NBA Off Topic Thread

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  • ojandpizza
    Hall Of Fame
    • Apr 2011
    • 29806

    #241
    Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

    Originally posted by cima
    This isn't anything new, I was just reiterating that fact. It's always some kind of narrative. This year's narrative is analytic nerds. Jokic had a great year but 6th seed are winning MVPs now? I thought Westbrook would've been the only outlier for a long time. It usually goes to best player on the best team or at least a guy that's on a top 3 team.

    Jokic winning this year feels like advanced stats nerds took over the voting.

    He was 3 games behind Giannis and Joel.

    Answer this much then. Has the MVP vote ever been defined as “this seed or higher”? There has always been some degree of best player on best team, but that had zero application to this seasons voting as all 3 of the top 3 vote getters were 13+ games behind Phoenix. To your point, had either of Joel or Giannis won 60 games or something they would have ran away with the vote..

    But just 3 games? Trying to distinguish seeding because of how it “looks” when we are looking at just 3 games feels nerdier than even the nerdiest of all advanced stats lol.

    At one point it was estimated Jokic had 56 of 71 first place votes.. you think all those voters really look at ONLY advanced stats? I’d say at least half of them probably share this same “nerds” logic that you do and still voted him. Of course people who lean heavy into analytics picked him, he was dominant in that sense.

    But to act like Joel or Giannis won enough games over him to pull that argument in the opposite direction isn’t really factual. 3 games.

    These 3 guys all dominated the “nerd” stats because all of those stats regardless of how nerdy you consider them do correlate to the players who had the best year. If Giannis won advanced stats would have played a role, if Embiid won advanced stats would have played a role. People being mad at stats because Jokic won is so weird to me. It would have applied to any of the 3 and been the largest factor for it not being Booker/Ja/Tatum.

    Every MVP winner has been largely voted for because of stats. Even “leading scorer best team” is a vote based on a stat, points per game. A stat far emptier than some of the ones everyone is upset about because of this voting at that.

    I don’t see how any criteria has changed at all. I see more so people acting like 3 games is 10+ games.

    Comment

    • cima
      Hall Of Fame
      • Sep 2004
      • 13478

      #242
      Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

      The Suns were far and away the best team in the league and Booker was their best player and that's been the criteria for many past MVPs so I think he would've been the least-controversial guy to win it this year.

      LeBron had many years like Jokic had this year and didn't win cause they were just tired of voting for him. So it's weird that Jokic won B2B but I guess voters don't have fatigue of him yet

      Comment

      • Master Live 013
        Hall Of Fame
        • Oct 2013
        • 12327

        #243
        Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

        I think you are misreading it if you think Booker winning over Jokic/Embiid/Giannis "would've been the least-controversial guy to win it this year".
        OSHA Inspector for the NBA.

        Comment

        • Master Live 013
          Hall Of Fame
          • Oct 2013
          • 12327

          #244
          Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

          Reminds me of when Felix Hernandez won the Cy Young in 2010 with a 13-12 win-loss record. Plenty of people lost their minds but it was the clearest signal yet that the analytical movement had arrived.

          Similar situation occurring in the NBA, things used to be one way and now they are going to be a different way going forward.
          OSHA Inspector for the NBA.

          Comment

          • ojandpizza
            Hall Of Fame
            • Apr 2011
            • 29806

            #245
            Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

            Technically wouldn’t voting purely by seeding in this years rare example being changing the criteria more so than by voting based on X stats? MVP has never been decided by “can’t be a 6 seed”, which would be the definition of changing criteria no?

            My point is more so MVP has always (well all but 1 year lol) been decided by a multitude of things. Stats, perception of value, team success, story/narrative, impact metrics, games played, etc.. With, for the most part, no guidelines for how much weight is given to any one of those areas..

            Jokic this year had better stats, his team was better with him on the floor than the Bucks with Giannis or 76ers with Joel, his team had a worse win% in the games without him than Bucks without Giannis or 76ers without Joel, he played the most games out of the 3, he played the entire season without his number 2 and number 3 (story/narrative).. the only thing he didn’t top them in was wins, but again the gap is 3, and you’d could argue that his on/off splits, the team play with him on the floor, how bad they were without him, that even he won the team success argument given that you could likely claim his team was more dependent on what he provided for that success.. again you couldn’t say that if that gap was 10 game, but 3? You’ve at least got the debate.

            I really feel like this was a toss up year and any of the 3 could have won.. I think my issue is pretty much most of the season it seemed everybody was saying “it could be any of the 3” but once Joker won it half the people saying that got mad in the name of “nerds” without being able to really dispute why he shouldn’t have won, and just weeks prior saying it could have been any of the 3..

            You’ve even had people say “it’s rare to win back to back” as a reason to vote someone other than Jokic, which is even worse logic than voting by stats because you’re labeling MVP as someone doing something crazy rather than just being the most valuable player that year.

