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View Poll Results: Who will take the White House? | |||
Obama |
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151 | 68.95% |
McCain |
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63 | 28.77% |
Surprise? (Maybe Mr. Trout?) |
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5 | 2.28% |
Voters: 219. You may not vote on this poll |
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Thread Tools |
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#5001 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
Of those, strictly FWIW & IMHO, barring any huge developments (i.e. if the campaign just played out the string from here with no major gaffes/home runs from either candidate) I figure Obama wins Virginia & Colorado, the Georgia one sounds about right, and I think McCain may actually win both Ohio & Minnesota.
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#5002 |
Dark Cloud
Join Date: Apr 2001
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#5003 | |
Checkraising Tourists
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cocoa Beach, FL
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Quote:
These polls are all over the place. Demographically, the way that these states tie into the popular vote, there is no conceivable way that McCain could win Minnesota while losing Virginia and Colorado. |
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#5004 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
Call it a fluky hunch based on a combination of the polling data I'm seeing & a (un)healthy dose of gut. I've had a bad feeling about Virginia for quite a while now and I've actually been surprised Colorado has been red for as long as it has. Minnesota, for whatever reason, I've had a similar sort of good feeling about in spite of its blue background in recent elections. Also, considering how split we've been as a country for quite a while, something completely off the wall like the scenario I mentioned would actually make a weird sort of sense. Assuming the two are really very close on election day, the swap of Virginia & Minnesota could happen on the basis of nothing more than different weather patterns driving turnout up or down.
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#5005 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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#5006 |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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I love seeing things like the chart above because it borders on indisputable and what you see is what you get, so the ads from either side stating stuff that contradicts the above simply become dressing in an attempt to 'spin'.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL |
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#5007 |
Resident Alien
Join Date: Jun 2001
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That's a great chart. Really shows who is helping the middle class, and who likes to make the rich richer.
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#5008 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
This leads me to the problem I have with a lot of people in this country not just conservatives though they are the primary "offenders'. The fact that many american's feel we are the "big shot hot shots" of the world and can do as we please with no thought for other people. The feeling of if you are against us fuck you get out of our way. This my friends is not the American way my father fought in WW 2 in the Pacific for. We are a nation of 290 million pople on a planet of 6.721 billion! So why should evryone fall in line with basically 120 million peoples views since even half the adult population is against it? That is by the way less than 2% of the world pop. And this may all sound like I am not patriotic or proud of being American and to that I say you would be wrong. I as many others on this board chose to serve my country in my case for 8 years in the military and another 4 years in the government. During that time I was in combat in the Gulf War and spent most of 11 yeras living in foreign country's including living among the locals. This experience has given me invaluable opportunites to learn what others thought as opposed to just talking about what I thought. I guess I just think we should start listening alittle more instead of just talking.IMHO. ![]() |
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#5009 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Quote:
There is a third chart that is missing from that site, based on total tax burden: ![]()
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"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
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#5010 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Hometown of Canada
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Am I reading the chart correctly if I say that Obama wants to lower taxes for the bottom/middle income people?
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#5011 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Honolulu, HI
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Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election.
Connecticut, Obama 53 McCain 41. Previous Rasmussen (7/31) Obama 51 McCain 36. Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. New Jersey, Obama 55 McCain 42. Previous Rasmussen (08/04) Obama 48 McCain 40. Likely voters.
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"Teams don't want to make the trip anymore," says Hawaii coach June Jones. "They come here, we kick their ass, they go home." Fire Ron Lee. |
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#5012 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
You are correct sir you do have the right to say what you like in response which is precisely one thing a lot of conservatives would like to take away from Marxist pinkos like myself that won't tow the line. But, the problem is with your response of " go fuck yourself" is that is not meant as a constructive or postive communicative response just as a combative answer. |
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#5013 |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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well I guess the first question is where you draw the line to mean 'bottom/middle'?
Then you could say that that may be the plan. Whether or not one candidate is 'trusted' to accomplish this is another story.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL |
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#5014 | |||
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
Sums it up pretty well IMO. Quote:
To that I can only say "Bullshit". I'd say that's a significant part of why he was sent there to fight ... along with making sure we handed out a healthy dose of payback of course. Or have you forgotten the colonial nature of quite a few of the allies? Quote:
Depends largely upon what's being said is worth hearing. And most stuff, frankly, isn't.
