Front Office Football Central  

Go Back   Front Office Football Central > Main Forums > Off Topic
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Mark Forums Read Statistics

Reply
 
Thread Tools
Old 11-18-2010, 07:36 PM   #151
JonInMiddleGA
Hall Of Famer
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
We might as well just give the award to the pitcher with the best ERA and take the voting out of it.

Oh shit, now you've really done it.

You just said "ERA" when the stat kiddies are already circling, you might as well have tied raw meat around your neck & jumped into a pool filled with baby sharks.
__________________
"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis

Last edited by JonInMiddleGA : 11-18-2010 at 07:36 PM.
JonInMiddleGA is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 07:37 PM   #152
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
Oh shit, now you've really done it.

You just said "ERA" when the stat kiddies are already circling, you might as well have tied raw meat around your neck & jumped into a pool filled with baby sharks.

Just trying to make it simple. I already looked at the 3 candidates ERA+.

Felix 174
Price 145
CC 134

If I would have said ERA+ I would have been screwed as well because half the crowd wouldnt have known what I was talking about. Its just the nature of baseball stats these days.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-18-2010 at 07:38 PM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 07:42 PM   #153
JPhillips
Hall Of Famer
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
If its the difference between 21 wins and 18 wins its not a huge deal but 13 wins? Some pretty bad pitchers win 13 games in any given season. We also like to comment about how great of a season Felix had. Keep in mind that Felix pitches in a pitchers park while CC pitches in one of the most hitter friendly parks in MLB history.

With that said I have no problems with people saying Felix was the best pitcher in the AL this past year. I just dont like him getting the "Cy Young Award" as I now feel the award has been reduced to something that isnt really a big deal any more. Like you had mentioned the team played games the were meaningless half the year and Felix certainly didnt make much of a difference on this past season.

The award is supposed to honor the best pitcher in each league.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers
JPhillips is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 07:48 PM   #154
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by JPhillips View Post
The award is supposed to honor the best pitcher in each league.

OK. If they are awarding it on individual stats I have no argument as that was Felix this past year in the AL. Id prefer seasons like Halladay for the Cy Young Award but I guess we dont always get that lucky.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 07:56 PM   #155
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Josh Johnson must feel like crap though. He led the entire MLB in ERA+ and didnt get a single first place vote.

Im only partially kidding here. I 100 percent agree with the Halladay choice I just find it interesting the Josh got no love while Felix won it when they had similiar years.

It seems more like they vote on the best pitcher on a good team unless that pitcher has an ERA they dont like then they just pick the best pitcher. Nothing really consistent about what they do.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-18-2010 at 08:00 PM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 09:41 PM   #156
Crapshoot
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
If its the difference between 21 wins and 18 wins its not a huge deal but 13 wins? Some pretty bad pitchers win 13 games in any given season. We also like to comment about how great of a season Felix had. Keep in mind that Felix pitches in a pitchers park while CC pitches in one of the most hitter friendly parks in MLB history.

With that said I have no problems with people saying Felix was the best pitcher in the AL this past year. I just dont like him getting the "Cy Young Award" as I now feel the award has been reduced to something that isnt really a big deal any more. Like you had mentioned the team played games the were meaningless half the year and Felix certainly didnt make much of a difference on this past season.

This is a parody, right?

Last edited by Crapshoot : 11-18-2010 at 09:41 PM.
Crapshoot is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 09:58 PM   #157
BishopMVP
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crapshoot View Post
This year's NL Rookie Class could be one for the ages. - just throwing out there:

