Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

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  • rvd2kewl
    Pro
    • Jul 2002
    • 489

    #1

    Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

    Extemely early on the offseason part I know but I like this kind of stuff. You'll notice with the moves I'm not signing everyone and their dog. I'm going realistically off how much the Cubs will be able to spend. I didn't include moves for the bench because I don't know who will be available yet. Here it is:

    Catcher: Overall C-
    Paul Bako and Damian Miller combined to hit .231 for the Cubs this year with 9 HR's and 53 RBI's. Both played well defensively this year but the Cubs need more production from the catcher spot. That's something they haven't had for a long time. I'd try and make a move to get A.J. Pierzynski. He hit .312 this year with 11 HR's and 74 runs batted in. He's a good left handed bat that won't cost much and he has a very solid glove.

    1st Base: Overall B-
    Eric Karros was an excellent addition this year. He hit 12 home runs and knocked in 40 runs in 114 games. Choi started off nice and was playing decent until he got hurt against the Yankees. After that, he struggled. He finished off the year with 8 home runs, 28 runs batted in and a .218 average. I still believe he's their first baseman of the future. Randall Simon came over late in the season and was a huge boost to the team. As a Cub he hit .282 with 6 HR's and 21 RBI's in 33 games (overall .276 with 16 HR's, 72 RBI's). I'd like him back next year but it's either him or Choi and Choi is the future. Karros is gone (frees up $8 million plus). I'd look to sign a veteran for a decent price that swings from the right side and has a decent glove.

    2nd Base: Overall B+
    Bobby Hill was thought to be the second baseman of the future, Now he's in Pittsburgh (in the Ramirez, Lofton trade). Grudzielanek had a very good season with the Cubs (.314, 3 HR's, 38 RBI's, 38 2B's). I'd buyout the final year of his contract for the $500,000 and use the $5.5 million that opens up from the buyout on Luis Castillo. He had a very similar year to Grudzielanek (.314, 6 HR's, 39 RBI's, 19 2B's). Castillo gives them a switch-hitting bat in the lineup which the Cubs could really use. He can bunt, steal bases, and is very solid defensively.

    3rd Base: Overall a C (D- prior to Ramirez trade, B afterwards)
    The Cubs were dreadful at third prior to the Ramirez trade. Mark Bellhorn hit .209 as a Cub this season before he was traded. Lenny Harris hit .183. before he was released. Aramis Ramirez came over and hit 15 HR's as a Cub during the regular season. A big improvement over the 3 HR's that Bellhorn and Harris provided. Ramirez is the 3rd baseman of the future. He's going to be great for the Cubs.

    Shortstop: Overall a C+
    Alex Gonzalez hit .228 with 20 HR's and 58 RBI's. He had a great year defensively. The batting average and strikeouts need to improve but I think he's a decent #7 hitter. I'd look at possibly upgrading the position with a good contact hitter and someone that could hit 15 HR's during the year (I'm not sure who will be available). If nobody is out there for a reasonable price, Alex can be brought back for another year.

    Centerfield: Overall B+
    Corey Patterson and Kenny Lofton (as a Cub) combined to hit .313 for the Cubs this season with 16 HR's, 75 RBI's, and 28 SB's. Lofton is gone. Patterson will be back next season for the Cubs and will be a boost to the offense in the home run and RBI departments.

    Right Field: Overall: A-
    Sammy will be back out there in right for the Cubs in 2004. He missed 25 games due to injury and the suspension, but he still managed to hit .279 with 40 HR's and 103 RBI's.

    Left Field: Overall B
    Moises Alou hit .280 with 22 HR's and 80 RBI's. He's a Cub for one more year. He brings very good power and great contact ability to the table. I'd like to see the Cubs bring up a Nic Jackson or a David Kelton for the bench next year so they could see major league pitches everyday. Then in 2004, one of those guys could move in the starting lineup.

    Starting Pitching: Overall B+
    This should be a great rotation in 2004. Kerry Wood, Mark Prior, Carlos Zambrano, and Matt Clement will be back. Estes is gone. The rotation was a little inconsistent this year but overall I think they did an outstanding job considering how young they were (average age was 25.2 years old at the start of the season). Wood, Prior, Zambrano, and Clement overall had a 3.21 ERA. That's pretty damn good considering the average age for those four was 24 at the start of the season. I think Juan Cruz should take over as the #5 starter next year with Estes gone. Cruz fared much better as a starter than he did as a reliever. I think Cruz can be a dominating pitcher in the major leagues. He needs to get a few more starts under his belt. I think he would come into his own by the end of the 2004 season and carry it over into the 2005 season.

