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Old 03-06-2012, 11:17 PM   #1701
Crapshoot
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I'm fascinated. If you're a hard-core conservative who doesnt trust Romney, there is little doubt that if Newt dropped out, Santorum would have won Ohio. Does Newt's ego have no bounds? (that's a hypothetical question, btw - I know the answer )
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:19 PM   #1702
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Does Newt's ego have no bounds? (that's a hypothetical question, btw - I know the answer )

Well aren't you the rhetorical one?

To both his benefit & his detriment (as well as ours), his ego defines him more than anything I can think of.
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Old 03-07-2012, 12:15 AM   #1703
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Doesn't look like Romney got the knockout he was hoping for., He's still the favorite, and there will be pressure on Gingrich to make this a two man (plus Ron Paul) fight.

The conventional wisdom is that the R's want a clear and direct winner, so to avoid the possibility of Ron Paul hijacking a brokered convention
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Old 03-07-2012, 12:40 AM   #1704
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Ron Paul hijacking a brokered convention

That would be AWESOME!

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Old 03-07-2012, 12:48 AM   #1705
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That would be AWESOME!

It would be, but I doubt it would live up to the vision I had just now of Ron Paul and a bunch of ninjas repelling down the convention walls on cables before decapitating a few lower-level delegates as a warning to others.
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Old 03-07-2012, 12:49 AM   #1706
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I think there are a few states Gingrich is favored in in the South coming up. Isn't he ahead in Mississippi and Alabama?
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Old 03-07-2012, 02:42 AM   #1707
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I think there are a few states Gingrich is favored in in the South coming up. Isn't he ahead in Mississippi and Alabama?

There hasn't been much polling done. Gingrich had a significant edge when these states were last polled in November, but things have changed quite a bit since then.

I would imagine Gingrich has at least a decent chance of winning both. Then again, in November Santorum was polling at 1% in Tennessee.

What I take away from today is that Romney has the money and the nationwide support to win this nomination fairly easily. Even on a day when the state lineup wasn't to his advantage, he still scored the majority of the delegates.

If Santorum wins Alabama and Mississippi next week, I think Gingrich might very well drop out and support him. His dislike of Romney has become very personal the last couple of months, and probably for good reason.

If you firmly believe Santorum or Gingrich have a chance of winning the nomination, you can make a lot of money on InTrade right now.
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Old 03-07-2012, 04:46 AM   #1708
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Romney just strikes me as a bad politician. He's been running for President for five years and his only way of winning so far this year has been to destroy his opponents with attack ads if they rise up to compete with him with his overwhelming cash advantage, something he won't have in the general. He's running against guys that are running so much on a shoestring budget they can't get on the ballot in some states and weren't able to line up delegates in others even if they had won there, and he can't slam the door shut.
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Old 03-07-2012, 03:25 PM   #1709
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If you firmly believe Santorum or Gingrich have a chance of winning the nomination, you can make a lot of money on InTrade right now.
Intrade puts Obama's odds of reelection at 60 percent right now. A lot can and will change in the next eight months though.

At this point in 2008, McCain had the nomination clinched and the Obama-Clinton fight would last more than two more months.

Oddly, I do think it's in Romney's best interest for everybody else to stay in the race if they aren't dropping out together. If the anti-Romney vote coalesces around Santorum, it's early enough for Romney to be caught. The best thing Romney has going for him now is Gingrich's ego. Gingrich appears incapable of bowing out.

I do not agree with the conventional wisdom that the longer the fight, the better for Obama. By the time October comes around, what else can be said about Romney that hasn't been said? I think this primary campaign will inoculate Romney to a degree for the general election.
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Old 03-07-2012, 03:47 PM   #1710
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Maybe I missed an earlier mention of it but ... did everyone notice that Dennis Kucinich lost his seat last night? (to another D incumbent, they had been redistricted together after Ohio lost a couple of seats in reapportionment)
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Old 03-07-2012, 03:48 PM   #1711
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As well as Jean Schmidt losing hers.
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Old 03-07-2012, 03:50 PM   #1712
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Intrade puts Obama's odds of reelection at 60 percent right now. A lot can and will change in the next eight months though.

At this point in 2008, McCain had the nomination clinched and the Obama-Clinton fight would last more than two more months.

Oddly, I do think it's in Romney's best interest for everybody else to stay in the race if they aren't dropping out together. If the anti-Romney vote coalesces around Santorum, it's early enough for Romney to be caught. The best thing Romney has going for him now is Gingrich's ego. Gingrich appears incapable of bowing out.