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#5015 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Appleton, WI
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#5016 | ||
Stadium Announcer
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Burke, VA
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Quote:
As opposed to the constructiveness of "There sure are a lot of stupid Americans"? As to the "Marxist pinkos", I have no problem with them speaking their mind. As a talk show host, it typically gives me a great deal to talk about! It's not conservatives who are pushing for a return to the Fairness Doctrine. It's not conservatives who are sending out blast e-mails demanding that supporters call radio stations and protest conservative guests speaking about politics. It's not conservatives that are setting up "free speech zones" and speech codes on college campuses. Yes, there are plenty of conservatives who would love to see restrictions on speech. There are also plenty of Marxist pinkos who'd love to do the same. Quote:
There's a difference between recognizing the unique and dramatic contributions that the mere existance of the United States has had on the world, and not giving a damn about the rest of the world. You spent most of 11 years living in foreign countries, protecting the interests not just of the United States, but of those locals as well. I'd say that's a fairly good demonstration of the United States' concern for other countries in and of itself. But when I say we're the greatest country on earth, I mean it. It's not through any of MY contributions, and it's more than the contributions of people like yourself, your father, or my own (who also fought in the Pacific in WWII). The fact is that before 1776, no country had ever done what our Founders did, and you could make a case that no country after has ever been as successful at it as we have. Our Commander-in-Chief stepped down after the war to gain independence, instead of becoming a military dictator. He stepped down as President after two terms, instead of serving for life. Our 2nd president stepped down after being defeated, and turned the country over to the rightful winner of the election, despite the fact that the two parties believed the other was veering dangerously close to treasonously violating the ideals of the Revolution. The Civil War may not have started as an abolitionist movement, but that's what it became. After the war was over, we unified once again. No matter how unstable it might have been, we did not erupt once more into civil war. We live in a melting pot of cultures, with relatively little inter-cultural friction. We have had a stable government for 150 years, despite aquisition of new lands and an end to the days of geographic isolation. And all the time, we continued to grow as a world power, because we understand the world as it is, not how we would like it to be. Has there ever been a time in history where the civilized world has NOT had a dominant power? Perhaps the Dark Ages would qualify, and we all know what a world that was. It is, IMHO, beyond silliness to think that if America suddenly ceases to be a hyperpower, that some other country won't take its place. So who should that power be? If the United States is not the greatest nation on earth, who would you propose take its place?
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I don't want the world. I just want your half. Last edited by CamEdwards : 09-18-2008 at 04:42 PM. Reason: hit reply too early |
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#5017 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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Quote:
well that's just stupid. You should hear everything so that you can decide what to do with it.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL |
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#5018 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
Valid points. |
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#5019 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
But how many times do you need to hear the same crap that you've already rejected? Crap is crap, regardless of the language. Or do you actually believe there's a significant amount of anything "new" coming from any quarter (including those I agree with) at this point, i.e. something that hasn't already been said countless times over? Or do you just have so much spare time that you care to hear the same rejected ideas/concepts in multiple accents?
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#5020 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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Quote:
I guess im being too technical. Im saying that before someone opens their mouth you can't be certain what is going to come out so you *should* listen and then decide to ignore it/consider it/ etc.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL |
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#5021 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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Quote:
That would be very interesting. Obama likely still wins in that scenario, since he's almost certain to win Iowa. Right now he's got Kerry's 252. Losing MN gets him down to 242. Winning IA (7), CO (9), and VA (13) would get him to 271 electoral votes. Right now, the most fun scenario is if Obama wins the Kerry states, and adds IA, NM, and NV. That would give each candidate 269 and send the election to the House.
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Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
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#5022 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2005
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Nobody's e-mail is safe. Bored 4chan users got to Barack Obama's GMail account a day after they hacked into Palin's e-mail yesterday.
theonion.com link The "Need experience? We can help..." Monster.com ad was a nice touch ![]() |
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#5023 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
The Big 10 battleground polls that came out today have Iowa tied which really surprised me because I don't think it's that close. The DM Register poll that came out last week had Obama up 12 and they're probably the best pollster in the state. Maybe McCain has different internal numbers that are showing a big swing from the Palin pick. Huckabee won here in January so there is a base she can get here. McCain came to Iowa last month and reiterated his opposition to ethanol subsidies. He never does well in the Iowa caucuses and I still think it's the surest Red state pickup for Obama so I don't understand McCain's strategy either. |
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#5024 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
Good post and appreciate the thought you put into it. I agree with alot that you said here. The thing that makes me crazy is that both sides the "Red" and "Blue" forget too often we are all Americans as well as members of the world as well. That is all I am saying. I really wish we all could get back to the USA and less this us against them shit in the US today between the two sides. |
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#5025 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
But if we're talking about, let's call them philosophical issues/big picture stuff/etc. then probability, past experience with someone on other subjects, other known information, etc. provides a good bit of information that saves time otherwise wasted. And ultimately, whether you agree or disagree with the other person specifically, what are the odds that they're actually going to say something you haven't already heard, assessed, and formed a position on already? Maybe that's one of those YMMV things but for me it's pretty low.