    Bullpen: Overall a B-, some would argue C+
    They did ok this year (ranked 16th in the majors in ERA). They were definitely an improvement over the bullpen from 2002. Some work needs to be done here though. I'd start off by getting rid of Mark Guthrie, Dave Veres, and Antonio Alfonseca. Right there that frees up $7.6 million from this year. One of the top priorities is to get another good left hander to help Remlinger out. I'm not sure who's going to be out there so I can't name anyone specific. Joe Borowski did a great job this season, but this team needs a legit closer. Keith Foulke and Ugueth Urbina will be out there. I'd work to sign either one. Maybe also add another right handed middle relief pitcher, someone like Tim Worrell.

    Financial Situation: Getting rid of Estes, Alfonseca, Guthrie, Veres, Karros, Grudzielanek, Miller, and Bako gives the Cubs $27,925,000 to pick up Pierzynski, Castillo, a good lefty for the pen, and Foulke or Urbina. When you factor in the Aramis Ramirez's pay increase from $3 million to $6 million that gives the Cubs close to $25 million to spend on those guys. That's not factoring in how much money becomes available to spend with Lofton, Glanville, Simon, and Womack leaving (I didn't do that because I'm not sure how much of the contracts the Cubs picked up). Plus another $4.5 million is involved if they decide to move Alex Gonzalez.

    In the end the Cubs team would look like this:

    Starters
    1B: Hee Seop Choi - Left Handed
    2B: Luis Castillo - Switch Hitter
    3B: Aramis Ramirez - Right Handed
    SS: Alex Gonzalez - Right Handed - For now...Like I said, I would look at other options
    C: A.J. Pierzynski - Left Handed
    CF: Corey Patterson - Left Handed
    RF: Sammy Sosa - Right Handed
    LF: Moises Alou - Right Handed

    Starting Rotation (not in any particular order)
    1. Kerry Wood
    2. Mark Prior
    3. Carlos Zambrano
    4. Matt Clement
    5. Juan Cruz

    Bullpen
    1. Mike Remlinger - Left Handed
    2. Joe Borowski - Right Handed
    3. Kyle Farnsworth - Right Handed
    4. Good Left Hander - Like I said, I'm not sure who's out there yet...
    5. Keith Foulke or Ugueth Urbina - Right Handed
  • Goaty
    Rookie
    • Aug 2002
    • 364

    #2
    Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

    A well thought out post. I pretty much agree with your evaluations.

    Is Pierzynski going to be available? I know one Twin that will be... Shannon Stewart. He hates playing on turf and will not re-sign with the Twins. What about putting Stewart at left and Alou at 1st? Stewart would be a *great* leadoff hitter for the Cubs and I am not a big fan of Choi.

    Also I think you are being to easy on Gonzalez at SS. He is a terrible hitter, has an occasional hot-streak but that's it. I think he is over-rated defensively. Sure he doesn't make many errors but he has very limited range IMHO. The "other Alex Gonzalez" showed what a difference range at SS can make.

    Comment

    • Goaty
      Rookie
      • Aug 2002
      • 364

      #3
      Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

      A well thought out post. I pretty much agree with your evaluations.

      Is Pierzynski going to be available? I know one Twin that will be... Shannon Stewart. He hates playing on turf and will not re-sign with the Twins. What about putting Stewart at left and Alou at 1st? Stewart would be a *great* leadoff hitter for the Cubs and I am not a big fan of Choi.

      Also I think you are being to easy on Gonzalez at SS. He is a terrible hitter, has an occasional hot-streak but that's it. I think he is over-rated defensively. Sure he doesn't make many errors but he has very limited range IMHO. The "other Alex Gonzalez" showed what a difference range at SS can make.

      Comment

      • Goaty
        Rookie
        • Aug 2002
        • 364

        #4
        Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

        A well thought out post. I pretty much agree with your evaluations.

        Is Pierzynski going to be available? I know one Twin that will be... Shannon Stewart. He hates playing on turf and will not re-sign with the Twins. What about putting Stewart at left and Alou at 1st? Stewart would be a *great* leadoff hitter for the Cubs and I am not a big fan of Choi.

        Also I think you are being to easy on Gonzalez at SS. He is a terrible hitter, has an occasional hot-streak but that's it. I think he is over-rated defensively. Sure he doesn't make many errors but he has very limited range IMHO. The "other Alex Gonzalez" showed what a difference range at SS can make.

