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Old 03-25-2017, 02:58 PM   #1
Ben E Lou
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Rank these five team performances over a 20-year period.

I'm working on a ranking system. These five teams rated quite close to one another (as they should) in my latest update. Given NO other information, how would you rank these performances:


wins losses ties winpct division playoffs ConfChampAppear bowlwins bowllosses
TEAM1 179 141 0 0.559 6 9 3 2 0
TEAM2 168 152 0 0.525 12 12 2 1 1
TEAM3 188 132 0 0.588 4 9 2 0 1
TEAM4 178 139 3 0.561 4 6 5 1 1
TEAM5 184 136 0 0.575 2 10 1 1 0
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Old 03-25-2017, 03:02 PM   #2
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Old 03-25-2017, 03:18 PM   #3
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1, 4, 2, 5, 3
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Old 03-25-2017, 03:24 PM   #4
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2, 1, 4, 3, 5
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Old 03-25-2017, 03:30 PM   #5
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Old 03-25-2017, 03:40 PM   #6
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Old 03-25-2017, 03:47 PM   #7
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2, 1, 3, 5, 4
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Old 03-25-2017, 04:07 PM   #8
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Old 03-25-2017, 04:30 PM   #9
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Old 03-25-2017, 05:45 PM   #10
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Two and three are obviously the tough ones to peg here. Two could just be in an historically weak division, or they could have come out of/entered a serious swoon. The sustained excellence, though (12 divisional round games) is impossible to ignore.

Then you have the Braves, I mean team three. Regular season excellence and SOME postseason success...But no ring.

1, 4, 5, 2, 3
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Old 03-25-2017, 05:59 PM   #11
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Old 03-25-2017, 06:19 PM   #12
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Old 03-25-2017, 06:58 PM   #13
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1,3,4,2,5
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Old 03-25-2017, 07:01 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vince, Pt. II View Post
Two and three are obviously the tough ones to peg here. Two could just be in an historically weak division, or they could have come out of/entered a serious swoon. The sustained excellence, though (12 divisional round games) is impossible to ignore.
Actually, TEAM2 didn't reach the divisional round 12 times, they won that weak division 12 times.
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Old 03-25-2017, 08:02 PM   #15
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Old 03-25-2017, 08:23 PM   #16
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Old 03-25-2017, 10:10 PM   #17
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2>1>3>4>5
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Old 03-25-2017, 10:11 PM   #18
Warhammer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MIJB#19 View Post
Actually, TEAM2 didn't reach the divisional round 12 times, they won that weak division 12 times.


No, they won a strong division 12 times and then tanked for draft picks
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Old 03-25-2017, 10:27 PM   #19
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Old 03-25-2017, 10:35 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vince, Pt. II View Post
Then you have the Braves, I mean team three. Regular season excellence and SOME postseason success...But no ring.

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Old 03-25-2017, 10:39 PM   #21
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Old 03-25-2017, 11:49 PM   #22
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As said above, 2 and 3 are just brutal to rate. a .588 winning percentage over a 20 year period and only 4 division titles? Holy hell, that's just horrific luck. That kind of sustained excellence over a 20 year period is insane.

If you took just the last ten years in the NFL, only 4 franchises come in at .588 or higher. (Patriots, Packers, Steelers, Colts for those interested, Denver just missed the cut by percentage points)

Now we are talking 20 years? That's unbelievable.

But. . . not titles, very little hardware. Someone else in their division is pretty damned good and left them in the dust.

I'd go: 1, 5, 2, 4, 3. . . but I feel horrible putting 3 in last. They just don't have titles.
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Old 03-25-2017, 11:53 PM   #23
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Old 03-26-2017, 12:00 AM   #24
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Old 03-26-2017, 06:54 AM   #25
Ben E Lou
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TroyF View Post
As said above, 2 and 3 are just brutal to rate. a .588 winning percentage over a 20 year period and only 4 division titles? Holy hell, that's just horrific luck. That kind of sustained excellence over a 20 year period is insane.
Celeval was a really strong owner.
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Old 03-26-2017, 06:59 AM   #26
Ben E Lou
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ALL: Thanks for the feedback. Looking at it helped me shape my system quite a bit. The teams in question were the following. They are now re-ranked using the system that is in place (for now) for my rankings pages. (I just picked a few random 20-year periods in IHOF history until I found one that showed several good teams bunched together. The time frame in question was 2012-2031.) They still show up quite close to one another in the updated system, but the ordering changed.

abbrev TEAM wins losses ties winpct division_titles playoffs conf_appear bowlwins bowllosses score
ORL TEAM1 179 141 0 0.559 6 9 3 2 0 143.2
SYR
TEAM4 178 139 3 0.561 4 6 5
1
1 142.0
GEO
TEAM3 188 132 0 0.588 4 9 2
0 1 141.7
NPL/HAR
TEAM5 184 136 0 0.575 2 10 1
1
0 138.5
ATL TEAM2 168 152 0 0.525 12 12 2
1
1 138.4