- Heyward
- Posey
- Jaime Garcia
- Gaby Sanchez
- Aroldis Chapman (cheating a bit, I know)
- Stratsburg (injured, but still)
- Mike Leake (solid before running out of gas)
- Starlin Castro (playing an above average major league SS at 20)
- Neil Walker / Pedro Alvarez / Jose Tabata (decent young Pirates players)(Bumgarner/Travis Wood)
Over/under on (number in the minors or out of baseball) and (number in a different organization) in 5 years. I'll go 3 and 5.5. Heyward is a no brainer, and Posey and Starlin seem destined for 10+ year careers as well, but as far as pitchers go one is out for all of next year, one threw 13 innings (some ace rookie set-up flamethrowers turn into Mariano Rivera - some Joba or K-Rod) and I'm willing to bet that either Leake or Garcia won't ever match this season's numbers.
BishopMVP is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-18-2010, 11:57 PM   #158
dawgfan
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
With that said I have no problems with people saying Felix was the best pitcher in the AL this past year. I just dont like him getting the "Cy Young Award" as I now feel the award has been reduced to something that isnt really a big deal any more. Like you had mentioned the team played games the were meaningless half the year and Felix certainly didnt make much of a difference on this past season.
You're serious here? You admit Felix was the best pitcher in the AL this year, but you think giving the Cy Young award to the best pitcher reduces the value of the award?
dawgfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:29 AM   #159
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by dawgfan View Post
You're serious here? You admit Felix was the best pitcher in the AL this year, but you think giving the Cy Young award to the best pitcher reduces the value of the award?

Yes, he won 13 games. It wont be long and we will have a pitcher going 9-16 and winning the CYA.

IMO it takes away from the pitchers that won 25+ games not many years ago that also won the award.

It seems you no longer have to win many games or be on a decent team to win this award. I still believe that this winner should have made a difference on the pennant races in some way.

Its just an opinion. I'm not strongly opposed to him getting it. It is basically a product how pitchers are being utilized now which I dont agree with. If Felix could have pitched a few more innings he might have had them 17-18 wins.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 12:37 AM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:36 AM   #160
dawgfan
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
Fortunately, more and more people are coming around to the realization that wins are not a very good metric by which to judge pitchers, since they have no control over how much run support they get.

The funny thing about some people bitching about Felix winning the Cy Young is that they may be right - he maybe didn't deserve to win it this year. But it's not C.C. or Price that deserved to win over Felix - you could make good arguments for Cliff Lee or Francisco Liriano over Felix.
dawgfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:43 AM   #161
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by dawgfan View Post
Fortunately, more and more people are coming around to the realization that wins are not a very good metric by which to judge pitchers, since they have no control over how much run support they get.

The funny thing about some people bitching about Felix winning the Cy Young is that they may be right - he maybe didn't deserve to win it this year. But it's not C.C. or Price that deserved to win over Felix - you could make good arguments for Cliff Lee or Francisco Liriano over Felix.

Yeah I seen that Liriano had a WAR of 6 which I dont really understand. I'm not seeing how Liriano was a more valuable pitcher this year than Sabathia or Price and Im a Twins fan. Liriano either won lopsided or lost lopsided it seemed like to me. He would have one great month followed by a month when he wasnt very good. It seemed odd to me his WAR was so good.

I actually thought Pavano was much better this year. Pavano kept them in most games.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 12:45 AM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:47 AM   #162
chadritt
High School Varsity
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
If Felix could have pitched a few more innings he might have had them 17-18 wins.

He pitched ten more innings than anyone else in the AL and only one less than Halladay. Realistically what do you think the best pitcher, according to you, needs to do to win the best pitcher award if hes on a bad team?

Last edited by chadritt : 11-19-2010 at 12:50 AM.
chadritt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:54 AM   #163
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by chadritt View Post
He pitched ten more innings than anyone else in the AL and only one less than Halladay. Realistically what do you think the best pitcher, according to you, needs to do to win the best pitcher award if hes on a bad team?

Win

Its still a game of wins and losses. They dont give a team bonus points for only losing 2-1 to the Yankees.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 12:55 AM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:55 AM   #164
chadritt
High School Varsity
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
Win

So throw nothing but shutouts....got it. Not realistic but at least now i see what you want.
chadritt is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:58 AM   #165
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by chadritt View Post
So throw nothing but shutouts....got it. Not realistic but at least now i see what you want.

Is that what I said? Do you need to throw a shutout to get a win?

As far as I know the Mariners still got over 3 runs per game in which Felix started. He just needs to pitch a little bit better than his competition as punishment for being on such a shitty team. Maybe he needs to be a better leader and fire their lame asses up when he starts.

I think Felix Hernandez is great but I cant think of any other sport that we reward a player for being on a such a crap team. Chris Johnson had one of the best years in NFL history and was passed up for Peyton Manning despite playing on a team with an 8-8 record. Despite how so many people want to break baseball down into an individual sport it is still a team game and an award should be reflective on the team as well as the individual.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 01:53 AM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 01:30 AM   #166
dawgfan
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
Is that what I said? Do you need to throw a shutout to get a win?

