08-17-2011, 09:12 AM | #2401 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fresno, CA
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Can anyone make a case that somehow Mau/Hoops are villager/villager? I mean assuming that's not the case, it really doesn't even matter who is lynched first/second.
Well, it matters to them I'm sure, but... |
08-17-2011, 09:57 AM | #2402 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Quote:
Yeah I'm usually a late voter. I have a horrible time deciding when there's not clear-cut evidence. I did try to break that habit in the first few days this game, but admittedly it's a lot easier to make an early vote on Day 1 or 2 than it is when you're this deep in the game. That said, I just can't get past the fact that it's obvious that Narcizo was not killed by a sword. I do think hoopsguy is worth looking at tomorrow though. vote mauboy |
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08-17-2011, 10:12 AM | #2403 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Awesome - by all means evaluate me in the light of mauboy/wolf scenario tomorrow. Just make sure you are also considering the people who wanted to try and make me the next lynch instead of him.
If you still think I'm the best choice at that time, so be it. We'll have four wolves down at that point and even with me in Valhalla I think that Ragnarok will be averted. |
08-17-2011, 10:17 AM | #2404 |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Well hoops, I do think you are a strong candidate regardless of whether or not mauboy turns out to be a wolf. And given yesterday's lynch shenanigans, I don't necessarily blame people for voting for you. I honestly think both of you are wolves.
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08-17-2011, 10:20 AM | #2405 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Not too far away
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Quote:
I just don't really buy mau's case for innocence. And I think there is enough of a case to be made against hoops, independent of the lynching yesterday, that he too is a wolf. Add in the lynch yesterday and I think it's even a better chance that he's a wolf. |
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08-17-2011, 10:27 AM | #2406 |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Something that popped into my head this morning.. didn't Chubby state that using one of his powers would result in the reveal of who he was? Interesting that this wasn't true for mauboy. Could be that not all characters had this same aspect for using their powers.. could be that it was only a chance of reveal and not 100%.. but still, it's one more thing to ponder in the case against mauboy.
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08-17-2011, 11:18 AM | #2407 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Some of this is just restating from yesterday. Some of it isn’t. Quite honestly, I'm not convinced Hoops or Mauboy is a wolf. I think Hoops is slightly more likely to be a wolf then mauboy.
Points for Hoops -In a close vote, I think Zinto saves one of the players if it’s villager/villager. This draws tremendous heat to the player with the most votes the following day and makes them a likely lynch victim. If they’re a villager, that’s a great thing for the wolves. - Zinto’s vote actually likely being on EagleFan day one (and not Danny) also might make it a little less likely Hoops or Barkeep are wolves. Points against Hoops -It looks like Zinto/wolves saved Hoops from the lynch. This is something I think they would do if he was a wolf. -If Zinto did in fact vote for EagleFan on day one, they may have felt comfortable having a third vote on him since Zinto appeared to vote for Danny. -He’s seemed very desperate last night. Voting nightfall has locked in his vote for mauboy. He can’t change that vote now. With four people out of the game there is a lot of additional information to process. That’s a poor villager move in my opinion. Points for Mauboy -It seems likely that McKerney baited Zinto into killing him. If that’s the case, then how likely is it that the wolves got to have two kill actions last night? At least for me, it seems unlikely. -If Mauboy isn’t Freyr, then the sword should still be out there. Reading the rule set, it appears you CAN only keep the item if it belongs to you. If there are two wolves left, it should show up when the other wolf dies. If wolves can’t pass items to each other, it should show up with someone today. If the magic sword shows up again, Mauboy absolutely should be lynched. -Narcizo’s death sounded different then the other night kills. -Tied up Zinto with Telle 2-2 at 8:10 am on Day five. He is the last person to unvote Zinto which he did at 9:36 pm. Points Against Mauboy -Reading the rule set, the wolves know 1-2 roles that won’t be in the game. Also, the rule set states that even if someone’s item is in the game it doesn’t mean that role is in the game. -I think it would give the villagers eight roles total. That seems like an awful lot. -It didn’t sound like Narcizo died from a magic sword. -Voted for Chubby day one. If the wolves had two votes on Chubby day one, then either mauboy or Lathum is a wolf. |
08-17-2011, 11:32 AM | #2408 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
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Good analysis
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08-17-2011, 11:41 AM | #2409 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I'm not a wolf. I got nothing. I lost my sword yesterday and unless a villager got it to send it back to me I can do nothing extra anymore. The other skill I had was a bg/kill. If a player was attacked while I was protection them my sword would have killed the attacker. It actually sounds a lot like what happened with the Loki death but I did not put that order in. I put an order to kill narcizo. I no longer have my sword and nothing makes sense to me this morning. Either the wolves screwed around with my order and made the kill themselves..they knew I had my eye on narcizo from multiple times I've said narcizos name. Or my sword clonked the Guy in the head and killed them and back then they didn't have the proper tools to figure out cause of death.
