[DarthRambo]

Quote: Originally Posted by Mister_G

Long post coming... I may have found ?something? with the 3PT issue... First, I noticed that in sims, 83-84 teams were averaging roughly 10x less 3PA/G Then, I noticed that in the modern day rosters a player's 3PT Shot Tendency is exact to the amount of 3PA per 36 minutes, with the decimal just moved over one place. So Lebron is at a 77 and he happened to have shot 7.7 3's per 36. So I came up with the following formula to adjust individual 3PT shot tendencies for each player in the 83-84 roster... Using BBREF Real Life 83-84 stats... 3PA/(Total Minutes/36) Then you move the decimal over TWO places (One to match modern day and another one to make up for players shooting 10X less). An example... Larry Bird played 3028 minutes in 83-84 and attempted 73 3's. So his formula is... 3028/36=84.1111 73/84.1111 = .867 Move decimal over two spots to 86.7 So I change Bird's 3PT Shot Tendency to an 86. There is a 3PA per 36 stat on basketball reference, but it is not exact enough. That's why I did the total minutes and 3PA rather than using that stat. In a sim with 6 teams using this formula, the game spit out more reasonable 3PA rates...between 1.5 and 2.5 per game for those teams, with likely more accurate individual player stats than raising the entire league's 3PT shot tendencies by an arbitrary number. I don't know how this would affect future seasons, but just putting it out there...

That's awesome work man! Definitely makes sense. Yeah by default Bird 3pt shot tendency was 10 for the 83 roster. Kinda crazy! Mid 80s sounds more reasonable for him.

I really don't want to do a crazy overhaul of rosters but for 3pt shooting in the 80s it may be best to at least do it for that.

So what about Darrell Griffith on Utah? 252 3pa, only 2650 minutes played. Doing your matg he'd have to be a 99 3pt shot tendency correct? Idk if he's on the game or not, just sorted by most 3PA on basketball reference.

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