View Full Version : Predicting Movies
Pyser
01-31-2005, 08:52 PM
I thought it would be fun...to me...and probably few else....to try and predict what the #1 movie will be in America every week. I'll post what movie I think will make the most money from Friday to Sunday (in the event of 5 day releases, I'll still probably on predict Fri-Sun, but we'll cross that bridge later). I'll also post how much money I think it will make.
Why? I don't know. Just to see how close a non-industry guy is to projecting anything correctly.
Pyser
01-31-2005, 08:56 PM
Opening February 4th:
Boogeyman
The Wedding Date
I expect the Wedding Date to not do well. It looks bad, even by chick-click romantic standards. So it boils down to Boogeyman vs. last week's champ, Hide and Seek.
Hide and Seek made $22-mil last weekend. Not too big...and it doesn't seem like the kind of movie that has staying power, or good word of mouth. So I'll go with the new scary movie this week.
prediction to open #1:
Boogeyman - $19-mil.
Pyser
02-06-2005, 11:50 PM
Weekend Box Office Estimates (U.S.)
Feb 4 - 6 weekend View Last Week's Actuals
This
Wk Last
Wk Title Dist. Weekend
Gross Cumulative
Gross Rlse
Wks # of
Theaters
1 - Boogeyman SONY $19,500,000 $19,500,000 1 3052
that didn't line up right, but it says that Boogeyman was the top movie this weekend, at $19.5mil. i guessed $19mil. pretty damn close. a good start!
Pyser
02-10-2005, 12:50 PM
opening this week:
Hitch
Bride and Prejudice (limited)
Inside Deep Throat (limited)
pretty easy prediction, here. with nothing opening against it, combined with the utter lack of any decent comedies in over a month, hitch will sweep up easily (even though "inside deep throat" is EXCELLENT).
I'll take Hitch as #1, coming in at $33-mil.
Karlifornia
02-11-2005, 04:37 PM
Valentine's day weekend. Romantic comedy. Will Smith. Hmm...40 million for Hitch
Pyser
02-11-2005, 09:48 PM
yeah, im pretty sure i low-balled this one.
if valentines day was fri or sat, it would probably hit 50 mil.
Pyser
02-14-2005, 12:52 AM
Weekend Box Office Estimates (U.S.)
Feb 11 - 13 weekend
ThisWk LastWk Title Dist. Weekend Gross Cumulative Gross Wks # of Theaters
1 - Hitch SONY $45,300,000 $45,300,000 1 3575
ive got to learn how to format this stuff. but that says hitch came in first, making $45.3-mil. I guessed $33. Not too good.
Pyser
02-15-2005, 02:13 PM
Opening February 18, 2005
Because of Winn-Dixie
Constantine
Son of the Mask
This is the first tough one to predict. Constantine gets the early vote from me, but you cant (amazingly) rule out Son of the Mask. Kids movies generally do very well. Add in a very possible strong second week from Hitch, and we've got quite the 3-headed race.
I'm holding off, but my early gut instinct says Constantine at $29-mil.
Pyser
02-17-2005, 10:58 AM
weird. i thought about my prediction this morning, and came here to post it...only to find its exactly what i already put up as my early guess.
Constantine: $29mil.
oykib
02-17-2005, 11:29 AM
Try {code}{/code} tags. Replace the { with [.
Pyser
02-18-2005, 01:09 AM
Try {code}{/code} tags. Replace the { with [.
excellent. thank you!
oykib
02-18-2005, 10:09 AM
Dou Itashimashite.
I'm really glad I stumbled onto this dynasty. It's both different and interesting.
Pyser
02-20-2005, 03:10 PM
Weekend Box Office Estimates (U.S.)
Feb 18 - 20 weekend
ThisWk LastWk Title Dist. Weekend Gross Cumulative Gross Wks # of Theaters
1 1 Hitch Col $31,800,000 $90,115,000 2 3575
2 - Constantine WB $30,525,000 $30,525,000 1 3006
grr. cant get it to line up.
but woah! very bittersweet. i was within 1.5m on constantine on a very tough week to call. however, hitch came in #1 overall, so i was flat our wrong. didnt think it could hold up to the 2 kids movies plus constantine. i am very surprised. damn it.
Pyser
02-22-2005, 12:00 AM
February 25, 2005
Cursed
Look at Me (limited)
Yikes. VERY tough week. Hitch continues to impress. Constantine we can expect to drop. And now Cursed, yet another horror movie. They are really cranking these out, arent they? Wonder how many are gonna come out in October.
My early reaction is to, unbelievably, go with Cursed. These horror puppies are a safe bet to bring in around $20-mil every opening weekend. I expect Constantine to drop to the $10-$15m range...but Hitch, I don't know. Hasn't everyone seen it by now? Then again, what other comedy would you go see if you havent? Does Hitch have enough legs to crack $20m to take number one again? I'll give you my guess later this week...
oykib
02-22-2005, 08:58 AM
If you want to line it up, type up the part that goes in the 'code' tags up in Notepad first. Then, cut-and-paste that into your post. Be careful with 'TAB'. It moves you about five spaces. So if you've got a long title like Constatine, you've got to 'TAB' twice.
Blade6119
02-22-2005, 06:46 PM
what about the comedy with tommy lee jones..isnt that coming our friday?
Pyser
02-25-2005, 12:08 PM
according to yahoo movies, no...perhaps i should find a better site. lets go with imbd.
movies being released today:
* Horem pαdem
* Man of the House
* Cursed
* Diary of a Mad Black Woman
Which still doesnt make this easier for me (not because of 'man of the house', mind you).
I'm sticking with Hitch, at about $18-mil. It's entirely possible that Cursed will edge it out, but I just can't go with a movie they re-shot at least THREE TIMES. If people go to see this one, it's their own fault.
Pyser
02-27-2005, 02:32 PM
Weekend Box Office Estimates (U.S.)
Feb 18 - 20 weekend
ThisWk LastWk Title Dist. Weekend Gross Cumulative Gross Wks # of Theaters
1 - Diary of a Mad Black Woman LGF $22,700,000 $22,700,000 1 1483
2 1 Hitch Columbia Pictures $21,000,000 $122,008,000 3 3571
HOLY CRAP!!
ok, i totally didnt see that coming. at all. didnt think Diary of a Mad Black Woman would come close to topping $10-mil. Wow.
Hitch made $3-mil more than i thought. incredible staying power. And Cursed didnt top $10-mil, which is good. It also means I was incredibly wrong this week. This is turning out to be much tougher than I originally thought.
MikeVic
02-27-2005, 02:56 PM
Just letting you know I'm reading this also.
Pyser
02-28-2005, 11:59 PM
alright, a supporter!
this weeks movies:
* Be Cool
* The Pacifier
* The Jacket
* Dear Frankie
Despite the bad word of mouth, this week should easily belong to Be Cool. My early guy says $32-mil. I can't imagine it being good, but the people love sequels, and the people still love Travolta. Plus, everyone who has ever walked on 2 feet is in this movie, too (which you know is bad).
Karlifornia
03-01-2005, 08:14 PM
Be Cool would be the logical favorite, but be mighty wary of the Pacifier. Vin Diesel, believe it or not, is still a name (especially to women), and kids movies usually have a guaranteed chunk there. Therefore, I will predict the upset and say...
The Pacifier: 25 Mill
JeeberD
03-01-2005, 09:27 PM
If you can consider my girlfriend as a typical woman who likes Vin Diesel, this movie is going to flop.
"What the hell is he doing?!?!?!"
mhass
03-01-2005, 09:49 PM
There are posters for that movie ALL OVER downtown Chicago. Panic anyone?
Pyser
03-02-2005, 04:11 PM
I think the Pacifier will do well. $15-mil or so. Maybe even more. If Be Cool wasn't opening the same weekend, it would probably come in first, overall. Then again, who knows, maybe Diary of a Mad Black Woman will have strong legs.
But my guess is Be Cool, $34-mil. Only because it's a sequel.
ntndeacon
03-02-2005, 10:09 PM
I kinda think Diary of a Mad Black Woman will have legs. This flick is selling out in many theatres.
Pyser
03-06-2005, 05:20 PM
This is starting to get embarassing:
#1 - The Pacifier - $30.2-mil
#2 - Be Cool - $23.5
So I wasn't even close. This is proving to be harder than I thought.
Pyser
03-07-2005, 09:03 PM
opening this week:
* In My Country (Ltd.)
* Robots
* The Passion of the Christ
* Hostage
* The Upside of Anger
* Millions
The gut says Robots bigtime, but the guts been way off lately.
Karlifornia
03-08-2005, 08:42 PM
Yeah..I'm gonna have to agree with Robots, although I think Hostage will actually make some money. Has America always had such horrific taste in movies?
Robots $53 mill
Pyser
03-10-2005, 11:25 AM
I'll go with Robots, $45-mil.
the real question, how well the passion do this time around? id guess its good for at least another 10m.
Pyser
03-18-2005, 09:31 PM
okay, little late this week. overshot with robots, it only made $36 mil.
opening this week:
* Ice Princess
* Melinda and Melinda
* The Ring Two
* Steamboy
Easily Ring 2 here. I'll go big: $44m. That'd be very high for a scary movie, but the sequel thing helps.
Pyser
03-23-2005, 06:15 PM
this is where my lack of movie knowledge hurts me. turns out, the grudge (!!!!) has the highest horror movie opening weekend ever, at only 38m. so picking the ring 2 to make 44m was kind of dumb.
in any event, it made $35m, not bad.
opening this week:
* Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous
* Guess Who
* D.E.B.S.
* Oldboy
should be an easy win for miss con2. will post my predictions later.
Pyser
03-25-2005, 12:35 AM
Totally blind guess (the total, not movie):
I'll go with Miss Congeniality 2 with $26m.
Pyser
03-27-2005, 02:20 PM
GRRR. i suck at this. my thinking on sequels needs to be reworked.
anyway, guess who came in at #1 making $21m. Miss Con made $14.5m. Damn. That's a big win for Ashton, who usually sucks at the box office.
larrymcg421
03-28-2005, 11:38 AM
Guess Who simply had a broader demographic appeal than Miss Congeniality 2.
