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#101 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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Quote:
Hey now!!! Let's not try to introduce logic into the equation or the pro-Vick group will never have a chance. |
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#102 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Umm.. of course? Do you understand how rates work?
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#103 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
VPI conceded that the numbers he were looking at were inaccurate (He believes because ESPN only posts rushing fumbles)... Deattribution, however, has not conceded that he posted completely false stats.
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#104 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
And that list relatively closely approximates the list of teams I would come up with.
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#105 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
He averages a 53% completion percentage. Thats 10% below nearly every top level NFL quarterback. |
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#106 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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Yeah, do you? If a quarerback fumbles 4 times in a season during the 16 times he was sacked (becasue he has pocket pressence), I guess you would rather have the one that fumbled 10 times in 50 sacks because he held the ball too long. Hey, the per sack rate is better.... |
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#107 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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dola: lol, that's like someone arguing that because player A hit a homerun on his first at bat of his career he is better than Hank Aaron, hey his per at bat rate is better....
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#108 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Part of the problem for Vick continues to be that he never has to take the blame fully for the team's failing. Sure he takes individual criticism and his answer? Point to his personal stats as to backing up his competance.
Coaches have come and gone and the team continues to hover around .500. I can't believe that Atlanta fans can be happy with staking your claim with this guy only to come to realize that he's not the answer you'd think a franchise guy would be. He's not McNabb, not Manning, not Brady, not Brees, not Rivers, not Palmer, not even Vince Young. How can you be surprised when the guy is put under immense pressure when this is regime #3. I'd love to really see how the guy prepares and tries to make himself a better player. If he's going full bore then I give him a pass in terms of making to most of his skills. I have a hard time believing from the outside he's a commited leader and someone who lives to win games as the QB of the team.
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#109 | |
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College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2003
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Quote:
What completely false stats did I post? What I said was VPI seems to think is by getting incorrect information off the internet somehow makes his post less misleading than someone else getting incorrect information off the internet. Unfortunately, It's the same. Just because he's trying to do it in Vick's favor doesn't make it any less misleading. I couldn't be bothered to go through all the garbage that has been posted, but anyone is welcome to go into the last discussion over this (I can't remember the exact thread now, I think it was about some other QB) and see the same garbage spewed out by the same 2 or 3 people supporting Vick. edit to add - I remember now rkmsuf's post reminded me. The last argument over this was in the thread over Vick talking about his numbers and how he had a good season. Last edited by Deattribution : 01-23-2007 at 02:30 PM. |
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#110 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Now consider this: This was Vick's best year as a player, and he didnt crack the top 10. and he takes up more cap than every single player above him. For Vick to be worth his cap hit, he has to be in the top 3, not sitting down there with the likes of David Garrard. |
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#111 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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John Elway through 6 seasons..
QB Rating: 73.6 (Vick 75.7) Completion%: 54.3 (Vick 53.8) Yards Per Attempt: 6.8 (Vick 6.7) Attempts per TD: 26.01 (Vick 24.36) Attempts per Int: 27.65 (Vick 33.26) Rushing Yards: 1431 (Vick 3859) Rushing TD: 8 (Vick 21) Clearly Vick has absolutely no chance to improve and become a Hall of Fame QB. The city of Atlanta should dump him just like the Broncos should have done to Elway.
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#112 | |
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Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Quote:
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#113 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
HE DOESNT. And thats the whole goddamn problem. He admitted this year that he had NEVER watched tape of himself. He admitted he usually doesnt watch other teams game tapes. Whatever physical skills he has, he just doesnt have the desire/understanding/brainpower to be an NFL quarterback. |
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#114 | |||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Yes, this is a problem. Unfortunately you cannot quantify drops and bad receivers. I would argue that he has one of the bottom 5 receiving corps in the NFL and probably one of the bottom 10 Pass-Blocking lines. But unfortunately, I cannot quantify that. That being said - I do believe that with better WR's and coaching, that this will improve. Quote:
High Apple, meet Orange. Your statement was that "of course" the fumble rate goes down if he gets sacked more. There is absolutely no guaranteed relationship between the two. If he's a "fumbler" his rate should stay the same as he gets sacked more. If he's not, it won't. If you want to argue that he gets sacked too much, fine, but it has nothing to do with his fumble rate.
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#115 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Quote:
Well, that's a problem then.