I honestly do not know. |
08-17-2011, 11:55 AM | #2410 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Very Norse to kill a guy by "clonking" in the head. And while I know that there wasn't exactly a CSI culture in those times, I think a shattered skull would not be confused with death by natural causes.
You would have been better served to say you had nothing to do with targeting Narcizo, or that you had targeted mckerney. Those would have been more believable than what you put out last night or what you are suggesting this morning. Racer, I voted Nightfall because it was clear cut to me that mauboy was a wolf. He has claimed a role that he said he could prove, and he failed to prove it. He stated in the thread that he targeted Narcizo, further tightening the noose around his neck. I had actually hoped that other people would read this the same way I did and we might get to accelerate this process along and move to the next day. I acknowledge that there is an argument to be made for me as a wolf, but it shouldn't be today. Continuing to have my play characterized as "desperate" isn't exactly putting me in the frame of mind to want to try and be helpful. As I stated last night, I won't back down and self-vote or anything silly like that but I am getting frustrated with continued suggestions of my state of mind that are categorically untrue. |
08-17-2011, 12:14 PM | #2411 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Quote:
Sorry, that's might not be the best way to put it. It's just seems like you were spinning in your wheels last night. I stand by thinking that you were a little quick to vote night fall. That doesn't make you a wolf but I think it would have been best to take a step back and then reevaluate the situation since you were on the block. You voting night fall (because you can't move from mauboy now) is a bad villager move IMO which goes against your great villager reputation. |
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08-17-2011, 12:15 PM | #2412 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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If I'm a wolf wouldn't I be trying to take claim to something more believable? I know what I submitted. I don't know how or why the results came through as they did.
And i was merely joking about the clonk in the head. I don't know what happened there. |
08-17-2011, 12:19 PM | #2413 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Mauboy's explanations don't totally make sense today by the way.
Hoops is also taking things such Mauboy is saying such as "or my sword clonked the Guy on the head" and is acting like that's what Mauboy definitively said when in reality Mauboy seems to be just trying to come up with explanations for how Narc died. I'll say this again. Mauboy should absolutely be lynched if the sword shows up again. The directions state ONLY the person who the object belongs to may keep the object. If it doesn't show up again, then Mauboy is probably who he claims to be. |
08-17-2011, 12:21 PM | #2414 |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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But if there's two wolves left, mauboy and the other wolf could pass the sword back and forth.
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08-17-2011, 12:24 PM | #2415 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Quote:
Very true. But if we catch the other wolf then Mauboy would have no where to pass it to. So if we lynch the other wolf then someone will turn up with the sword the following day. Of course, if we are in an end game situation, then a wolf might make that they have a sword. |
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08-17-2011, 12:28 PM | #2416 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
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If we believe that wolves can pass an item to each other, then I would say Hoops good because he passed the mistletoe to J23
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08-17-2011, 12:30 PM | #2417 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Well I certainly do not have the sword anymore. My pm from jag said the sword did not return to me after its night action.
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08-17-2011, 12:31 PM | #2418 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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And I guess if a wolf has it now they certainly will not save my neck.
