Ben E Lou
01-19-2008, 11:08 AM
There has been a bit of confusion over whether or not mentors need to be active in FOF2K7 to have an impact on player development, and I thought I'd do a study designed to determine the answer.
METHOD
1. To minimize masking, I started a new career on Main Street (reduced scouting error for sure there) and with a minimal X-factor (not sure if that helps or not, but it can't hurt).
2. Preference drafted a team emphasizing young talent.
3. Simmed forward to begin regular season.
4. Signed mentors for several positions.
5. Set injuries to 0.
6. Set depth charts so that rookies studied played as many snaps as possible.
7. Simmed 10 seasons with mentors active, 10 with mentors inactive, 5 with no mentors. Everything else on team (game plans, depth charts) kept static during trials.
RESULTS
I've got more detailed results, but here's a summary of the eight players I studied, with 10 season-long trials.
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cols="10" frame="void" rules="none"> <colgroup><col width="79"><col width="31"><col width="31"><col width="22"><col width="86"><col width="95"><col width="128"><col width="20"><col width="141"><col width="211"></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" height="17" width="79">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" width="31">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" width="31">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080" width="22">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" colspan="3" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="middle" width="309">Avg Current Rating After 16 Games (10 Trials)</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080" width="20">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" colspan="2" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" width="351">Improvement In Development From Mentoring</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" height="17">Player</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Cur</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Fut</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">No Mentor</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor Inactive</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor Active</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor vs. No Mentor</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor Active vs. Mentor Inactive</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">QB Blackburn</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="24" sdnum="1033;" align="center">24</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="62" sdnum="1033;" align="center">62</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="30.2" sdnum="1033;" align="center">30.2</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34.1" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34.1</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34.7" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34.7</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.629032258064517" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">62.9%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0594059405940595" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">5.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">RB Chism</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="37" sdnum="1033;" align="center">37</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="59" sdnum="1033;" align="center">59</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="41.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">41.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44.7" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44.7</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.521739130434782" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">52.2%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.1" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">10.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">WR Garrison</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="50" sdnum="1033;" align="center">50</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="83" sdnum="1033;" align="center">83</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="67.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">67.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="77.5" sdnum="1033;" align="center">77.5</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="79.1" sdnum="1033;" align="center">79.1</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.562500000000001" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">56.3%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0581818181818185" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">5.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">WR Loera</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="28" sdnum="1033;" align="center">28</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="55" sdnum="1033;" align="center">55</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34.8" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34.8</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="40.3" sdnum="1033;" align="center">40.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="41.2" sdnum="1033;" align="center">41.2</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.808823529411764" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">80.9%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0731707317073169" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">7.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">OT Wickes</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="63" sdnum="1033;" align="center">63</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="40.4" sdnum="1033;" align="center">40.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="46" sdnum="1033;" align="center">46</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44.9" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44.9</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.875" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">87.5%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="-0.0916666666666668" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">-9.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">OT Collier</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="40" sdnum="1033;" align="center">40</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="75" sdnum="1033;" align="center">75</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="47.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">47.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="54.3" sdnum="1033;" align="center">54.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="55.4" sdnum="1033;" align="center">55.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.881578947368421" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">88.2%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0769230769230765" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">7.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">DT Rodgers</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="24" sdnum="1033;" align="center">24</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="49" sdnum="1033;" align="center">49</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="30.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">30.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="36.8" sdnum="1033;" align="center">36.8</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.515151515151515" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">51.5%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.28" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">28.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">DT Barber</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="69" sdnum="1033;" align="center">69</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="54.4" sdnum="1033;" align="center">54.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="58.8" sdnum="1033;" align="center">58.8</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="57.3" sdnum="1033;" align="center">57.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.423076923076924" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">42.3%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="-0.101351351351351" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">-10.1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000000" height="17">AVERAGE</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="35.125" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">35.1</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="64.375" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">64.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="43.4" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">43.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="48.625" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">48.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="49.2625" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">49.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.63141993957704" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">63.1%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0472222222222219" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">4.7%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
A couple of observations not related to conclusion.
There's a random factor to player development. Within the same set of trials, QB Blackburn, for example, had seasons where he improved as few as 6 points current, and as many as 18.
While not studied carefully, it appears that team and individual performance play minimal/no role in how much the player develops.CONCLUSION: IN FOF2K7, THERE IS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE IN HAVING A MENTOR ACTIVE AS OPPOSED TO INACTIVE.
The small change observed is statistically insignificant, and given the fact that two of the players developed a little less with the mentor active, I'd strongly suspect that the +4.7% difference (which works out to less than 1 point of current rating per player over 16 games) was just due to the "wobbling" of the system.
METHOD
1. To minimize masking, I started a new career on Main Street (reduced scouting error for sure there) and with a minimal X-factor (not sure if that helps or not, but it can't hurt).