I do not agree with the conventional wisdom that the longer the fight, the better for Obama. By the time October comes around, what else can be said about Romney that hasn't been said? I think this primary campaign will inoculate Romney to a degree for the general election.

I saw a graph a while ago that showed that favorability ratings don't rise a lot during the presidential campaign. If Romney wins in November he'll have to overcome a -10 to -15 net favorability.

I've been in the likability wins presidential elections camp for years and I don't think Romney can win being a gaffe prone robot.
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Old 03-07-2012, 03:52 PM   #1713
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As well as Jean Schmidt losing hers.

Difference being (I think) that most of our politically inclined folks know who DK is/was, I'm not sure everyone in that district could have identified JS
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Old 03-07-2012, 03:52 PM   #1714
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Romney just strikes me as a bad politician. He's been running for President for five years and his only way of winning so far this year has been to destroy his opponents with attack ads if they rise up to compete with him with his overwhelming cash advantage, something he won't have in the general. He's running against guys that are running so much on a shoestring budget they can't get on the ballot in some states and weren't able to line up delegates in others even if they had won there, and he can't slam the door shut.

He's a bad politician, hell in 1994 Kennedy beat him by making him look weak on crime! The real problem, though, is that his ideology doesn't fit with the current GOP and everyone can tell that he's trying to say whatever the base wants to hear.
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Old 03-07-2012, 04:08 PM   #1715
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He's a bad politician, hell in 1994 Kennedy beat him by making him look weak on crime! The real problem, though, is that his ideology doesn't fit with the current GOP and everyone can tell that he's trying to say whatever the base wants to hear.

So let's see here ... half the people aren't going to vote for him regardless of what he says and at least a portion aren't going to vote for him because they can't believe what he says.

Oh yeah, this will end well.
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Old 03-07-2012, 06:33 PM   #1716
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So let's see here ... half the people aren't going to vote for him regardless of what he says and at least a portion aren't going to vote for him because they can't believe what he says.

Oh yeah, this will end well.

But aren't the other two options "Half the people aren't going to vote for him and at least a portion aren't going to vote for him because they hate what he says"?

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Old 03-07-2012, 06:34 PM   #1717
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Maybe I missed an earlier mention of it but ... did everyone notice that Dennis Kucinich lost his seat last night? (to another D incumbent, they had been redistricted together after Ohio lost a couple of seats in reapportionment)

He struck me a little as the Ron Paul of the left. Tho that was in the "good" old days of "let the crazies on the outside debate the issue and then the pragmatists in the middle craft a compromise"

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Old 03-07-2012, 06:58 PM   #1718
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But aren't the other two options "Half the people aren't going to vote for him and at least a portion aren't going to vote for him because they hate what he says"?

Big hunk of the latter would be in the former (at least that's what makes sense to me).

After all, it isn't Robamney's campaign messages that lost any shot at me, it's his actions and the lack of trust I have in virtually anything he says.
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Old 03-07-2012, 07:11 PM   #1719
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He struck me a little as the Ron Paul of the left. Tho that was in the "good" old days of "let the crazies on the outside debate the issue and then the pragmatists in the middle craft a compromise"

SI

Agree with first part. Scary that Paul and Kucinich are the "crazies" that are anti-war while McCain and Obama can compromise on which countries we can lose American lives in. It's also interesting that him and Paul really try to bring attention to the plutocracy in Washington DC/New York City while the compromisers you speak of sell the voters on being for the 99% while taking the 1%'s money in droves and voting completely in the 1%'s interests. But what the hell why stop the out of control spending when you can compromise and waste money on interests of both the right and the left?

I don't agree with a lot of Kucinich's socialist solutions to problems but he sure as hell had more integrity than most of the members of Congress.

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Old 03-07-2012, 07:15 PM   #1720
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It's funny how much Paul/Kucinich and OWS/Tea partiers have in common. Enough at least, to make one more than a little cynical about the two party system.
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Old 03-07-2012, 07:17 PM   #1721
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Still, it's still just a veneer, of sorts. It turns out Ron Paul's district isn't suffering for government money because of his "principles", for instance.

At the end of the day, you can choose to just hold out on principle and never get anything you would want or cut some bad deals to at least do some "good". Standing on principle is good, but you still have to govern and if you don't then someone will take it out of your hands.

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Old 03-07-2012, 07:24 PM   #1722
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Still, it's still just a veneer, of sorts. It turns out Ron Paul's district isn't suffering for government money because of his "principles", for instance.