Pyser
03-31-2005, 11:37 AM
Opening this week:
Sin City
Beauty Shop
OK. The R-rated Sin City is a lock. I have no idea what the highest grossing R rated opening is, but this should challenge it. I'm pretty sure it was one of the Matrix sequels. Non sequels, i have no idea, but I'm going huge on this one.
Sin City: $62m
sachmo71
03-31-2005, 12:38 PM
Sin City - 28 mil.
rjolley
03-31-2005, 02:07 PM
What was Be Cool a sequel of? ( nevermind, found it on imdb. Get Shorty was my guess...)
Interesting dynasty, by the way...
anyway, guess who came in at #1 making $21m
I give up, who?
TazFTW
03-31-2005, 03:58 PM
Opening this week:
Sin City
Beauty Shop
OK. The R-rated Sin City is a lock. I have no idea what the highest grossing R rated opening is, but this should challenge it. I'm pretty sure it was one of the Matrix sequels. Non sequels, i have no idea, but I'm going huge on this one.
Sin City: $62m
Matrix Reloaded made $91 mil in its opening weekend. The Passion of the Christ made $83 mil in it's opening weekend, the highest for an R-rated non-sequel.
Pyser
03-31-2005, 04:09 PM
wow! look at all those posts by people who arent me! rock!
sin city wont touch $83-mil, i dont think.
and sachmo - $28m for sin city? one of us is gonna be WAY off. based on how ive been doing so far, its probably me.
but this movie has the most buzz ive seen in a long time, not counting lotr, harry potter, or comic book superhero movies (superman, x-men, etc).
sachmo71
03-31-2005, 04:20 PM
wow! look at all those posts by people who arent me! rock!
sin city wont touch $83-mil, i dont think.
and sachmo - $28m for sin city? one of us is gonna be WAY off. based on how ive been doing so far, its probably me.
but this movie has the most buzz ive seen in a long time, not counting lotr, harry potter, or comic book superhero movies (superman, x-men, etc).
I agree it has a lot of buzz, but I think people might be put off by the cinematography. For comic book fans, it's excellent. For my wife, it's going to be 2 hours of hell. I think they make that clear in the commercials, and so the masses will stay away. I hope I'm wrong. It's nice to see geekdom in the mainstream. :)
TazFTW
03-31-2005, 04:26 PM
I'll take a guess, I'd say $35 million for Sin City.
It has the R rating, it is going against the Final Four, and Opening Day. I'm also not sure if it'll beat Beauty Shop, with the weekend being sports heavy, a movie that targets women could make some cash.
Karlifornia
03-31-2005, 08:41 PM
Yeah....I'm with Taz on this one...Sin City...uhhh...$39 mill
larrymcg421
04-03-2005, 05:15 PM
Wow. Sachmo was dead on. Good job.
Pyser
04-03-2005, 06:19 PM
i seriously, seriously, seriously suck at this. well done, sachmo.
Pyser
04-06-2005, 09:13 PM
Opening this week:
* Gong fu
* Fever Pitch
* Sahara
the question is, did everyone who really wanted to see Sin City go? As was pointed out in this thread, the ncaa tourny and baseball could have kept people away....as well as a monsoon in the ny area.
my early gut says fever pitch. sahara is another action movie, i think it will lose viewers to sin city...but i dont know yet. i often dont know after the fact, either, though :)
TazFTW
04-06-2005, 11:53 PM
Not that it will matter but Gong Fu aka Kung Fu Hustle is only being released in NY and LA this Friday, it'll open nationwide on the 22nd or 29th.
I think Sahara will be the winner at probably $25 mil.
I don't think Fever Pitch will win because it needs people that think Jimmy Fallon is funny and people that don't hate the Red Sox.
Pyser
04-08-2005, 08:37 PM
the women gotta see something. and the men just saw sahara when it was called 'national treasure'.
fever pitch: 23m.
TazFTW
04-09-2005, 04:33 PM
Not looking good for Fever Pitch. (not looking good for my $25 mil Sahara prediction either)
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)
</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
4/8 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-04-08&p=.htm)
(Estimates)
</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
4/9 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-04-09&p=.htm)
</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
4/10 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-04-10&p=.htm)
</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
4/11 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-04-11&p=.htm)
</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>SAHARA (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=sahara.htm)
3,154
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$6,200,000
-- / $1,966
<NOBR>$6,200,000 / 1</NOBR>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>SIN CITY (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=sincity.htm)
3,230
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,540,000
160.2% / $1,406
<NOBR>$41,148,000 / 8</NOBR>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>FEVER PITCH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=feverpitch.htm)
3,267
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$4,400,000
-- / $1,347
<NOBR>$4,400,000 / 1</NOBR>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
04-09-2005, 04:48 PM
thats cool. whered you find it?
TazFTW
04-09-2005, 04:53 PM
http://www.boxofficemojo.com (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/)
Pyser
04-11-2005, 10:55 PM
another week, another wrong guess. i thought sahara was too much like national treasure, but that turned out to be a good thing. it made $18m to come in first.
opening this week:
The Amityville Horror
a couple others are opening smaller (including the excellent House of D), but it's Amityville all the way. early guess - $24m.
sachmo71
04-12-2005, 10:11 AM
I'll say Amityville with 14 million.
TazFTW
04-13-2005, 09:49 PM
Hmmm, horror films have done well lately, it will open in over 3000 theaters, no competition this week or from last week's offerings, and it has a 75% fresh rating at rottentomatoes (only 8 reviews in).
I'd say it gets $22 million.
Pyser
04-17-2005, 05:47 PM
Well, it was an easy week, but it's nice to finally get one right.
Amityville made $23.3m.
Pyser
04-19-2005, 10:50 AM
opening this week:
# HAPPILY EVER AFTER
# THE INTERPRETER
# KING'S RANSOM
# KUNG FU HUSTLE
# A LOT LIKE LOVE
im not putting it past king's ransom...a dumb comedy could do well this week. the interpreter seems too high-brow for most americans...and a lot like love...hmm...ashton is becoming a bit of a draw. and then there's amityville again.
early gut picks the surprise king's ransom at 16m.
TazFTW
04-20-2005, 01:38 AM
With the theater counts I've seen, King's Ransom would not be #1 as it will be only shown on 1500 screens.
I'd say The Interpreter makes $20 mil, followed by Kung Fu Hustle and A Lot Like Love. I pick Kung Fu Hustle over A Lot Like Love because it has gotten a great per screen avg, 52 good reviews at Rottentomatoes, Ashton Kutcher blows, and if it comes to a screen near me I'll be seeing it on Friday. :)
sachmo71
04-20-2005, 08:31 AM
I'll take Kung Fu Hustle for 17 million, Chuck.
Pyser
04-20-2005, 10:56 AM
With the theater counts I've seen, King's Ransom would not be #1 as it will be only shown on 1500 screens.
are you sure about that? seems wrong to me.
if thats the case, i may go with amityville again....ill have to check up on this.
TazFTW
04-20-2005, 12:12 PM
This is what I got from BoxOfficeMojo,
Friday
22 <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 width=400 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width="50%" bgColor=#808080>NEW IN THEATERS</TD><TD align=middle width="30%" bgColor=#808080>DISTRIBUTOR</TD><TD align=middle width="20%" bgColor=#808080>RELEASE</TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>The Interpreter (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=interpreter.htm)
Thriller </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>Universal (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=universal.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2,758 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff>King's Ransom (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kingsransom.htm)
Comedy </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>New Line (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=newline.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1,508 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>A Lot Like Love (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lotlikelove.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>Buena Vista (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=buenavista.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2,502 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=enron.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Magnolia (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=magnolia.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3 (NYC, Houston) </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>The Game of Their Lives (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=gameoftheirlives.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>IFC (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=ifc.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>64 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Madison (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=madison.htm)
Drama </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>United Artists (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=ua.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>93 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=400 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width="50%" bgColor=#808080>http://www.boxofficemojo.com/images/space.gif
EXPANDING
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/images/space.gif</TD><TD vAlign=bottom colSpan=2><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom bgColor=#808080>http://www.boxofficemojo.com/images/space.gif</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 width=400 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD width="50%" bgColor=#f4f4ff>Kung Fu Hustle (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kungfuhustle.htm) </TD><TD align=middle width="30%" bgColor=#f4f4ff>Sony Classics (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=sonyclassics.htm) </TD><TD align=middle width="20%" bgColor=#f4f4ff>2,500 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
[edit]Added a more up to date theater count
Pyser
04-22-2005, 01:46 PM
ok, assuming that info is right, ill extremely reluctantly go with the interpreter, at 17m.
TazFTW
04-22-2005, 09:55 PM
Kung Fu Hustle got my 6.50 today, although with the amount of people in the theater today, I think A Lot Like Love has a chance to take second.
TazFTW
04-24-2005, 12:28 PM
I should just stick to picking who'll win. I'm more correct that way.
Pyser
04-26-2005, 01:29 PM
I should just stick to picking who'll win. I'm more correct that way.
but thats way too easy (sometimes).
this weekend we see xxx2: state of the union, vs. hitchhikers guide to the galaxy.
now, hitchhikers is one of my favorite books, and as such, i know ill be seeing it (if only to quickly say, "the book was better"), but from everything ive heard, its awful.
clearing the way for a very easy xxx win. early guess: 27m.
TazFTW
04-29-2005, 12:08 AM
If XXX was rated R, I'd probably pick Hitchhikers. However, it is PG-13, will be on 350 more screens, and is 20 minutes shorter than Hitchhiker's (reasoning being a screen should be able to show XXX one more time than it could show Hitchhiker's). Hitchhiker's does have better reviews so far (50% as opposed to XXX's 15% at Rottentomatoes).
I say XXX gets $32 million, Hitchhiker's gets $22 million.