As far as I know the Mariners still got over 3 runs per game in which Felix started. He just needs to pitch a little bit better than his competition as punishment for being on such a shitty team. Maybe he needs to be a better leader and fire their lame asses up when he starts.
dawgfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 01:56 AM   #167
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by dawgfan View Post

Would the rolling of the eyes have anything with you being a bias Mariners fan? I'm sorry that you dont agree. You have the best pitcher in the AL on your team perhaps that ownership over there will eventually get some talent around him so he can win the award without people questioning it

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 01:58 AM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 02:17 AM   #168
dawgfan
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
Would the rolling of the eyes have anything with you being a bias Mariners fan? I'm sorry that you dont agree. You have the best pitcher in the AL on your team perhaps that ownership over there will eventually get some talent around him so he can win the award without people questioning it
I would have done exactly the same had it been a pitcher on a different team. Your views on pitcher "wins" are archaic, and I'm glad those views are now clearly in the minority and getting smaller every year.
dawgfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 02:28 AM   #169
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by dawgfan View Post
I would have done exactly the same had it been a pitcher on a different team. Your views on pitcher "wins" are archaic, and I'm glad those views are now clearly in the minority and getting smaller every year.



Like I said earlier lets just throw out pitching wins and give the Cy Young Awards to Felix Hernandez and Josh Johnson. Clearly the best two pitchers in baseball this year since they led each league in ERA+. Why even vote on it?

I am joking. I agree completely that wins are overrated but 13 in a season on a team that won 61 games? I mean come on. Cy Young is rolling around in his grave.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 02:35 AM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 06:17 AM   #170
Ronnie Dobbs2
Pro Rookie
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Bahston Mass
You are arguing that the best pitcher award should be decided based on the fact that CC Sabathia signed with the Yankees whereas Felix Hernandez was signed as an amateur by the Mariners. In your world, this is the deciding action in the award given to the pitcher who pitched the best last year.
__________________
There's no I in Teamocil, at least not where you'd think

Last edited by Ronnie Dobbs2 : 11-19-2010 at 06:18 AM.
Ronnie Dobbs2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 06:41 AM   #171
Atocep
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
Is that what I said? Do you need to throw a shutout to get a win?

Let's take a look at each of Felix's losses and see what he would have needed to do in order to get a win.

4/26 - 7 innings, 2 earned runs, and a 3-1 loss. Would have taken a shutout to get a win.

5/1 - Felix gets roughed up a bit and the Mariners lose 6-3

5/7 - Felix roughed up again, but it doesn't matter because the Mariners don't score a run and lose 8-0. Not even a shutout wins this one.

5/23 - Felix pitches 7 innings, gives up 2 earned runs, and the Mariners still lose 8-1. Shutout doesn't win this one.

6/8 - Felix gives up 7 runs over 6 but it doesn't matter as they lose 7-1. Shutout would have been needed here to win.

7/16 - 8 innings and 3 earned runs in a 3-2 loss.

7/26 - 7 innings and 2 earned runs in a 6-1 loss. Would have needed a shutout here.

7/31 - Pitches 7 innings and allows 3 earned runs in a 4-0 loss. Shutout doesn't win this one.

8/5 - 6.2 innings and 3 earned runs in a 6-0 loss. Another game where not even a shutout gets the win.

8/15 - 6.2 innings, 0 earned runs, 9-1 loss. Needed to pitch a shutout.

9/11 - 6.1 innings, 4 earned runs, 7-4 loss. Jack Morris is likely able to pitch to the score and get a win here. Felix couldn't.

9/23 - 8 innings, 1 earned run, 1-0 loss. Shutout doesn't win this game.

No decisions? Felix pitched 3 games where the Mariners only scored 1 run and in those 3 games Felix allowed a combined total of 1 run. He had 4 other no decisions where he went at least 7 innings and gave up 2 runs or less.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
I think Felix Hernandez is great but I cant think of any other sport that we reward a player for being on a such a crap team. Chris Johnson had one of the best years in NFL history and was passed up for Peyton Manning despite playing on a team with an 8-8 record. Despite how so many people want to break baseball down into an individual sport it is still a team game and an award should be reflective on the team as well as the individual.

