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Old 05-24-2016, 12:26 AM   #31
WaitTilNextYear
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Re: 2016 OSFM HYBRID V1 (official release thread)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Garrett59
I got some questions. Isnt a 97 and 89 a little too high for Thor and Vince Velaquez respectively based off their experience? And how does Urias have 87 stamina when he just threw 6 innings for the 1st time the other day. I also think Faria for the Rays may be a little overrated considering he hasnt succeeded above AA yet. I love these rosters but I would lioe to understand why the young guns are so highly rated already. Like Velasquez better then Hamels and many more just seems odd so early in his career after like 2 months of good pitching. And having Thor higher overall then Arrieta seems unjust to say the least. Please dont construe this as hating im just curious as to why people were rated the way they are.
Everything is based on Steamer projections exactly so we avoid this type of "but I think so and so is better" type of fallacy. We have tested formulas that rely on industry-standard projections (based on actual performance) and numbers come out and we use the output. It works so well that only very rarely do we go in and adjust something.

As for STAM, you have to remember that stamina does not progress in the game. So we've tried to hit the sweet spot of what guys might turn into without overdoing it. Otherwise you have a bunch of 5 inning starting pitchers with 68 STAM in year 7 of your franchise. No thanks.

Also saying that Syndergaard at 97 and Arrieta only at 96 OVR is a big deal is a bit of a stretch, lol. You made it sound like Arrieta was a 65 OVR or something. It's not like Syndergaard isn't one of the most dominant pitchers around either. OVR isn't everything. Try playing with them and then make your judgments.

The refrain: if you don't like something, then change it. The roster plays well and sims well and we're comfortable with the system we have in place. This roster isn't for everyone; many people are quite happy with how Sony does things.

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EDIT: Just for the fun of it, here are some stats for these guys from real life this year...

Hamels (87 OVR): 5-0, 2.83 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 4.48 FIP, 9.73 K/9, 3.30 BB/9, 1.57 HR/9, 0.4 fWAR

Velasquez (89 OVR): 5-1, 2.42 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 2.43 FIP, 10.99 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, 0.56 HR/9, 1.7 fWAR



Arrieta (96 OVR): 8-0, 1.29 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 2.48 FIP, 9.00 K/9, 2.86 BB/9, 0.29 HR/9, 1.9 fWAR

Syndergaard (97 OVR): 5-2, 1.94 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 1.70 FIP, 11.34 K/9, 1.34 BB/9, 0.45 HR/9, 2.5 fWAR



How are the projections doing so far?
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Last edited by WaitTilNextYear; 05-24-2016 at 01:00 AM.
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