Pyser
04-29-2005, 12:56 AM
stop putting so much thought into this! :)
Pyser
05-01-2005, 01:18 PM
well, i got this one wrong, but was glad to do so.
xxx2 came in THIRD at 14m (interpreter 2nd). and hitchhikers guide came in 1st, at 21m or so.
i loved the book, im glad to see it come in first. guess i should see the movie.
opening next week:
Crash
House of Wax
Kingdom of Heaven
very tough to call. but i do know this. GO SEE CRASH RIGHT AWAY. it will rank as one of the top 5 movies of the year. its truly incredible, and actually has something to say, as well. easily my favorite of the year.
that said, this week hinges on kingdom of heaven. is orlando bloom enough of a star to carry the movie? the guys will want to see it because its essentially Gladiator. the girls...will bloom pull em in? or does everyone want to see paris hilton die in house of wax?
early nod to house of wax, at the standard 20m. not trusting legolas right now.
JeffNights
05-01-2005, 01:50 PM
Kingdom of Heaven has the scale, the subject and the star.
They will take in 36 million.
TazFTW
05-01-2005, 03:17 PM
Well, at least I got the Hitchhiker's total almost dead on. Should have went with the reliable, "If I see it, it'll be #1" theory*. Would have expected Ice Cube to draw more and it had X to the Z Xzibit pimping a ride.
It'll be interesting next week with all 3 of the major releases being rated R.
*Been correct for 3 of the last 4 movies I've seen (Sin City, Sahara, and now Hitchhiker's).
Pyser
05-02-2005, 08:12 PM
edit, nevermind. sorry.
TazFTW
05-05-2005, 04:01 PM
I say Kingdom of Heaven gets $25 million. My main concern is that it clocks in at 2 hours 25 mins, and I am not sure about peoples' attention span.
Pyser
05-06-2005, 10:52 AM
I say Kingdom of Heaven gets $25 million. My main concern is that it clocks in at 2 hours 25 mins, and I am not sure about peoples' attention span.
I'm really hearing bad things. Really bad things.
That said, why is every movie coming out this weekend rated R? WHY THE HELL IS HOUSE OF WAX RATED R?
even so, House of Wax wins. teenagers would rather see paris hilton die than orlando bloom fight the crusades. Plus, it's an hour shorter.
House of Wax- $21m.
(and i expect a solid weekend from Hitchhikers Guide, since everything else is an R. good for them!)
TazFTW
05-07-2005, 01:51 PM
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
5/6 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-06&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
5/7 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-07&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
5/8 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-08&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
5/9 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-09&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>KINGDOM OF HEAVEN (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kingdomofheaven.htm)
3,216</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$7,150,000
-- / $2,223
<NOBR>$7,150,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>HOUSE OF WAX (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=houseofwax.htm)
3,111</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,780,000
-- / $1,536
<NOBR>$4,780,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE HITCHHIKER'S GUIDE TO THE GALAXY (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=hitchhikersguide.htm)
3,133</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$2,860,000
168.1% / $913
<NOBR>$28,849,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>CRASH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=crash05.htm)
1,864</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$2,800,000
-- / $1,502
<NOBR>$2,800,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE INTERPRETER (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=interpreter.htm)
2,814</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$2,245,000
175.3% / $798
<NOBR>$48,826,000 / 15</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
CHEMICAL SOLDIER
05-07-2005, 11:18 PM
Anyone seen Kingdom of Heaven yet? your thoughts?
TazFTW
05-08-2005, 02:02 AM
I've seen it and it's not bad. The story is a bit iffy as is Orlando Bloom in the lead.
Will probably check it out again on DVD if what I've heard is true and Ridley Scott cut out an hour (which will be put back in for a director's cut DVD).
Pyser
05-10-2005, 11:39 PM
jeez, i am TERRIBLE at this. kingdom of heaven won the week, at just under $20m. interestingly, the box office has been down for 11 straight weeks, when compared to last year. but i think thats cuz the movies have been bad (though some are blaming dvds and such, which i dont buy).
ok, last pre-star wars week. what opens?
Kicking & Screaming
Mindhunters
Monster-in-Law
Unleashed
kicking & screaming is my pick here. $25m, as kids and teens see this thanks to mr. ferrell. and i feel like 25 might be a bit low. i think this movie will surprise.
Karlifornia
05-12-2005, 05:25 PM
Wow this is a tough week. A lot of possible number 1's, with no runaway. Monster-In-Law has been been mondo hype. Jet Li movies always have a following, so Unleashed could take it. Will Ferrell has, somehow, become box-office silver (not quite gold) in recent years. I guess if I had to guess, I'd say Monster In Law-29 mil
TazFTW
05-12-2005, 11:23 PM
Looking at the screen counts
Friday
13 <TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 width=400 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width="50%" bgColor=#808080>NEW IN THEATERS</TD><TD align=middle width="30%" bgColor=#808080>DISTRIBUTOR</TD><TD align=middle width="20%" bgColor=#808080>RELEASE</TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Kicking and Screaming (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kickingandscreaming.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>Universal (http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=universal.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,457 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Mindhunters (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=mindhunters.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Dimension (http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=dimension.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1,040 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Monster-in-Law (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=monsterinlaw.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>New Line (http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=newline.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,424 </TD></TR><TR><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Unleashed (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=unleashed.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>Focus (http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=distributor&id=focus.htm) </TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1,955</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
I'm gonna have to eliminate Mindhunters and Unleashed from consideration. With the anti-J.Lo mentality and the fact that her last several films have bombed, I suspect Monster-in-Law will tank. Giving Kicking and Screaming the win with let's say $22 million. I would have gone higher but the box office just seems to be in a snide the past couple months.
TazFTW
05-14-2005, 02:31 PM
Well damn
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
5/13 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-13&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
5/14 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-14&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
5/15 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-15&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
5/16 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-16&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>MONSTER-IN-LAW (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=monsterinlaw.htm)
3,424</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$7,900,000
-- / $2,307
<NOBR>$7,900,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>KICKING AND SCREAMING (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kickingandscreaming.htm)
3,455</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$6,150,000
-- / $1,780
<NOBR>$6,150,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>UNLEASHED (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=unleashed.htm)
1,955</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$3,700,000
-- / $1,893
<NOBR>$3,700,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>KINGDOM OF HEAVEN (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kingdomofheaven.htm)
3,219</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$2,740,000
112.3% / $851
<NOBR>$28,212,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>HOUSE OF WAX (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=houseofwax.htm)
3,111</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$2,150,000
185.8% / $691
<NOBR>$17,533,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
05-14-2005, 05:15 PM
there is just no accounting for taste in this country.
kingfc22
05-14-2005, 11:12 PM
WOW!!! That is surprising. Who watched that crap that is J-Lo's acting skills.
Buccaneer
05-15-2005, 01:01 PM
It looks like KoH fell hard
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>TW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>LW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title (click to view)</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Studio</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Weekend Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>% Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc colSpan=2>Theater Count / Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Average</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Total Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Cost*</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Week #</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Monster-in-Law (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=monsterinlaw.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>NL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$24,025,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,424</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>+2,508</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$7,016</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$24,025,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>$43 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>2</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Kicking and Screaming (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kickingandscreaming.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Uni.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$20,851,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,455</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$6,035</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$20,851,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>$45 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Unleashed (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=unleashed.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Focus</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$10,587,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>1,957</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$5,409</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$10,587,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>$45 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Kingdom of Heaven (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kingdomofheaven.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$9,625,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-51.0%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,219</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+3</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$2,990</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$35,097,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$130 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>4</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Crash (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=crash05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Lions</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$7,200,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-20.9%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>1,876</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+12</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$3,837</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$19,793,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>6</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>House of Wax (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=houseofwax.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>WB</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$6,270,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-48.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,111</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$2,015</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$21,653,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$40 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=hitchhikersguide.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>BV</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$4,788,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-51.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>2,770</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-363</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,728</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$43,255,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$50 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>8</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>5</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>The Interpreter (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=interpreter.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Uni.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,384,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-44.0%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>2,602</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-212</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,684</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$60,954,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$80 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>9</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>6</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>XXX: State of the Union (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=xxx2.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>SonR</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$2,200,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-60.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>2,387</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-1,093</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$921</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$24,406,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>10</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Mindhunters (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=mindhunters.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Dim.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$2,003,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>1,040</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$1,925</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$2,003,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>11</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Sahara (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=sahara.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Par.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,900,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-44.6%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>1,565</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-951</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,214</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$64,457,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$130 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>6</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>12</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>8</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>The Amityville Horror (2005) (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=amityvillehorror05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>MGM</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,600,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-52.2%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>1,434</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-1,044</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,115</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$63,060,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$19 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>5</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>13</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>9</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>A Lot Like Love (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lotlikelove.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>BV</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,068,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-66.2%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>1,522</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-631</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$701</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$20,839,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$30 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>14</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>10</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Fever Pitch (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=feverpitch.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$800,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-64.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>975</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-566</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$820</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$40,525,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$30 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>6</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>11</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Kung Fu Hustle (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kungfuhustle.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>SPC</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$505,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-57.8%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>347</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-557</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,455</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$15,785,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$20 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>6</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>19</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=enron.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Magn.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$400,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-1.2%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>112</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+14</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$3,571</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,636,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>14</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Sin City (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=sincity.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Dim.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$341,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-60.4%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>343</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-659</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$994</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$72,946,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$40 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>17</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Millions (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=millions.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>FoxS</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$265,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-43.7%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>223</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-73</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,188</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$5,617,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>10</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>22</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Million Dollar Baby (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=milliondollarbaby.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>WB</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$182,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-30.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>345</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-45</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$527</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$100,150,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$30 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>22</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>28</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Look at Me (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lookatme.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>SPC</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$126,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-4.9%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>69</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+11</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,826</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,144,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>7</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>21</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Upside of Anger (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=upsideofanger.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>NL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$100,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-66.4%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>212</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-324</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$471</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$18,402,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$12 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>10</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Layer Cake (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=layercake.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>SPC</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$82,600</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>10</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$8,260</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$82,600</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>37</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Dear Frankie (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=dearfrankie.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Mira.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$45,400</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-31.8%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>62</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-11</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$732</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,193,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>11</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>25</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>King's Ransom (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kingsransom.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>NL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$40,200</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-75.9%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>86</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-251</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$467</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$3,946,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>56</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Holy Girl (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=holygirl.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>FL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$34,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+61.4%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>10</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+8</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$3,400</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$106,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>42</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>The Aviator (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=aviator.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Mira.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$32,500</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-24.5%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>95</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-43</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$342</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$102,566,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$110 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>22</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>45</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Hostage (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=hostage.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Mira.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$24,200</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-33.9%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>80</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-12</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$302</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$34,418,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>10</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>54</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>3-Iron (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=3iron.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>SPC</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$20,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-18.3%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>17</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-2</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,176</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$86,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>64</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Sea Inside (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=seainside.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>FL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$14,500</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+0.9%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>19</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-3</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$763</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$2,089,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>22</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>72</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Brothers (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=brothers05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>IFC</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$10,900</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+33.6%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+1</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$3,633</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$24,100</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>108</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Up for Grabs (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=upforgrabs.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>L/Z</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$5,057</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+168.8%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>4</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+2</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$1,264</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$7,557</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
JeeberD
05-15-2005, 01:21 PM
My girlfriend and I did our part for The Interpreter this weekend. Very enjoyable movie, IMHO...
