WSOP Pool - The Finish Line

[larrymcg421]

Day three of the Main Event will begin on Friday. Here's a list of the picks everyone has left, sorted by the current pool ranking...

Barkeep49 3345.411

Allen Cunningham 285000
Cyndy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000
Ted Forrest 138000

TazFTW 2921.011

Daniel Negreanu 104000

kcchief19 2834.072

Cyndy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000

JonInMiddleGA 2724.789

Annie Duke 156000

Chubby 2627.65

Daniel Negreanu 104000

larrymcg421 2428.696

Annie Duke 156000

dixieflatline 2412.978

Nam Le (Out with 14.957)

Tyrith 2389.448

Daniel Negreanu 104000
Ted Forrest 138000

TroyF 2332.069

Daniel Negreanu 104000

rockboy70 2222.659

Daniel Negreanu 104000
Kathy Liebert 65000
Ted Forrest 138000

hoopsguy 2218.92

Allen Cunningham 285000
Daniel Negreanu 104000

Honolulu Blue 2187.222

Daniel Negreanu 104000
Humberto Brenes 440000
Kathy Liebert 65000

sabotai 2146.257

Allen Cunningham 285000
Cindy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000

Radii 2070.135

Allen Cunningham 285000
Cindy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000
Darrell Dicken (Out with 17.730)

QuikSand 1930.073

Allen Cunningham 285000
Cyndy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000
Ted Forrest 138000

Jas_lov 1858.041

Ted Forrest 138000

Maple Leafs 1822.993

Cindy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000
Ted Forrest 138000

Vegas Vic 1780.314

Daniel Negreanu 104000
Ted Forrest 138000

digamma 1622.774

Cyndy Violette 45000
Daniel Negreanu 104000

Lathum 1367.919

Annie Duke 156000
Daniel Negreanu 104000

Desmond 1333.243

Daniel Negreanu 104000

AnalBumCover 1220.529

David Pham (Out with 26.389)
Nam Le (Out with 14.957)

Subby 883.788

Daniel Negreanu 104000
Darrell Dicken (Out with 17.730)

albionmoonlight 794.009

Cyndy Violette 45000

timmynausea 195.964

No players left.

And here are the people with Main Event winner picks still left...

Chubby - Daniel Negreanu
Desmond - Daniel Negreanu
hoopsguy - Allen Cunningham
Maple Leafs - Daniel Negreanu
Tyrith - Ted Forrest

[TazFTW]

Jesus for the win!

[Honolulu Blue]

Thanks again, Larry, for all your hard work.

This is a lot better than I did in last year's main event, where all my picks wiped out before Day 2's dinner break. If I'm going to actually win this silly thing, I'm going to need lots of help from Layne, Kathy, and Humberto.

[larrymcg421]

I have updated the list. It's getting pretty thin now.

[larrymcg421]

Everything is updated with current chip counts at the end of day three.

Here are the winning scenarios....

Barkeep - Needs to stay ahead. Will be rooting against Annie Duke, Kathy Liebert, and Humberto Brenes. Basically, if none of the below scenarios happen, then Barkeep wins.

JoninMiddleGA - Needs Annie Duke to outscore the combination of Cunningham, Violette, Negreanu, and Forrest by 620.623 pts.

rockboy70 - Needs Kathy Liebert to outscore Allen Cunningham and Cyndy Violette by 1122.752 pts and also needs Ted Forrest to finish no more than 35.437 pts. behind Humberto Brenes.

Honolulu Blue - Needs Humberto Brenes to outscore Ted Forrest by 35.437 pts. and for Brenes and Kathy Liebert to score 1158.189 pts. more than the combination of Allen Cunningham and Cyndy Violette.

And the following people can only win if their ME winner picks come through....

Chubby - Daniel Negreanu
Desmond - Daniel Negreanu
hoopsguy - Allen Cunningham
Maple Leafs - Daniel Negreanu
Tyrith - Ted Forrest

Everyone else is officially eliminated.

[larrymcg421]

We're down to three people left with a chance to win this...

Barkeep will win as long as Cunningham does better than, or stays close to Humberto Brenes. However, Cunningham cannot win.

Honolulu Blue needs Brenes to make it to the final table and finish ahead of Cunningham by almost $1.2 million.

hoopsguy needs Allen Cunningham to win, which doesn't seem so far fetched at this point. We could have a huge upset here. I don't think any of us thought an ME winner pick might come through.

[kcchief19]

Sorry, Barkeep -- Since Allen Cunningham was a thorn in my side the entire WSOP trying to chase you down, I think it would be incredibly ironic if Cunningham wins the whole darn thing and hoopsguy wins. :)

[Barkeep49]

Don't forget at this time last year we were talking about whether Greg Raymer would repeat and what it would mean for Mike Matusow to be the WSOP Champion. I'm happy to see Allen do well, but I still think it's unlikely we'll see him or Humberto win this thing.

But stranger things have happened.

[Honolulu Blue]

I'm rooting for Humberto, obviously, but his chip stack is relatively tiny.

The fat lady may not be singing yet, but she's definitely doing scales.

nh Barkeep.

[kcchief19]

I don't know what makes me want an overdog to win this, other than I'd like to see someone who has paid their dues win the title rather than an Internet monkey. I normally love underdog stories, but for some reason in this case I really hope a pro wins.

