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#3501 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
But the real test needs to be full maturity in the bigs, followed by surgery, and then getting back to the bigs and comparing the results on either side. Many of the above (Johnson, Liriano, Sanchez, my example of Adenhart) did not reach a point where scouts or baseball people would call them finished products before they got hurt. So we don't know what their baseline level of performance in the majors would be prior to the injuries, with which to compare their post-injury performances. If you strictly use performance, you can't really use the above examples one way or the other, because we just don't have the stats to know how these players would have performed as fully matured major league pitchers. To judge these players, you need to go to the scouting reports and the radar gun before and after to get an idea on whether those players returned to their previous levels of ability. As an example, Adenhart, a fireballer in HS pre-injury, did indeed get back his major fastball and by all accounts was the same pitcher post injury that he was pre-injury. I can't speak to the cases of the others, as I never read scouting reports on any of them (prior to since they got hurt).
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3502 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
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#3503 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Hmm, while certainly there has to have been a period of "injury" prior to the surgery, I don't know we can rule out the assertions of these players on the basis of this supposition alone. That would seem to be assuming far too mcuh about what these pitchers are remembering and from when they are remembering it.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3504 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Massachusetts
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They were saying before he was drafted that Strasburg had the "Mark Prior style" (like chicken wings?) delivery that made him a huge injury risk.
Not a surprise at all - although maybe a surprise it happened so quickly. |
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#3505 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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Sack and I were having the discussion about service time. I'm fairly certain they would put him on the 60 day DL, he'd remain there next season and gain a whole year of service time. Are they able to option him to AAA next spring, or would that be contested by his agent/MLBPA?
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#3506 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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So assuming the report is true, who the heck claimed Manny Ramirez on waivers and think he's worth $4 million for the rest of the season?
And does a team get the compensatory draft pick if they "lose" a player to free agency after only having him on the roster for a month? If so, I can almost see Boston spending $4 million for a draft pick and the for the twisted satisfaction of burrying Manny on the bench in a contract year. And is a player's no-trade clause implicated if he's just let go on waivers to another team? Last edited by molson : 08-27-2010 at 02:29 PM. |
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#3507 | ||
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
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Quote:
Here's an article that quotes a sports medicine doctor: Farewell to young baseball arms - Charleston SC - The Post and Courier - postandcourier.com Quote:
Will Carroll shot this down in an Under the Knife column last year after talking to doctors as well. |
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#3508 |
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Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Bahston Mass
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Everything I've read has said he will lose a year of service time. Nothing they can do since he is injured.
Mechanics have never really been my thing, but I vaguely recall there being a backlash against all the inverted W stuff (maybe from Carroll?) that many people were taking seriously. Am I crazy?
__________________
There's no I in Teamocil, at least not where you'd think |
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#3509 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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Quote:
Manny can't be offered Arbitration. And if he was offered, he would be eligible for a 1 year 16m dollar deal by accepting(max of 10% decrease) |
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#3510 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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#3511 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
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Quote:
I think it was Chris O'Leary who started the anti-inverted W movement. I could be wrong. He is the guy that pointed out that Prior's mechanics were a problem and Strasburg's as well. Not everyone is sold on the inverted W being the problem with these pitchers though. |
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#3512 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Massachusetts
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Quote:
Seems like empirical evidence is proving him right yet again though.
__________________
Get bent whoever hacked my pw and changed my signature. |
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#3513 | |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: NC
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Quote:
I posted this in the other thread, O'Leary is the author of this blog post: Here's a good blog post about the inverted W for anyone needing a refresher. Interestingly enough, both Jeremy Bonderman and Anthony Reyes were listed as pitchers with an increased risk of injury (the post was written several years ago) and the poster was right about both players, who have lost time with arm and shoulder injuries the last few years.
__________________
"You spend a good piece of your life gripping a baseball...and in the end it turns out that it was the other way around all the time." -Jim Bouton |
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#3514 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Cool, figured there might be something out there like this. Thanks for sharing.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3515 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: The Dirty
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I thought the secret team that claimed Manny was Chicago?
