The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

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  • Kushmir
    MVP
    • Jun 2003
    • 2414

    #1

    The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

    FULL DISCLOSURE: I'm an Eagles fan...I HATE the Giants--not as bad as the Cowboys--but still....

    The question i'm asking is: "Why is Eli Manning rated an 80?"

    While its often said that ratings are subjective (and they are--to an extent) i've always thought that using production (which isn't subjective) was more accurate....and that ratings consistency meant more than anything...right? When I look at a guy like Luke Kuechly avg 124 tackles the last 3 years, i'm fine with him having a higher tackle rating than say, Jordan Hicks (who's avg'd 67) it just kinda makes sense.

    Which is why the "Eli Thing" is a splinter in my brain...its not like he plays in some small market or is someone you can overlook...he has 2 superbowl rings for crying out loud. Also: 1) How does something like that happen in a legitimate ratings system? 2) It makes me wonder what other ratings are this way off...3) It destroys my confidence in the ratings--which--lets be honest--are the backbone of any sports game....

    I first noticed the Eli thing last year when Blake Bortles was rated higher than him...it was only a point but just didn't sit right. I've always thought you look at a 3 year window (emphasizing the most recent yr) when you determine ratings. Blake was coming off his first big year (58.9-35-18-4428) after a bad rookie season (58.9-2908-11-17). Eli was coming off a strong 2014 (63.1-30-14-4410) and followed it up with an even stronger 2015 (62.6-35-14-4436) NY was 6-10 and Jacksonville was 5-11.... I looked at Eli's 84 rating and Blake's 85 and thought...How? How does that happen?

    Then this year happened...I watched Eli drop 4 more OVR points and i'm kinda baffled. How does a guy who's averaged 30TDs and 14 INTs the last 3 years (63-4027-26-16 last year) get rated an 80? How other players perform in comparison certainly matters...sure--but explain that when Ben Roethslisberger (27-12 during that same span) is rated a 91? Help me out here...is it yardage? Can't be...Eli's last 3 yrs are 4410-4436-4027...Ben? 4952-3938-3819. Maybe having a really good receiving corps means Eli's numbers are skewed? Again--nope. Ben has had a very deep group led by AB, who many consider the best in the NFL.

    The only real discrepancy I could see is the Giants record was 6-10 in 2014 and 2015 and was 11-5 last year while PIT was 11-5 in 2015, 10-6 in 2015 and 11-5 last year...and while a winning record should factor as a small part of rating...is it worth 11 whole points?

    P.S. Carson Wentz had a solid rookie year (62.1-3782-16-14) and is rated a 79.

    Do you guys see my dilemma? What do you think? What am I missing here? Help me out.
    Last edited by Kushmir; 07-27-2017, 07:01 PM.
    NOTE: Any and ALL of my suggestions are specifically and only related to Play Now Online.
  • Hooe
    Hall Of Fame
    • Aug 2002
    • 21555

    #2
    Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

    Pro Football Focus had Eli Manning graded at 53.0 / 100 last year, 27th among eligible quarterbacks.

    For better or worse, PFF is a significant influence on how Madden grades players, so that's probably the entirety of your explainer.

    Comment

    • GiantBlue76
      Banned
      • Jun 2007
      • 3287

      #3
      Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

      As a lifelong Giants fan, I will tell you that the rating they gave him isn't far off from what it should be. Eli has been regressing. He plays in a VERY favorable system under McAdoo where his completion percentage should be approaching 70% yet he still struggles to reach slightly over 60%. He has accuracy issues on short to medium passes and he often stares down receivers. He also has issues throwing off his back foot, resulting in high throws. As we all know, high throws over the middle in the NFL are interceptions. I love Eli Manning and the flashes of brilliance he's shown throughout his career, but let's not be unrealistic as to how good he is.

      Comment

      • Kushmir
        MVP
        • Jun 2003
        • 2414

        #4
        Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

        Originally posted by CM Hooe
        Pro Football Focus had Eli Manning graded at 53.0 / 100 last year, 27th among eligible quarterbacks.