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08-17-2011, 12:31 PM | #2419 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Quote:
Did J23 die that night or the following night? Because if J23 died that same night, Hoops could have just claimed that. Did J23 confirm receiving it? |
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08-17-2011, 12:38 PM | #2420 |
Head Coach
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08-17-2011, 12:46 PM | #2421 |
College Benchwarmer
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Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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08-17-2011, 12:49 PM | #2422 |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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I should add though is for all we know the wolves have already weaponized mistletoe. It would seem the object would likely disappear from the game though if that were the case.
Reasons for holding off on killing EagleFan would be to maximize the number of people who would touch it which would make it difficult to trace it back to who used it to kill him. Also, can we trace mistletoe back to day one? If Thor's hammer was duplicated, it seems possible we're passing around fake mistletoe right now. |
08-17-2011, 12:55 PM | #2423 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
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I started with the mistletoe. I passed it to Dubb, but it was randomized to Hoops. It passed passed (said and confirmed by both Hoops and J23). I believe I received it next. I passed it to Racer, who passed it back to me, who received it again. While it seems unlikely, I would imagine "weaponizing" it would take a night action and possibly not get passed for a night.
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08-17-2011, 01:04 PM | #2424 | ||
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
Quote:
I think Chubby's may have happened automatically and immediately though? Also, I guess it may not need to be "weaponized". I'm just conjecturing that based on the fact that the directions state about it being put into an arrow. The thing is though, if it needs to be "weaponized" , it may not use all of it since the directions say "some was put into an arrow". Thus the item could remain in the game and continue to be passed around. Also, as I previously stated, there's a small chance if the wolves did get it along the way, they also created a duplicate of it when they used it. Also, from the looks of it, there was no night kill the night Hoops had mistletoe. So if you have to weaponize mistletoe and it takes the place of a night , then Hoops doesn't look good. |
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08-17-2011, 01:08 PM | #2425 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
You have that backwards. If a wolf has the sword, they won't say a word in order to back up your claim that it is out of the game by way of usage. If a villager has the sword, and speaks up, hopefully you hang with no further questions asked. |
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08-17-2011, 01:10 PM | #2426 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
So I weaponized it while passing it to J23, a confirmed villager? C'mon, this is starting to border on ridiculous again. |
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08-17-2011, 01:11 PM | #2427 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Quote:
I'm the one who is saying it has to be out of the game if Mauboy is who he says he is. Mauboy is acting like he think it could still be in the game which worries me somewhat. If Mauboy is a wolf, then I'm guessing the other wolf has it now unless there is some rule that says you can't pass items from wolf to wolf. But yes, if anyone has the sword now, please speak up because it means Mauboy is probably a wolf. |
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08-17-2011, 01:12 PM | #2428 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
Just in case people are forgetting mauboy's initial claims after stuff went down. His current version, likely after being coached up by the other wolf/wolves, suggests that he doesn't know what happened. But that wasn't the tune he was signing last night. |
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08-17-2011, 01:13 PM | #2429 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
But he is the one saying wolves must have it and are staying quiet about it. Which is the reverse of your argument. |
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08-17-2011, 01:14 PM | #2430 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Whittier
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Quote:
Not a bad theory. I just think the mistletoe doesn't get intentionally passed though (provided wolves can't pass to each other), but randomly sent out with the hope that it lands with another wolf |
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08-17-2011, 01:14 PM | #2431 |
General Manager
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08-17-2011, 01:17 PM | #2432 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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unvote hoops
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08-17-2011, 01:18 PM | #2433 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
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Quote:
Hmm good point. I think the rules state you can keep an item if it belongs to you. So would mistletoe belong to any of the wolves or just Loki is the question. The direction state Loki crafted some into an arrow though which suggests mistletoe might still exist in the game even after the wolves got it. That's what I'm trying to discuss here. I'd lean towards it no longer being the game though just like it seems would be the case for every other item. The fact that it was randomized to you and you still came out and said you had it is another point in your favor here. If someone has passed it to you then really you would haven no choice but to come out. |
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08-17-2011, 01:19 PM | #2434 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Current vote count:
mau - BK (2329), hoops (2342), heinz (2398), Telle (2402) hoops - EF (2337), Racer (2376) For those tracking votes/unvotes, EF had one on mauboy before flipping over to me. Mauboy will clearly be voting for me, so I'm hoping folks like MrBug are going to end up voting with me. We've seen the wolves swing 1 vote races twice already (once for wolf Danny, once for villager me) and I would prefer not to give them the chance to do it a third time if the power lies with someone besides Loki. |
08-17-2011, 01:19 PM | #2435 |
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Join Date: Nov 2000
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I still think hoops is a wolf so don;t read my unvoting him as a sign that I think he is good.