Pyser
05-15-2005, 02:25 PM
i guess the massive media blitz worked for monster in law. just a terrible, terrible movie, overall though.
it speaks volumes that the best movie in this list (by MILES), is in 5th place...though it is still in limited release. but i cant recommend Crash enough.
but damn. i guess its weekeneds like this that keep j.lo employed.
Pyser
05-15-2005, 02:29 PM
and now, the week we've all been waiting for!!!
the (excellent) revenge of the sith opens at 12:01 a.m. on thursday, where hundreds, if not thousands of screenings are already sold out. so for this week, let's do multiple predictions.
1) Opening day total (thursday)
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday)
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years).
I think Monster in Law will hold off the Revenge of the Sith. I just don't see it doing that well.
:D
Pyser
05-16-2005, 04:06 PM
having done no research whatsoever, ill take the first stab:
1) Opening day total (thursday) - $31m
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $93m
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction - $124m
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years). - $420m
TazFTW
05-18-2005, 03:45 AM
Opening Day: $37 million
Opening Weekend: $97 million
Thursday-Sunday: $134 million
Domestic Total Gross: $434 million
kcchief19
05-18-2005, 12:36 PM
1) Opening day total (thursday): $36 million
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday): $103 million
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction: $139 million
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith: $385 million
I'm starting to think the good word of mouth and newly invigorated anticipation will ratchet it up a bit, but I think ROTS may suffer what TPM and AOTC suffered, which is a lot of people deciding to wait a week to avoid the crowds. I'm starting to think the only way to get Spider-Man type openings any more is to have an event movie that not everyone thinks is THE movie to see opening weekend.
kingfc22
05-18-2005, 02:02 PM
1) Opening day total (thursday) - $42M
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $105M
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day prediction - $147M
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years). - $419M
Buccaneer
05-18-2005, 10:38 PM
I am guessing that it won't do as well as hoped because they will lose the revenues of the < 10 yr olds?
I say that solely in comparing to other $100+m openings - Harry Potter and Spiderman, where they appealed to all age groups (necessary to get to the $100m opening?).
TazFTW
05-19-2005, 04:17 PM
$17 million for the midnight showings.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/thr/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1000928850
Pyser
05-20-2005, 02:18 PM
50 million in 1 day.
50. FIFTY.
fifty.
50,000,000.
just.....damn.
TazFTW
05-20-2005, 03:06 PM
sooooo
Is it too late to edit my weekend total? :)
kcchief19
05-20-2005, 08:29 PM
I'm stunned. Discounting the midnight shows, that's still a $36 million open -- on a Thursday before school is out in most places. Amazing.
I don't know which way this will go. Friday will be down, but by how much? You could slide the $16 million from the midnight screenings off the top and go with $34 on Friday, then you'd think Saturday would be up a bit, maybe closer to $40, then down on Sunday again. If I made my guesses knowing the Thursday number, I'd probably bump my weekend guess up to $110 million.
It will be interesting to see what happens Saturday. If it can hit close to $45 million Saturday, I think Spiderman will go down.
Pyser
05-20-2005, 08:49 PM
well, the most amazing thing about spidermans opening was it was a regular friday release. i dont know if there were even midnight screenings. so the 114m or whatever it was over 3 days was just mind boggling.
but i think 50m on a thursday is even more impressive.
TazFTW
05-21-2005, 01:48 PM
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=starwars3.htm)
3,661</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$35,500,000
-29% / $9,697
<NOBR>$85,514,000 / 2</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>MONSTER-IN-LAW (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=monsterinlaw.htm)
3,424</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,475,000
194% / $1,307
<NOBR>$34,299,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>KICKING AND SCREAMING (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kickingandscreaming.htm)
3,469</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$3,335,000
382.7% / $961
<NOBR>$26,810,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>CRASH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=crash05.htm)
1,905</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$1,565,000
188.9% / $822
<NOBR>$23,668,000 / 15</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>UNLEASHED (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=unleashed.htm)
1,962</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$1,135,000
143.6% / $578
<NOBR>$14,862,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
05-22-2005, 08:27 PM
Final numbers for first week:
1) Opening day total (thursday) - $50m
2) Regular weekend haul (friday-sunday) - $108.5m
3) Add up 1 and 2 for your 4 day total - $158.5
4) Predict the final box office figures for the release of Revenge of the Sith (not counting the 3-D version coming in a few years) - n/a
all in all, EVERYONE who tried their hand at predicting this film undersold it. pretty amazing.
so on we go. the new contenders to try and unseat star wars:
The Longest Yard
Madagascar
All 3 realistically have a shot at #1. I think Star Wars will have excellent repeat business ($30m or so), which to me is enough to edge out the 2 newcomers...i think.
TazFTW
05-23-2005, 10:14 PM
Interesting. It made more on Saturday and Sunday than Friday (Friday is usually the biggest day of the weekend take).
<TABLE style="BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" borderColor=#111111 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Tuesday</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Wednesday</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Thursday</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top>15 </TD><TD vAlign=top>16 </TD><TD vAlign=top>17 </TD><TD vAlign=top>18 Rank
<CENTER>Wknd Rank
Daily Gross
Wknd Gross
Change Y/L*
Wknd Chng Thtrs/%
Theaters / Average
Wknd Thtr Avg
Gross-to-date</CENTER> </TD><TD vAlign=top>19 1
<CENTER>
$50,013,859
- / -
3,661 / $13,661
$50,013,859 / 1</CENTER></TD><TD vAlign=top>20 1
<CENTER>
$33,529,613
-33% / -
3,661 / $9,159
$83,543,472 / 2</CENTER></TD><TD vAlign=top>21 1
<CENTER>
$40,693,760
21.4% / -
3,661 / $11,115
$124,237,232 / 3</CENTER></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top>22 1
<CENTER> 1
$34,212,468
$108,435,841
-15.9% / -
/
3,661 / $9,345
$29,619
$158,449,700 / 4</CENTER></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
05-23-2005, 10:53 PM
Interesting. It made more on Saturday and Sunday than Friday (Friday is usually the biggest day of the weekend take).
wouldnt that be because friday is usually "opening day"? thursday kind of took its thunder away...making friday more like a saturday...only people had to work, on top of that.
sterlingice
05-23-2005, 11:12 PM
Never saw this thread before. Gotta post in it so I can keep up with it via email update :)
SI
TazFTW
05-26-2005, 03:33 AM
Hmm, Star Wars beat everyone's expectations but does that mean that the people that said they would wait a few weeks change their minds?
Madagascar and The Longest Yard are so far getting mediocre reviews.
I say Star Wars takes #1 again with a 4 day total of $34 million. Madagascar takes 2nd with $27 million and The Longest Yard in 3rd with $22 million.
Pyser
05-27-2005, 09:49 AM
i think this is the one of the toughest weeks to predict yet. i also forgot its a 4-day weekend.
ill go star wars at 42m
longest yard 29m
madagascar 26m
big box office weekend.
Pyser
05-28-2005, 04:07 PM
and theyre off!
FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. The Longest Yard $15,750,000
2. Revenge of the Sith $15,470,000
3. Madagascar $14,030,000
TazFTW
05-29-2005, 03:54 PM
Sith back on top for Saturday.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
5/27 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-27&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
5/28 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-28&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
5/29 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-29&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
5/30 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-05-30&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=starwars3.htm)
3,663</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$15,470,000
70.4% / $4,223
<NOBR>$215,913,000 / 9</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$20,820,000
34.6% / $5,684
<NOBR>$236,733,000 / 10</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>MADAGASCAR (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=madagascar.htm)
4,131</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$14,030,000
-- / $3,396
<NOBR>$14,030,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$18,170,000
29.5% / $4,398
<NOBR>$32,200,000 / 2</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE LONGEST YARD (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=longestyard05.htm)
3,634</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$16,500,000
-- / $4,540
<NOBR>$16,500,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$17,300,000
4.8% / $4,761
<NOBR>$33,800,000 / 2</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$16,300,000
-5.8% / $4,485
<NOBR>$50,100,000 / 3</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Not sure how they can estimate Sunday's take for The Longest Yard while not doing it for ROTS or Madagascar.
sterlingice
05-29-2005, 07:13 PM
Not sure how they can estimate Sunday's take for The Longest Yard while not doing it for ROTS or Madagascar.
Who's doing the estimation? If it's studios- different ones could have different methods.
SI
Pyser
05-31-2005, 11:06 AM
um...lets just say we were predicting 3 days instead of four :)
WEEKEND EARNINGS
1. Revenge of the Sith $70,750,000
2. Madagascar $61,000,000
3. The Longest Yard $60,000,000
TazFTW
06-02-2005, 03:49 PM
I think Star Wars ($32 mil) will take the weekend again, followed by Madagascar at $25 mil, then Cinderella Man debuting with $23 million.
Pyser
06-02-2005, 11:03 PM
it's tough to go against star wars, but i think Cinderella Man will do nicely. I'll give it $26m. Star Wars $22m.
