View Single Post
Old 01-08-2009, 03:28 PM   #177
jeheinz72
Pro Rookie
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fresno, CA
I still say 2-horse though.

15% more, yes, I get that, but you have to factor in that your relevant qualifier was just that "there is a wolf in the mix".

So ok, there is a 15% more chance a wolf is in the mix, but now there is less chance that the village will actually vote accurately that given day.

Plus for your #2 priority, to get values, if it's a 3-horse race than essentially 2 of the 3 have to die to get true value from any shifts. If it's a 2-horse race, then the ultimate value of those votes and moves is known throughout.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Jackal View Post
Heinz has always been, and will always be a magnificent liar.
jeheinz72 is offline   Reply With Quote