The Cy Young award is not the MVP award. It isn't meant to be a MVP award or a variation of a MVP award. It simply goes to the best pitcher in that specific league.

If you want an award from another sport to compare it to then look at the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year award where we've had such winners as:

'06 Jason Taylor - 6-10
'04 Ed Reed - 9-7 (no playoffs)
'01 Michael Strahan - 7-9
'92 Cortez Kennedy - 2-14
Atocep is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:01 AM   #172
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
Some pretty bad pitchers win 13 games in any given season.

Thank you for making our point for us. If terrible pitchers can win 13 games, and great pitchers can win 13 games, then what does that tell you about the win statistic?

I realize it's difficult to reconcile the new way of looking at the quality of baseball players - mainly because it is incongruous with the way we've treated them for 100 years - but you just can't ignore the advancements we've made in measuring what it really means to be a great baseball player, just so we can make sure that the Pete Vuckovich's of the world continue to receive awards they don't deserve simply because "that's the way we've always done it."

Yes, in another era, CC Sabbathia would probably end up with 4+ Cy Young awards. But unfortunately for him, he's just going to have to be content with $161M and (hopefully only) 1 world series.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

Last edited by Ksyrup : 11-19-2010 at 07:13 AM.
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:02 AM   #173
Atocep
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
As a comparison Roy Halladay had 2 games where he pitched 7 innings, allowed 2 runs or less, and had a no decision or a loss. Sabathia had 3. Felix had 11 such games for those counting.

Rather easy for Halladay to say it comes down to winning and losing.
Atocep is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:04 AM   #174
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
Oh shit, now you've really done it.

You just said "ERA" when the stat kiddies are already circling, you might as well have tied raw meat around your neck & jumped into a pool filled with baby sharks.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Ksyrup View Post
Mr. Chass is an idiot, precisely because no one needs these "new-fangled" stats to figure out that Felix Hernandez was the better pitcher this year. This isn't about Wins vs. xFIP or SIERA or BABIP, it's simple Wins vs. IP and ERA and Ks. You know, those numbers that were just invented last week by a bunch of us sitting in our mom's basements.

That's what makes this so ridiculous. This isn't even about some stat invented in 2008 that is chapping everyone's ass. It's simply putting wins in their proper perspective given the modern use of the starting pitcher, and evaluating all the other numbers that have been around for decades. Feliz is easily the best pitcher in the AL.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:06 AM   #175
Ronnie Dobbs2
Pro Rookie
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Bahston Mass
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
I think Felix Hernandez is great but I cant think of any other sport that we reward a player for being on a such a crap team. Chris Johnson had one of the best years in NFL history and was passed up for Peyton Manning despite playing on a team with an 8-8 record. Despite how so many people want to break baseball down into an individual sport it is still a team game and an award should be reflective on the team as well as the individual.

Incidentally, Chris Johnson did with the Offensive Player of the Year, much like Felix winning the Pitching Player of the Year.
__________________
There's no I in Teamocil, at least not where you'd think
Ronnie Dobbs2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:13 AM   #176
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
Win

Its still a game of wins and losses. They dont give a team bonus points for only losing 2-1 to the Yankees.

They have an award for what you are looking for - it's called making the playoffs. Wins are a team stat, and the teams with the most of them go to the playoffs.

I don't see how this is debatable. Look at the percentage of complete games in the majors over the past 30 years. When pitchers finished what they started, then yes, you could argue they "earned" the record they received. That's still misleading because they have no control over the offense or over the quality of the fielders behind them, but I understand it. Today? Starters go 6-7 innings, maybe 8. Look at the percentage of decisions pitchers get compared to yesteryear.

Roy Halladay is a great pitcher. He completes games. But he's also pitched on decent and (now) really good teams. If you transported Roy Halladay to 1970 and put him on the San Diego Padres, and gave him the same underlying numbers adjusted for that year, he probably would have thrown 350 innings with a low 2 ERA - and went something like 14-22. There's nothing magical about Roy Halladay that makes him a "winner." he's just a great pitcher who hasn't played on terrible teams.

