[tommycoa]

Quote: Originally Posted by MarcSteve

In terms of the overall rating of a team what do you guys think a big gap is versus a small or medium gap? For example, if one team is an 82 and another is a 77 is that considered a big gap? If the 77 wins is that a big upset? What gap do you expect to win almost all the time versus what is within the range of being closely matched teams?

The average NFL game isn’t close. The winning team wins by an 11-12 point average.

http://www.sportsonearth.com/article...erage-nfl-game

This link is from a 2014 i think. So some averages have changed. This is the best data on averages I can find.