2018 Chicago Cubs

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  • WaitTilNextYear
    Go Cubs Go
    • Mar 2013
    • 16830

    #1

    2018 Chicago Cubs

    I just noticed we didn't have one of these team threads yet. Wanted to post about the weird vibes among Yu Darvish, Jim Hickey, and Willson Contreras in this article. These guys are definitely not on the same page. lol

    A day after another poor finish to a Yu Darvish outing, the Chicago Cubs -- including Darvish -- are searching for answers.
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  • WaitTilNextYear
    Go Cubs Go
    • Mar 2013
    • 16830

    #2
    Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

    One thing I noticed recently about Quintana and Darvish is both have been fly ball pitchers throughout their careers (41.1% GB rate for Darvish, 44.4% GB rate for Q). With homers being as prevalent in today's game as they are, I am beginning to wonder if Theo made the right call on acquiring these dudes in this context. To some extent you think things might neutralize upon coming from HR friendly parks in the AL like Arlington and Comiskey, but something to watch out for maybe.
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    • Jr.
      Playgirl Coverboy
      • Feb 2003
      • 19171

      #3
      Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

      Originally posted by WaitTilNextYear
      One thing I noticed recently about Quintana and Darvish is both have been fly ball pitchers throughout their careers (41.1% GB rate for Darvish, 44.4% GB rate for Q). With homers being as prevalent in today's game as they are, I am beginning to wonder if Theo made the right call on acquiring these dudes in this context. To some extent you think things might neutralize upon coming from HR friendly parks in the AL like Arlington and Comiskey, but something to watch out for maybe.
      I wonder if that's why they both are seemingly so contact-averse in their pitching styles?
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      • WaitTilNextYear
        Go Cubs Go
        • Mar 2013
        • 16830

        #4
        Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

        Interesting article by Carrie Muskat: https://www.mlb.com/cubs/news/theo-e...18/c-275703816

        It sure has felt like we suck with RISP, but how about .218 (14th in the NL)? Yikes.
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        • WaitTilNextYear
          Go Cubs Go
          • Mar 2013
          • 16830

          #5
          Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

          I'm gonna try one more time to get this thread going...and if it dies, it dies.

          Maybe a resurgence in the Cubs' farm system? This Richard Gallardo kid sounds like he'll be a top prospect before long. Theo's regime has been wildly successful with position players, but still has yet to hit on an IFA pitching prospect, ahem Gerardo Concepcion.

          CHICAGO -- One was considered the best pitcher available among international prospects. Another dominated a Cuban team in a tournament in Colombia. And the three position players selected all are considered good baseball players who also are stellar athletes.The Cubs signed right-hander Richard Gallardo, outfielder Jose Lopez, lefty Joel Machado,
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          • CBoller1331
            It Appears I Blue Myself
            • Dec 2013
            • 3082

            #6
            Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

            Anthony Rizzo has as many career leadoff HR's as Juan Pierre in approximately 1000 less PA
            Chicago Cubs
            Michigan Wolverines

            Thanks Peyton. #18

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            • WaitTilNextYear
              Go Cubs Go
              • Mar 2013
              • 16830

              #7
              Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

              Was looking at the Cubs' top 30 prospect list on MLB dot com and there seem to be some quality guys on there despite it being a pretty thin system overall.

              The prospects that look most promising? RHP Alex Lange (22 y/o having a nice year for A+ Myrtle Beach), SS Aramis Ademan (19 year old in high A ball), RHP Adbert Alzolay (23 y/o in his 1st go 'round at AAA Iowa), C Miguel Amaya (19 y/o catcher who is having a stellar year at A ball and selected for the Futures Game), RHP Michael Rucker (24 y/o having a breakout season at AA).

              This time next year, I bet either Amaya or newly signed IFA Richard Gallaro is the #1 prospect in the system.
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              • CBoller1331
                It Appears I Blue Myself
                • Dec 2013
                • 3082

                #8
                Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                I think Lange is going to be pretty good. Maybe only a #3 or #4, but that would still be welcome as the Cubs haven't really developed a pitcher that they drafted in a while
                Chicago Cubs
                Michigan Wolverines

                Thanks Peyton. #18

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                • WaitTilNextYear
                  Go Cubs Go
                  • Mar 2013
                  • 16830

                  #9
                  Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                  Been hearing more and more about how awful the Cubs' starting rotation has been and some are starting to implicate Willson Contreras' pitch framing skills (or lack thereof) as a part of the reason why. I just checked BP's stats on him and Willy is 2nd best (behind only Tucker Barnhart) in terms of blocking, but 2nd worst (ahead of only Omar Narvaez) in terms of pitch framing.

