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View Poll Results: Who will take the White House? | |||
Obama |
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151 | 68.95% |
McCain |
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63 | 28.77% |
Surprise? (Maybe Mr. Trout?) |
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5 | 2.28% |
Voters: 219. You may not vote on this poll |
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#3551 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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#3552 |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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No, he just likes to rub the falafel, you know, down there.
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Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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#3553 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2005
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Quote:
http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&q="US corporate tax"&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=N&tab=wn |
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#3554 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2005
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Mmmm....tea.
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#3555 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Tennessee
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Quote:
So, what did Obama himself "say"? Why does he think he is qualified to be President of the United States? Is it true that he said he was not qualified to run for President in 2008, when he won his senate seat in '04? If he does not feel he is qualified, then why is he running and why did he accept the nomination from his party? Last edited by Grammaticus : 09-06-2008 at 11:33 PM. |
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#3556 | ||
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
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Quote:
How should I know? I'm not the one making claims on what he has said in the past, nor can I read Obama's mind. But, since John McCain says that Obama is qualified to be President, that's good enough for me. McCain: Obama 'Absolutely' Qualified to Be President - The Talk Quote:
You mean when he won his seat in '04? I have no idea. Is it? |
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#3557 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Tennessee
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Quote:
Yeah, I think it was the state senate seat in '04, but didn't really recall. That is why I'm asking. I figured you may know why Obama thinks he should be the man in the White House. No problem though, nobody else seems to be able to answer that one either. |
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#3558 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Satellite of Love
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Quote:
I pretty much side with Carter (and molson and others) who have said that no one is ever really qualified to be President. The only person who might be would be the VP, depending on how much the VP is paying attention. I did a quick google, and found this: YouTube - Obama 2004: I can't see running for president So yeah, looks like he implied in 2004 that he wasn't qualified. But then again, George W. Bush has a way of making everyone feel they can be President. ![]() |
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#3559 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
I agree with statement in part. The surge reduced violence in areas where troop levels were increased. My biggest problem is the media (and McCain) acting as if it achieved its overall purpose. The purpose of the surge was not just to decrease violence. The primary reason is to create political reconcilliation in Iraq. This hasn't happened yet. What bothers me even more is the use of statistics showing decreased violence in areas where troop levels weren't even increased under the surge. It's dishonest. (BTW, I'm not attacking what you said Swaggs at all. I just needed a quote.) |
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#3560 |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
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McCain takes a 3 point lead in the Gallup tracking poll, and 1/3 of the poll was conducted before Thursday night. Tomorrow's poll will be the first one that was conducted entirely after the Republican convention.
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#3561 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Wow... things seem to be getting interesting. In addition, Rasmussen Tracking has McCain and Obama tied:
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama
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"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
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#3562 | |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
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Quote:
Yes, and they use the same three day rolling average as Gallup, so 1/3 of their current poll was conducted before Thursday night. |
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#3563 |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
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There's a new article on Sarah Palin's controversial pastor:
WASILLA, Alaska A little sermon about and for the messenger seemed to Pastor Larry Kroon an appropriate message on Sunday morning. Its been an interesting week, laughed Kroon, pastor at the Wasilla Bible Church, as he welcomed attendees. The nondenominational congregation where Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin and her family worship was carrying on services as usual this Sunday, but with a few extra guests. In just more than a week since presidential candidate John McCain picked Alaskas governor to be his running mate, Palins hometown of 9,000 has been inundated with journalists from around the world. For days now the media have delved into her terms as city council member and mayor here, and questioned residents and questioned them again for background on the states most famous politician. Kroon began services asking any reporters who might be in the crowd to respect church members opportunity to worship. This isnt the place to be fishing for interviews, he said. He then asked the 300 congregants at the first of two morning services to pray for all of the candidates for