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#116 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Rushing QBs get sacked more than pocket passers because they hold onto the ball longer. I've watched a lot of Vick, and generally, when he gets sacked, its 6 seconds + into the play. He absolutely REFUSES to throw the ball away when he should.... That was the whole problem with Culpepper this year: He was holding onto the ball like a rushing QB but couldnt get out of the way because of the knee. |
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#117 | |
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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My apologies. I went back to quote it for you. It was Synovia, not you who stated that in his worst season Vick had 11 lost fumbles.
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#118 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Last edited by Synovia : 01-23-2007 at 02:37 PM. |
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#119 |
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College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2003
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#120 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
NO, I said he had fumbled 11 times. Fumbles are non predictive. Its completely luck as to which way the ball bounces. A fumble is no better a play on your part if your lineman recovers it, or the other team's lineman recovers it. Its luck. |
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#121 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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Quote:
Who gives a shit that the receivers were first rounders? That doesn't mean they're any good. See the Detroit Lions. Are you seriously arguing that the Falcons have a good receiving corps?
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#122 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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If we merged all of the Vick threads, we'd have a thread that would probably be the 2nd largest thread on the board behind maxFB.
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#123 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Been through three coaching regimes? What, are you making up shit again? They've been through Dan Reeves and Jim Mora. Where's the third?
And Reeves was canned because Vick got injured. Vick's best year was under Reeves, then he got hurt, Doug Johnson showed that he and the talent around him was crap and they went 5-11. And 'highly ranked free agents'? Maybe Peerless Price, though he turned out to be another Alvin Harper (pray tell me what Price has done since he left the Falcons). But who else? Ashley Lelie? Highly ranked? Are you shitting me? And yeah, first rounders always end up being superstar recievers. I'm sure J.J. Stokes and Freddie Mitchell would agree with that statement.
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#124 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Quote:
as good as reche caldwell and jabar gaffney
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#126 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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And the adjusted QB ranking link that was given above puts Brady at 11th this year. One spot ahead of Vick.
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#127 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Quote:
so?
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#128 | |
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College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: San Diego
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Quote:
Not to cloud the issue, it's a good debate, but Elway took the Broncos to the Super Bowl in years 4, 5, and 7. Trade discussions for Vick probably wouldn't be happening if he had done the same. |
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#129 | |||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Yeah, they've done all of this. But were any of the receivers GOOD? Umm... no. They brought in Price who was obviously just not that talented of a receiver anymore - proven by the fact that he became roster filler after leaving the Falcons. No 1st round WR has proven themselves for the Falcons. The WR's that have had decent performance have gotten hurt. Name me 1 WR that the Falcons have had over Vick's tenure that you would want as one of your top 2 or 3 WR's on your team. Quote:
No one counts Fumbles vs. Fumbles Lost as the key stats. But, let's be fair about this then. You're throwing out that he had 11 fumbles in his best seasons. Brady has had 11 or more 4 times in his career. Favre 4 times in his career... I could keep going, but you see my point. And these guys don't get hit while holding the ball (b/w sacks and runs) nearly as much as Vick does.
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#130 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/qb.php Much better analysis of QBs based on rushing and passing. Defense adjusted Points above replacement. Vick is ranked #37 in the league. Thats right, there are bench players ranked above him. Why? Because he puts up a ton of yards in 3rd and long situations. 3rd and 25? Vick rushes for 18. 3rd and 10? Vick will get your for 8. Theyre useless yards. 3rd and 3? He'll hold onto the ball too long and get sacked. |
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#131 | |||
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Quote:
Since 1999 - Culpepper - 89 Fumbles, 35 Lost 85 Starts Quote:
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#132 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Wade, you can't say Vick's recievers are crap becaues most of them you can't seperate from VIck. Peerless Price had a 1400 yard season right before Vick. THeres no way to say the problem is the recievers, and not the QB. THeyre dependant.Lelie had a great year last year, and then dissapears as soon as he shows up in Atlanta. The thing is, his completion percentage has ALWAYS been 53%. The recievers havent changed a thing. FInneran was his favorite guy. When he gets hurt, does the comp % go down? NO. When Crumpler is hurt, does it go down? No. Its Vick. Hes the common denominator. And yeah, I've seen Detroit. Roy Williams is a top 10 in the league.
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#133 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
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#134 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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"Since 1999 - Culpepper - 89 Fumbles, 35 Lost 85 Starts" Extrapolate Vick's 27 in 67, and you get 34.2 fumbles lost. Here's the difference: Culpepper can actually pass.
