Whatifsports.com Simulation

[yucatan]

I decided to do this game by game. Here's what the first round results are based on the http://whatifsports.com/ncaab/ simulator.

Play-in Game
Niagara 73 - Fisher - 12 PTS, 12 REB
Florida A&M 66 - Robinson - 14 PTS, 2 REB, 1 AST

FIRST ROUND
4 Maryland 82 - Ibekwe - 9 PTS, 11 REB
13 Davidson 56 - Curry - 14 PTS, 4 REB, 4 STL, 2 AST

7 Boston College 83 - Dudley - 17 PTS, 20 REB, 8 AST
10 Texas Tech 63 - Jackson - 20 PTS, 5 REB

6 Louisville 74 - Sosa - 17 PTS, 3 REB
11 Stanford 65 - Hill - 14 PTS, 11 REB

14 Oral Roberts 66 - Green - 15 PTS, 13 REB
3 Washington State 57 - Weaver - 16 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST

12 Old Dominion 70 - Vasylius - 14 PTS, 4 REB
5 Butler 61 - Graves - 11 PTS, 1 REB, 1 AST

2 Georgetown 55 - Green - 14 PTS, 10 REB, 3 AST
15 Belmont 45 - Herndon - 7 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST

14 Penn 80 - Grandieri - 19 PTS, 11 REB, 4 AST
3 Texas A+M 79 - Law IV - 17 PTS, 6 AST, 4 REB
OVERTIME - Penn's Mark Zoller hit a turnaround jumper at the buzzer for the win

11 George Washington 70 - Elliott - 18 PTS, 9 REB, 4 AST
6 Vanderbilt - Foster - 16 PTS, 8 REB, 2 AST

6 Duke 77 - Paulus - 21 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST
11 VCU 61 - Pellot-Rosa - 15 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST

1 Ohio State 76 - Oden - 13 PTS, 8 REB, 4 BLK
16 Central Conn. St. 52 - Mojica - 13 PTS, 6 REB

8 Marquette 79 - Matthews - 22 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST
9 Michigan State 61 - Neitzel - 14 PTS, 5 AST

2 UCLA 71 - Collison - 15 PTS, 6 AST, 3 STL
15 Weber State 58 - Patten - 14 PTS, 8 REB, 1 AST

3 Pittsburgh 62 - Gray - 12 PTS, 11 REB
14 Wright State 49 - Wood - 12 PTS, 4 AST, 3 REB

9 Xavier 103 - Doellman - 19 PTS, 10 REB, 2 AST
8 BYU 100 - Ainge - 15 PTS, 3 REB, 6 AST
OVERTIME

1 North Carolina 83 - Ellington - 16 PTS, 2 REB, 5 AST
16 E. Kentucky 38 - Leonard - 13 PTS, 2 REB, 4 STL

10 Gonzaga 86 - Pargo - 13 PTS, 8 REB, 9 AST
7 Indiana 84 - Wilmont - 24 PTS, 8 REB
OVERTIME

4 Virginia 58 - Signletary - 14 PTS, 5 AST, 2 REB
13 Albany 50 - Wilson - 18 PTS, 2 REB, 3 REB

10 Georgia Tech 78 - Crittenton - 8 PTS, 5 AST, 3 REB
7 UNLV 67 - Adams - 16 PTS, 6 AST

2 Memphis 79 - Dorsey - 17 PTS, 18 REB, 5 BLK
15 North Texas - Watson - 23 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST

11 Winthrop 81 - Martin - 21 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST
6 Notre Dame 79 - Falls - 14 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
Torrell Martin hit the game winning jumper from the left corner with 2 seconds left, flipping the script on their loss to Tennessee

last year.

5 Tennessee 78 - Lofton - 17 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST
12 Long Beach State 55 - Nixon - 14 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST

2 Wisconsin 83 - Taylor - 30 PTS, 1 REB, 2 AST
15 Tex. A&M-CC 62 - Ervin - 10 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST

7 Nevada 71 - Kemp - 22 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST, 2 BLK
10 Creighton 65 - Watts - 18 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST

3 Oregon 76 - Brooks - 19 PTS, 6 AST, 4 REB
14 Miami (OH) 63 - Pollitz - 16 PTS, 1 REB, 1 AST

1 Kansas 74 - Chalmers - 15 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST
16 Niagara 53 - Brown - 11 PTS, 15 REB

5 Virginia Tech 77 - Dowdell - 24 PTS, 2 REB, 8 AST
12 Illinois 60 - Randle - 10 PTS, 5 REB, 2 BLK

8 Arizona 77 - Williams - 22 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST, 2 BLK
9 Purdue 67 - Landry - 21 PTS, 13 REB, 1 AST

4 Texas 75 - Durant - 16 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST, 3 BLK, 3 STL
13 N. Mex. St. 62 - Hawkins - 12 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST

4 S. Illinois 61 - Young - 12 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST
13 Holy Cross 52 - Simmons - 22 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST

9 Villanova 80 - Reynolds - 20 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
8 Kentucky 71 - Morris - 17 PTS, 9 REB, 3 BLK

1 Florida 86 - Noah - 11 PTS, 14 REB, 5 AST, 2 BLK, 5 STL
16 Jackson St. 49 - Johnson - 9 PTS, 2 REB

5 USC 68 - Pruitt - 15 PTS, 12 AST, 3 STL
12 Arkansas 58 - Beverley - 12 PTS, 4 AST, 3 REB

[VidGaminMachine476]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

Haha, these don't look so bad.

