Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

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  • T4VERTS
    MVP
    • Jan 2011
    • 1153

    #1

    Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

    If any of you guys follow me on social media you may have seen these posted, however I wanted to post them all here in one consolidated place. Keep in mind as you read these that the overall ranking is based on their approximate value in long term franchises. The score I used to rank them is an aggregate of the 8 metrics I have been discussing throughout the week.

    32-25: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...ams-32-25.html

    24-17: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...ams-24-17.html

    16-9: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...eams-16-9.html

    8-1: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...teams-8-1.html


    If you have any questions about methods, or how teams ended up were they are, I'll do my best to explain.
    Follow me on Twitter @T4Verts
  • PhillyPhanatic14
    MVP
    • Jun 2015
    • 4824

    #2
    Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

    This is awesome man. Seriously awesome. Loved reading these. I've been planning a Browns CFM since last year but got too locked into my Eagles in M19. Definitely starting with the Browns, but there's some really intriguing options out there like the Jets and Broncos.



    Thanks for all of your work man. This is legit.

    Comment

    • TheOncomingStorm
      Banned
      • Sep 2012
      • 437

      #3
      Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

      This is fantastic.

      How is cap score calculated? For example, you have the Dolphins with the best cap situation, but there's anywhere from 5 through 9 teams with more cap flexibility next offseason depending on which cap tracker you look at.

      Comment

      • T4VERTS
        MVP
        • Jan 2011
        • 1153

        #4
        Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

        Originally posted by TheOncomingStorm
        This is fantastic.

        How is cap score calculated? For example, you have the Dolphins with the best cap situation, but there's anywhere from 5 through 9 teams with more cap flexibility next offseason depending on which cap tracker you look at.
        I took their projected cap leading into the off season and then built a formula looking at their impending free agents and developed a score. That score is basically to show how easy it will be too keep that team together heading into future seasons. The Bears for instance are showing a negative projection after season one, but also have some decently well rated guys to resign.

        To be fair it doesn't account for potential retirements/cuts/ or simply not wanting a high rated guy back. I was doing the best with what I had to work with. I actually had to go import salaries from a 3rd party then cross my sheets over.
        Follow me on Twitter @T4Verts

        Comment

        • drseanus
          Rookie
          • Feb 2015
          • 34

          #5
          Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

          This is really interesting work. Thank you for this.

          My thinking has evolved over the last couple of years to think that an elite, mobile o-line is almost OP. Last year, I ranked each team's projected starters based on a composite of age, RBK/PBK/LBK and ACC/AGI, and made my franchise decisions based on that (and my usual demand that I will be the first to lead this franchise to the Super Bowl). I haven't sat down with this year's ratings just yet, but will post when I do.

          Your chosen categories make a lot of sense. Were you tempted to include the MLBs in the coverage ranks? There's been buzz in the analytics community for a while about the importance of coverage vs pass rush, and I certainly noticed the difference over the middle of the field in M19 when I had a fast coverage LB.

          Now just need to work out how much of a challenge I want. Thanks again for this.

          Comment

          • T4VERTS
            MVP
            • Jan 2011
            • 1153

            #6
            Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

            Originally posted by drseanus
            This is really interesting work. Thank you for this.

            My thinking has evolved over the last couple of years to think that an elite, mobile o-line is almost OP. Last year, I ranked each team's projected starters based on a composite of age, RBK/PBK/LBK and ACC/AGI, and made my franchise decisions based on that (and my usual demand that I will be the first to lead this franchise to the Super Bowl). I haven't sat down with this year's ratings just yet, but will post when I do.

            Your chosen categories make a lot of sense. Were you tempted to include the MLBs in the coverage ranks? There's been buzz in the analytics community for a while about the importance of coverage vs pass rush, and I certainly noticed the difference over the middle of the field in M19 when I had a fast coverage LB.

            Now just need to work out how much of a challenge I want. Thanks again for this.
            I considered using LB but my thinking was that it’s so heavily influenced by the user skill in Madden it doesn’t necessarily portray their true value wel.
            Follow me on Twitter @T4Verts

            Comment

            • ShadyFan25
              Rookie
              • Jan 2019
              • 207

              #7
              Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

              This is awesome, thanks for doing this.
              Fan of:
              Buffalo Bills
              NY Yankees

              Comment

              • RogueHominid
                Hall Of Fame
                • Aug 2006
                • 10903

                #8
                Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                Looks about right for the Raiders, though I wish it weren't so. Love your work!

