Disclaimer: I had some difficulty in selecting a forum to put this in, but I figured it is more about Madden than actual football so I've placed it here; if that's taboo, I apologize.
Who else does this? I've set up a franchise with the latest roster update (I know, it's not wholly accurate) and I adjust the depth charts based on the inactive lists for each week.
Some preface....
Earlier this year, I used
NHL 09 to make predictions that fell just shy of being wholly accurate for the Cup Finals. I blame that goof on my own interference in the "science" of EA Sports; the game froze and I had to restart it--prior to the reset, the Pens won, but the Wings won the second game, which was the one I went with as the prediction. The game was 6-0 prior to that prediction goof.
The precedent...
Every year since '04, EA has run Super Bowl simulations using the newest edition of
Madden. The results...
- 2004 - Patriots 23, Panthers 20 (Actual Score: Patriots 32, Panthers 29)
- 2005 - Patriots 47, Eagles 31 (Actual score: Patriots 24, Eagles 21)
- 2006 - Steelers 24, Seahawks 19 (Actual score: Steelers 21, Seahawks 10)
- 2007 - Colts 38, Bears 27 (Actual score: Colts 29, Bears 17)
- 2008- Patriots 38, Giants 30 (Actual score: Giants 17, Patriots 14)
- 2009- Steelers 28, Cardinals 24 (Actual score: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madden_...owl_simulation
They say that
Madden NFL 10 is the most authentic football game there ever has been, so I want to see how accurate it is.
Week 1
Prediction results: 10-6
Most accurate prediction: Dallas/Tampa Bay (1 point difference)
Madden: Steelers - 20, Titans - 10
Reality: Steelers - 13, Titans - 10 (OT)
CORRECT!
Madden: Ravens - 23, Chiefs - 9
Reality: Ravens - 38, Chiefs - 24
CORRECT!
Madden: Texans - 27, Jets - 24
Reality: Jets - 24, Texans - 7
INCORRECT!
Madden: Browns - 27, Vikings - 24
Reality: Vikings 34, Browns - 20
INCORRECT!
Madden: Panthers - 24, Eagles - 7
Reality: Eagles - 38, Panthers - 10
INCORRECT!
Madden: Jaguars - 28, Colts - 21
Reality: Colts - 14, Jaguars 12
INCORRECT!
Madden: Broncos - 20, Bengals - 17
Reality: Broncos 12, Bengals 7
CORRECT!
Madden: Cowboys - 34, Buccaneers - 20
Reality: Cowboys - 34, Buccaneers - 21
CORRECT!
Madden: Saints - 17, Lions - 7
Reality: Saints - 45, Lions 27
CORRECT!
Madden: Falcons - 31, Dolphins - 28 (OT)
Reality: Falcons 19, Dolphins - 7
CORRECT!
Madden: Seahawks - 22, Rams - 3
Reality: Seahawks 28, Rams - 0
CORRECT!
Madden: Giants - 20, Redskins - 13
Reality: Giants - 23, Redskins - 17
CORRECT!
Madden: Cardinals - 27, 49ers - 24 (OT)
Reality: 49ers - 20, Cardinals - 16
INCORRECT!
Madden: Bears - 23, Packers - 21
Reality: Packers 21, Bears 15
INCORRECT!
Madden: Patriots - 27, Bills - 3
Reality: Patriots - 25, Bills - 24
CORRECT!
Madden: Chargers - 20, Raiders - 13
Reality: Chargers - 24, Raiders - 20
CORRECT!
Thoughts? Suggestions to improve the accuracy of this great guessing game? The methodology behind the first week's sims was simple and I'm looking for some refinement: 15 minute quarters with a 15 second runoff on very slow with the difficulty (not sure how much of a difference this makes in simulated games) set to All-Madden. I'm looking into using some of the sliders schemes I've seen set up by people to get more realistic stats.