Player Regression

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  • Rs31632
    Rookie
    • Apr 2011
    • 148

    #1

    Player Regression

    So I am doing a fantasy draft and am really looking into nelson cruz 6th/7th round... but I am concerned with his age (34) and potential regression. I know guys 37-40 will go down in the spring but does that extend to guys 33-35ish as well?

    If he will wont re-gress then thats a solid 7th round pick.. if he will then forget it
  • Mck23tyler
    Rookie
    • Apr 2012
    • 102

    #2
    Re: Player Regression

    Wait age 37-40 regresse in spring training!? That's kinda BS

    Comment

    • jaysfan17
      Banned
      • Jan 2015
      • 69

      #3
      Re: Player Regression

      I started the thread "Performance-Based Player Progression (Official Thread)". Could you post your concerns there? I'm trying to raise awareness for this issue.


      Thanks

      Comment

      • Shuckman
        Rookie
        • Sep 2013
        • 55

        #4
        Re: Player Regression

        There are some flaws but the flaws seem pretty hard to code. You got superstar players that seem to play at a high level for a long time and you got superstar players that burn out at a younger age in their prime so how can a system manage both? How does a system predict the future? My Idea is maybe assign players a regression attribute so we can adjust this to as we see fit. So that would allow us to for example Adjust David Ortiz regression attribute down to say like 10 and really slow his regression down. And on the flip side a player like Josh Hamilton since he has been hurt a lot and has off the field issues we could set his attribute to say 70 and start to erode his overall.

        Comment

        • geisterhome
          MVP
          • Sep 2011
          • 2101

          #5
          Re: Player Regression

          Originally posted by Rs31632
          So I am doing a fantasy draft and am really looking into nelson cruz 6th/7th round... but I am concerned with his age (34) and potential regression. I know guys 37-40 will go down in the spring but does that extend to guys 33-35ish as well?

          If he will wont re-gress then thats a solid 7th round pick.. if he will then forget it
          From what I have seen: till 33 very low risk of regression
          34 it's 50/50 chance that the player will regress
          35 very high risk of regression (few still don't!)
          Spending time with Jesus!

          -Glad to be an Operation Sports Member!-

          Comment

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