        Comment

        • bender_over
          Pro
          • Mar 2003
          • 750

          #5
          Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

          As a Twins fan, I hope A.J. doesn't leave anytime soon. Although I realize we have one of the great prospects in the game with Joe Mauer, but I'm a huge fan of A.J. and don't want to see him go. Since you're looking to take players from my Twins, why don't you mark down "Everyday Eddie" as the lefty you need. It's unlikely that the Twins will resign Guardado, Hawkins, or Stewart. Damn small market baseball.
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          Comment

          • bender_over
            Pro
            • Mar 2003
            • 750

            #6
            Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

            As a Twins fan, I hope A.J. doesn't leave anytime soon. Although I realize we have one of the great prospects in the game with Joe Mauer, but I'm a huge fan of A.J. and don't want to see him go. Since you're looking to take players from my Twins, why don't you mark down "Everyday Eddie" as the lefty you need. It's unlikely that the Twins will resign Guardado, Hawkins, or Stewart. Damn small market baseball.
            Minnesota Vikings
            Minnesota Twins
            Chicago Bulls
            UNC Tar Heels

            Comment

            • bender_over
              Pro
              • Mar 2003
              • 750

              #7
              Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

              As a Twins fan, I hope A.J. doesn't leave anytime soon. Although I realize we have one of the great prospects in the game with Joe Mauer, but I'm a huge fan of A.J. and don't want to see him go. Since you're looking to take players from my Twins, why don't you mark down "Everyday Eddie" as the lefty you need. It's unlikely that the Twins will resign Guardado, Hawkins, or Stewart. Damn small market baseball.
              Minnesota Vikings
              Minnesota Twins
              Chicago Bulls
              UNC Tar Heels

              Comment

              • rvd2kewl
                Pro
                • Jul 2002
                • 489

                #8
                Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                </font><blockquote><font class="small">Quote:</font><hr />
                Goaty said:
                A well thought out post. I pretty much agree with your evaluations.

                Is Pierzynski going to be available? I know one Twin that will be... Shannon Stewart. He hates playing on turf and will not re-sign with the Twins. What about putting Stewart at left and Alou at 1st? Stewart would be a *great* leadoff hitter for the Cubs and I am not a big fan of Choi.

                Also I think you are being to easy on Gonzalez at SS. He is a terrible hitter, has an occasional hot-streak but that's it. I think he is over-rated defensively. Sure he doesn't make many errors but he has very limited range IMHO. The "other Alex Gonzalez" showed what a difference range at SS can make.

                <hr /></blockquote><font class="post">

                From what I've heard, the Twins think Mauer is ready for the major leagues and are ready to put him out there everyday. That makes Pierzynski available.

                I agree that the Cubs could use an upgrade at shortstop. A .228 average is not going to cut it and the strikeouts have killed them many times. Another good point was about his range. Like I said, I'd look to see what's out there. I'm not sure who will be out there so it's hard to throw out a name.

                Comment

                • rvd2kewl
                  Pro
                  • Jul 2002
                  • 489

                  #9
                  Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                  </font><blockquote><font class="small">Quote:</font><hr />
                  Goaty said:
                  A well thought out post. I pretty much agree with your evaluations.

                  Is Pierzynski going to be available? I know one Twin that will be... Shannon Stewart. He hates playing on turf and will not re-sign with the Twins. What about putting Stewart at left and Alou at 1st? Stewart would be a *great* leadoff hitter for the Cubs and I am not a big fan of Choi.

                  Also I think you are being to easy on Gonzalez at SS. He is a terrible hitter, has an occasional hot-streak but that's it. I think he is over-rated defensively. Sure he doesn't make many errors but he has very limited range IMHO. The "other Alex Gonzalez" showed what a difference range at SS can make.

                  <hr /></blockquote><font class="post">

                  From what I've heard, the Twins think Mauer is ready for the major leagues and are ready to put him out there everyday. That makes Pierzynski available.

                  I agree that the Cubs could use an upgrade at shortstop. A .228 average is not going to cut it and the strikeouts have killed them many times. Another good point was about his range. Like I said, I'd look to see what's out there. I'm not sure who will be out there so it's hard to throw out a name.

                  Comment

                  • rvd2kewl
                    Pro
                    • Jul 2002
                    • 489

                    #10
                    Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                    </font><blockquote><font class="small">Quote:</font><hr />
                    Goaty said:
                    A well thought out post. I pretty much agree with your evaluations.