2. Preference drafted a team emphasizing young talent.
3. Simmed forward to begin regular season.
4. Signed mentors for several positions.
5. Set injuries to 0.
6. Set depth charts so that rookies studied played as many snaps as possible.
7. Simmed 10 seasons with mentors active, 10 with mentors inactive, 5 with no mentors. Everything else on team (game plans, depth charts) kept static during trials.
RESULTS
I've got more detailed results, but here's a summary of the eight players I studied, with 10 season-long trials.
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cols="10" frame="void" rules="none"> <colgroup><col width="79"><col width="31"><col width="31"><col width="22"><col width="86"><col width="95"><col width="128"><col width="20"><col width="141"><col width="211"></colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" height="17" width="79">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" width="31">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" width="31">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080" width="22">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" colspan="3" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="middle" width="309">Avg Current Rating After 16 Games (10 Trials)</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080" width="20">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" colspan="2" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" width="351">Improvement In Development From Mentoring</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0" height="17">Player</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Cur</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Fut</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">No Mentor</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor Inactive</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor Active</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor vs. No Mentor</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="center" bgcolor="#c0c0c0">Mentor Active vs. Mentor Inactive</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">QB Blackburn</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="24" sdnum="1033;" align="center">24</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="62" sdnum="1033;" align="center">62</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="30.2" sdnum="1033;" align="center">30.2</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34.1" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34.1</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34.7" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34.7</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.629032258064517" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">62.9%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0594059405940595" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">5.9%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">RB Chism</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="37" sdnum="1033;" align="center">37</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="59" sdnum="1033;" align="center">59</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="41.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">41.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44.7" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44.7</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.521739130434782" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">52.2%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.1" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">10.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">WR Garrison</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="50" sdnum="1033;" align="center">50</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="83" sdnum="1033;" align="center">83</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="67.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">67.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="77.5" sdnum="1033;" align="center">77.5</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="79.1" sdnum="1033;" align="center">79.1</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.562500000000001" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">56.3%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0581818181818185" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">5.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">WR Loera</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="28" sdnum="1033;" align="center">28</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="55" sdnum="1033;" align="center">55</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34.8" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34.8</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="40.3" sdnum="1033;" align="center">40.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="41.2" sdnum="1033;" align="center">41.2</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.808823529411764" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">80.9%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0731707317073169" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">7.3%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">OT Wickes</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="63" sdnum="1033;" align="center">63</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="40.4" sdnum="1033;" align="center">40.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="46" sdnum="1033;" align="center">46</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44.9" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44.9</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.875" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">87.5%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="-0.0916666666666668" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">-9.2%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">OT Collier</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="40" sdnum="1033;" align="center">40</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="75" sdnum="1033;" align="center">75</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="47.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">47.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="54.3" sdnum="1033;" align="center">54.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="55.4" sdnum="1033;" align="center">55.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.881578947368421" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">88.2%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0769230769230765" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">7.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">DT Rodgers</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="24" sdnum="1033;" align="center">24</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="49" sdnum="1033;" align="center">49</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="30.6" sdnum="1033;" align="center">30.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="34" sdnum="1033;" align="center">34</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="36.8" sdnum="1033;" align="center">36.8</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.515151515151515" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">51.5%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.28" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">28.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" height="17">DT Barber</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="44" sdnum="1033;" align="center">44</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="69" sdnum="1033;" align="center">69</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="54.4" sdnum="1033;" align="center">54.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="58.8" sdnum="1033;" align="center">58.8</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="57.3" sdnum="1033;" align="center">57.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.423076923076924" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">42.3%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="-0.101351351351351" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center">-10.1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000000" height="17">AVERAGE</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="35.125" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">35.1</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="64.375" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">64.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="43.4" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">43.4</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="48.625" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">48.6</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="49.2625" sdnum="1033;0;0.0" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">49.3</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" align="left" bgcolor="#000080">
</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.63141993957704" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">63.1%</td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(153, 204, 255);" sdval="0.0472222222222219" sdnum="1033;0;0.0%" align="center" bgcolor="#000000">4.7%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>
A couple of observations not related to conclusion.
There's a random factor to player development. Within the same set of trials, QB Blackburn, for example, had seasons where he improved as few as 6 points current, and as many as 18.
While not studied carefully, it appears that team and individual performance play minimal/no role in how much the player develops.CONCLUSION: IN FOF2K7, THERE IS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE IN HAVING A MENTOR ACTIVE AS OPPOSED TO INACTIVE.
The small change observed is statistically insignificant, and given the fact that two of the players developed a little less with the mentor active, I'd strongly suspect that the +4.7% difference (which works out to less than 1 point of current rating per player over 16 games) was just due to the "wobbling" of the system.