I don't think people understand how bad the Mariners offense was. They were last in the AL in runs scored... by 100 runs! The Orioles were next, but even they scored 100 more runs than the Mariners. That's historically awful stuff.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:16 AM   #177
JonInMiddleGA
Hall Of Famer
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ksyrup View Post
Feliz is easily the best pitcher in the AL.

Except for the fact that he doesn't win much. It isn't an award for "best stuff" or "best stats", it's for "best pitcher" ... and pitchers who aren't winning have a ceiling on their value afaic.
__________________
"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis
JonInMiddleGA is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:24 AM   #178
RedKingGold
College Starter
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Quote:
Originally Posted by Atocep View Post
The Cy Young award is not the MVP award. It isn't meant to be a MVP award or a variation of a MVP award. It simply goes to the best pitcher in that specific league.

If you want an award from another sport to compare it to then look at the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year award where we've had such winners as:

'06 Jason Taylor - 6-10
'04 Ed Reed - 9-7 (no playoffs)
'01 Michael Strahan - 7-9
'92 Cortez Kennedy - 2-14

This. If Felix won the MVP Award, then jbergey might have a point. The analogy to Offensive/Defensive Player of the Year awards in other leagues is accurate.
RedKingGold is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:25 AM   #179
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Best pitcher means the pitcher who has demonstrated he is the best at controlling the things he can control. Otherwise, it's a team award. I don't see how you can saddle a pitcher with his team's offense or defense when he has absolutely nothing to do with either. Or conversely, how you can award a mediocre pitcher for lucking into a bunch of wins. How does that pass even the faintest amount of scrutiny? You have to consciously ignore the substance to get to that place.

This is exactly like the RBI argument - ignoring the obvious lack of correlation between the stat and the player's value and the influence the rest of the team has on the stat. There's a reason why ARod had 125 RBIs but barely made the top 40 in OPS, while Miguel Cabrera had one more RBI than him yet had the second-best OPS., nearly .200 points higher than ARod. And it ain't because ARod is clutch and knows how to win.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

Last edited by Ksyrup : 11-19-2010 at 07:26 AM.
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 07:28 AM   #180
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Quote:
Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA View Post
" ... and pitchers who aren't winning have a ceiling on their value afaic.

Teams win, pitchers pitch. And Felix pitched better than any pitcher, including those who played on teams that won a lot of games.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 11:50 AM   #181
Crapshoot
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Bingo. Its like arguing with people who think the Sun revolves round the Earth.
Crapshoot is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 11:52 AM   #182
molson
General Manager
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
Why is everyone so positive what the Cy Young award is "supposed" to be? Is there an official MLB award writeup somewhere I've never seen?

It's like all-star games selection. People assume that it's supposed to be the players with the best statistical performance the first 3 months of the season (or earlier depending on when you vote), and I don't think that was ever the intention, and it's certainly not on any ballot intructions.

Players on bad teams should be penalized if, for no other reason, they played well only in glorified exhibition games all year. With Felix, I think he overcame that penalty by being so dominant, but there's more to these awards than spitting numbers into a computer and having it spit back the correct answer. Human bias SHOULD be a part of it. I think we're reaching a point where that's a minority view though, and all of these awards are eventually just going to be given out automatically via statistical analysis. Maybe soon after that we can just award the win in a game to the team that deserves it statistically.

Last edited by molson : 11-19-2010 at 12:05 PM.
molson is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:01 PM   #183
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by molson View Post
Players on bad teams should be penalized if, for no other reason, they played well only in glorified exhibition games all year. With Felix, I think he overcame that penalty by being so dominant, but there's more to these awards than spitting numbers into a computer and having it spit back the correct answer.

Exactly!

I never claimed any other pitcher was better than Felix in the AL. My beef was giving it to a pitcher with 13 wins on a team with 61 team wins. It just bothers me that he was so unimportant to the AL last year and gets this award. In 20 years people will be asking "How the hell did Felix Hernandez win the Cy Young Award in 2010?" People will look back on this year and laugh at the guy that won 13 games and took home the CYA.

Its good that voters are looking at other things besides wins but now I believe they are leaning to far the other way. This makes is possible that a pitcher with a losing record will win the CYA.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 12:03 PM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:09 PM   #184
RomaGoth
Favored Bitch #2
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Here
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
In 20 years people will be asking "How the hell did Felix Hernandez win the Cy Young Award in 2010?" People will look back on this year and laugh at the guy that won 13 games and took home the CYA.