__________________
Commish of the United Baseball League (OOTP 6.5) |
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#3516 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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![]() is this inverted W? It may be hard to tell from this picture. Last edited by stevew : 08-27-2010 at 03:51 PM. |
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#3517 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
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That looks like it. The thing to look for is the pitching arm's elbow raising above shoulder level. O'Leary has pointed out that guys like Carlos Marmol and Randy Johnson appear to have inverted W mechanics, but their elbows never go above the shoulder. |
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#3518 |
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Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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Why did it become "the inverted W" instead of "the M"?
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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#3519 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Massachusetts
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good question. haha
__________________
Get bent whoever hacked my pw and changed my signature. |
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#3520 | |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Seattle
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Quote:
If you think of the motion as a kinetic chain, here are the steps: 1. As the pitcher drives toward the release point, there is some level of twist that builds up between the hips and the shoulders. The hips and shoulders generally start oriented roughly 90 degrees away from the catcher - for a RHP, that means the hips and shoulders are pointing towards 3rd base, or 90 degrees counter-clockwise from the catcher. As the pitcher drives forward in his stride, the hips start turning towards the catcher before the shoulders do; the more separation there is between the hips and shoulders, the more "whip" action happens as the shoulders accelerate to catch up to the hips, and the more the core muscles propel the arm forward. In extreme cases, like Tim Lincecum, the hip/shoulder separation can approach 90 degrees, with the hips pointed forward to the catcher while the shoulder line is still pointing towards 3rd base. ![]() 2. Every windup and delivery is unique, but one common feature is that at some point as the pitcher is striding forward, he brings his arm up and in a position to quickly whip it forward and deliver the pitch. This is when the violence begins in the shoulder, as the arm rotates backwards to an extreme, stressing the shoulder. The arm is still bent somewhat at the elbow, but as the arm moves forward, the forearm is both rotating and extending, and about the point where the ball is released, the arm is straight, putting a great deal of stress on the elbow. As the arm continues forward, the forearm rotates (or continues to rotate) inward and the elbow is bent again as the arm carries into the follow-through motion. The argument about the "inverted W" (Chris O'Leary) and the "timing problem" (Kyle Boddy) has to do with when the arm cocks up in the throwing position relative to the forward foot plant; Boddy argues that the problem with the "inverted W" is it leads to the arm getting into the throwing position late, i.e. after the forward foot plant, which leads to greater layback on the arm and thus greater stress on the shoulder joint (and by extension the elbow as well). Here's an example of what Boddy considers late timing: ![]() Compare that with this, which is considered good timing: ![]() O'Leary also focuses a lot on planes, and whether the elbow is cocked above the level of the shoulders as the pitcher's arm is in the ready position, theorizing that this higher angle also puts greater stress on the arm. As well, there are concerns about how far back a pitcher takes his arm in the windup phase as he swings his arm back and up into the ready position - some really try to take their arms well behind their backs (think of rotating your clavicle back and trying to touch your elbow to your back) - this increases the stress on the shoulder. Also, another thing to note is that many pitching analysts and coaches (Mike Marshall being a particularly extreme example) believe that pronation of the elbow at delivery significantly reduces the strain and stress on the elbow of the pitching motion. Now, it's important to note that analysis of pitching mechanics is still in a relatively early stage, and there are a lot of theories out there, many of which conflict with each other. The other thing to keep in mind (and this is even more important) is that mechanics are only part of the equation - the bigger piece is the particular pitcher's biology. In particular, it would seem the flexibility of their tendons is key - the more rigid your tendons are, the more prone they'll be to snapping under heavy torque. Last edited by dawgfan : 08-27-2010 at 05:26 PM. |
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#3521 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Teams do get the picks for late season acquisitions (see: Billy Wagner last year), but as stevew pointed out, Manny can't be offered arbitration. There was discussion on a different message board about no-trade clauses when the Red Sox claimed Johnny Damon, and it's pretty certain that "no-trade" is actually a misnomer - it's more of a "no-assignment" clause where a player can reject a waiver claim, but without seeing the exact language of each contract I can't say for certain. |
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#3522 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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Strasburg should adopt an East German approach to training himself back. As with Voltron, there's really no loss other than money.