                    Is Pierzynski going to be available? I know one Twin that will be... Shannon Stewart. He hates playing on turf and will not re-sign with the Twins. What about putting Stewart at left and Alou at 1st? Stewart would be a *great* leadoff hitter for the Cubs and I am not a big fan of Choi.

                    Also I think you are being to easy on Gonzalez at SS. He is a terrible hitter, has an occasional hot-streak but that's it. I think he is over-rated defensively. Sure he doesn't make many errors but he has very limited range IMHO. The "other Alex Gonzalez" showed what a difference range at SS can make.

                    <hr /></blockquote><font class="post">

                    From what I've heard, the Twins think Mauer is ready for the major leagues and are ready to put him out there everyday. That makes Pierzynski available.

                    I agree that the Cubs could use an upgrade at shortstop. A .228 average is not going to cut it and the strikeouts have killed them many times. Another good point was about his range. Like I said, I'd look to see what's out there. I'm not sure who will be out there so it's hard to throw out a name.

                    Comment

                    • Karlos05
                      -
                      • Mar 2003
                      • 5814

                      #11
                      Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                      I think Luis Castillo will be one of the most saught after free-agents this offseason and unless the Cubs are ready to throw a lot of money his way I dont think he will be going to Chicago. The Marlins want to re-sign him, the Mets have talked about him since the all-star break, and a lot of other teams have him as a top guy. It's gonna be tough I think to land him.

                      Comment

                      • Karlos05
                        -
                        • Mar 2003
                        • 5814

                        #12
                        Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                        I think Luis Castillo will be one of the most saught after free-agents this offseason and unless the Cubs are ready to throw a lot of money his way I dont think he will be going to Chicago. The Marlins want to re-sign him, the Mets have talked about him since the all-star break, and a lot of other teams have him as a top guy. It's gonna be tough I think to land him.

                        Comment

                        • Karlos05
                          -
                          • Mar 2003
                          • 5814

                          #13
                          Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                          I think Luis Castillo will be one of the most saught after free-agents this offseason and unless the Cubs are ready to throw a lot of money his way I dont think he will be going to Chicago. The Marlins want to re-sign him, the Mets have talked about him since the all-star break, and a lot of other teams have him as a top guy. It's gonna be tough I think to land him.

                          Comment

                          • SPTO
                            binging
                            • Feb 2003
                            • 68046

                            #14
                            Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                            Interesting post, I agree with the poster that said the Cubs should try to get Shannon Stewart and move Alou to first. Stewart is perfect for the type of baseball that Dusty Baker employs in Chicago. He has power, speed and very good range in the outfield. (tho his arm is suspect)

                            As for Alex Gonzalez, he's never going to be a great offensive SS. Trust me i've seen him enough in Toronto. All he's good for is a hot streak or 2 where he hits lots of HRs and pretty good defense. The rest of his package is just attrocious as he isn't patient enough and has bad plate discipline which leads to strikeouts.

                            I think that the biggest area of concern for the Cubs is the bullpen. I also agree that Remlinger should stay but remember he's no spring chicken. Some of their bullpen guys just can't cut it in pressure situations so i'd look to get a middle reliever or 2 and try to land a Closer like Foulke.
                            Member of the Official OS Bills Backers Club

                            "Baseball is the most important thing that doesn't matter at all" - Robert B. Parker

                            Comment

                            • SPTO
                              binging
                              • Feb 2003
                              • 68046

                              #15
                              Re: Grades on 2003 Chicago Cubs and possible FA moves

                              Interesting post, I agree with the poster that said the Cubs should try to get Shannon Stewart and move Alou to first. Stewart is perfect for the type of baseball that Dusty Baker employs in Chicago. He has power, speed and very good range in the outfield. (tho his arm is suspect)

                              As for Alex Gonzalez, he's never going to be a great offensive SS. Trust me i've seen him enough in Toronto. All he's good for is a hot streak or 2 where he hits lots of HRs and pretty good defense. The rest of his package is just attrocious as he isn't patient enough and has bad plate discipline which leads to strikeouts.

                              I think that the biggest area of concern for the Cubs is the bullpen. I also agree that Remlinger should stay but remember he's no spring chicken. Some of their bullpen guys just can't cut it in pressure situations so i'd look to get a middle reliever or 2 and try to land a Closer like Foulke.
                              Member of the Official OS Bills Backers Club

                              "Baseball is the most important thing that doesn't matter at all" - Robert B. Parker

                              Comment

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