MyTeam Mobile Discussion

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  • Anchen
    Rookie
    • Dec 2013
    • 493

    #12541
    Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

    Originally posted by TomBlachek
    You're Numbers are a bit off... I don't know why I enjoy math soo much lol

    Likelihood of an Epic (Epics Drafted Divided by Draft Picks) Yields Fraction
    22/30,000 = .00073%

    Average Picks per Epic (1 Divided by Epic Percentage) Yields Whole Number
    1/.00076 = 1,369.8 rounded to 1,370

    You draft an epic on average once every 1,370 draft picks, or 685 games won.

    Likelihood of a Legendary (Legends Drafted Divided by Draft Picks) Yields Fraction
    2/30,000 = .000066%

    Average Picks per Legendary (1 Divided by Legend Percentage) Yields Whole Number
    1/.000066 = 15,151.51 rounded to 15,152

    You draft an Legendary on average once every 15,152 draft picks, or 7,576 games won.
    Just a note, percentages if you actually put the % sign should be multiplied by 100. Ie a probability of 1 is 100%. A probability of .00073 is .073%. So I think his % is correct (I'm going to assume he used his actual picks which is over 30000). This is nitpicking in a way but just to be clear

    Comment

    • mfresh94
      Pro
      • Jan 2014
      • 808

      #12542
      Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

      Originally posted by darkyo666666
      Wow! After going 3000 picks or so without epics, i hace drafted 2 grangers in an hour... Sooo happy!!!



      Cam anyone pin the draft pick statistics spreadsheet on the First post?



      Thanks


      Sent from my Nokia 920 using Tapatalk

      2 grangers in an hour! That is insanely awesome lol. Congrats !


      Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
      MyTeamMobile
      OdcCaaMo
      Knicks
      MVP: Iceman

      Comment

      • kaykay4se7en
        Rookie
        • Jul 2013
        • 129

        #12543
        Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

        Originally posted by mfresh94
        2 grangers in an hour! That is insanely awesome lol. Congrats !


        Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

        Congrats! Last night I drafted 2 epics within 10 min. Not to mention the 9/10 epics I drafted during the rivals event.

        Comment

        • TomBlachek
          Rookie
          • Dec 2013
          • 164

          #12544
          Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

          Originally posted by Anchen
          Just a note, percentages if you actually put the % sign should be multiplied by 100. Ie a probability of 1 is 100%. A probability of .00073 is .073%. So I think his % is correct (I'm going to assume he used his actual picks which is over 30000). This is nitpicking in a way but just to be clear

          I know he used his actual draft figure, but I took the milestone he gave us and calculated from there.

          It is misleading that I used a percentage sign, as the math I did was not based on fractions of 100... but In my instance the 73 occurs as a ten thousandth where as you'rs occurs as a hundredth. Which would require additional steps in the formula to come to the right result.

          I opted for brevity with the way I set it up.

          IGN: TomBlachek
          Team: Lebron James
          MVP: The Face of HIV


          19,598 Draft Picks Compiled in Order
          Here

          Comment

          • MrChat138
            Pro
            • Feb 2014
            • 568

            #12545
            Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

            Originally posted by Anchen
            Your numbers are weird. If you pulled 22 epics in 30000 picks then your odds are 30000:22 or broken down to about 1364:1. Not sure where you are getting 132,454.
            I followed a formula for determining odds using a sample but saw where I d***ed it up... forgot to divide by 100 for the percentage to decimal so yeah, it would be 132454/100. FML I need to go back to school
            In Game Name: MrChat138
            Team: Phoenix Phorever!
            MVP: Dragic


            Record: 15890-3126
            6 Legendary (5 Players, 1 Support; 3 Drafted, 3 From RC)
            37 Epics (30 Drafted, 5 From Season, 2 From RC)
            0 Legendary Pros
            5 Epic Pros (3 Fully Drafted, 1 Season/Draft Mix, 1 From RC)

            Comment

            • The_Josh
              Banned
              • Aug 2010
              • 1370

              #12546
              Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

              I've been keeping track of what epics I've drafted and won. As of now I'm at 19 Epics drafted and 8 won in 5 season wins. I'm averaging 1 epic in every 1300 or so picks as of right now. I did a quick position breakdown of how if I'm leaning heavy one way or the other. I've drafted 4 PG, 4 SG, 3 SF, 3 PF (2 of them are Horace Grant), 2 Centers, and 2 Supports (both during this last rivals).

              Comment

              • ii00000000
                Rookie
                • Jan 2014
                • 134

                #12547
                Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                IMG_2733[1].jpg

                Fairly sure its EyegotSoul, i caught you sleeping twice, but i think i'm going to tank the season and hope for a power forward. Should have went for the rivals timbo instead of robinson haha but yao doesn't count as a legendary, or even an epic pro for that matter so i was short in that spot as well.