The only wierd thing is A&M..

[Chip Douglass]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

All of these scores are actually reasonable.

[rspencer86]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

Those results look pretty good. Most of the upsets I picked appeared here as well.

College Hoops 2k8 should use this sim engine in their game.

-Ryan

[theaub]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

Except for Wisconsin scoring 80, those are awesome sim results.

[andybaseball2005]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

I decided to do this game by game. Here's what the first round results are based on the http://whatifsports.com/ncaab/ simulator.


1 Florida 86 - Noah - 11 PTS, 14 REB, 5 AST, 2 BLK, 5 STL
16 Jackson St. 49 - Johnson - 9 PTS, 2 REB

I highly doubt that Trey Johnson will only have 9 points. He is second in the nation in points per game with 27.1. It his his senior year so he will be going all out and probably being a one man team. I think that if there is any number 1 team that comes close to being upset it's Florida.

I am definetly going to take this sim into consideration in the rest of the brackets i do.

[yucatan]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

2nd round, and a few surprises.

12 Old Dominion 73 - Vasylius - 23 PTS, 3 REB
4 Maryland 	64 - Gist - 11 PTS, 10 REB

2 Georgetown	76 - Hibbert - 15 PTS, 7 REB, 5 BLK
7 Boston Coll.	71 - Rice - 19 PTS, 5 REB, 5 STL

6 Louisville	71 - Padgett - 19 PTS, 10 REB, 3 BLK
14 Penn		66 - Zoller - 23 PTS, 13 REB, 4 AST

14 Oral Roberts 67 - Green - 15 PTS, 9 REB
11 G Washington 58 - Rice - 17 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST

3 Pittsburgh	96	 - Gray - 21 PTS, 14 REB, 3 AST, 3 BLK
6 Duke		93 (2OT) - Nelson - 26 PTS, 8 REB 4 AST
Both teams had a shot to win this one but Kendall missed a shot from the corner at the end of regulation, and Scheyer couldn't connect from the top of the key at the end of the first OT

1 Ohio State	73 - Oden - 26 PTS, 15 REB, 2 BLK
8 BYU		53 - Young - 17 PTS, 5 REB

1 No. Carolina  90 - Hansbrough - 30 PTS, 5 REB, 2 STL
8 Marquette	80 - James - 17 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST

2 UCLA		77 - Afflalo - 17 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
10 Gonzaga	66 - Pargo - 18 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST

5 Tennessee	85 - Smith - 19 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST
4 Virginia	76 - Reynolds - 19 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST

10 Georgia Tech 68 - Crittenton - 18 PTS, 2 REB, 4 AST
2 Wisconsin	58 - Tucker - 19 PTS, 9 REB, 2 AST, 2 STL

2 Memphis	78 - Douglas-Roberts - 16 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
7 Nevada	69 - Fazekas - 18 PTS, 12 REB

11 Winthrop	75 - Bradshaw - 18 PTS, 8 REB, 2 AST, 2 BLK
3 Oregon	73 - Hairston - 17 PTS, 7 REB, 1 BLK, 2 STL
Winthrop becomes the 4th double digit seed to crash the Sweet 16 after they hung on for the win as Aaron Brooks' game-winning shot clanked off the rim at the buzzer

1 Kansas	85 - Rush - 25 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST, 2 BLK
9 Villanova	76 - Reynolds - 18 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

4 So. Illinois  64 - Shaw - 18 PTS, 10 REB, 4 AST
5 Va. Tech	55 - Dowdell - 13 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST

1 Florida	77 - Horford - 16 PTS, 6 REB
8 Arizona	68 - Shakur - 21 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST, 2 BLK

4 Texas		71 - Durant - 25 PTS, 12 REB, 4 STL
5 USC		51 - Gibson - 9 PTS, 8 REB

Sweet 16 Brackets
MIDWEST										EAST
1 Florida									1 No. Carolina
12 Old Dominion									4 Texas


11 Winthrop									2 Georgetown
10 Georgia Tech									14 Oral Roberts


WEST										SOUTH
1 Kansas									1 Ohio State
4 So. Illinois									5 Tennessee


2 UCLA										2 Memphis
3 Pittsburgh									6 Louisville

Can one of the double digit seeds in the Midwest topple Florida? Which number one seed if any, will fall first? Can Oral Roberts continue its cinderella run? I'll sim up to the Final Four tonight, so stay tuned to find out.