                  Interesting, but I wonder how stable these stats are. Last year, Contreras was middle of the pack in both categories.
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                  • CBoller1331
                    It Appears I Blue Myself
                    • Dec 2013
                    • 3082

                    #10
                    Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                    I think it could have something to do with the Cubs pitching woes, but for me framing is almost as much on the pitcher to hit his spot as it is on the catcher to make it look good. It's not very often your going to get a borderline call when you miss across the plate (heck, sometimes we see pitches down the middle not get called cause the pitcher missed by a foot). Tyler Chatwood has been all over the place and when he misses he usually does so by a lot, often making it hard for Willson to even catch/block the pitch let alone frame it.

                    As for how consistent framing metrics are, I believe that while he was in Milwaukee Jonathan Lucroy was regarded as one of the game's best "receivers" (I believe that's the preferred term...lol) and after being traded he regressed back to the MLB average. I would guess that part of it is due to catching different pitchers and not getting used to their repertoire's. Framing seems like a skill that wouldn't regress with age, so I would guess that it's somewhat random from year to year.
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                    Thanks Peyton. #18

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                    • WaitTilNextYear
                      Go Cubs Go
                      • Mar 2013
                      • 16830

                      #11
                      Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                      Ex-Cub Jake Arrieta has a higher WAR than any pitcher on the Cubs' roster this season. Sigh

                      It's July 21st and no Cubs pitcher has hit 1.0 WAR yet.
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                      • Jr.
                        Playgirl Coverboy
                        • Feb 2003
                        • 19171

                        #12
                        Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                        Originally posted by WaitTilNextYear
                        Been hearing more and more about how awful the Cubs' starting rotation has been and some are starting to implicate Willson Contreras' pitch framing skills (or lack thereof) as a part of the reason why. I just checked BP's stats on him and Willy is 2nd best (behind only Tucker Barnhart) in terms of blocking, but 2nd worst (ahead of only Omar Narvaez) in terms of pitch framing.

                        Interesting, but I wonder how stable these stats are. Last year, Contreras was middle of the pack in both categories.
                        They fluctuate pretty drastically. Tyler Flowers had one of the best ever seasons by pitch framing tracking last year and while he's still good, he's outside of the top 10 this year. I wonder if umpires are told about this kind of thing, so they are more aware season to season about catchers trying to steal pitches by framing.

                        Yadi was always considered one of the best at this, too, and he's middle of the pack this year
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                        • CBoller1331
                          It Appears I Blue Myself
                          • Dec 2013
                          • 3082

                          #13
                          Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                          Anybody heard anything about Eddie Butler? I know he was placed on the 60-day DL in April but I haven't heard anything about him in awhile and thought of him while pondering about options to start tomorrow's (Monday) game vs Arizona
                          Chicago Cubs
                          Michigan Wolverines

                          Thanks Peyton. #18

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                          • Jr.
                            Playgirl Coverboy
                            • Feb 2003
                            • 19171

                            #14
                            Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                            Originally posted by CBoller1331
                            Anybody heard anything about Eddie Butler? I know he was placed on the 60-day DL in April but I haven't heard anything about him in awhile and thought of him while pondering about options to start tomorrow's (Monday) game vs Arizona
                            Doesn't look like he's doing too well in AAA

                            My favorite teams are better than your favorite teams

                            Watch me play video games

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                            • WaitTilNextYear
                              Go Cubs Go
                              • Mar 2013
                              • 16830

                              #15
                              Re: 2018 Chicago Cubs

                              Originally posted by Jr.
                              They fluctuate pretty drastically. Tyler Flowers had one of the best ever seasons by pitch framing tracking last year and while he's still good, he's outside of the top 10 this year. I wonder if umpires are told about this kind of thing, so they are more aware season to season about catchers trying to steal pitches by framing.

                              Yadi was always considered one of the best at this, too, and he's middle of the pack this year
                              I hadn't considered that. This would be pretty interesting if umpires were tied into that. It might be interesting to see how these numbers hold up over several years for a bunch of catchers. If they don't, then people are either measuring this wrong or what is being measured is much more than just catcher skill.

                              Originally posted by Jr.
                              Doesn't look like he's doing too well in AAA

                              https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/ba...g-at-triple-a/
                              That heroic 7 inning stint in relief down in Miami really messed him up, huh?
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