At the end of the day, you can choose to just hold out on principle and never get anything you would want or cut some bad deals to at least do some "good". Standing on principle is good, but you still have to govern and if you don't then someone will take it out of your hands.

SI

Nah I don't agree with that at all. I would say there are definitely politicians that are complete faux populists who have no principles (Romney), politicians who will stand by the ideals but compromise when needed, and then Paul/Nader/Kucinich. I think you are stretching it a bit to use the term veneer with any of the three of them. Do they kill their electability? Sure. But its a pretty big stretch to call them out on integrity.
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:06 PM   #1723
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Romney just strikes me as a bad politician. He's been running for President for five years and his only way of winning so far this year has been to destroy his opponents with attack ads if they rise up to compete with him with his overwhelming cash advantage, something he won't have in the general. He's running against guys that are running so much on a shoestring budget they can't get on the ballot in some states and weren't able to line up delegates in others even if they had won there, and he can't slam the door shut.

He sounds good when talking about the economy. His "jobs will trickle down if we cut taxes" bit is laughable, but he does sound informed on how things worked. Kind of odd that the GOP has turned away from the economy and toward things like contraceptives.
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:48 PM   #1724
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He sounds good when talking about the economy. His "jobs will trickle down if we cut taxes" bit is laughable, but he does sound informed on how things worked. Kind of odd that the GOP has turned away from the economy and toward things like contraceptives.

That's exactly the problem though. He sounds good on the economy, but when you look closer at his proposals, there's no "there" there.

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Take Romney’s proposed overhaul of the tax code. Vague on details and short on substance, it’s more like a press release than anything resembling an actual plan to rewrite the country’s massive, complex tax code. The few details it does reveal tend to focus on the goodies Romney would like to offer and less on their price. Romney proposes an across the board tax cut along with cuts to the corporate rate and various other reductions, including a repeal of the alternative minimum tax. Combined, the Manhattan Institute’s Josh Barro estimates that Romney’s proposals would reduce federal tax revenues by up to $5 trillion over the next decade.

In keeping with his vow to balance the federal budget, Romney also promises to make these cuts in a way that’s revenue neutral. How? He’s yet to say. The plan indicates that Romney would rely on dynamic tax effects while closing tax loopholes and reducing spending in order to offset the lost revenue. Which loopholes would he snip? Which spending would he cut? Anyone wondering about these questions might as well ask a magic eight ball, which would at least provide an answer.

Indeed, Romney has actually employed the plan’s murkiness as a way of responding to outside groups that have tried to tally its economic effects and found it wanting. “I think it’s interesting for the groups to try and score it because it can’t be scored because those kind of details have to be worked out with Congress and we have a wide array of options,” Romney said on CNBC earlier today.
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:50 PM   #1725
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Kucinich is probably bummed out about having to spend more time at home banging his hot wife(or at least I remember her being hot)
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Old 03-07-2012, 08:56 PM   #1726
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Kucinich is probably bummed out about having to spend more time at home banging his hot wife(or at least I remember her being hot)

If you're into ginger's with British accents (she's from Essex) ...



She also has her tongue pierced with a silver stud.

Which reminds me
Q: What do Essex girls use for protection?
A: Bus shelters

Q: What's the difference between an Essex girl and an ironing board?
A: Ironing boards legs are difficult to part.

Q: What does an Essex girl say after sex?
A: "Do you really all play for the same football team?"
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Old 03-07-2012, 09:04 PM   #1727
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If she was into role playing Dr Quinn and/or Celine Dion I could deal with that.
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Old 03-07-2012, 10:38 PM   #1728
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Which reminds me
Q: What do Essex girls use for protection?
A: Bus shelters

Q: What's the difference between an Essex girl and an ironing board?
A: Ironing boards legs are difficult to part.

Q: What does an Essex girl say after sex?
A: "Do you really all play for the same football team?"

As a proud graduate of the University of Essex I have to say... that's mostly true actually. Any personal connection to the area?
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Old 03-07-2012, 10:48 PM   #1729
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As a proud graduate of the University of Essex I have to say... that's mostly true actually. Any personal connection to the area?