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#3523 | |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Quote:
I don't think one player is going to win you a lot of games or necessarily be all that different than what you have over 5 weeks. Especially when you have to factor in at least one DL-stint and a couple of no-shows. And even the OPS drops to .854 in games since his April injury. For $4 million. I don't know how that makes sense for any team, but I hope to be able to watch it unfold with Chicago. |
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#3524 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Does it make sense fiscally once all the numbers and probabilities are broken down? Probably not, but most owners care about more than just the bottom line, or they'd be running their teams like the Pirates, so once you're already spending ~$150 million ($105m payroll+all the other costs), what's another $4 million for a piece that gives you an additional 1 in 10 or 1 in 20 shot at the playoffs? |
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#3525 | |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Quote:
I'm definitely bias against Ramirez, but also against late-season acquisitions. Especially when the late-season is late August. Ramirez, or whoever, might be better than a replacement player in that small sample size, but I don't think he (or almost anyone) is going to significantly increase your playoff chances at this point (and they could easily hurt them - would it be that shocking if Manny had a bad September?). And best-case scenario has to be something less than 2008, since he's 2 years older now, and a far worse player by every measure. Last edited by molson : 08-27-2010 at 07:34 PM. |
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#3526 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
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Damnit Lincecum. I get home from dinner only to see you have given up 4 runs before the 5th inning, AGAIN!
__________________
Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal |
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#3527 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Massachusetts
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re: manny
i thought a lot of the money was deferred so it's less than $2mil they're picking up this year
__________________
Get bent whoever hacked my pw and changed my signature. |
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#3528 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NJ
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Jim Tracy is horrible. Horrible. Horrible. Like 3 of Ubaldos last 4 starts he's been left out too long when a blind bird with his head up a frogs ass could see it.
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#3529 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Sep 2004
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FWIW, I think Manny will mean a significant number of wins for us over the course of the season. Our DH situation was horrible and now that we finally have a legit DH, the offense will improve considerably.
And with the White Sox being 3 games back, the difference he provides might just be enough.
__________________
2006 Golden Scribe Nominee 2006 Golden Scribe Winner Best Non-Sport Dynasty: May Our Reign Be Green and Golden (CK Dynasty) Rookie Writer of the Year Dynasty of the Year: May Our Reign Be Green and Golden (CK Dynasty) |
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#3530 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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By significant you mean 1 to 2 right?
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#3531 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
There has been a lot of work done on marginal wins, the amount their cost increases above 90/92 wins, and the amount scarcity near/after the trade deadline plays. Is the slight upgrade in playoff chances worth $4 million? - again, probably not in the long-term, but considering the amount teams pay for a whole season and the average cost in talent of in-season acquisitions, I don't think $4 million in pure cash is a bad deal. Personalities aside I would support it 100% for the Red Sox, and for a team like the White Sox that might not have a chance to make the playoffs every year he actually might be more valuable. |
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#3532 |
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This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
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And by "over the course of the season," I assume he means like 25-30 games, right?
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
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#3533 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
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I know it's stupid to gush over players on a shit team like the Pirates, but IF Jose Tabata is 22 years old i think he has a very bright future. I can see him being in the hunt for the batting title multiple times.
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#3534 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
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#3535 | |
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Pro Rookie
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Dayton, Ohio
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Quote:
![]() ![]() Last edited by Scoobz0202 : 08-29-2010 at 03:19 PM. |
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#3536 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Michigan
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Okay Angels fans, this guy has to be a Troll right?
Mike Napoli Claimed on Waivers, Not in Lineup Sunday - Halos Heaven Quote:
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#3537 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Behind Enemy Lines in Athens, GA
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Brian F'n McCann FTW !
__________________
"I lit another cigarette. Unless I specifically inform you to the contrary, I am always lighting another cigarette." - from a novel by Martin Amis |
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#3538 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
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I was listening on the radio and almost swerved off the road. I can't believe they did it yet again!
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner Last edited by larrymcg421 : 08-29-2010 at 04:23 PM. |
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#3539 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
I am away from home & posting from my phone, so I didn't follow the link. That said, if it's the main guy on Halo's Heaven, he's not a troll; he's legit. Halo's Heaven is one of the top Angels blogs. This actually wouldn't surprise me. The Angels have coveted Mcab for a while. Tried to get him from the Marlins & there were Mcab to the Angels rumors this year at the trade deadline this year. Angels have big time organizational depth at catcher and scioscia loves Mathis behind the plate, even though the Angels desperately need Nap's bat in the lineup (this is a source of contention between fans & scioscia). Then work in the atmosphere. Management is disgusted by how this team has done, & Moreno wants a winner. Watching the Angels on offense this season has been excruciating. I have never seen a more pathetic lineup by a supposed "contender".