You can't be serious. Felix's 13 wins would have probably counted for 25-30 wins on a good team. He was the best pitcher in the AL, and THAT is what people will be looking back on in twenty years.
RomaGoth is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:15 PM   #185
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by RomaGoth View Post
You can't be serious. Felix's 13 wins would have probably counted for 25-30 wins on a good team. He was the best pitcher in the AL, and THAT is what people will be looking back on in twenty years.



I guess we need to change everything about voting. Nothing is "as is" any more. We have to assume 9000 different scenarios to find the right answer.

My mistake for treating the award as what you actually did on the field the year before. It didnt even cross my mind to throw King Felix on the Yankees/Rays/ or Rangers.

Last edited by jbergey22 : 11-19-2010 at 12:17 PM.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:17 PM   #186
cartman
Death Herald
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
It just bothers me that he was so unimportant to the AL last year and gets this award.

He was 3-0 against the Yankees this season. They finished one game behind Tampa Bay for the division title. It is a bit disingenuous to say he was unimportant to the AL.
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan
'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand
So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent
So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint
cartman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:22 PM   #187
Ronnie Dobbs2
Pro Rookie
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Bahston Mass
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
My mistake for treating the award as what you actually did on the field the year before.

The problem with your analysis is that you are arguing we should treat the award as what your teammates actually did on the field the year before.
__________________
There's no I in Teamocil, at least not where you'd think
Ronnie Dobbs2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:24 PM   #188
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
I think what this thread is proving is that people dont want these awards voted on anymore. Just give it to the hitter with the highest Win Shares and the Pitcher with the highest Win Shares and throw everything else out.
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:25 PM   #189
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Quote:
Originally Posted by RomaGoth View Post
You can't be serious. Felix's 13 wins would have probably counted for 25-30 wins on a good team. He was the best pitcher in the AL, and THAT is what people will be looking back on in twenty years.

Conversely, Joe Poz ran Steve Carlton's 1972 season with Seattle's 2010 offense and even with him making 40 starts and completing 75% of them, his record suddenly drops to 20-12. Factor in modern starter usage and bullpens, and 1972 Steve Carlton probably is lucky to win 13-15 games with the 2010 Seattle Mariners.

Oh, and if you put Felix on the 1972 Phillies (a pretty shitty team, obviously), he goes 18-11 in 7 fewer starts than Carlton got that year.

And then there's this comparison between Felix and CC, when talking about the things that are not under the pitcher's control:

Quote:
In the 17 quality starts which Felix did not win, the bullpen allowed runs in 12 of the 15 games in which they appeared. In those games, the Seattle bullpen had a 9.29 ERA and a 2.19 WHIP.

Meanwhile, the Yankee bullpen appeared in 20 of Sabathia's 21 wins and held opponents scoreless in 18 of those 20 games. The Yankee bullpen in those games had a 1.47 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. And those two games when they did allow runs? The Yankees were already ahead 8-1 in the 9th and 10-5 in the 8th.

Yep, it's pretty clear that Felix "just doesn't know how to win."
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:26 PM   #190
cartman
Death Herald
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
Eric Gagne won the Cy Young in 2003 with only 2 wins!!! OMG!!! How has baseball survived that clear indignity???!!!?
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan
'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand
So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent
So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint
cartman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:26 PM   #191
TurnerONU22
High School Varsity
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Ashville, OH
I'm too lazy to look this up (and I really don't know where to find this), but is there a quality of competition metric that can at least show that Hernandez faced the same quality of hitters than CC or Price did?

I think wins are important, but at the same time, you're not going to see anything less than 13 wins take the Cy Young 99% of the time because you're not going to see as intrepid an offense as Seattle's come around more than once a decade or so (maybe someone more knowledgeable can put how bad their offense is in perspective). So anyone who is harping on someone with a losing record winning the trophy is crazy, because to accomplish that, their team's offense would have to be the worst in history combined with amazing stats that only come around every 10 years.
TurnerONU22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:28 PM   #192
Ksyrup
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
I think what this thread is proving is that people dont want these awards voted on anymore. Just give it to the hitter with the highest Win Shares and the Pitcher with the highest Win Shares and throw everything else out.