[yucatan]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

12 Old Dominion 73 - Vasylius - 23 PTS, 3 REB
4 Maryland 	64 - Gist - 11 PTS, 10 REB

2 Georgetown	76 - Hibbert - 15 PTS, 7 REB, 5 BLK
7 Boston Coll.	71 - Rice - 19 PTS, 5 REB, 5 STL

6 Louisville	71 - Padgett - 19 PTS, 10 REB, 3 BLK
14 Penn		66 - Zoller - 23 PTS, 13 REB, 4 AST

14 Oral Roberts 67 - Green - 15 PTS, 9 REB
11 G Washington 58 - Rice - 17 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST

3 Pittsburgh	96	 - Gray - 21 PTS, 14 REB, 3 AST, 3 BLK
6 Duke		93 (2OT) - Nelson - 26 PTS, 8 REB 4 AST
Both teams had a shot to win this one but Kendall missed a shot from the corner at the end of regulation, and Scheyer couldn't connect from the top of the key at the end of the first OT

1 Ohio State	73 - Oden - 26 PTS, 15 REB, 2 BLK
8 BYU		53 - Young - 17 PTS, 5 REB

1 No. Carolina  90 - Hansbrough - 30 PTS, 5 REB, 2 STL
8 Marquette	80 - James - 17 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST

2 UCLA		77 - Afflalo - 17 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
10 Gonzaga	66 - Pargo - 18 PTS, 5 REB, 4 AST

5 Tennessee	85 - Smith - 19 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST
4 Virginia	76 - Reynolds - 19 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST

10 Georgia Tech 68 - Crittenton - 18 PTS, 2 REB, 4 AST
2 Wisconsin	58 - Tucker - 19 PTS, 9 REB, 2 AST, 2 STL

2 Memphis	78 - Douglas-Roberts - 16 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
7 Nevada	69 - Fazekas - 18 PTS, 12 REB

11 Winthrop	75 - Bradshaw - 18 PTS, 8 REB, 2 AST, 2 BLK
3 Oregon	73 - Hairston - 17 PTS, 7 REB, 1 BLK, 2 STL
Winthrop becomes the 4th double digit seed to crash the Sweet 16 after they hung on for the win as Aaron Brooks' game-winning shot clanked off the rim at the buzzer

1 Kansas	85 - Rush - 25 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST, 2 BLK
9 Villanova	76 - Reynolds - 18 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

4 So. Illinois  64 - Shaw - 18 PTS, 10 REB, 4 AST
5 Va. Tech	55 - Dowdell - 13 PTS, 2 REB, 3 AST

1 Florida	77 - Horford - 16 PTS, 6 REB
8 Arizona	68 - Shakur - 21 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST, 2 BLK

4 Texas		71 - Durant - 25 PTS, 12 REB, 4 STL
5 USC		51 - Gibson - 9 PTS, 8 REB

Sweet 16 Brackets
MIDWEST										EAST
1 Florida									1 No. Carolina
12 Old Dominion									4 Texas


11 Winthrop									2 Georgetown
10 Georgia Tech									14 Oral Roberts


WEST										SOUTH
1 Kansas									1 Ohio State
4 So. Illinois									5 Tennessee


2 UCLA										2 Memphis
3 Pittsburgh									6 Louisville

MIDWEST
1 Florida	76 - Noah - 14 PTS, 15 REB, 3 AST
12 Old Dominion 64 - Vasylius - 16 PTS
Dreams of a 2nd consecutive run for a CAA team fell short as the defending champs showed the young upstart Monarchs whose boss. Give ODYU credit though, they did hang around, trailing 58-57 with 8:34 remaining in the game but a 12-1 Gators run squashed any hope of an upset.

11 Winthrop	70 - Gaynor - 14 PTS, 5 REB, 7 AST
10 Georgia Tech	63 - Crittenton - 21 PTS, 6 REB, 6 AST
Trendy pre-tourney sleeper pick Winthrop is proving their worth with another win their third so far in the tournament over a BCS school. The Eagles led the Jackets 55-54 with just 4:22 remaining but the Eagles rattled off 9 straight points to pull away and set up a battle with #1 overall seed Florida for a trip to Atlanta.

WEST
1 Kansas	70 - Chalmers - 13 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST, 2 BLK, 4 STL
4 So. Illinois	61 - Falkner - 11 PTS, 9 REB
The Salukis rugged defensive style played right into the hands of the Jayhawks who outscored the underdog MVC team 23-10 at the charity stripe as the Jayhawks connected on 82% of their free throws.