When did mau say he was going to attack Narc? Before or after the deadline? |
08-17-2011, 01:20 PM | #2436 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
In fairness, I had no idea if it came to me directly or randomized. I wasn't told who passed and going from memory I asked about it in the thread almost immediately. |
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08-17-2011, 01:20 PM | #2437 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
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Quote:
But did he know that it was randomized before he admitted having it? Perhaps he assumed it was passed to him. I'll have to try to find this section of posts to figure this out... |
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08-17-2011, 01:20 PM | #2438 |
Hall Of Famer
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This is where knowing the exact rules about an item would make a decision so much easier.
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08-17-2011, 01:21 PM | #2439 |
Coordinator
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What about the hammer? Hoops how do you explain real hammer/fake hammer?
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08-17-2011, 01:21 PM | #2440 | |
College Benchwarmer
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Quote:
I'm not sure if he ever said he was. He said today he's mentioned his suspicion of him for awhile in his posts. |
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08-17-2011, 01:25 PM | #2441 | |
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This is where things start to crumble depending on the answer. If he said it prior to the deadline than we have at least the fact that something happened to Narc and the mckerney/Zinto attack also happened. If he said it afterwards then it doesn't mean much as the wolves already would know what happened with the attacks. |
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08-17-2011, 01:30 PM | #2442 | ||||
College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
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Quote:
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Ok, here's how it went down. hoopsguy comes out and says he has an item right away, but doesn't say what he is. He then joins the discussion of mistletoe that comes up without saying he has it. THEN MrBug says he had it, but that it might no longer be in the game (believing he may have accidentally killed dubb with it). That's when hoopsguy comes out and says that he has the mistletoe. So he didn't admit to having it first thing... but, when he did admit to it, the idea was out there that it could be gone from the game altogether. So as a wolf there would be no incentive to admitting to having it, I would think. Other than maybe as a trust builder? |
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08-17-2011, 01:32 PM | #2443 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
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vote mau
My head is going to pop if I try to think about this at the moment. |
08-17-2011, 01:33 PM | #2444 |
Hall Of Famer
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Though I could be easily swayed back to hoops.
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08-17-2011, 01:35 PM | #2445 |
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For the record, if this helps with more information.
I now have the sword, that is why I voted for mau immediately last night. I wanted to see how things played out over the early part of the day before saying anything (and to give hoops a little more heat to see what developed). |
08-17-2011, 01:41 PM | #2446 |
College Benchwarmer
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Unvote Hoopsguy
Vote Mauboy1 Since the sword is still in the game it doesn't really make how mauboy could be Freyr. |
08-17-2011, 01:43 PM | #2447 | |
Pro Rookie
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Location: Fresno, CA
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Quote:
Did it say anything when you got the sword? Sorry if this is a naive question, but I haven't had an item yet so I have no idea if it's a bland PM or what |
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08-17-2011, 01:43 PM | #2448 |
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Location: Buffalo, NY
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Votes as of post #2446:
6 - mauboy - Barkeep (2329), hoopsguy (2342), jeheinz (2398), Telle (2402), EagleFan (2443), Racer (2446) Nightfall: hoopsguy Yet to vote: mauboy, Lathum, MrBug |
08-17-2011, 01:45 PM | #2449 |
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I also logically, don't understand why a wolf wouldn't pass the sword to another wolf since the item rules seem to suggest there being only unlisted rule which I'm guessing to be in regards to "fake" items.
That being said, the wolves may have not thoroughly thought this out. That seems like it'd be the simpler explanation since the rules also suggest you get to keep your own item once you have it. The fact that it reappears really to me suggest there is a strong probability that mauboy isn't Freyr. |
08-17-2011, 01:45 PM | #2450 |
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Other than Dubb, the first 11 people to sign up for this game have died
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