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Originally Posted by CM Hooe |
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Daniel Jones was dead last in the NFL in average depth of target in 2022 among quarterbacks who dropped back to pass at least 150 times. That's every starter and several backups more aggressive and able to push the ball down the field than Jones. Among quarterbacks with at least 380 pass drops, PFF credited Jones with fully 7 "big-time throws"; PFF defines a big-time throw as "a pass with excellent ball location and timing, generally thrown further down the field and/or into a tighter window". Only Matt Ryan had fewer among the 25 quarterbacks with that many drop-backs. There is literally no argument for Jones being underrated as a passing quarterback until he actually starts consistently throwing and completing passes to receivers who run vertical routes or are in tight windows.
Elsewhere, Alex Highsmith for his part didn't jump off the page as anything more than a cleanup guy taking advantage of opportunities granted to him by scheme, as I laid out previously. Additionally, PFF ranked Highsmith only 44th in their "pass rush productivity" metric; there's a lot of statistical evidence supporting the idea that Highsmith simply wasn't beating guys the way we see actual premiere edge rushers do.
Finally, three of Justin Tucker's four field goal misses in 2022 were blocked. It's difficult to fault Tucker for missing those kicks which never had a chance to go in.
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I'm not a Giants fan, but this seems a bit unfair. Lets compare 75 rated Jones, with 91 rated Lamar based on last years efforts. Reasonable comp given the lack of receiver support both have and their tendency to run, although Ravens had a significantly better offensive line.
I'll use percentages to compare here as Jones played 16 games, whilst Lamar played 12
Passing
Jones: 67.2% accuracy, at 6.8 YPC. 15 TD / 5 INT, so a 3:1 TD/INT ratio
Lamar: 62.3 accuracy at 6.9 YPC. 17 TD / 7 INT, so a 2.5:1 TD/INT ratio
Rushing
Jones: 708 yards, at 5.9 per carry, 7 TD in 16 games (.42 TD per game)
Lamar: 764 yards, at 6.8 per carry, 3 TD in 12 games (.25 TD per game)
How can there be a 16 point disparity between them? I get Jones doesn't attempt the big time throws, but that just never looked like their gameplan last year. Who's he going deep to? Darius Slayton? David Sills V?