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3540 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Without even getting into why the Tigers would trade MCab now instead of last offseason before he put up this great season, everything I've seen says it was the Red Sox who were awarded the claim on Napoli. Trade=unlikely though.
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#3541 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2002
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#3542 |
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Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Bahston Mass
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Do you seriously think Cabrera would get through waivers? I mean, that sounds preposterous to me.
__________________
There's no I in Teamocil, at least not where you'd think |
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#3543 | |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Ashburn, VA
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Quote:
Yeah, Boston Red Sox news posted that they claimed him off waivers but have to work out details, or Angels can keep him. Red Sox claim Angels' Napoli off waivers | redsox.com: News /tk
__________________
GO TERPS! https://www.flickr.com/photos/terpkristin https://twitter.com/terpkristin |
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#3544 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Halo's Heaven now has the Red Sox as the claiming team, so that seems to be the word out there.
I really hope that a trade doesn't happen. Napoli is a perfect fit for Fenway, and I would guess that he would slide right into a DH role after Ortiz leaves (not sure when Ortiz's contract is up and he's doing better this season, but still...) and become a huge power bat for them. I have always felt that Scioscia's awful way of handling hitters and putting together lineups has always limited Napoli, who, if he ever get consistent time at one position and one spot in the lineup, could be a regular 30-40 HR guy. This is exactly the situation I would fear as an Angels fan, that they would ship Napoli (with decreased value because of how Scioscia has played him) for a prospect or two to a despised rival, and then watch him blossom into a lineup anchor for the Sox. So I really hope the Angels are holding the Sox to a high standard in any trade for Nap. If they trade him to the Sox, it damn well better hurt for the Sox to make that trade.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3545 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Contract. Last year's off field issues. Yeah, I could see that happening. That said, it seems clear now that it's the Red Sox that have claimed Naps.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3546 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Napoli alone I would definitely take for free considering the team control years left, but I wouldn't be happy if they slotted him in as Ortiz's heir apparent at DH. Same rationale with re-signing Victor Martinez and sliding him over to DH/1B permanently - an .800-.850 OPS from even a below average defensive catcher is enough to make him near-elite, but is league average out of the DH/1B position. I'm guessing at this point we pick up Ortiz's option for 1 more year, or try to sign Adam Dunn to a 1-2 year stopgap deal. |
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#3547 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
You guys wouldn't get a shot at Cabrera before the Angels do. Would a team with a worse record than the Angels in the AL (what is that 7-8 teams?) take on a contract that big? I doubt it.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3548 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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But then that's him being traded to the claiming team, not him passing through waivers and being available to anyone. (I'm unsure on what happens if the Red Sox claimed Napoli and the Angels a Red Sox like Kalish made it through to LAA. Could the two be traded for each other even though neither passed through waivers? I would lean yes, but not sure 100%.)
Either way, the excitable part of Red Sox nation has been sucked into the pipe dream of a cheap, available Miguel Cabrera too, but I don't think Detroit has ever been close to as eager to get rid of him as either of our fanbases think/wish them to be. |
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#3549 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
I was figuring Cabrera hasn't passed through waivers yet actually. He would have to be for this trade to happen of course (whcih isn't happening, since the Sox claimed, but you get my hypothetical...), and then when he was, the Angels would claim him before the Red Sox got a shot, so then a Napoli deal with Cabrera would happen without the Sox ever getting involved. But, like I said, moot point. I actually do think the Tigers aren't that anxious to keep him, because of the contract. That may have eased some with his season this year, but that's still a hefty contract. Lot of rumors out there the past year for a guy a team doesn't have some interest in moving.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#3550 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Ashburn, VA
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ManRam to ChiSox?
/tk
__________________
GO TERPS! https://www.flickr.com/photos/terpkristin https://twitter.com/terpkristin |
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