Lords of Dogtown is opening, too, but id expect a fourth place finish at best, and possibly fifth.
speaking of which - $60m for a third place movie last week? thats GOT to be a record.
TazFTW
06-04-2005, 04:34 PM
Uh oh.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
6/3 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-03&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
6/4 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-04&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
6/5 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-05&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
6/6 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-06&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE LONGEST YARD (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=longestyard05.htm)
3,634</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$8,940,000
159.2% / $2,460
<NOBR>$78,644,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>MADAGASCAR (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=madagascar.htm)
4,142</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$8,290,000
127.5% / $2,001
<NOBR>$80,558,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=starwars3.htm)
3,650</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$7,310,000
87.3% / $2,003
<NOBR>$290,115,000 / 16</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>CINDERELLA MAN (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=cinderellaman.htm)
2,812</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$6,000,000
-- / $2,134
<NOBR>$6,000,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
06-05-2005, 12:04 PM
well, how bout that.
1. Madagascar $28,700,000
2. The Longest Yard $26,100,000
3. Revenge of the Sith $26,000,000
4. Cinderella Man $18,615,000
5. The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants $10,245,000
sterlingice
06-05-2005, 12:49 PM
Just makes last week seem all that much more impressive. Psyer's got something on last week- that has to be the highest 3rd place total ever. Probably by a good $20-30M.
SI
Pyser
06-08-2005, 11:44 AM
ok, mr. and mrs. smith opens this week. along with adventures of shark boy and lava girl, and the honeymooners.
if mr. and mrs. smith can hit 22m, its theirs. otherwise, ill go with madagascar again, at 21m.
which is a cop out. we are supposed to predict, right? i guess mr. and mrs. smith, though the romance overshadows the film, and i think its an R, which certainly means I'm wrong.
Pyser
06-08-2005, 11:45 AM
dola, mr. and mrs. smith is pg-13, and my pick at 22m.
TazFTW
06-10-2005, 12:04 AM
Mr. and Mrs. Smith wins with $26 million. Madagascar in 2nd with $20 million.
TazFTW
06-11-2005, 01:40 PM
Holy hell
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
6/10 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-10&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
6/11 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-11&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
6/12 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-12&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
6/13 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-13&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>MR. AND MRS. SMITH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=mrandmrssmith.htm)
3,424</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$18,300,000
-- / $5,345
<NOBR>$18,300,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>MADAGASCAR (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=madagascar.htm)
3,929</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,725,000
65.4% / $1,203
<NOBR>$115,959,000 / 15</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE LONGEST YARD (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=longestyard05.htm)
3,654</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$4,215,000
101.7% / $1,154
<NOBR>$108,821,000 / 15</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=starwars3.htm)
3,322</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$3,860,000
68.8% / $1,162
<NOBR>$321,118,000 / 23</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE ADVENTURES OF SHARK BOY AND LAVA GIRL (3D) (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=sharkboyandlavagirl.htm)
2,655</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$3,850,000
-- / $1,450
<NOBR>$3,850,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
TazFTW
06-12-2005, 12:13 PM
Came close on Madagascars total.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>TW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>LW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title (click to view)</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Studio</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Weekend Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>% Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc colSpan=2>Theater Count / Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Average</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Total Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Cost*</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Week #</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Mr. and Mrs. Smith (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=mrandmrssmith.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$51,050,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,424</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$14,909</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$51,050,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>$110 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Madagascar (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=madagascar.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>DW</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$17,100,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-39.2%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,929</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-213</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,352</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$128,334,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=starwars3.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$14,850,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-40.8%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,322</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-328</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$4,470</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$332,108,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$113 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>The Longest Yard (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=longestyard05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Par.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$13,500,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-48.2%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,654</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+20</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$3,694</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$118,106,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$82 / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>5</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl (3D) (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=sharkboyandlavagirl.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Dim.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$12,505,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,655</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$4,709</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$12,505,000</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>- / -</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
06-12-2005, 12:30 PM
wow. theres no such thing as bad press....unless you are ben affleck.
kingfc22
06-12-2005, 07:30 PM
What happened to Cinderella Man? I guess people don't like GOOD movies.
Pyser
06-12-2005, 08:42 PM
i think cinderella man is suffering from 2 things:
long running time (less screenings per day)
and a bad release date. it doesnt scream "fun summer movie", a la batman, star wars, mr. and mrs. smith, or even longest yard. it wouldve been a better sept/oct movie.
for that matter, i absolutely cannot believe Crash was released when it was. thats got oscar written all over it.
i think people are scared of the spielberg '72 olympics movie coming at christmastime, plus the monster that is Harry Potter.
Pyser
06-13-2005, 12:23 AM
Okay. Batman Begins time. 5 day weekend.
1 - Wed total
2 - 3 Day total (fri-sun)
3 - 5 day total
Pyser
06-14-2005, 04:23 PM
1 - Wed total: $12m
2 - 3 Day total (fri-sun) $63m
3 - 5 day total: $81m
TazFTW
06-15-2005, 01:38 PM
Internet went down for over 12 hours.
1. $10 million
2. $49 million
3. $63 million
Pyser
06-16-2005, 06:42 PM
15m for batman on wed. we werent terribly off, for once! :)
ThunderingHERD
06-17-2005, 02:04 AM
What happened to Cinderella Man? I guess people don't like GOOD movies.
I think Cinderella Man is suffering because it's gotten tagged as a "boxing movie." I say this because I witnessed a commercial earlier tonight featuring a shot of Ron Howard explaining how "this isn't a movie about a boxer" that was obviously aimed at the ladies.
Pyser
06-19-2005, 06:19 PM
batman
15m wed
46.9m fri-mon
71.1 - 5 day total
Pyser
06-22-2005, 07:37 PM
i dont know why, but Herbie: Fully Loaded actually came out today. We'll ignore today's total, and only do a 3 day weekend.
opening:
Herbie: Fully Loaded
Land of the Dead
Bewitched
based on word of mouth alone, i'm re-upping batman. $27m.
TazFTW
06-23-2005, 12:52 AM
Batman wins the weekend with $25 million, Bewitched in 2nd with $21 million, Herbie in third with $16 mil, and Land of the Dead with $13 mil.
TazFTW
06-25-2005, 02:37 PM
Herbie stinks. My Batman, Bewitched, and Land of the Dead predictions are looking strong. I guess I underestimated Mr. and Mrs. Smith.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
6/24 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-24&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
6/25 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-25&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
6/26 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-26&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
6/27 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-06-27&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>BATMAN BEGINS (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=batmanbegins.htm)
3,858</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$8,250,000
84.3% / $2,138
<NOBR>$103,172,000 / 10</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>BEWITCHED (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=bewitched.htm)
3,174</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$7,770,000
-- / $2,448
<NOBR>$7,770,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>MR. AND MRS. SMITH (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=mrandmrssmith.htm)
3,265</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$5,150,000
92.3% / $1,577
<NOBR>$113,838,000 / 15</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>GEORGE A. ROMERO'S LAND OF THE DEAD (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=landofthedead.htm)
2,249</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,275,000
-- / $1,901
<NOBR>$4,275,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>HERBIE: FULLY LOADED (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=herbie05.htm)
3,521</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$4,200,000
80% / $1,193
<NOBR>$9,236,000 / 3</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
TazFTW
06-26-2005, 02:50 PM
Didn't do too bad on my predictions.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>TW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>LW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title (click to view)</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Studio</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Weekend Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>% Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc colSpan=2>Theater Count / Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Average</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Total Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Budget*</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Week #</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Batman Begins (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=batmanbegins.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>WB</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$26,770,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-45.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,858</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$6,938</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$121,697,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$150</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>2</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Bewitched (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=bewitched.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Sony</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$20,200,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,174</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$6,364</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$20,200,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$85</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Mr. and Mrs. Smith (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=mrandmrssmith.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$16,750,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-35.7%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,265</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-186</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$5,130</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$125,438,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$110</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>4</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Herbie: Fully Loaded (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=herbie05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>BV</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$12,750,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,521</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>+2,665</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$3,621</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$17,787,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$50</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>5</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>George A. Romero's Land of the Dead (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=landofthedead.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Uni.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$10,233,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,249</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$4,550</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$10,233,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$15</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
06-27-2005, 12:43 PM
good week predicting-wise last week.
now lets see how the tom cruise sideshow effects war of the worlds
1 - wed total
2 - fri-mon total
3 - 5 day total
4 - final us gross
TazFTW
06-28-2005, 03:13 PM
1. $16 mil
2. $79 mil
3. $90 mil
4. $315 mil
Pyser
06-28-2005, 11:24 PM
1- 18m
2- 92m
3- 118m
4- 345m
Pyser
06-30-2005, 04:13 PM
day 1: 21.2m
Pyser
07-03-2005, 03:07 PM
3 day total - 66m
5 day total - 101.6m
not too great, really. wouldnt be surprised if fantastic 4 tops it this weekend, which i never wouldve guessed 5 days ago.
QuikSand
07-04-2005, 02:24 PM
I took down a nice hit betting the under on WOW. wsex set the line for the weekend at 107... I didn't even think it would be that close.
I'm starting to think that betting on movie grosses might be a profitable side venture.
Pyser
07-04-2005, 03:37 PM
I took down a nice hit betting the under on WOW. wsex set the line for the weekend at 107... I didn't even think it would be that close.
I'm starting to think that betting on movie grosses might be a profitable side venture.
they set the 3 day total at 107? yeah, id say bet the under on that, since only spiderman has topped 107m in 3 days, i think. no 5 day opening will be extremely high when you just count fri-sun, id think, since the initial opening rush doesnt count.
if it was 107 for the 5 days, i probably wouldnt have taken the under. and technically, i guess this was a 6 day opening, since the 4th is a holiday.
Pyser
07-07-2005, 04:14 PM
tough week to call here. war of then worlds has a very split reaction, and does not come off as the type of repeat-business movie that say, star wars, or even batman, benefitted from.
however, fantastic 4 is god awful....the question is, do people listen to the reviews?
if it was based on quality, id go with war of the worlds. but i keep getting burned in this thread, so, even though all of me is screaming not to, ill go with the fantastic 4 at 31m.