3 Pittsburgh 	66 - Gray - 11 PTS, 15 REB
2 UCLA		62 - Collison - 14 PTS, 5 AST
One of the more anticipated Sweet 16 matchups did not disappoint as the Panthers came away with the final run in a game of runs. The Panthers watched as their 36-28 halftime lead turned into a 41-38 deficit 5 minutes into the second half. But it was the Bruins that were left wondering what happened as they let the Panthers score the final straights 8 points of the game in the last two minutes that saw 4 Bruins possessions end in 2 Levance Fields steals and 2 Arron Afflalo missed 3-pointers

EAST
1 No. Carolina	87 - Hansbrough - 17 PTS, 11 REB
4 Texas		85 - Durant - 29 PTS, 11 REB, 3 BLK, 3 STL
Another exciting sweet 16 matchup as super-frosh Kevin Durant fell just short in his bid to will his team to the Elite 8. Despite a game where he poured in 29 points, it was the three points that he didn't get that would make the difference as Durant's 3-point attempt from the left wing as the horn went fell just short. Despite 4-7 shooting from beyond the arc from AJ Abrams, Durant's brutal 2-8 performance from 3 maybe made the difference in this one.

2 Georgetown	83 - Summers - 19 PTS, 9 REB
14 Oral Roberts 62 - Green - 14 PTS, 10 REB, 4 AST
It was a great run but the Golden Eagles ran out of gas as they were blown out of the gym in East Rutherford by the clearly superior team. Johnathan Wallace was brilliant at the point as he dissected the ORU defense for 7 assists as the Hoyas shot 53% as a team in the blowout win.

SOUTH
5 Tennessee	85 - Lofton - 19 PTS, 2 REB, 1 AST, 2 STL
1 Ohio State	80 - Oden - 8 PTS, 7 REB, 6 BLK
The young Buckeyes were the first #1 seed to be dispatched in the tournament. The Volunteers held off the Buckeyes for the entirety of the game as the Buckeyes never closed the Tennessee lead to less than 3 after the Vols jumped out to a quick 2nd half start. It was a disappointing game for Greg Oden who despite being a monster defensively, rejecting 5 Volunteer shots, was 4-9 from the field and 0-4 from the line.

6 Louisville	79 - Williams - 18 PTS, 10 REB, 4 AST
2 Memphis	74 - Douglas-Roberts - 14 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST
In arguably the best coaching job of the year, Rick Pitino has led this team that looked hopeless at the beginning of the year to the brink of the Final Four. Despite the close final score the Cardinals led wire-to-wire after jumping out to a quick 14-3 lead out of the gates and never looked back.

MIDWEST FINAL
1 Florida	68 -  Brewer - 13 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST, 2 BLK, 5 STL
11 Winthrop	53 - Jenkins - 10 PTS, 2 REB
The Gators dismissed their second mid-major upstart in as many games as they sent the Cinderella Eagles of Winthrop packing with this decisive win. Despite just 9 points each from Noah and Horford the Gators were in control from start to finish of this rout.

1 Kansas	96	- Wright - 11 PTS, 14 REB, 3 AST
3 Pittsburgh	89 (OT) - Gray - 25 PTS, 13 REB, 3 AST, 4 BLK
The Jayhawks of Kansas punched their ticket to Atlanta with an overtime win over a clearly exhausted Pitt team that was coming off a 2OT win over Duke and a roller-coaster win over UCLA. The Jayhawks scored 13 of the first 15 points as they outscored the Panthers 19-12 in the extra frame to pull away and set up a rematch with Florida in one national semifinal.

2 Georgetown	81 - Hibbert - 16 PTS, 6 REBS, 2 BLK
1 No. Carolina	70 - Lawson - 14 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
The Hoyas put on an offensive clinic to advance to Atlanta. Georgetown was a model offensive team as 6 different Hoyas scored in double figures as the team shot 56% from the floor to wear down the Tar Heels. The Hoyas closed out of the first half on a 17-6 run and never looked back as the Tar Heels never got it back to single digits.

5 Tennessee	77 - Lofton - 19 PTS, 4 REB
6 Louisville	74 - Palacios - 16 PTS, 9 REB
The Volunteers became the second SEC team to punch their ticket to the Final Four outlasting the Cardinals. They held Louisville to just 38% shooting but allowed 33 free throw attempts, keeping the game close. Dane Bradshaw could have gone for a triple double as he finished with 9 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists in 28 minutes of burn. The Vols will meet Georgetown in a national semifinal.

				    
				     FINAL FOUR

1 Florida								2 Georgetown
			Florida/Kansas	Georgetown/Tennessee
1 Kansas								5 Tennessee

[lanny7207]

Re: Whatifsports.com Simulation

Could we just use these results instead of playing the tournament? I would have 6 of the elite 8 right, only missing on Winthrop and Pittsburgh.