Last edited by Synovia : 01-23-2007 at 02:55 PM. |
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#135 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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Quote:
Well I'm benot trying to argue that Vick is as good as Elway or will be better than Elway. I'm just pointing out that the numbers being presented against him don't really support the conclusion that he has been a bust and should be traded. To be fair, Elway did an amazing job in the 86 postseason, working with an average defense. But in 87 and 89, he was working with top 10 defenses (the #1 defense in 89). Vick only had one top 10 defense, in 2002 (although it was 23rd if you use yards as the measure), and that was the year he led the Falcons to the only postseason road victory at Lambeau in league history. The other years his defenses were ranked 30th, 14th (conference championship year), 18th, and 16th.
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#136 | ||||
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Quote:
And after Atlanta? Gets cut by Dallas after being a 4th reciever and puts up crap numbers in Buffalo currently. He's Alvin Harper. He's no one special. He had Eric Moulds on the other side, and a pass heavy offense, and it was all good for him. Quote:
Uh... 42 receptions for 770 yards is great now? You are thinking of 2004. In '05 he went back to his old ways. Quote:
You are lying again. In 2004, his completion percentage was 56.4%. In 2005, it was 55.3%. Quote:
I'm sure Vick wished for that as well this year. He was by far the reciever he was most comfortable with.
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"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams Last edited by ISiddiqui : 01-23-2007 at 03:00 PM. |
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Quote:
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Keep in mind, i WANT Peerless to be good.. I bleed Tennessee Orange, but let's face it, the guy has just gone down hill in ability.
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#138 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Quote:
Reche Caldwell is not that good a good player. Scheme and accurate throws helped him accumulate the best stats of his career. On talent alone he's marginally above a street guy who by the way Gaffney is. Both players could be Falcons at this point. I'd argue as Falcons they are regarded on the same level as current Falcon wideouts. Put another way, trade receiving corps with the Pats and I'd suspect similar numbers from both teams. In fact Caldwell and Gaffney would be hard pressed to do much of anything on the Falcons team.
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"Don't you have homes?" -- Judge Smales |
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#139 | ||
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Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Quote:
Quote:
For comparison's sake, Brady made a first down on 40% of his third down throws and 77.5% of his third down completions went for a first. |
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#140 | |||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Interesting analysis. I'm going to have to dig into the details of this formula more. In general I think Football Outsiders have good stats, so I don't doubt this stat has value. Especially since it has Manning far ahead of all other QB's ... But, before I can understand what it means to Vick, i need to read up on it more.Quote:
FWIW, I would argue that the Pats are another member of the bottom 5. I think what you're saying is you'd rather Finneran than what you have, but on most NFL teams Finneran would not be a 1/2. That being said, he's not healthy, so Vick doesn't even have that.
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#141 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Go ahead and pretend his receivers are good or actually watch a Falcons game. They're not. |
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#142 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
I knew something looked funny. I see down below it has rushing numbers and Vick's DPAR is far better than any of the other QB's. Funny to see Manning as #6 though, wouldn't expect that. I knew I needed to understand these a bit better.
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#143 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
You're just one of those typical Massachusetts Vick defenders. ![]()
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Last edited by wade moore : 01-23-2007 at 03:07 PM. |
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#144 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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Quote:
Or maybe not. Check out Vick's situational stats. 82% of his rushing yards come on 1st and 2nd down. He only had 9 carries in situations where it was 3rd and greater than 8 yards, and got 141 yards on those carries. Certainly a few of those were first downs, and the others don't make nearly as much of his total as you're trying to claim.
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#145 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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#146 | |
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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I see. Vick broke Price. That's an interesting theory.
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#147 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Synovia = pwned.
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#148 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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2006: the year vick puts it all together
2007: the year vick puts it all together 2008: the year vick puts it all together - after all, year 2 of the new staff 2009: the year vick puts it all together I love how the reported lack of preparation is just brushed aside and we are reduced to arguing about fumble rates and wide receivers.
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"Don't you have homes?" -- Judge Smales |
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#149 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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I love it when people deliberately ignore other evidence already posted in a thread, such as the FACT that Price had already started to drop in productiont he year BEFORE he came to Atlanta. I also love that you're trying to make the argument that Vick is so bad that in one season he ruined Peerless Price for life.
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#150 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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I coulda played in the NFL, but this one time I met Michael Vick and he threw me a pass. I was never the same again.
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