TazFTW
07-07-2005, 04:16 PM
I think War of the Worlds holds on to #1 with I guess $36 million. I don't think Fantastic Four would surpass it because a) it is getting bad reviews and b) the Fantastic Four aren't really that high on the comic totem pole. I'd say Fantastic Four comes in 2nd with $32 million and Dark Water in 3rd with $23 million.
Pyser
07-09-2005, 05:30 PM
its already over:
FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. Fantastic Four $20,000,000
2. War of the Worlds $9,100,000
3. Dark Water $4,000,000
Buccaneer
07-09-2005, 07:45 PM
I had never seen movie that had been spun this week as much as Paramount has done with WotW. They even paid someone (Brandon Gray?) at boxofficemojo to say how great the opening was. It would be interesting/sickening to see how they spin it this week. Hopefully this would shut Cruise up?
Pyser
07-10-2005, 11:02 PM
great, now we all have to suffer from a sequel, id imagine:
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Fantastic Four $56,000,000
2. War of the Worlds $31,300,000
Karlifornia
07-11-2005, 01:56 PM
This upcoming weekend should be interesting, with Wedding Crashers (and it's innumerable TV commercial tie-ins) and the ever-controversial Willy Wonka. I say Wonka takes it. I'll give my numbers later in the week.
Pyser
07-11-2005, 04:48 PM
if theres one thing ive learned, its never bet against a kids movie. even if im not entirely sure that CatCF is a kids movie...
charlie should make about 34m. wedding crashers, 23m, my guess.
Karlifornia
07-14-2005, 04:25 PM
Charlie-45 mil
Wedding Crashers-24 mil
TazFTW
07-14-2005, 04:40 PM
Fantastic Four keeps the lead with $33 million. Charlie takes in $29 million and Wedding Crashers at $24 million.
Pyser
07-14-2005, 11:12 PM
Fantastic Four keeps the lead with $33 million. Charlie takes in $29 million and Wedding Crashers at $24 million.
that would blow my mind, and cause me to lose so much faith that i may delete the thread. thats how much i hated FF.
TazFTW
07-14-2005, 11:36 PM
Well I have more faith that it will not drop 60%.
Pyser
07-17-2005, 01:43 AM
well, there is some justice in the world. but once again, i badly undersold the top movie so far:
1 CHARLIE AND THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY 3,770 $20,500,000
2 WEDDING CRASHERS 2,925 $10,500,000
3 FANTASTIC FOUR 3,619 $6,550,000
Pyser
07-18-2005, 12:33 AM
final numbers (and i am nothing but happy for Charlie):
1. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $55,380,000
2. Wedding Crashers $32,225,000
3. Fantastic Four $22,725,000
TazFTW
07-21-2005, 02:18 PM
I would have said The Island wins this weekend because Bay movies bring in a good box office but the screen count is under 3000 and that's too few for my tastes.
I think Charlie will continue with $30 million, Bad News Bears with $28 million followed by The Island with $25 and the Wedding Crashes at $20-ish.
It goes against my which movie will I see this weekend theory but that is because I want to see The Island as well as Hustle and Flow which has gotten some pretty good reviews.
Pyser
07-22-2005, 01:27 AM
im going with the island all the way. summer action movies have all done well this year, and its been a few weeks since one opened.
island: 36m
chocolate: 24m
bears: 21m
JeffNights
07-22-2005, 06:21 PM
Shit, i think Hustle and Flow surprises and takes the top spot with 29Mil.
TazFTW
07-23-2005, 11:21 PM
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
7/22 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-07-22&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
7/23 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-07-23&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
7/24 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-07-24&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
7/25 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-07-25&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>CHARLIE AND THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=charliechocolate.htm)
3,790</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$8,700,000
35.1% / $2,296
<NOBR>$94,506,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>WEDDING CRASHERS (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=weddingcrashers.htm)
2,925</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$7,600,000
63.1% / $2,598
<NOBR>$62,301,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>THE ISLAND (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=island05.htm)
3,122</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$4,270,000
-- / $1,368
<NOBR>$4,270,000 / -6</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>BAD NEWS BEARS (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=badnewsbears05.htm)
3,183</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,130,000
-- / $1,298
<NOBR>$4,130,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
TazFTW
07-24-2005, 03:53 PM
Ouch, even Fantastic Four beat the two big newcomers.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>TW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>LW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title (click to view)</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Studio</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Weekend Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>% Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc colSpan=2>Theater Count / Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Average</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Total Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Budget*</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Week #</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=charliechocolate.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>WB</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$28,300,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-49.6%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,790</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>+20</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$7,467</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$114,106,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$150</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Wedding Crashers (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=weddingcrashers.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>NL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$26,200,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-22.7%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>2,925</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$8,957</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$80,901,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$40</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Fantastic Four (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fantasticfour.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$12,275,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-46.1%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,449</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-170</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$3,559</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$122,560,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$100</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>4</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>The Island (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=island05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>DW</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$12,100,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,122</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$3,875</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$12,100,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$122</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>5</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Bad News Bears (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=badnewsbears05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Par.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$11,500,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,183</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$3,612</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$11,500,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$35</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
07-28-2005, 10:56 AM
of all the weeks predicting so far, i am most surprised at the islands numbers. i guess bay needs bruckheimer more than he thought.
this weekend, sky high (which ive never heard of, but is getting over 2700 screens), stealth, and must love dogs opens. id stay away from stealth because it seems too similar to the island to me, except jaime foxx and biehl help it a lot. must love dogs opens, too, and we havent seen a romantic comedy come along in a while.
predictions in a few days, as i need to noodle this one.
TazFTW
07-29-2005, 06:06 AM
Sky High is getting good reviews and it is a family film, so I say it grabs 1st with $30 million.
Pyser
07-29-2005, 06:37 PM
im gonna go with must love dogs. i have no idea why. 23m.
Pyser
08-01-2005, 12:05 AM
well ill be...
1. Wedding Crashers $20,475,000
2. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $16,385,000
3. Sky High $14,590,000
4. Stealth $13,500,000
5. Must Love Dogs $13,050,000
Swaggs
08-01-2005, 12:29 AM
Wow. With opening numbers like that, Stealth has the potential to be a major money-loser. I would have thought it might put up close to $30M to open.
Pyser
08-01-2005, 01:30 AM
yeah, i think hollywood got its ass kicked with stealth and the island.
you know what that means: more remakes! :rolleyes:
Swaggs
08-01-2005, 12:27 PM
It is funny.
Yesterday I went, with the wife, to see "Must Love Dogs" (it was pretty decent). We saw the trailer for "The Corpse Bride," a dark animated movie by Tim Burton. I think it may be the only original idea for a movie that I have seen in the past few years.
TazFTW
08-02-2005, 02:57 AM
The Dukes of Hazard will take first! $27 million.
Pyser
08-05-2005, 10:23 PM
ive been slacking. sorry.
dukes at 23m.
Pyser
08-09-2005, 05:21 PM
dukes made 30m. la dee da. on we go.
this week:
deuce bigalow 2
four brothers
skeleton key
great raid (limited)
TazFTW
08-10-2005, 08:51 PM
Interesting... It looks like Deuce will have the bigger screen count but I don't see people going to Deuce in droves. Skeleton Key is the suspense/horror flick but I don't think they've done well this year. Four Brothers is a John Singleton flick and it has Marky Mark, Tyrese, and Andre 3000 of Outkast. It also has Terrence Howard, who is en fuego.
I think I'll go with Four Brothers taking it with $25 million, followed by Skeleton Key at $22 million, Dukes with $18 million, and Deuce with $17 mil.
Pyser
08-12-2005, 11:24 PM
im going deuce, 21m.
TazFTW
08-14-2005, 02:59 PM
I got the order of the first 3 right.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Four Brothers (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fourbrothers.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Par.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$20,700,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,533</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$8,172</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$20,700,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$45</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>2</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>The Skeleton Key (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=skeletonkey.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Uni.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$15,795,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,771</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$5,700</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$15,795,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$43</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Dukes of Hazzard (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=dukesofhazzard.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>WB</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$13,030,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-57.5%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,785</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$3,442</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$57,478,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$50</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Wedding Crashers (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=weddingcrashers.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>NL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$12,025,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-25.0%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,131</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+25</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$3,840</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$164,051,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$40</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>5</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>5</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=deucebigalow2.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Sony</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$9,400,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,127</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$3,006</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$9,400,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$22</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Karlifornia
08-14-2005, 06:50 PM
Geez...what the hell is going on with wedding crashers? They made a $120 dollar profit already. Geez.
Pyser
08-17-2005, 08:04 PM
this week:
supercross
40 yr old virgin
red eye
valiant
if valiant was on more screens, it'd be a win. instead, ill go 40 yr old virgin at 27m.
TazFTW
08-19-2005, 06:51 PM
40 yr old wins it with $26 million.
Pyser
08-22-2005, 12:25 AM
results:
1. The 40-Year-Old Virgin $20,555,000
2. Red Eye $16,500,000
3. Four Brothers $13,000,000
Pyser
08-25-2005, 01:58 PM
this week:
The Brothers Grimm 3,087
The Cave 2,195
both look like ass to me. ill take a chance, and say 40 yr old virgin repeats at 18m.
TazFTW
08-26-2005, 03:54 PM
I agree.
Pyser
08-28-2005, 08:27 PM
sweet.
1. The 40-Year-Old Virgin $16,434,000
2. The Brothers Grimm $15,093,000
3. Red Eye $10,400,000
Pyser
08-29-2005, 10:46 PM
2 awful release weeks in a row. makes me wonder why they didnt hold something like "Crash" till now, for both box office and oscar support.
Aug. 31 Theaters
The Constant Gardener 1,300
Sep. 2 Theaters
A Sound of Thunder 800
Transporter 2 3,200
Underclassman 1,200
im very tempted to go 40 year old virgin again, but instead ill go with new blood, just because my gut says virgin cant win 3 times in a row.
transporter - 16m.
TazFTW
09-01-2005, 06:12 PM
I'll have to agree again.