None whatsoever, I just thought the jokes were funny & stole them from the same place I found the picture

edit: I also thought they might help us understand how she ended up with the little shrimp
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Old 03-08-2012, 06:14 AM   #1730
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Maybe I missed an earlier mention of it but ... did everyone notice that Dennis Kucinich lost his seat last night? (to another D incumbent, they had been redistricted together after Ohio lost a couple of seats in reapportionment)

The Democrats are probably happy he lost given his position on many issues.
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Old 03-08-2012, 10:58 AM   #1731
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Damn Dennis. Dude must be hung like a horse or has got such good game, I find it hard to believe he lost the race.
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Old 03-08-2012, 01:23 PM   #1732
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Maybe I missed an earlier mention of it but ... did everyone notice that Dennis Kucinich lost his seat last night? (to another D incumbent, they had been redistricted together after Ohio lost a couple of seats in reapportionment)

And the Republican nominee for that seat in November is Joe the Plumber. I shit you not.
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Old 03-08-2012, 01:28 PM   #1733
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And the Republican nominee for that seat in November is Joe the Plumber. I shit you not.

Damn! A Kucinich vs. Joe the Plumber race would've been the most entertaining congressional election ever.
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Old 03-08-2012, 01:50 PM   #1734
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Damn! A Kucinich vs. Joe the Plumber race would've been the most entertaining congressional election ever.

No shit, huh? Talk about a missed opportunity.
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Old 03-08-2012, 04:28 PM   #1735
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Philip Rivers has come out in support of Rick Santorum today. Why haven't you!?
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Old 03-08-2012, 04:45 PM   #1736
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Wow. I will never draft him for my fantasy team again. Must have played all last year with a concussion.
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Old 03-08-2012, 04:45 PM   #1737
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Philip Rivers has come out in support of Rick Santorum today. Why haven't you!?

Because no one can take this serious...

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Old 03-08-2012, 04:52 PM   #1738
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Because no one can take this serious...


I could not have asked for a better response than this.
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Old 03-08-2012, 07:05 PM   #1739
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Philip Rivers has come out in support of Rick Santorum today. Why haven't you!?


Did he really???
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Old 03-08-2012, 07:14 PM   #1740
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Did he really???

QB Philip Rivers Endorses Santorum | PoliticsPA

He most certainly did.
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Old 03-08-2012, 07:15 PM   #1741
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Jesus...
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Old 03-08-2012, 07:16 PM   #1742
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Well I'm done with him.

When will these athletes learn that they're better off from a PR standpoint keeping their politics private?

Same thing with that fool Schilling.
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Old 03-08-2012, 07:33 PM   #1743
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Well I'm done with him.

When will these athletes learn that they're better off from a PR standpoint keeping their politics private?

Same thing with that fool Schilling.

Agree completely. Best political story I've read all day though. Was great for a laugh.
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Old 03-08-2012, 08:10 PM   #1744
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Jesus...

...endorses....
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Old 03-08-2012, 08:23 PM   #1745
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Rivers and Santorum are two words that should never be near each other.
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Old 03-08-2012, 08:31 PM   #1746
stevew
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It's disappointing that google reworked its algorithm and the re-definition of Santorum is no longer on top.
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Old 03-09-2012, 12:57 AM   #1747
Solecismic
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Funny, he clearly believes in interception.
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Old 03-09-2012, 02:03 AM   #1748
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Originally Posted by cartman View Post
Rivers and Santorum are two words that should never be near each other.

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Old 03-09-2012, 09:38 AM   #1749
bronconick
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I was wondering why athletes always get more of a backlash then actors for coming out on political stuff. It's been a time honored tradition in Hollywood, after all, and musicians are about as bad. Both are involved in what I'd call "escapism" where when I'm watching, I don't WANT to hear about politics, the starving kids, or whatever, and all I can think of is that when Mel Gibson is an idiot, he makes one movie a year (where he's technically not Mel Gibson during) which is 3 hours of my life that I can choke down my bile or just skip, while if a football player on my favorite team starts going political, that's 16+ games of 3 hours a piece.
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Old 03-09-2012, 09:46 AM   #1750
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Originally Posted by bronconick View Post
I was wondering why athletes always get more of a backlash then actors for coming out on political stuff. It's been a time honored tradition in Hollywood, after all, and musicians are about as bad. Both are involved in what I'd call "escapism" where when I'm watching, I don't WANT to hear about politics, the starving kids, or whatever, and all I can think of is that when Mel Gibson is an idiot, he makes one movie a year (where he's technically not Mel Gibson during) which is 3 hours of my life that I can choke down my bile or just skip, while if a football player on my favorite team starts going political, that's 16+ games of 3 hours a piece.

I don't give actors a pass either FIWW.

Haven't been to a Mel Gibson movie since his nuttiness came out, and haven't been to a Tom Cruise movie since he went postal and super-scientologist. Same thing for Travolta.
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