president and vice president, and to be thankful that all four are willing to provide the nation with their public service. He urged churchgoers to pray for the press. Kroon said the media are to be cherished and respected, citing 19th century philosopher Alexander de Tocquevilles works describing a free press and freedom of religion as essential pillars of democracy. Kroon said hes done a series of national media interviews during the hectic past week since his church was thrust into the national spotlight a significant event for a relatively low-key congregation who sit in folding chairs in the large and new church, down a dirt road at the edge of town. He urged congregants to do their own thorough research and investigations when deciding who to vote for. He added that it was wrong for anyone to have judged Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obamas former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright Jr., without first reading what Wright actually said. Palin's pastor urges flock to pray for the media |
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#3564 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
This is to be expected--a tie or a McCain lead. McCain will probably be ahead by a greater number tomorrow. The real question is how long this holds. An even more important question is what are the status of the state polls after the convention. It may help us see how things really are. In reality, though, we don't know what will happen. We can't rely on prior elections, because the conventions are so much later, and things are topsy turvy this time around. I think this election will really turn on ground game and the base. By picking Palin, McCain excited the Republican base. Obama increased the Democratic base both vertically and horizontally this time around. What I mean is he focused not only on simply trying to peel a few percentage points from the other side and independents, but running up his margins in areas that he is strong. Voter registration for the Democrats this year is outpacing the Republicans, by 2 to 1 margins in some states, that make states competitive. I think ground game will be very important. This is the first time that the Democrats are really focused on increasing turnout since I've participated in politics (starting in 1988). The polls will flip-flop back and forth I think between now and November. |
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#3565 |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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Well its all BS because its a rolling average...someone told me that polls dont matter due to that fact. I challenged that person's claim when they then started citing polls to bolster their stance and they ignored the challenge and continued their touting of the polls....but I had been convinced a few posts earlier, by them, that polls didnt show anything because of their rolling averageness and simple uncoolness.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL Last edited by Flasch186 : 09-07-2008 at 07:17 PM. |
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#3566 |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
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A USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend has McCain up by 10 among likely voters, and up by 4 among registered voters.
"In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/ 3 points for both samples." |
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#3567 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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I don't think there's any doubt McCain's numbers look good at this point. The question is whether this is a bounce that will go away on it's own over the next couple of weeks or if there has been a fundamental change in the election. At this point you have to assume it's a bounce, but if these numbers don't start dropping by the end of the week it may be a bad sign for Obama.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3568 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Dayton, OH
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While I agree that it might just be a typical bounce, I would be concerned if I was Obama. The DNC went about as well as it could, and the RNC, shortened by the hurricane, and with an average speech by McCain gave him a bigger bounce? Very, very bad news for Obama.
The other item to consider is that until this point in the race, all eyes were focused on Obama. McCain never had the spotlight on him, never dominated the dialog, and now after both parties are able to get some of their points across, McCain gets his first lead? Again, bad news for Obama. |
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#3569 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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538 had a post about this. The DNC seems like a month ago because McCain has had the last few big events. Obama needs a big event of his own to change the coverage. Thy mention what might happen if Powell endorsed Obama.
It's till too early for Obama to change tactics. A bounce will disappear on it's own. The numbers at the end of this week or the beginning of next will give a much clearer picture as to where the race is at. I still think the debates will be decisive.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3570 |
Dark Cloud
Join Date: Apr 2001
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The thing to consider is, a lot of likely voters that will vote for Obama don't use landlines. Polling is still done that way and as a result, a bevy of likely/registered voters who have been added to the rolls are being missed.
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#3571 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
From Gallup (scroll to the bottom) Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).
__________________
"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#3572 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
This will easily be one of the most overblown arguments that we see this election. College-age people are not the only ones that have figured out that using a cell phone as your primary phone saves money. The top 2% have figured that out as well. |
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#3573 |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Looks like the first domino has fallen in the media bias backlash. Olbermann and Matthews have been booted from the host seat, though they will still stay on as analysts.