Pyser
09-05-2005, 05:37 PM
we're doing good now:
1. The Transporter $16,500,000
2. The 40-Year-Old Virgin $13,110,000
Pyser
09-07-2005, 08:02 PM
another week of crap. i seriously dont know why some movies werent held for now. not blockbusters, but solid movies. maybe even hustle and flow?
Sep. 9 Theaters
The Exorcism of Emily Rose 2,981
The Man 1,800
An Unfinished Life 400
amazingly, if the man was opening bigger, id go with it. instead, exorcism of emily rose, 17m.
TazFTW
09-09-2005, 06:27 PM
I don't see Emily Rose doing well, so I'll have to say Transporter 2 takes it again with $15 million.
TazFTW
09-11-2005, 02:42 PM
I don't see Emily Rose doing well, so I'll have to say Transporter 2 takes it again with $15 million.
Well, I couldn't be any more wrong.
sterlingice
09-11-2005, 03:00 PM
There are just weeks like that sometimes.
Still, I love getting the weekly update from this thread so keep up the good work. :)
SI
Pyser
09-12-2005, 12:18 PM
wow, good for emily rose. i think its just a matter of no good movies having come out for a few weeks...people had to see something.
1. The Exorcism of Emily Rose $30,200,000
2. The 40-Year-Old Virgin $7,901,000
3. Transporter 2 $7,200,000
Pyser
09-14-2005, 01:28 PM
Sep. 16 Theaters
Cry Wolf 1,550
Just Like Heaven 3,000
Lord of War 2,400+
Venom 750+
Buccaneer
09-14-2005, 07:32 PM
Am I the only one who never realized they did a Transporter 1?
Pyser
09-15-2005, 02:13 AM
i actually went and saw transporter 2, even though ive never seen the first.
fun movie. improbable fight/car sequences, simple plot, and in and out in under 90 mins. pretty good stuff.
TazFTW
09-16-2005, 01:36 AM
I'd probably have to go with Just Like Heaven with $26 million.
Pyser
09-16-2005, 01:26 PM
i dont have much faith in just like heaven, but i suppose people have to see something. i think itll get 19m, edging out emily rose, with 17m.
Pyser
09-16-2005, 09:32 PM
its easier to make predictions when we have all the movies being released. im sure taz will change his prediction, too.
Cry Wolf 1,790
Just Like Heaven 3,508
Lord of War 2,814
Venom 489
The Greatest Game Ever Played 749 sneaks on 9/17
An Unfinished Life 753
with that in mind, its lord of war. 24m.
TazFTW
09-16-2005, 10:44 PM
Nope, not changing. Just Like Heaven is a romantic comedy and it has been a weeks since one was released.
TazFTW
09-17-2005, 09:42 PM
Yup.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
9/16 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-16&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
9/17 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-17&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
9/18 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-18&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
9/19 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-19&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>JUST LIKE HEAVEN (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=justlikeheaven.htm)
3,508</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$5,500,000
-- / $1,568
<NOBR>$5,500,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>THE EXORCISM OF EMILY ROSE (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=exorcismofemilyrose.htm)
2,983</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$4,800,000
215% / $1,609
<NOBR>$41,509,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>LORD OF WAR (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lordofwar.htm)
2,814</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$3,100,000
-- / $1,102
<NOBR>$3,100,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
09-18-2005, 11:02 PM
shouldve stuck to my guns.
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Just Like Heaven $16,500,000
2. The Exorcism of Emily Rose $15,300,000
3. Lord of War $9,200,000
Pyser
09-20-2005, 06:59 PM
way to hold flightplan, guys. not like there werent 4 dead weeks in a row a few weeks back. instead, let it swallowed up by corpse bride...
opening this week:
Flightplan 3,400
Roll Bounce 1,700
Tim Burton's The Corpse Bride 3,000
ill go corpse bride, at 27m.
TazFTW
09-22-2005, 08:20 PM
Panic Room made $30 million its opening weekend. Flight Plan is similiar, so I'll say Flight Plan takes it with $28 million.
Pyser
09-23-2005, 01:34 AM
i see where youre going with that, but it also had to post-fight club fincher enthusiasm going for it.
i cant bet against kids, though, myself, which is why i went with corpse.
TazFTW
09-24-2005, 08:19 PM
w00t!
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
9/23 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-23&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
9/24 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-24&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
9/25 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-25&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
9/26 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-09-26&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>FLIGHTPLAN (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=flightplan.htm)
3,424</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$8,500,000
-- / $2,482
<NOBR>$8,500,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>TIM BURTON'S CORPSE BRIDE (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=corpsebride.htm)
3,204</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$6,800,000
23784% / $2,122
<NOBR>$7,311,000 / 8</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
sterlingice
09-25-2005, 07:14 PM
Wow- I never would have guessed. I figured Corpse was a shoe-in.
SI
Pyser
09-25-2005, 11:49 PM
i guess parents didnt view a movie called "corpse bride" as a childrens movie. who'd of thunk?! well done, taz.
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Flightplan $24,646,000
2. Tim Burton's Corpse Bride $20,130,000
Pyser
09-28-2005, 03:16 PM
ok...lets try and break my streak of 2 in a row on the wrong side...
The Greatest Game Ever Played 1,000
Into the Blue 2,700
Serenity 2,100+
im very interested to see how serenity does, just because its an entirely "fan brought back" movie...so i hope it kicks ass, just on principle. that said, you cant stop jessica alba, even in terrible, terrible movies...you can only hope to contain her.
into the blue - 22m
TazFTW
09-30-2005, 02:10 AM
Jessica Alba and Ashley Scott...
wet...
http://www.dvdtalk.com/forum/images/smilies/popcorn.gif
I think Into the Blue will have to win. Serenity doesn't have the theatre count and Flightplan/Corpse Bride will do the usual 2nd week drop.
Into the Blue, $20 million.
TazFTW
10-02-2005, 02:59 PM
What a crappy weekend.
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>TW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>LW</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title (click to view)</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Studio</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Weekend Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>% Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc colSpan=2>Theater Count / Change</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Average</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Total Gross</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Budget*</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Week #</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Flightplan (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=flightplan.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>BV</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$15,038,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-38.9%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,424</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$4,391</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$46,145,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>2</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Serenity (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=serenity.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Uni.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$10,141,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,188</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$4,634</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$10,141,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$39</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Tim Burton's Corpse Bride (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=corpsebride.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>WB</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$9,755,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-49.0%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,204</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$3,044</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>$32,910,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>18</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>A History of Violence (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=historyofviolence.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>NL</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$8,200,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+1,489.2%</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>1,340</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+1,326</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$6,119</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>$8,969,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>5</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>N</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Into the Blue (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=intotheblue.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Sony</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$7,000,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,789</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$2,509</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>$7,000,000</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
10-03-2005, 03:49 AM
how bout that. i guess you can stop jessica alba.
and the flight attendant boycott of flighplan seems to be going well, too...
Pyser
10-05-2005, 02:00 AM
RELEASE SCHEDULE
Oct. 7 Theaters
The Gospel 900
In Her Shoes 2,800+
Two for the Money 2,300+
Waiting 1,500+
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were Rabbit 3,000
TazFTW
10-07-2005, 01:15 AM
Newer theatre count.
<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=5 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>122</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=wallaceandgromit05.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>DreamWorks</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>3,645</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>0</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Flightplan (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=flightplan.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Buena Vista</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3,323</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>-101</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>3</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Tim Burton's Corpse Bride (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=corpsebride.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Warner Bros.</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>3,004</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-200</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>4</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>20</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>In Her Shoes (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=inhershoes.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Fox</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,808</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>+2,308</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Into the Blue (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=intotheblue.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Sony</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>2,789</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>0</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>2</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>6</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Two for the Money (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=twoforthemoney.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffff99>Universal</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>2,388</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>-</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffff99>1</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>Just Like Heaven (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=justlikeheaven.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#ffffff>DreamWorks</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>2,307</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>-1,236</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>4</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>8</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>6</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Serenity (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=serenity.htm)</TD><TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Universal</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>2,189</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>+1</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
I don't know. Even with the excellent reviews and the large screen count, I just don't see a lot of people seeing Wallace and Gromit.
However, I have to pick Wallace and Gromit because Flightplan is in its 3rd week and there's nothing else to see. I'll go with Wallace and Gromit making $22 million.
Pyser
10-08-2005, 09:52 AM
oops, forgot to post my prediction.
i reluctantly completely afgree. W&G, 18m.
Pyser
10-11-2005, 09:34 AM
WEEKEND ACTUALS
1. Wallace & Gromit $16,025,987
2. Flightplan $10,764,440
opening this week:
Domino 2,000
Elizabethtown 2,500
The Fog 2,700+
my gut says the fog, even though i personally will probably see the first 2 listed, and have no interest in the third. as great as cameron crowe is, i still dont think he can open a movie...plus, its almost halloween time...which helps any horror movie, as im sure we'll see in the next week or 2.
TazFTW
10-14-2005, 03:05 AM
Domino and Elizabethtown are getting shelled at RottenTomatoes.
The Fog doesn't have any reviews listed, which usually means that it was not shown for reviewers. Not a good sign. However, I had heard some good buzz about it on the 'net. Add in the Halloween factor and I'll go with The Fog winning at $20 million.
Pyser
10-14-2005, 11:55 PM
people have to see something, i suppose, so ill go bigger. fog at 23m.
Pyser
10-16-2005, 04:39 PM
yowza. turns out people dont need to see anything!
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. The Fog $12,200,000
2. Wallace & Gromit $11,700,000
3. Elizabethtown $11,000,000
Pyser
10-20-2005, 04:45 PM
opening this week:
Doom 3,044
Dreamer: Inspired by a True Story 2,007
North Country 2,555
Stay 1,684
just based on theater count, ill go doom. 17m.
TazFTW
10-21-2005, 07:55 AM
Doom with $22 million.
Pyser
10-23-2005, 08:31 PM
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Doom $15,382,000
2. Dreamer $9,300,000
TazFTW
10-27-2005, 05:36 PM
Zorro has a big theatre count and it is PG. Saw II has a pretty good theatre count and it has the weekend before Halloween helping it.