        For better or worse, PFF is a significant influence on how Madden grades players, so that's probably the entirety of your explainer.
        I really like PFF--really I do....I dig how they claim to grade guys after each game, but thats not nearly good enough.
        NOTE: Any and ALL of my suggestions are specifically and only related to Play Now Online.

        Comment

        • Black Bruce Wayne
          MVP
          • Aug 2015
          • 1459

          #5
          Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

          Thank goodness you can edit the ratings for CFM

          Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

          Comment

          • l8knight1
            BRING BACK F2000 HELMET!!
            • Aug 2002
            • 1185

            #6
            Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

            Originally posted by Black Bruce Wayne
            Thank goodness you can edit the ratings for CFM

            Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
            Exactly. Why people get their panties in a bunch over ratings is beyond me. They are extremely subjective...but editable.

            Comment

            • deiied
              Rookie
              • Jul 2017
              • 66

              #7
              Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

              Originally posted by Kushmir
              FULL DISCLOSURE: I'm an Eagles fan...I HATE the Giants--not as bad as the Cowboys--but still....

              The question i'm asking is: "Why is Eli Manning rated an 80?"

              While its often said that ratings are subjective (and they are--to an extent) i've always thought that using production (which isn't subjective) was more accurate....and that ratings consistency meant more than anything...right? When I look at a guy like Luke Kuechly avg 124 tackles the last 3 years, i'm fine with him with a higher tackle rating than say, Jordan Hicks (who's avg'd 67) it just kinda makes sense.

              Which is why the "Eli Thing" is a splinter in my brain...its not like he plays in some small market or is someone you can overlook...he has 2 superbowl rings for crying out loud. Also: 1) How does something like that happen in a legitimate ratings system? 2) It makes me wonder what other ratings are this way off...3) It destroys my confidence in the ratings--which--lets be honest--are the backbone of any sports game....

              I first noticed the Eli thing last year when Blake Bortles was rated higher than him...it was only a point but just didn't sit right. I've always thought you look at a 3 year window (emphasizing the most recent yr) when you determine ratings. Blake was coming off his first big year (58.9-35-18-4428) after a bad rookie season (58.9-2908-11-17). Eli was coming off a strong 2014 (63.1-30-14-4410) followed it up with an even stronger 2015 (62.6-35-14-4436) NY was 6-10 and Jacksonville was 5-11.... I looked at Eli's 84 rating and Blake's 85 and thought...How? How does that happen?

              Then this year happened...I watched Eli drop 4 more OVR points and i'm kinda baffled. How does a guy who's averaged 30TDs and 14 INTs the last 3 years get rated an 80? How other players perform certainly matters...sure--but explain that when Ben Roethslisberger (27-12 during that same span) is rated a 91? Help me out here...is it yardage? Can't be...Eli's last 3 yrs are 4410-4436-4027...Ben? 4952-3938-3819. Maybe having a really good receiving corps means Eli's numbers are skewed? Again--nope. Ben has had a very deep group led by AB, who many consider the best in the NFL.

              The only real discrepancy I could see is the Giants record was 6-10 in 2014 and 2015 and was 11-5 last year while PIT was 11-5 in 2015, 10-6 in 2015 and 11-5 last year...and while a winning record should factor as a small part of rating...is it worth 11 whole points?

              P.S. Carson Wentz had a solid rookie year (62.1-3782-16-14) and is rated a 79.

              Do you guys see my dilemma? What do you think? What am I missing here? Help me out.
              I imagine the "ratings guy" like this:



              They ratings often feel opinion based or maybe designed for a purpose instead of to reflect reality. Does the actual NFL player "rating"( or player talent) model reflect the bell curve? Does the madden rating system need to be redesigned, because the scores are flattened between 60 and 100, almost completely eliminating the 0-60 rating range?

              While its often said that ratings are subjective
              Do they need to be though?

              The "ratings guy" could write an API to read stats from an NFL statistics database and use that as input for the ratings formula. Subjectivity would be eliminated. Take the entire statistical history of the player but weight the previous year slightly higher in the formula.