MSNBC Takes Incendiary Hosts From Anchor Seat - NYTimes.com |
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#3574 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
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Quote:
I'm not really commenting on the argument itself, but you really think the top 2% are getting rid of regular phones, and using only cell phones? While I'm sure they've "figured that out," I don't think they have the need to save money as much as college-age people. |
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#3575 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
70% of millionaires are "new money" and have been millionaires for 10 years or less. Contrary to what anti-wealth pundits would want you to believe, most wealthy people got there by minimizing expenses rather than spending lavishly at the drop of a hat. Not only that, but most wealthy people are usually work-driven and are often on the go, which further eliminates the need for land-line phones. |
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#3576 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Obama has a verbal miscue that will likely be seen and heard all over airwaves in the weeks to come..........
http://washingtontimes.com/news/2008...s-his-critics/ Looks like 'Heart' is pissed about the Republicans using their song for the Palin speech, but there's little that they can do to stop them in ASCAP arenas............ Quote:
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#3577 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Prairie du Sac, WI
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Oh my! Obama admits he's a Muslim!!
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#3578 |
"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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#3579 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Quote:
I was wondering if this would be coming at some point. MSNBC was starting to feel as far to the left as Fox News feels to the right...which may have been the strategic position at some point. While this is fine to do, it seems like having the station tied to NBC (which does balance better) would become a problem. |
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#3580 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Quote:
I'd call that a miscue only when taken out of context. |
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#3581 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Prairie du Sac, WI
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#3582 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
Nah. I think the argument that Palin's the most qualified Republican will easily win! As to the numbers, cell phone use has been factored in to most of the polls. They may be a little behind, but not by much. The bigger issue is the likely voter model. This is the most difficult task for any pollster and they're always basing the formula on previous elections. This year the Dems have made massive expenditures towards building a GOTV infrastructure. I don't think it will mean tens of millions of votes, but unlike Kerry who hoped more people would vote, Obama has actually put in place a structure to make it happen. That's where I really question the Gallup/USAToday poll. The six point McCain spread between registered and likely just seems too much IMO. I don't doubt McCain's ahead and he may hold an advantage in likely voters, but six points is very generous.
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To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3583 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
The Republicans are so damn good at the outrage game. Fox gets slammed all the time and tells everyone to fuck off. Every time MSNBC gets criticism from the right they make a lineup change. Palin's lack of questioning is another good example. Imagine the outrage if Obama or Biden said they wouldn't do any interviews until the press showed enough respect and deference.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3584 |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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This is politics we're talking about here. You can be sure that it will be taken out of context and you can be sure that there will be some uninformed voter or forgetful senior citizen who will take it as fact. |
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#3585 | ||
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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Quote:
Did you read the whole quote? Quote:
What he was saying was that McCain has not "claimed I was a Muslim." Alas, I'm sure millions of Conservatives will tout this as proof that Obama is a danger to America and another million fools will believe them. Sigh. |
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#3586 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
Obama's been on the campaign trail for 19 months. Palin has been on the ticket for 10 days. I'd like to hear more from her as well, but there's a stark difference between the two situations. She'll do some interviews and have a debate in the next 3-4 weeks. You'll know plenty by then. |
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#3587 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Quote:
I'm sure that is true, but it won't prevent me from losing lots of respect for anyone that pushes an out of context position that is 180 degrees away from the in context position. Just because people are dumb enough to fall for it doesn't make doing it OK. |
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#3588 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
And you can be sure you'll be helping to prove that correct.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3589 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
Kind of like Obama's campaign still stating that McCain wants to keep troops in Iraq for 100 years when speaking on the campaign trail? Or several other gross misquotes used by both campaigns? The words 'politics' and 'respect' should never be used in the same sentence. They just don't go well together. |
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#3590 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
It's the respect and deference part I have a problem with.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3591 |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Oh, I know it to be correct. I've got two grandparents in their 90s that still vote in every single election. They store away every single attack ad ever shown on TV and then regurgitate the 'facts' to everyone at their dinner table at the nursing home. They believe every word of it. It's not pretty, but to act like it doesn't happen is a gross misstep. There's a reason attack ads are so effective when done well. |
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#3592 | ||
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Quote:
Fox doesn't seem to care that everyone understands they are unbiased. They aren't attempting journalistic integrity. NBC is making that attempt, and the MSNBC coverage was damaging that integrity. If MSNBC could be spun off to something that didn't reflect on NBC, they could probably tell everyone else to fuck off. Quote:
I don't get how they can actually expect Palin to not do interviews. I also don't expect how they can expect there won't be outrage at this. To me, refusing to do interviews means you've got something major to hide. There should be backlash. |
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#3593 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
There's a difference though. McCain, in fact, does support keeping a large troop presence in Iraq for one-hundred years. He doesn't support a one-hundred year war.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3594 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Quote:
There's a big difference between admitting it happens and helping to make it happen.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#3595 | |
Dark Cloud
Join Date: Apr 2001
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Quote:
Heart is donating a portion of the royalties to Obama's campaign. It's apparently a win-win.