I'll go with Zorro with $25 million.
Pyser
10-28-2005, 04:47 PM
RELEASE SCHEDULE
Oct. 28 Theaters
The Legend of Zorro 3,520
Prime 1,831
Saw II 2,949
The Weather Man 1,510
zorro looks very family oriented..the exact opposite of saw 2. but i dont think this will be a big movie weekend for either film. ill take saw in the upset, at only 17m.
TazFTW
10-29-2005, 07:37 PM
Damnnnnnnnm, I seem to have underestimated the Halloween effect.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
10/28 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=34day&sortdate=2005-10-28&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
10/29 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=34day&sortdate=2005-10-29&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
10/30 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=34day&sortdate=2005-10-30&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
10/31 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=34day&sortdate=2005-10-31&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>SAW II (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=saw2.htm)
2,949</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$12,050,000
-- / $4,086
<NOBR>$12,050,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>THE LEGEND OF ZORRO (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=zorro2.htm)
3,520</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$5,400,000
-- / $1,534
<NOBR>$5,400,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
10-31-2005, 01:32 AM
right horse, wrong total
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Saw II $30,500,000
2. The Legend of Zorro $16,500,000
TazFTW
11-04-2005, 01:58 AM
Chicken Little should be able to win the weekend. I would say $29 million.
Pyser
11-04-2005, 03:14 PM
RELEASE SCHEDULE
Nov. 4 Theaters
Chicken Little 3654
Jarhead 2410
chicken litte, 32m.
jarhead, with a great advertising, should pull 23m or so, id guess.
TazFTW
11-05-2005, 11:44 PM
This could get interesting.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank*</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Title
(Click to view chart)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Friday
11/4 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-11-04&p=.htm)
(Estimates)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Saturday
11/5 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-11-05&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Sunday
11/6 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-11-06&p=.htm)</TH><TH bgColor=#dcdcdc>Monday
11/7 (http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2005-11-07&p=.htm)</TH></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>CHICKEN LITTLE (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=chickenlittle.htm)
3,654</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>$10,730,000
-- / $2,937
<NOBR>$10,730,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>
N/A</FONT></TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>JARHEAD (http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=jarhead.htm)
2,411</TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>$10,470,000
-- / $4,343
<NOBR>$10,470,000 / 1</NOBR></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</FONT></TD><TD vAlign=top align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>
N/A</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Pyser
11-06-2005, 06:27 PM
well, it didnt get interesting...probably because most kids dont see movies on friday nights. chicken little was definitely for the day crowd.
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Chicken Little $40,086,000
2. Jarhead $28,751,000
3. Saw II $17,200,000
Pyser
11-10-2005, 07:05 PM
RELEASE SCHEDULE
Nov. 9 Theaters
Get Rich or Die Tryin' 1,652
Nov. 11 Theaters
Derailed 2,441
Zathura 3,223
Pride and Prejudice 215
Tough to call. Get Rich Or Die Tryin has the 2 day lead, but i dont think it will be 8-mile big, and the screen count isnt high.
which allows zathura to step up....but that seems to be in pretty direct competition with chicken little, which should still get 17-20mil pretty easily.
then add in the aniston movie, which is totally anti-kids, and its a weird weekend.
i think its zathura or chicken little...and while im tempted to go zathura, ill chicken little in a repeat for no real reason, at 22m.
TazFTW
11-11-2005, 12:46 AM
Hmm, tough choice. Chicken Little will see a 2nd week fall but will Zathura pull in enough families to surpass it. I'll go with Zathura making $25 million.
Pyser
11-14-2005, 12:13 AM
um. where was the drop-off. WOW.
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Chicken Little $32,026,000
2. Zathura $14,000,000
3. Derailed $12,800,000
4. Get Rich or Die Tryin' $12,500,000
5. Jarhead $12,264,000
TazFTW
11-17-2005, 03:27 PM
Harry Potter will win with $92 million.
JeffNights
11-17-2005, 10:12 PM
The Potterheads come in BIG, 139 million.
Pyser
11-18-2005, 03:45 AM
ill go with 101m.
Buccaneer
11-19-2005, 05:47 PM
$36m on Friday (and midnight showings) alone. Looks like it might go huge.
TazFTW
11-20-2005, 07:45 PM
ill go with 101m.
Nice guess.
Pyser
11-22-2005, 01:41 AM
RELEASE SCHEDULE**
Nov. 23
The Ice Harvest 1,400
In the Mix 1,400+
Just Friends 2,000+
Rent 2,100+
Yours, Mine and Ours 3,000
Pride and Prejudice 1,100
i guess studios are banking on people seeing more than 1 movie over thanksgiving break. and what a weird mix.
i mean, who the hell decided to hold "just friends" for an end of year run? seems like a january movie, or august, to me. it's gonna die a fiery death post-potter.
speaking of which....yours, mine and ours? are they banking on young kids seeing this? another odd release time....but i guess they are following the "cheaper by the dozen" release last year. just dont know who'll see it (but then, i dont know who saw cheaper by the dozen, and thats got a sequel out this year, so what do i know).
rent may make some money, though...and has an entirely different demographic than potter.
but i will not go against potter. no way. my 4 day weekend guess: 52m.
just for fun, ill predict 2nd place...and say rent. 31m.
TazFTW
11-23-2005, 02:18 AM
Potter with $45 million.
Pyser
11-28-2005, 04:37 AM
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Harry Potter / Goblet of Fire $54,905,000
2. Walk the Line $19,700,000
3. Yours, Mine and Ours $17,475,000
4. Chicken Little $12,421,000
5. Rent $10,700,000
add another 12 or so to potter for the 4 day total.
so i was way under for potter, and WAY over on rent. goodness. i should stick to just the top spot...thats tough enough.
TazFTW
11-30-2005, 06:05 AM
Potter wins by default. The only film going wide is Aeon Flux and I don't see it having a big box office. I'll go with Harry Potter for $30 million.
Pyser
12-04-2005, 05:13 PM
well, i fogot to predict. little embarassing. anyway, good guess, taz. bit high though.
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. Harry Potter / Goblet of Fire $20,450,000
2. Aeon Flux $13,100,000
3. Walk the Line $10,000,000
this week, ill go narnia at 47m.
SFL Cat
12-04-2005, 05:51 PM
1. Narnia
2. Harry Potter
TazFTW
12-08-2005, 07:54 PM
Narnia wins with $40 million.
sterlingice
12-12-2005, 03:05 PM
Wow, I wanted to guess $55M but thought it too high, but I guess not:
LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - "Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe" scored a much-needed box office hit for Walt Disney Co, taking in $67 million for the second-biggest debut ever in a weekend in December.<table border="0" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"><td align="left">1</td> <td align="left">-</td> <td align="left">The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe (http://movies.yahoo.com/shop?d=hv&cf=info&id=1808475642)</td> <td align="left">Buena Vista Pictures Distribution</td> <td align="right">$67,064,000</td> <td align="right">$67,064,000</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td align="right">3616</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td align="left">2</td> <td align="left">19</td> <td align="left">Syriana (http://movies.yahoo.com/shop?d=hv&cf=info&id=1808631296)</td> <td align="left">Warner Bros. Pictures Distribution</td> <td align="right">$12,030,000</td> <td align="right">$13,529,000</td> <td align="right">3</td> <td align="right">1752</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="left">3</td> <td align="left">1</td> <td align="left">Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (http://movies.yahoo.com/shop?d=hv&cf=info&id=1808475610)</td> <td align="left">Warner Bros. Pictures International, Warner Bros. Pictures Distribution</td> <td align="right">$10,315,000</td> <td align="right">$244,119,000</td> <td align="right">4</td> <td align="right">3728</td></tr></tbody></table>
SI
Pyser
12-13-2005, 10:38 PM
kong:
1 - wed pred
2 - 3 day weekend prediction
3 - 5 day prediction
4 - overall prediction (domestic)
ill go first:
1 - $28m
2 - $87m
3 - $135m
4 - $490m
Karlifornia
12-14-2005, 12:21 AM
$490? holy shit would that be some sort of all-time record?
Karlifornia
12-14-2005, 12:22 AM
1-$23m
2-$77m
3-$100m
4-$288m
TazFTW
12-14-2005, 12:31 AM
$490? holy shit would that be some sort of all-time record?
Titanic made $600 million.
TazFTW
12-14-2005, 12:41 AM
1. $30 million
2. $80 million
3. $123 million
4. $420 million
Karlifornia
12-14-2005, 03:13 AM
Hmm...ok..I'm thinking I'll adjust my original estimates. I'm trying to compare this to the most recent blockbuster, Harry Potter. I suppose Kong could do around $100 mil this weekend. I'll decide tomorrow morning.
TazFTW
12-15-2005, 09:06 PM
Kong made $9.755 million on Wednesday. Eject! Eject!
Pyser
12-23-2005, 12:56 PM
so kong only made 50.1 on the 3 day weekend. oops!
on to christmas weekend:
RELEASE SCHEDULE
Dec. 21 Theaters
Cheaper by the Dozen 2 3,100
Fun with Dick and Jane 3,056
Dec. 23 Theaters
The Ringer 1,829
Munich 532
Memoirs of a Geisha 1,547
Brokeback Mountain 217
Dec. 25 Theaters
Rumor Has It 2,815
Wolf Creek 1,749
Casanova 37
The Producers 975
im sticking with kong. 40m.
Pyser
12-26-2005, 10:54 PM
wow. good showing from narnia. guess the jesus plotline helped.
WEEKEND ESTIMATES
1. King Kong $31,433,000
2. The Chronicles of Narnia $30,102,000
3. Fun with Dick and Jane $23,500,000
4. Cheaper by the Dozen 2 $14,775,000
5. The Family Stone $10,850,000
Pyser
12-31-2005, 04:35 AM
i dont think anything new opened this week.
i really want to stick with kong, but narnia worries me.
all the same, im routing for kong, so may as well go down swinging.
kong - 23m.
Pyser
01-03-2006, 09:58 PM
narnia beat kong this week. nice comeback. 33-31 i think. interesting.
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