                Comment

                • ForUntoOblivionSoar∞
                  MVP
                  • Dec 2009
                  • 4682

                  #9
                  Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                  Originally posted by T4VERTS
                  If any of you guys follow me on social media you may have seen these posted, however I wanted to post them all here in one consolidated place. Keep in mind as you read these that the overall ranking is based on their approximate value in long term franchises. The score I used to rank them is an aggregate of the 8 metrics I have been discussing throughout the week.

                  32-25: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...ams-32-25.html

                  24-17: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...ams-24-17.html

                  16-9: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...eams-16-9.html

                  8-1: https://4verts.blogspot.com/2019/07/...teams-8-1.html


                  If you have any questions about methods, or how teams ended up were they are, I'll do my best to explain.

                  Excellent work. Can't wait for the ratings adjustment later to make Jimmy G better and turn the 49ers OP.


                  hopefully...
                  Originally posted by Therebelyell626
                  I am going to create a team called "the happy town fundament rapscallions" and hurt your already diminishing image
                  https://forums.operationsports.com/forums/showpost.php?p=2049813056

                  Last edited by your mom; 06-06-2006 at 6:06 PM.

                  Comment

                  • RogueHominid
                    Hall Of Fame
                    • Aug 2006
                    • 10903

                    #10
                    Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                    One thing I really like about your analysis pertaining to the Raiders is the clear age + salary problem we have. We're paying old guys a lot of money and don't have any bona fide young stars who are significantly outplaying rookie or second deals.

                    When you do a franchise as the Raiders, you really feel this. The team really needs a total salary reset.

                    Comment

                    • Mack Attack 11
                      Rookie
                      • Aug 2008
                      • 190

                      #11
                      Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                      Wonderful work thank you!


                      On the Bengals I disagree with your statement that "team talent is older"


                      They do have some older talent Green, Geno but a lot of younger talented players such as Bates (22), Mixon (22), Boyd (24), Jackson III (26), Ross (23). I think our core is solid to build on. But then again I could just be a homer.

                      Comment

                      • T4VERTS
                        MVP
                        • Jan 2011
                        • 1153

                        #12
                        Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                        Originally posted by Mack Attack 11
                        Wonderful work thank you!


                        On the Bengals I disagree with your statement that "team talent is older"


                        They do have some older talent Green, Geno but a lot of younger talented players such as Bates (22), Mixon (22), Boyd (24), Jackson III (26), Ross (23). I think our core is solid to build on. But then again I could just be a homer.
                        I am actually a Bengals fan so I know where you are coming from. The issue is Dalton/Green/Atkins/Dunlap are all 30+. While they do have solid younger guys, their top in talent is set to start declining. I looked at youth in buckets and the issue is their best talent unlike other teams isn't under 26, that's why they got what they did.
                        Follow me on Twitter @T4Verts

                        Comment

                        • Mack Attack 11
                          Rookie
                          • Aug 2008
                          • 190

                          #13
                          Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                          Originally posted by T4VERTS
                          I am actually a Bengals fan so I know where you are coming from. The issue is Dalton/Green/Atkins/Dunlap are all 30+. While they do have solid younger guys, their top in talent is set to start declining. I looked at youth in buckets and the issue is their best talent unlike other teams isn't under 26, that's why they got what they did.

                          I wouldn't consider Dalton to be included as their top talent but I understand. I am a finance guy so I know the numbers don't lie and appreciate the analytics you did. Absolutely fabulous!

                          Comment

                          • ajra21
                            MVP
                            • Oct 2011
                            • 2170

                            #14
                            Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                            Umm, how do the Niners have a near to dire cap situation?

                            They have $32m in cap space this year. That'll roll over into next year, giving them a projected $40m in cap space for 2020.

                            I'm aware they have to extend Buckner but how is that dire?

                            EDIT: They've already penciled Buckner in for $14m on overthecap.com.

                            Comment

                            • T4VERTS
                              MVP
                              • Jan 2011
                              • 1153

                              #15
                              Re: Ranking All 32 Teams Based on Analytics

                              Originally posted by ajra21
                              Umm, how do the Niners have a near to dire cap situation?

                              They have $32m in cap space this year. That'll roll over into next year, giving them a projected $40m in cap space for 2020.

                              I'm aware they have to extend Buckner but how is that dire?

                              EDIT: They've already penciled Buckner in for $14m on overthecap.com.
                              Cap acceleration, Spotrac has them projected at -7 million for next season. In Madden you can't roll cap over year to year so unused this year means nothing for next. Now Spotrac projects a flatter cap than some of the other sites, so they could end up closer to even, however it is still relative to the other teams so the idea still stands.
                              Follow me on Twitter @T4Verts

                              Comment

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