              Rookies would tougher but he could access their college history, find current nfl players with similar stats, and assign the rookie similar ratings or a modified version of that.

              Comment

              • XtremeDunkz
                CNFL Commissioner
                • Aug 2007
                • 3414

                #8
                Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                Originally posted by l8knight1
                Exactly. Why people get their panties in a bunch over ratings is beyond me. They are extremely subjective...but editable.
                Well for those that play in online leagues you are stuck with what you got. No commish is gonna open the can of worms that is rating editing.
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                • OhMrHanky
                  MVP
                  • Aug 2012
                  • 1898

                  #9
                  Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                  Well, I happen to know for a fact the ratings guy at madden is a big cowboys fan, so u know?

                  I'm just kidding, btw. Couldn't help it. He is a cowboys fan, but as others have mentioned, sounds like Eli has been slipping, anyways.


                  Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

                  Comment

                  • Kushmir
                    MVP
                    • Jun 2003
                    • 2414

                    #10
                    Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                    Originally posted by XtremeDunkz
                    Well for those that play in online leagues you are stuck with what you got. No commish is gonna open the can of worms that is rating editing.
                    Bingo. I've never understood how people don't get the super basic truth that:

                    YOU. CAN'T. EDIT. RATINGS. FOR. ONLINE. PLAY.
                    NOTE: Any and ALL of my suggestions are specifically and only related to Play Now Online.

                    Comment

                    • sir psycho
                      Rookie
                      • Jun 2012
                      • 286

                      #11
                      Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                      Meh. I'm a Giants fan...when I saw the ratings I thought 80 was fair and where he is relative to other QBs is fair as well. He's not an elite, or even great QB. You mentioned his 2 Super Bowls, but what happened in 07 and 11 should have no relevance to how a player is rated now. He's been slipping and definitely doesn't belong in the same class as Ben, who you compared him to.

                      Comment

                      • Kushmir
                        MVP
                        • Jun 2003
                        • 2414

                        #12
                        Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                        Originally posted by sir psycho
                        Meh. I'm a Giants fan...when I saw the ratings I thought 80 was fair and where he is relative to other QBs is fair as well. He's not an elite, or even great QB. You mentioned his 2 Super Bowls, but what happened in 07 and 11 should have no relevance to how a player is rated now. He's been slipping and definitely doesn't belong in the same class as Ben, who you compared him to.
                        Agree...keep in mind I mentioned the last 3 years as being relevant to his rating. Having a career year 10 years ago doesn't impact your rating today. Only mentioned his superbowls as an example that he isn't a guy who should be overlooked. But ultimately I wanted to hear from Giants fans--I knew you guys have intimate knowledge of how his current level of play is.....
                        Last edited by Kushmir; 07-27-2017, 02:41 PM.
                        NOTE: Any and ALL of my suggestions are specifically and only related to Play Now Online.

                        Comment

                        • Find_the_Door
                          Nogueira connoisseur
                          • Jan 2012
                          • 4051

                          #13
                          Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                          Some of the leagues I've been in will adjust ratings throughout the season to reflect roster updates

                          Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
                          Antonio Rodrigo "Minotauro" Nogueira - UFC Hall of Fame

                          Comment

                          • BezO
                            MVP
                            • Jul 2004
                            • 4414

                            #14
                            Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                            I said this in the top RB thread. Skill vs production is an issue for Madden. Surrounding players affect production but don't improve an individuals skills. Madden seems to base ratings on production, so productive players get bumps in ratings they don't deserve, and vice versa.
                            Shout out to The Watcher! Where you at bruh?

                            Comment

                            • JerzeyReign
                              MVP
                              • Jul 2009
                              • 4847

                              #15
                              Re: The Curious Case of Eli Manning...

                              I'm an Eagles fan too and I also noticed the shade. 2 rings and only a point above Wentz?

                              I really hope one day EA becomes transparent on how ratings are determined. I would of given him an 85 because even though I enjoy every 'Eli Face' moment - he puts up numbers.
                              #WashedGamer

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