Unexpected Election Results

Thomkal · 11-03-2020, 09:58 AM

So every election cycle there are a few unexpected election results(like Trump winning in 2016

), so I'm curious what you guys think will fall into that category tonight. I'll start off with:

Mike Espy wins the Senate seat in red Mississippi. Latest poll I saw had him 3 behind today, and there's been more buzz about him than any recent Democratic candidate I can think of in recent years, so why not Espy?

spleen1015 · 11-03-2020, 10:01 AM

I think Lindsay Graham losing would have been a shock about a month or two ago, no?

JPhillips · 11-03-2020, 10:03 AM

The Dem in AK wins the senate seat.

Thomkal · 11-03-2020, 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spleen1015

I think Lindsay Graham losing would have been a shock about a month or two ago, no?

Yeah and it still will be if it happens and I hope it does

larrymcg421 · 11-03-2020, 10:07 AM

Warnock gets 50% and wins outright.

JPhillips · 11-03-2020, 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421

Warnock gets 50% and wins outright.

That's a good one.

Butter · 11-03-2020, 10:14 AM

Montana to go for Biden

Kodos · 11-03-2020, 10:40 AM

Trump concedes defeat and bows out gracefully.

albionmoonlight · 11-03-2020, 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kodos

Trump concedes defeat and bows out gracefully.

I just had a vision in my head that he's got Don Jr. or Eric planning an escape.

If things look bad, they have a plan ready for him and the kids to get on a plane to Russia.

He resigns. He tells Pence to pardon him and his family, and he'll support Pence in 2024, and if Pence does not, he'll tell his base to reject Pence. Then he gets on a plane and is in Russia before anyone really notices.

The only fly in this ointment is that neither Don Jr., nor Eric, nor Ivanka/Jared seem competent enough to pull it off.

kingfc22 · 11-03-2020, 10:44 AM

Trump resigns because he doesn't want to be a lame duck President and deal with COVID-19 any longer. Pence then pardons the entire crime family tonight.

kingfc22 · 11-03-2020, 10:44 AM

dola

Albionmoonlight beat me to it. LOL

albionmoonlight · 11-03-2020, 10:46 AM

I had some PredictIt money on Trump not completing his first term. That was really a "he will lose and quit" bet.

I sold it at a modest profit when he got the COVID diagnosis.

Still think that it is possible.

Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 10:51 AM

I can only see him quitting if he flees. I can't see him pushing up the timeline for him to get indicted. If anything, he'd use the next 3 months to prepare for that eventuality.

GrantDawg · 11-03-2020, 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421

Warnock gets 50% and wins outright.

Heck, if Ossoff wins 50% and doesn't have a run off would be a shock. This state is going to be annoying AF for the next two months, especially if both seats end up in run offs.

sterlingice · 11-03-2020, 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingfc22

Trump resigns because he doesn't want to be a lame duck President and deal with COVID-19 any longer. Pence then pardons the entire crime family tonight.

I don't think this happens tonight, if it does happen. I think he'll try to sneak out in like 2 weeks because doing it tonight would require planning and contingency planning.

SI

Brian Swartz · 11-03-2020, 03:12 PM

Biden has 400 EV, upper 60s to 70% turnout. Most of that is just a little better than projections, but given the amount of people who don't think the margin will be that big, there it is. Texas going blue.

Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 03:17 PM

The closer we get, the worse I feel.

Kodos · 11-03-2020, 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz

Biden has 400 EV, upper 60s to 70% turnout. Most of that is just a little better than projections, but given the amount of people who don't think the margin will be that big, there it is. Texas going blue.

Hopefully the Swartz is with you.

sterlingice · 11-03-2020, 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz

Biden has 400 EV, upper 60s to 70% turnout. Most of that is just a little better than projections, but given the amount of people who don't think the margin will be that big, there it is. Texas going blue.

If Texas goes blue, I believe the count would be 413-125 (I'm also assuming Iowa goes blue before Texas).

I'd love to see it happen. I don't think it will. The numbers just don't back it up, but I'm ok being wrong here.

SI

sterlingice · 11-03-2020, 04:02 PM

I think Biden wins pretty handily but he doesn't win Florida (which seems to fly in the face of every model but doesn't seem that outlandish because Florida Man)

SI

tarcone · 11-03-2020, 04:27 PM

Trump wins by 50 electoral votes

11-03-2020, 10:01 AM	#2
spleen1015 Coordinator Join Date: Sep 2003	I think Lindsay Graham losing would have been a shock about a month or two ago, no? __________________ Why choose failure when success is an option?

11-03-2020, 10:03 AM	#3
JPhillips Hall Of Famer Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Newburgh, NY	The Dem in AK wins the senate seat. __________________ To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers

11-03-2020, 10:07 AM	#5
larrymcg421 Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Georgia	Warnock gets 50% and wins outright. __________________ Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner

11-03-2020, 10:14 AM	#7
Butter Coordinator Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Dayton, OH	Montana to go for Biden __________________ My listening habits

11-03-2020, 10:40 AM	#8
Kodos Resident Alien Join Date: Jun 2001	Trump concedes defeat and bows out gracefully. __________________ Author of The Bill Gates Challenge, as well as other groundbreaking dynasties.

11-03-2020, 10:44 AM	#10
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	Trump resigns because he doesn't want to be a lame duck President and deal with COVID-19 any longer. Pence then pardons the entire crime family tonight. __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

11-03-2020, 10:46 AM	#12
albionmoonlight Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: North Carolina	I had some PredictIt money on Trump not completing his first term. That was really a "he will lose and quit" bet. I sold it at a modest profit when he got the COVID diagnosis. Still think that it is possible.

11-03-2020, 10:51 AM	#13
Ksyrup This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off. Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: In Absentia	I can only see him quitting if he flees. I can't see him pushing up the timeline for him to get indicted. If anything, he'd use the next 3 months to prepare for that eventuality. __________________ M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

11-03-2020, 03:12 PM	#16
Brian Swartz Grizzled Veteran Join Date: May 2006	Biden has 400 EV, upper 60s to 70% turnout. Most of that is just a little better than projections, but given the amount of people who don't think the margin will be that big, there it is. Texas going blue.

11-03-2020, 03:17 PM	#17
Ksyrup This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off. Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: In Absentia	The closer we get, the worse I feel. __________________ M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

11-03-2020, 04:02 PM	#20
sterlingice Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Back in Houston!	I think Biden wins pretty handily but he doesn't win Florida (which seems to fly in the face of every model but doesn't seem that outlandish because Florida Man) SI __________________ Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!"

11-03-2020, 04:27 PM	#21
tarcone Coordinator Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Pacific	Trump wins by 50 electoral votes __________________ Excuses are for wusses- Spencer Lee Punting is Winning- Tory Taylor The word is Fight! Fight! Fight! For Iowa FOFC 30 Dollar Challenge Champion-OOTP '15

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