WW LXXXIV -- Life Contingencies (GAME OVER)

[Passacaglia]

Rules: Standard werewolf, with a day deadline of 9 PM Eastern time. Everyone must vote for someone they would like to see die. Failure to vote will result in an unspecified penalty that will increase with each offense. All votes must be for a player in the game (i.e. No votes of "No Lynch" are accepted), and must be in bold. The wolves must decide their night-kill strategy by 7 AM Eastern time.

Lately, there's been a movement against the use of random.org in games for various reasons. I agree with most of those reasons, but despite that, this game will use random.org liberally. I believe that this still offers several opportunities for strategic planning, but if you're against such randomness, then this game might not be for you.

Everyone votes on who they want to die, and one player will die as a result of the vote. However, that player will not necessarily be the one with the most votes. Instead, the number of votes for a player will represent the probability that he dies. For example, say there are 10 players in the game. 4 vote for Passacaglia, 3 vote for claphamsa, 2 vote for jeheinz72, and 1 votes for Alan T. Passacaglia has a 4/10 = 40% chance of dying, claphamsa has a 3/10 = 30% chance of dying, jeheinz72 has a 2/10 = 20% chance of dying, and Alan T has a 1/10 = 10% chance of dying.

The wolves make their kill at night. They will give me a list of players, and a percentage for each player. This will be the percent chance that player has of dying from the wolves that night. There can be as many players on the list as you want, but the percentages must add to exactly 100%, and no player may have a percentage greater than 40% (this number may be changed without announcement to the village as we approach endgame).

The bodyguard may protect one player per night. He or she will give me a list of players, and a percentage for each player. This will be the percent chance that player has of being protected that night. There can be as many players on the list as you want, but the percentages must add to exactly 100%, and no player may have a percentage greater than 40%, and the bodyguard himself cannot have a percentage greater than 20%. You will be told who you protect, and you will know you have protected successfully if there is no kill (this means there are no conversions). If you protect someone successfully, the wolves will know who you protected (i.e. who they tried to kill).

The seer may find the allegiance of one player per night. He or she will give me a list of players, and a percentage for each player. This will be the percent chance that player has of being viewed that night. There can be as many players on the list as you want, but the percentages must add to exactly 100%, and no player may have a percentage greater than 40% (this number may be changed without announcement to the village as we approach endgame).

The duke may choose a different set of probabilities for the lynch vote one day during the game. He or she will give me a list of players, and a percentage for each player. This will be the percent chance that player has of being lynched that day. There can be as many players on the list as you want, but the percentages must add to exactly 100%, and no player may have a percentage greater than 40%. The duke himself must have a percentage of at least 10%. The duke's identity will be revealed when this happens.

The game ends with a villager victory if all the wolves are killed, and a wolf victory if the number of villagers is less than the number of wolves.

[Passacaglia]

Players:

1. Barkeep49 -- Killed Night 2, Bodyguard
2. path12 -- Killed Night 3, Villager
3. RendeR -- Lived
4. PackerFanatic -- Lynched Day 4, Villager
5. hoopsguy -- Killed Night 4, Villager
6. The Jackal -- Lynched Day 2, Wolf
7. Hannibal Lecter -- Killed Night 3, Seer
8. jeheinz72 -- Lynched Day 1 by the Duke, Wolf
9. Lathum -- Lynched Day 3, Villager

[Passacaglia]

Signups will end and Day 1 will begin Wednesday morning. Day 1 will end Wednesday 9 PM Central, but results might be late that day -- the wolves are welcome to come up with tons of conditional orders if they come out too late, or I can just be lenient on the night deadline in the morning.

[Lathum]

bummer about the Halloween game, the person in the LAthum costume would have had fun messing with you all.

[Barkeep49]

I'll play this one.

[path12]

I'm in.

[RendeR]

Sign me up skippy.

[PackerFanatic]

I would love to join.

[Crim]

This looks really interesting. Wish I could join, but no time the next couple of weeks. I'll follow along, though, and criticize liberally.

[Hannibal Lecter]

I would love to play Clarice!

[Hannibal Lecter]

It is a shame about the other game though. I was looking forward to a nice Indian dish.

[Passacaglia]

Oh great, now you can post? Whatever.

[Hannibal Lecter]

I did not mean to kill the thread.

Ta Ta for Now

[~V~]

Originally Posted by Passacaglia

Oh great, now you can post? Whatever.

Yup, it appears Mr. Lou was just being slow.

Verily I vent my vindictive verbiage vicariously.

[RendeR]

God i loved that movie. Natalie......DRrooooooolllllz

[Hannibal Lecter]

She is thoroughly delectable, almost good enough to eat.