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Current dynasty: OOTP25 Blitz: RTS meets Moneyball / Women's Basketball Alternate History | OOTP Mod: Managerial Strategy Files | GM Excel Competitive Balance Tax/Revenue Sharing Calc | FBCB Mods on Github |
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#3596 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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Quote:
This isn't a left or right thing. I don't like either side using misquotes to try to frame the other candidate poorly. My comments on respect weren't directed at Obama, McCain, or their campaign staff. Politics is slimy business and I expect politicians to be slimy. My comments on respect were directed at you. You knew that was out of context, yet you chose to call it a miscue. I don't respect that. |
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#3597 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
Particularly when there's no respect of the opposition. I mean, what's so hard to grasp about the reality that many on the two sides wouldn't piss on each other if they happened along as the other spontaneously combusted? (not that you don't get that, just the notion in general) edit to add: Frankly, either side that doesn't take advantage of something that can be portrayed as a misstep isn't very smart in bypassing the opportunity (unless of course there's a risk of backfire higher than the potential reward).
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis Last edited by JonInMiddleGA : 09-08-2008 at 09:22 AM. |
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#3598 | |
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Quote:
"Do you think it's appropriate that you're the first woman candidate when you want to force women to hide in alleys with closehangers for abortions?" It would be akin to someone asking Obama "In light of the recent comments, what was the reason you stopped worshiping the Muslim religion, did it have anything to do with 9-11?" - It's a rediculous question and no matter how he responded he would sound defensive. You think Obama would take interviews if the tone was like that? Or even McCain? I doubt it. It's smart for her to do this - over 50% in a recent poll blame the press for trying to smear her and this plays very well with them. I'm sure she will do some sort of "friendly" interview at some point, but there's really no reason to. McCain is in about the best spot he could be right now - why make a play with Palin like this until he needs to? As an aside, I'm seeing a lot of parallels between Palin and Clarence Thomas. There was a certain percentage incensed that Thomas (a conservative against affirmative action) was the next black man after Marshall on the supreme court (very pro affirmative action). The anger and vitriol towards Thomas was almost unprecedented for a supreme court justice. I see kind of a similar thing with the pro choice movement and Palin. Why would anyone want to participate in that type of dialog that will be nothing but extremely mean and completely unfair? |
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#3599 | ||
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
I defer to Webster's Dictionary. It's an excellent read for those that haven't read it. Quote:
He made a mistake, did he not? Miscue, per the definition, is a mistake. The word 'miscue' does not have any relevance to context. You're overanalyzing this. |
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#3600 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
To be honest, the above comments to me seem like a good reason to toss Palin to the wolves even quicker. If they ask stupid questions like the ones you mention above, the backlash would only increase and further invalidate the media, regardless of her responses. The media is already limping along at this point. Why not let the media finish themselves off if you're the Republicans? All she has to do is smile and wave to the camera at this point. They'll hang themselves. |
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