                Tanking also takes some prep time now, i have to make that decision at least 3 or 4 games out if i put everyone out of position. Last season i made the call 12 games out, still won the last 12 games but had down in the 1000 range by the times playoff started. Ended up with 2 uncommons. This is bound to work one time, i hope haha. -i know first world problems, i'm complaining about tanking-
                Last edited by ii00000000; 03-04-2014, 11:23 AM.

                Comment

                • MrChat138
                  Pro
                  • Feb 2014
                  • 568

                  #12548
                  Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                  Originally posted by imd1ne
                  Yea , thank god your not a mathematician , lol , every body here gets a epic per at least every few thousand picks , if your numbers where right it would take about 65k wins to get an epic


                  Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
                  If it makes you feel better... I know more about an M4 than I do statistics
                  In Game Name: MrChat138
                  Team: Phoenix Phorever!
                  MVP: Dragic


                  Record: 15890-3126
                  6 Legendary (5 Players, 1 Support; 3 Drafted, 3 From RC)
                  37 Epics (30 Drafted, 5 From Season, 2 From RC)
                  0 Legendary Pros
                  5 Epic Pros (3 Fully Drafted, 1 Season/Draft Mix, 1 From RC)

                  Comment

                  • MrChat138
                    Pro
                    • Feb 2014
                    • 568

                    #12549
                    Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                    Originally posted by MrChat138
                    If it makes you feel better... I know more about an M4 than I do statistics
                    By this I mean I am a Marine so I am naturally horrible at math LOL
                    In Game Name: MrChat138
                    Team: Phoenix Phorever!
                    MVP: Dragic


                    Record: 15890-3126
                    6 Legendary (5 Players, 1 Support; 3 Drafted, 3 From RC)
                    37 Epics (30 Drafted, 5 From Season, 2 From RC)
                    0 Legendary Pros
                    5 Epic Pros (3 Fully Drafted, 1 Season/Draft Mix, 1 From RC)

                    Comment

                    • AIRALEX
                      Rookie
                      • Mar 2014
                      • 295

                      #12550
                      Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                      That should be in the FAQ, tanking the season and stuff like that. I'm not quite sure what that means... I just won one single season lol and I'm 3492/1055 and the knowledge would come in handy

                      Enviado desde mi LG-E977 mediante Tapatalk
                      Ingame Name: Alex
                      Fav team: Hawks (ingame)
                      MVP: 98 Jordan
                      W-20,130 L-3,070L
                      Some day, a legend will pop up jaja
                      www.***********.com/forums

                      Comment

                      • MITchip
                        Rookie
                        • Feb 2014
                        • 77

                        #12551
                        Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                        Adding MrChat's numbers to the spreadsheet puts it at 1.4 million picks, and ballpark odds, taking into account the stress test, are as follows:

                        Chance of epic or better is 1:2,150 picks or about 1 of every 170 boards

                        Chance of Epic being legendary is about 1:13.25, or every 2,275 boards or every 28,500 picks


                        Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

                        Comment

                        • MrChat138
                          Pro
                          • Feb 2014
                          • 568

                          #12552
                          Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                          Originally posted by MITchip
                          Adding MrChat's numbers to the spreadsheet puts it at 1.4 million picks, and ballpark odds, taking into account the stress test, are as follows:

                          Chance of epic or better is 1:2,150 picks or about 1 of every 170 boards

                          Chance of Epic being legendary is about 1:13.25, or every 2,275 boards or every 28,500 picks


                          Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
                          Thanks man! I think we all can see that I should be NOWHERE near touching the spreadsheet with my math LOL
                          In Game Name: MrChat138
                          Team: Phoenix Phorever!
                          MVP: Dragic


                          Record: 15890-3126
                          6 Legendary (5 Players, 1 Support; 3 Drafted, 3 From RC)
                          37 Epics (30 Drafted, 5 From Season, 2 From RC)
                          0 Legendary Pros
                          5 Epic Pros (3 Fully Drafted, 1 Season/Draft Mix, 1 From RC)

                          Comment

                          • MITchip
                            Rookie
                            • Feb 2014
                            • 77

                            #12553
                            Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                            The legendary rate may not be spot on, but I think it's a fair estimate. The only one with enough picks to be well below pace is EyeGotSoul, and only a few players are well above pace (Cisco, mfresh94, Abrissbirne, Hufty)


                            Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

                            Comment

                            • killerx3456
                              Rookie
                              • Mar 2014
                              • 26

                              #12554
                              Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                              Would anyone be able to help me with the question I asked a few pages back?
                              In-game Name: Arley

                              Comment

                              • The_Josh
                                Banned
                                • Aug 2010
                                • 1370

                                #12555
                                Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

                                What was the question?

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