[RendeR]

*peers*

[DaddyTorgo]

hmmm

[DaddyTorgo]

seems very...random

[Passacaglia]

I'm going to give this until Monday to start, to give people a little break for a while. I would have mentioned that earlier today, but FOFC was blocked at work -- I could get around it to see the board, but not to log in.

[hoopsguy]

OK, Monday start works for me. I'm in.

[hoopsguy]

FWIW, there look to be several of our WW regulars that have picked up Fallout 3. I'm not sure how much we'll see them for the next two weeks

I'm going to try and hold out on Fallout 3 until I pass my first of six certification tests for Windows 2008 and Exchange 2007. So hopefully I'm able to grab this game in 2-3 weeks.

OK, back to the regularly scheduled WW conversation.

[The Jackal]

Monday is good for me, I'm in.

[Hannibal Lecter]

It appears that I will have to switch Id's to play, very unfortunate.

[jeheinz72]

Weird. I could've sworn I posted that I'm in yesterday.

Anyhow, I'm in.

Let's dance.

[hoopsguy]

Originally Posted by Hannibal Lecter

It appears that I will have to switch Id's to play, very unfortunate.

Why can't you just play it out under this account?

Also, on a separate note - BK, let me know when you want me to transition the accounts from last game over to you. I've got a spreadsheet with all of the information so they should be ready and available for you to take them under your wing (for future use?) whenever you want.

[Passacaglia]

I think I'm going to give one more day of signups for people to check in and see how their week looks, and to see if I can convince lurker to play. I'll likely send out PMs tonight sometime. I've got Hannibal Lecter down on that account -- wasn't sure if he or she was serious before.

[The Jackal]

Don't forget about Heinz.

[jeheinz72]

Indeed.

(thanks Jackal)

[Lathum]

this may be premature but what kind of weekend schedule you looking at?

I wont be around at all Sat and Sunday and not really at all on Friday, allthough I could put in a conditional vote.

If there is no weekend play count me in.

[Passacaglia]

There will be no weekend play.

Roles have been sent out. Day 1 starts NOW and ends 9 PM Eastern.

FOFC has been blocked for me lately, so I'm going to have to run this Chief Rum style. I'll be able to read the board, but I can't log in. Notification of PMs gets sent to my email so I'll be able to read whatever PMs you send me, but if you want a response, I'll need your e-mail address as well. Probably the best way to get questions answered is to e-mail me, agage1 at gmail dot com.

[PackerFanatic]

C-C-C-Checkin' in.

[The Jackal]

Nice to get up and running

[Hannibal Lecter]

I am checking in, and I can assure you all that my reputation is fallacious. I am in fact a normal member of the community.

[jeheinz72]

Checking in, rules seem simple enough.

[hoopsguy]

Morning all. Ready for a fun game of werewolf.

[hoopsguy]

OK, 9 players, 3 roles, anyone think there is anything other than two wolves?

[Hannibal Lecter]

I think that would be a reasonable number, 3 at the most. We do not after all know how the percentages for lynches and night kills will work out.

[hoopsguy]

My guess is that the percentages more or less work evenly against both teams. We'll see if that is the impact on this particular game, but instinctively I don't really see an advantage for one side with this ruleset.

[Lathum]

boom- check- a- laka

[path12]

I vote YEA to a new game!

Oh, and checking in and all. Two wolves IMO. Seer, BG, five villagers......of which I am one.

[jeheinz72]

I could see 2 or 3 wolves. Not sure which is more likely.

[Lathum]

VOTE HANNIBEL LECHTER

the guy eats human flesh for gods sake

[Hannibal Lecter]

I assure you Mr. Lathum, that if you could taste the succulent tenderness of a human liver, you too would enjoy fine dining. But that is neither here nor there, we are trying to find wolves, not critique culinary styles.

[hoopsguy]

I will not be voting for Hannibal today, as his posts so far have amused me.

[Hannibal Lecter]

Originally Posted by hoopsguy

I will not be voting for Hannibal today, as his posts so far have amused me.

Thank you sir, and I can assure you it is the wisest choice you could make, I might suggest that we find another choice or even spread the votes out to have minimal chances for everyone to get lynched.

[jeheinz72]

Vote Barkeep

No real reason, Day One, need to get my vote in.

I can't make up my mind if the random factor makes No Lynch a better option than normal or not.

[Lathum]

I a game this small I think no lynch hurts more then helps.

[Hannibal Lecter]

I am also curious as to how many will be awake until the early hours following the electoral masterpiece that is going to be reported tonight, this may lead to a very active evening, or a completely dead evening. I for one am fascinated by this McCain fellow, he may be old, but so is a 1961 Chateau de lief Chianti.

[Hannibal Lecter]

Originally Posted by Lathum

I a game this small I think no lynch hurts more then helps.

Mr Lathum, there is no chance for a no lynch, just the chance to spread the odds out evenly among us all.

vote lathum