I can't speak for anyone else, but I just want voters to use meaningful criteria to determine who to vote for.

Baseball is inherently a game of numbers. Long before I'd ever heard of sabremetrics, I was messing with stats keeping manual score of my Strat-O-Matic games. You can't expect a game so thoroughly dependent on stats to just ignore them when it's convenient.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."
Ksyrup is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:29 PM   #193
cartman
Death Herald
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
Quote:
Originally Posted by TurnerONU22 View Post
I'm too lazy to look this up (and I really don't know where to find this), but is there a quality of competition metric that can at least show that Hernandez faced the same quality of hitters than CC or Price did?

I think wins are important, but at the same time, you're not going to see anything less than 13 wins take the Cy Young 99% of the time because you're not going to see as intrepid an offense as Seattle's come around more than once a decade or so (maybe someone more knowledgeable can put how bad their offense is in perspective). So anyone who is harping on someone with a losing record winning the trophy is crazy, because to accomplish that, their team's offense would have to be the worst in history combined with amazing stats that only come around every 10 years.

Here's an article on just how inept Seattle's offense was this past season:

Worst major league offenses of all time - ESPN
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan
'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand
So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent
So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint
cartman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:30 PM   #194
jbergey22
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Minnesota
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronnie Dobbs2 View Post
The problem with your analysis is that you are arguing we should treat the award as what your teammates actually did on the field the year before.

Well yes I do consider baseball a team game. We could break it down a million different ways. CC plays in a sandbox with a average defensive team. Price also played on a team that wasnt consistently good at hitting especially against leftys. Liriano was crappy for 1/3 of the season. Cliff Lee went in a rutt in August but also played in the most "hitter friendly" park in the AL them months. King Felix was great but played on a crappy team that couldnt score him runs. If everyone can figure all of this stuff out why do they even need to vote on it?
jbergey22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:30 PM   #195
Ronnie Dobbs2
Pro Rookie
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Bahston Mass
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post
I think what this thread is proving is that people dont want these awards voted on anymore. Just give it to the hitter with the highest Win Shares and the Pitcher with the highest Win Shares and throw everything else out.

Hmm, then I guess we should have given it to Cliff Lee or Justin Verlander.
__________________
There's no I in Teamocil, at least not where you'd think
Ronnie Dobbs2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:30 PM   #196
TurnerONU22
High School Varsity
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Ashville, OH
There's just simply too much reliance on the bullpen for a W than there was 20 years ago. It simply devalues that stat, when someone else's crappy performance can cost you a W.
TurnerONU22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:31 PM   #197
RomaGoth
Favored Bitch #2
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Here
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbergey22 View Post


I guess we need to change everything about voting. Nothing is "as is" any more. We have to assume 9000 different scenarios to find the right answer.

My mistake for treating the award as what you actually did on the field the year before. It didnt even cross my mind to throw King Felix on the Yankees/Rays/ or Rangers.

I was making a point regarding your blanket statement:

Quote:
It just bothers me that he was so unimportant to the AL last year and gets this award.

You also said:

Quote:
My beef was giving it to a pitcher with 13 wins on a team with 61 team wins.

According to your logic, a pitcher whom was responsible for nearly 1/5th of the team's wins was unimportant to the AL, and I am disagreeing with you. Laugh all you want, but I fail to see your logic in this particular argument.
RomaGoth is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:32 PM   #198
Atocep
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
Pedro Martinez = 76th best pitcher in baseball history. Just behind Jerry Reuss.
Atocep is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:37 PM   #199
Young Drachma
Dark Cloud
 
Join Date: Apr 2001
I don't think the award is undeserved.
__________________
Current Dynasty:The Zenith of Professional Basketball Careers (FBPB/FBCB)
FBCB / FPB3 Mods
Young Drachma is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-19-2010, 12:44 PM   #200
TurnerONU22
High School Varsity
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Ashville, OH
Just saw on Jayson Stark's blog that Felix received the worst run support of any pitcher in this millennium. Yeah, I don't think you're going to have to worry about 13 wins or less winning the Cy Young every season.
TurnerONU22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:17 AM.



Powered by vBulletin Version 3.6.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.