I'd love to see Brenes make the final table, but at this point I think he'll be lucky to make it through today. Cunningham took a hit too. At this point, Lisandro's looking like the best bet.

[Barkeep49]

I think it's worth remembering that Raymer and Hachem have been pretty good champs and were hardly "overdogs" entering the final table even. While I admit there are a lot of players who I don't think I'd like to win, there could be a dozen people who I'd be happy to see win, I just don't know it yet.

[hoopsguy]

I'm not necessarily looking for an "overdog" to win it, but I want to see some established player representation at the final table. If that means Rizen/Spirit Rock instead of Cunningham/Brenes, that is just fine with me. I just don't want nine pure Cinderella stories for that last show - I don't know if that is rational or not, but I've defintely found myself rooting for the established players to sustain their runs.

[kcchief19]

I'm not necessarily looking for an "overdog" to win it, but I want to see some established player representation at the final table. If that means Rizen/Spirit Rock instead of Cunningham/Brenes, that is just fine with me. I just don't want nine pure Cinderella stories for that last show - I don't know if that is rational or not, but I've defintely found myself rooting for the established players to sustain their runs.
I suppose it's akin to watching The Masters and seeing Brett Quigley and Matt Gogel 10 shots clear of the field battling on Sunday. Sure, it would be a nice story if one of them wins and they might certainly one day prove to be worthy of winning The Masters, but if I'm going to plump myself down to watch on TV I want to see Tiger and Mickelson go at it. There's a certain interest in seeing both someone highly skilled compete and someone for whom you are familiar with the background and have some "connection" to.

[Subby]

I suppose it's akin to watching The Masters and seeing Brett Quigley and Matt Gogel 10 shots clear of the field battling on Sunday. Sure, it would be a nice story if one of them wins and they might certainly one day prove to be worthy of winning The Masters, but if I'm going to plump myself down to watch on TV I want to see Tiger and Mickelson go at it. There's a certain interest in seeing both someone highly skilled compete and someone for whom you are familiar with the background and have some "connection" to.Word.

[Barkeep49]

I suppose it's akin to watching The Masters and seeing Brett Quigley and Matt Gogel 10 shots clear of the field battling on Sunday. Sure, it would be a nice story if one of them wins and they might certainly one day prove to be worthy of winning The Masters, but if I'm going to plump myself down to watch on TV I want to see Tiger and Mickelson go at it. There's a certain interest in seeing both someone highly skilled compete and someone for whom you are familiar with the background and have some "connection" to.
I think this is a well stated reason for why the PPT and High Stakes Poker shows have been so well recieved despite the glut of poker already on TV.

[larrymcg421]

With Humberto out, it is all down to Allen Cunningham.

[Barkeep49]

Just out curiousity are the bracelet events that are going on not counting because I haven't been following them but I know that Hellmuth was playing in a bunch of them and I can't imagiane that he wouldn't at least have cashed.

And yes this means that I am concerend about Allen's success. However, I am proud to say that even if money were involved in this I still couldn't bring myself to root for that bastard Gold. I would much rather see someone classy like Cunningham win this thing than some complete jerk.

[larrymcg421]

Hellmuth cashed for 5 points in one of them. I'll count whatever points are scored, but I doubt it will change the standings very much. Of course, if Cunningham wins, then it won't matter.

[hoopsguy]

Phil took 3rd in Event #45, which should get him some more points. And, in doing so, secured the POTY award for the Series, according to a 2+2 thread talking about the event.

8 cashes
4 final tables
1 bracelet

[larrymcg421]

Anyone interested in a year long fantasy league?

I thought it might be fun to run a pool that counts all tournaments throughout the year, culminating in next year's ME. I'd probably change it up so players weren't duplicated (by doing a draft, etc.). And I'd count any tourney that shows up in Cardplayer's database. The roster size would depend on how many players we have, so let me know if you're interested.

[larrymcg421]

And Barkeep is officially our winner.

[Barkeep49]

Anyone interested in a year long fantasy league?

I thought it might be fun to run a pool that counts all tournaments throughout the year, culminating in next year's ME. I'd probably change it up so players weren't duplicated (by doing a draft, etc.). And I'd count any tourney that shows up in Cardplayer's database. The roster size would depend on how many players we have, so let me know if you're interested.
I would be interested in doing this.

[Lathum]

I would be very interested

[Lathum]

dola, a draft would be fun

[kcchief19]

I'd be in.

[kingfc22]

I'd be interested

[JonInMiddleGA]

I'd be interested as well, time permitting (I get the feeling there isn't too much time investment for the fantasy players beyond the initial draft, which I could probably handle).

[Lathum]

Maybe larry should start a seperate thread for those interested ( or I can do it, I just don't want to step on toes)

The borgata poker championship starts 9/ 15, maybe we could use that as the first event?

[QuikSand]

The borgata poker championship starts 9/ 15

:drools:

[Lathum]

:drools:
you going?

[Lathum]

dola- I just sent larry a PM about getting things going so keep your eyes peeled.

[Subby]

Yeah - I am in - a separate thread would be a good idea.

[QuikSand]

you going?

Probably will be there to play in at least some of the preliminary events and/or satellites. We're staying and playing at the Borgata the week before as is, but both Mrs Q and I are angling to get into one of the main room events.