so it seems to be a QB accuracy thing. Anyone else notice anything weird?
                        Interesting that you point this out, I'm in an offline CFM using the Saints and noticed the exact same regression with Garrett Grayson and he's been the starter all season breaking the single season TD record. There was a 4 point regression in his medium passing accuracy after advancing into the playoffs. He may have also lead the league in interceptions or was close to the top but either way thought this was odd given his overall performance in his rookie season.

                        Comment

                        • Potatoes002
                          MVP
                          • Jul 2008
                          • 2143

                          #13
                          Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                          Originally posted by phantomshark
                          My top goal for Geno was 20 TDs and I threw 34. Plus, regression hasn't happened yet in our league, the playoffs are still going on. The ONLY regression that happened in the whole league was several QBs losing a siginficant amount in 1 and only 1 accuracy stat (mainly either MAC or DAC) and no rhyme or reason as to why.
                          How many interceptions did you throw?

                          Comment

                          • stever85
                            Rookie
                            • Oct 2015
                            • 9

                            #14
                            Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                            This happened in my CFM as well to a few owners. The most alarming case was as follows.

                            Ryan Nassib: 222/399 56% 4,409 yards 41 TD 24 INT QBR 102.8.
                            Also won the MVP that season.

                            Nassib's stock attributes going into the season
                            88 THP, 83 SAC, 85 MAC, 64 DAC.

                            By the end of the season, Nassib's DAC was up to 78

                            As soon as the league advanced past Week 17, his DAC dropped to 68. Roughly an entire season's worth of XP wiped so effortlessly.

                            Based on the season Nassib had, I don't see how a 10 point drop in DAC was warranted. There has got to be a glitch in the programming that is causing these regressions. We tried to bring it to EA's attention (Rex on twitter) but it has been under the radar so far. We need to compile more data to figure out what the heck is going on.

                            The problem is only more magnified this year with progression being as difficult as it as and XP as scarce as it is. There is no way to justify regressing 10 DAC.

                            Comment

                            • rugernator
                              Banned
                              • Sep 2015
                              • 89

                              #15
                              Re: Weird regression issue in CFM

                              I've had similar things happen with my RB's BCV. He's a beast but keeps dropping during the season, I've raised it up at least twice now and it keeps falling back down to 89.

                              Comment

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