Detroit could go over the cap if they wanted to. We did so when we beat the Lakers in 2004 as well as the seasons when we were competitive. There is just no logic to paying tax dollars when fielding a terrible team. Drummond is a long way out, he becomes a RFA in 2016. If you mean Monroe, then fine, he's a RFA in 2014, but since the Lakers have nothing to trade Detroit would just match any contract offer, so then he'd be a UFA in 2018. We have his bird rights as well as plenty of salary cap coming free. There is no logic in some of the guys you mentioned leaving perfectly fine teams for a dysfunctional organization like the Lakers. They're in the position that Dallas was in.
Even if LA could get Carmelo, him and Kobe would be the worst superstar pairing of all time. Of the 60 M (approx, 70 M is the tax line) salary cap, 35 M is guaranteed to Kobe and Nash. If you spend that 25 M on one player and a mediocre bench guy, then you still have two starting holes and multiple bench slots to fill through trade. It would likely be more prudent to go after a few quality starters and bench guys with cap and MLE (not sure how much bi-annual exception they have left). To get Nash they used their trade exception, so if they run up to the cap they couldn't add anyone big in a trade. If they trade Gasol to a team with a lot of cap space at the deadline, then they could get a large trade exception; yet this brings us back to the part where the Lakers have nothing to trade if even they can pull that off without adding guaranteed money next year. I doubt they will be awful enough to get a super high pick.
I would have amnestied Kobe and traded Gasol in the offseason, and went after some of the mid-range FAs that were signed in the offseason. It didn't have the star power that this one will, but there was enough quality starters to have built a team where Kobe could have returned and been set up to be a very good team.
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