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#5026 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Interesting fight over one of Obama's ads:
CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - Obama’s Limbaugh ad causes stir « - Blogs from CNN.com I wonder how much traction this will gain since most informed people know that McCain got a LOT of flack by his party for turning his back on them during the illegal immigration debate. Trying to link him to Limbaugh may provide short term gains, but it may hurt Obama as he gets tarred with the "race-bating" brush.
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"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
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#5027 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Quote:
But I'd say there's a great deal of "us vs them" that's a reality, unfortunate or not. There are significantly fewer widely shared values today than, say, the 1940's. Better, worse, indifferent, whatever, the reality is that "United" is well on it's well to becoming an obvious misnomer.
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"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#5028 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Quote:
I love the Cheney and Carter emails ![]() LOL!! I just saw the Biden one in the trash folder!
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"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams Last edited by ISiddiqui : 09-18-2008 at 05:06 PM. |
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#5029 | |
Stadium Announcer
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Burke, VA
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Quote:
Me too, which is why I'm less offended by an American saying "there sure are a lot of stupid Americans" than I am a foreigner saying it. ![]() No matter how many differences we have, we will always have at least ONE thing in common with each other. And you're right, it's easy to forget that.
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I don't want the world. I just want your half. |
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#5030 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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More Big 10 Battleground (RV)....
PA: tied 45-45 MI: Obama 48-44 WI: Obama 45-44 IA: tied 45-45 IN: McCain 47-43 IL: Obama 53-37 Also, Pew Research released a National poll showing a 46-46 tie.
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Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
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#5031 | |
Stadium Announcer
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Burke, VA
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Speaking of the Palin e-mail hack, this is from Wired:
Palin E-Mail Hacker Says It Was Easy | Threat Level from Wired.com Quote:
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I don't want the world. I just want your half. |
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#5032 |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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I'd be highly suspicious of that, because usually when a name is used in a posting at 4chan, it is almost never that person doing the posting. 99% of the time, the posting is done by 'anonymous'. If it is true, then he is one of the dumbest people ever to log on to the intertubes.
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Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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#5033 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2005
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Quote:
![]() That's pretty embarrassing. |
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#5034 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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MBBF, this is the inevitable ROI I was talking about earlier. It isn't a reflection on Palin in particular because ROI and it's diminishment, occurs with almost everything:
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL Last edited by Flasch186 : 09-18-2008 at 05:48 PM. |
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#5035 |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Really? I have to admit I'd be a somewhat proud papa.
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#5036 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: The State of Insanity
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That your son has initiated his own mini-Watergate and accomplished, absolutely nothing?
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Check out Foz's New Video Game Site, An 8-bit Mind in an 8GB world! http://an8bitmind.com |
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#5037 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
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now this is just ridiculous IMO. He's not going to abide by the subpoena, wow. Troopergate has been hijacked by GOP strategy and that is a shame that, IMO, IMFO, they'd be more apt to hide the truth (whatever it may be) than let it come out:
Palin's husband refuses to testify in probe - Yahoo! News Quote:
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL |
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#5038 |
Sick as a Parrot
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Surfers Paradise, Australia
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Slowly the American people are beginning to realise that Palin is something of a fraud. Most Americans, many Republicans, are far less right wing than Palin. When Palin says to trust her to attack earmarking in Washington with "I told them "Thanks, but no thanks"" she's selling you bullshit - she only turned against the bridge when Congress refused to increase the earmarking and she had to go to the Alaskan people themselves (who knew the bridge was a waste of money) for the extra funding. Even then she found a legal way of retaining the money without building the bridge.
There was no "no thanks" it was a case of "give me more". She's asking you to trust her while simultaneously lying to you. Her religion is extreme - it's Pentecostalism which is fundamentalist Christianity at the whacky end. And the Wasilla church is at the whacky end of Pentecostalism. When Pentecostalists say they want creationism taught in science classes they're not talking of the pseudo-scientific ideas of Intelligent Design, they're talking about a literal interpretation of Genesis. How many Americans want "the world was created in 6 days" taught in science classes? The superficial appeal - the attractive, personable, feisty hockey-mom appeal - is wearing off and reality slowly sinking in. She's hopelessly inexperienced, has views to the far right of most Americans, is disingenuous in representing her experiences and not what you want in charge at the White House (which could well happen because of McCain's age and ill health). It might even be that she can transcend these failings - but there's no way of knowing that at this point and it's a hell of a risk to assume that it's so. The next president is facing enormous problems, in a collapsing economy, a resurgent Russia and growing China and in climate change. You cannot assume that this woman can make the enormous leap from small town Alaska to most powerful person in the world.