Digging deeper (and you can see the histories yourself if you care, by clicking the links):
  • ORL (team 1) was feast or famine during that time. They had a 9-year run with 8 playoff appearances, 4 14+ win seasons, and 2 titles, but in the other 11 seasons only made the playoffs once, and 6 times had 6 wins or less. That sort of performance is the hardest for me to quantify over a longer time period. They were clearly dominant for a time, but pretty much stunk it up otherwise.
  • SYR (team 4) was more consistent, and in a tough division. They only had 2 seasons with fewer than 7 wins during the time. They missed the playoffs in seasons with 10 and 11 wins during the range in question.
  • GEO (team 3) was even more consistent than SYR: only one season with fewer than 7 wins, but only once did they go deep into the postseason. There was at least one other very strong team in their division for almost the entirety of the time frame in question, so it's a bit odd that they had such a strong regular season record but struggled in the postseason. Their division won five rings during these 20 years.
  • NPL/HAR (team 5) had one title and a bunch of nondescript playoff runs. They played in a solid division with SYR.
  • VIC (team 2) definitely benefited from a weak division. (I guess 12 division titles with 0 WCs combined with the low winning percentage should have made that obvious.) They won three straight division titles with 7, 8, and 8 wins at one point. Their one title was won in a season where they were 10-6 division champs.
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Last edited by Ben E Lou : 03-26-2017 at 07:10 AM.
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Old 03-26-2017, 07:21 PM   #27
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Hey, if zapa ever leaves Orlando, I'd love to get back in there. I miss the Talons.
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Old 03-27-2017, 01:01 AM   #28
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I looked at first post before I noticed it was updated. Was going to post 14352. Thought I wouldn't see it by posters and then saw your results. Thought one championship wasnt that good when you thought about twenty years so put 3 ahead of them. Thought it was funny your results matched mine.
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Old 03-27-2017, 10:54 AM   #29
Ramzavail
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I would always put a team with 0 bowl wins lower than a team with one or more.

I really didn't look at much at win pct and I don't think the public would either. Nobody cared about the Braves winning pct, but everybody knew they won 14 straight divisions. I'd take a team with 12 division titles and a bowl win over a team with a better winning pct and 0 bowl wins.
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Old 03-27-2017, 12:16 PM   #30
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Originally Posted by Ramzavail View Post
I would always put a team with 0 bowl wins lower than a team with one or more.

I really didn't look at much at win pct and I don't think the public would either. Nobody cared about the Braves winning pct, but everybody knew they won 14 straight divisions. I'd take a team with 12 division titles and a bowl win over a team with a better winning pct and 0 bowl wins.

I would argue it depends. Knowing now who the teams were, I would have knocked VIC down a peg or two. That was an odd division though, the non VIC division winners typically did some damage in the playoffs, I had 1 run to the championship and one to the conference championship, SAO won a title in there, and FTW went to a title game IIRC. VIC, who won the most division titles, had disappointing runs for the most part.

The point I wanted to make though, is a run like Celeval's is impressive. Regardless of whether or not you win any titles, winning a lot of games is tough to do, and they were always a tough opponent. They just had bad luck in the playoffs. Still, part of the game is to get the chance to play for the title, and they did that consistently. They had one season in the 20 years with fewer than 7 wins. They also did this in the same division with ORL and TUC there as well.
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Old 03-27-2017, 12:18 PM   #31
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I was still going under the premise that I didn't know any of the backstory
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Old 03-27-2017, 12:24 PM   #32
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As a sidebar, it is crazy how good the Northeast and Southeast divisions were. Boston, Syracuse, Rochester, and NPL was a crazy good division. The Southeast was not far behind, Snapfinger being the main slouch.

Also, in my previous post I was wrong about SAO, their title came before this period.
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Old 03-27-2017, 12:24 PM   #33
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I was still going under the premise that I didn't know any of the backstory

Fair enough. I am just fascinated by this.
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Old 03-27-2017, 12:30 PM   #34
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Originally Posted by Ben E Lou View Post
Celeval was a really strong owner.*

* Celeval had some help, of course.
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Old 03-27-2017, 12:38 PM   #35
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Originally Posted by Warhammer View Post
As a sidebar, it is crazy how good the Northeast and Southeast divisions were. Boston, Syracuse, Rochester, and NPL was a crazy good division. The Southeast was not far behind, Snapfinger being the main slouch.

Also, in my previous post I was wrong about SAO, their title came before this period.

tell me about it - I am Rochester
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Old 03-27-2017, 01:20 PM   #36
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And I was Rochester during the period Ben is talking about.
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Old 03-27-2017, 01:44 PM   #37
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heh
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Old 03-27-2017, 08:11 PM   #38
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Did the former SLO Burn ever win a title?
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Old 03-27-2017, 08:16 PM   #39
Ben E Lou
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Originally Posted by Vince, Pt. II View Post
Did the former SLO Burn ever win a title?

http://www.fof-ihof.com/teampagehistory.php?teamid=0
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