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Mac Howard - a Pom in Paradise Last edited by Mac Howard : 09-18-2008 at 10:28 PM. |
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#5039 |
Stadium Announcer
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Burke, VA
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Mac,
You do realize she's not running for president, right? As for the whole "slowly the American people are starting to realize" nonsense, nobody expected that the post-convention bounce was going to be permanent. 2000 was extremely close, 2004 was extremely close, and 2008 looks like it's going to be extremely close.
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I don't want the world. I just want your half. |
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#5040 | |||
Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Quote:
The bridge funding went from a congressional earmark to a state transportation project before she was Governor...and retaining the federal money was the work of Sen. Stevens and former Gov Murkowski in 2005. Quote:
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#5041 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
I think the point that Marc is trying to make is that if McCain is elected and dies in office at some point, you're stuck with Palin as your new president. It really should be a factor that votes are thinking about. |
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#5042 |
Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Not really. The President of the United States receives the best health care in the world and the odds that one will die from health reasons seems about the same as me hitting a hole in one on a par 4. I'd say there are greater odds that a U.S. President dies from a bullet than from failing health...at least that's what history tells us anyway. With that the case, we should be equally concerned about the possibility of Joe Biden as President. That's just as worrisome as a Palin presidency, so it's basically a wash in my mind.
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#5043 | |||
Sick as a Parrot
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Surfers Paradise, Australia
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Quote:
I believe you have the timing wrong but it's irrelevant. Palin is trying to tell you she'd be a crusader against earmarking and tells you that she said "thanks, but no thanks" to the money earmarked for Alaska to convince you of her sincerety. You are clearly intended to believe that she turned down the money. SHE KEPT IT!!!! Any reasonable interpretation of "No thanks" is that she refused the money. SHE TOOK IT!!! She deliberately misleads Americans even as she asks for their trust! Quote:
1) would he be allowed to? 2) did he? 3) was he also a pentecostalist? Your assumptions are all part of a denial process. We know nothing of what her father did or did not do and such "assumptions" (I would suggest "rationalisations") are meaningless. Quote:
With enormous amounts of experience beyond small town admin. Masses of difference - no one could suggest Biden has less relevant experience than Palin (Obama, maybe.) I don't say Biden is the right man for the job but his experience would push the balance of probabilities very much in his direction. You can twist and turn as much as you like - Palin's experience does not qualify her for the VP position! She may be capable of rising above it, we can't know. But that's a different matter - her inexperience is a problem and Americans, having now gone beyond the initial appeal, are beginning to realise that.
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Mac Howard - a Pom in Paradise Last edited by Mac Howard : 09-18-2008 at 11:40 PM. |
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#5044 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2003
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Quote:
Cam, do you really want to extend this logic? Are you actually arguing that factual criticism is invalid if you don't like the source? The next-time some conservative talking head comes on and starts talking about the decline of the African-American family due to single-parenthood, I take it you support the Jesse Jackson / Al Sharpton approach of dismissing criticism because it comes from an "outsider"? Look, I understand the defense mechanism aspect of a reflex reaction, but criticism should be judged on its value, not that of the critic. Last edited by Crapshoot : 09-18-2008 at 11:43 PM. |
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#5045 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
Yeah really. You know McCain has already been diagnosed 3 or 4 times with skin cancer right? |
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#5046 | ||||
Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Quote:
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#5047 | |
Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Quote:
Big whoop. The odds that either of them die in office from health reasons are too small to make a difference for anything. |
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#5048 | ||
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Berkeley
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Quote:
Palin Governor of Alaska - 2 years Mayor of Wasilla - 6 years City Council Member - 4 years Quote:
Biden United States Senator - 36 years County Council Member - 2 years Are you seriously arguing that Palin has more relevant experience than Biden? Two years at governor isn't long. If she had four years experience at that level it would be one thing, but two? Last edited by Daimyo : 09-19-2008 at 12:02 AM. |
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#5049 | ||
Sick as a Parrot
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Surfers Paradise, Australia
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Quote:
Then why did she say she refused the money? You're missing the point completely. The complaint is not that she accepted the money but that she told you she'd refused it. "Thanks, but no thanks!" She clearly intends you to believe she refused the money. SHE TOOK IT! There is the hypocrisy! "Trust me! I've refused earmarking before." Oh, but wait ....... Quote:
You make far too many assumptions. I'm well aware she's governor of Alaska. But 18 months as governor of Alaska does not equip her to be VP and certainly not President. There are many demands that are not remotely required of the governor of such a small state. Not least foreign affairs. She simply doesn't have the experience and it is ludicrous to suggest she does.
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Mac Howard - a Pom in Paradise |
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#5050 |
Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Not at all. I'm arguing that regardless of experience, the prospect of Joe Biden as President is just as unappealing as the prospect of Sarah Palin as President. After his showing in the primary race, I would suspect that most people agree with me.
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