            I’d be fine with MVP having a bigger chunk of its decision being based on around the perceived “best player” and in this case Giannis winning. But it’s never been that. And when you remove that aspect of it and the award is more so “who had the best year” that’s when you open yourself up to 10 different ways of looking at things to pick the winner. Ultimately in a year like this one, which is somewhat of a fluke, you’ve got all 3 guys 13+ wins away from the top dog, you’ve pretty much all but decided that those 3 wins don’t really matter.

            Comment

            • ojandpizza
              Hall Of Fame
              • Apr 2011
              • 29806

              #246
              NBA Off Topic Thread

              Originally posted by cima
              The Suns were far and away the best team in the league and Booker was their best player and that's been the criteria for many past MVPs so I think he would've been the least-controversial guy to win it this year.

              LeBron had many years like Jokic had this year and didn't win cause they were just tired of voting for him. So it's weird that Jokic won B2B but I guess voters don't have fatigue of him yet

              Up until mid January Chris Paul was 4th on the MVP ladder. Booker didn’t win because he’s not viewed as his teams “most important” player to the same degree of the other three. That’s a massive deciding factor in every years vote.

              He also has the worst on/off splits of the 4, and Phoenix has a better win% in games without him than the other 3 and their teams.

              He’s also not really comparable statistically. He had a “good” year, the other 3 were pretty much historic.

              Most years LeBron didn’t win all the above didn’t also apply. Harden for example had crazy stats, was easily considered the most important player on his team, they would implode without him, etc..

              Nobody from Utah won last year, nobody from Atlanta, Toronto, Indiana, Boston, Detroit, Kings, was wining when those teams were top 1 or 2 teams either. The vote has never solely been based on “top team” with all else shoved aside, the closest we’ve had to that is Rose.
              Last edited by ojandpizza; 05-10-2022, 10:05 PM.

              Comment

              • ProfessaPackMan
                Bamma
                • Mar 2008
                • 63852

                #247
                NBA Off Topic Thread

                Originally posted by ojandpizza

                My point is more so MVP has always (well all but 1 year lol) been decided by a multitude of things. Stats, perception of value, team success, story/narrative, impact metrics, games played, etc.. With, for the most part, no guidelines for how much weight is given to any one of those areas..
                And in each one of these cases, some of those things weighed more than the other. Voters damn sure weren’t incorporating “impact metrics” until the last maybe 6-7 years.

                But we always “knew” what the criteria was even if the league didn’t officially announce it. Team success, Stats, Narrative we’re pretty much the main ones and for the most part in that order.
                Last edited by ProfessaPackMan; 05-11-2022, 08:31 AM.
                #RespectTheCulture

                Comment

                • DieHardYankee26
                  BING BONG
                  • Feb 2008
                  • 10178

                  #248
                  NBA Off Topic Thread

                  Originally posted by Master Live 013
                  Reminds me of when Felix Hernandez won the Cy Young in 2010 with a 13-12 win-loss record. Plenty of people lost their minds but it was the clearest signal yet that the analytical movement had arrived.

                  Similar situation occurring in the NBA, things used to be one way and now they are going to be a different way going forward.
                  To me it’s like if a guy led the league in WAR, but still had crazy standard stats to back it up, and people just ignored them. “I don’t want to hear about his WAR!” “Well how about the fact that he’s hitting .320 with 50 bombs and 130 RBIs?” Jokic put up 27/14/8 on great efficiency and people are acting like he put up 17 and 9 but just had great advanced stats. He went crazy no matter how you look at his numbers. He’s not Ben Zobrist or anything.
                  Originally posted by G Perico
                  If I ain't got it, then I gotta take it
                  I can't hide who I am, baby I'm a gangster
                  In the Rolls Royce, steppin' on a mink rug
                  The clique just a gang of bosses that linked up

                  Comment

                  • ProfessaPackMan
                    Bamma
                    • Mar 2008
                    • 63852

                    #249
                    NBA Off Topic Thread

                    I doubt we’ll see the huge analytical wave take over the NBA like it did Baseball. Culture ain’t built/ready for it and will never be, for a multitude of reasons.

                    This sums up how I feel about engaging in MVP arguments nowadays:

                    Last edited by ProfessaPackMan; 05-11-2022, 08:43 AM.
                    #RespectTheCulture

                    Comment

                    • Master Live 013
                      Hall Of Fame
                      • Oct 2013
                      • 12327

                      #250
                      Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

                      And just wait until they start talking about giving it to players on teams that missed the playoffs (happened in 75-76) or finished below .500 (75-76, 55-56). Then we can watch some people set themselves on fire
                      OSHA Inspector for the NBA.

                      Comment

                      • ojandpizza
                        Hall Of Fame
                        • Apr 2011
                        • 29806

                        #251
                        Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

                        Originally posted by Master Live 013
                        And just wait until they start talking about giving it to players on teams that missed the playoffs (happened in 75-76) or finished below .500 (75-76, 55-56). Then we can watch some people set themselves on fire
                        I don't think we will see that again, I don't think we'll even see a situation like this one again unless you've got another instance of the top guys being separated by so few wins but all of them so far below the best team. Usually there is a bit more correlation between the two.

                        Even in the Kareem example that was when players were still voting for the MVP.

                        Comment

                        • Jeffx
                          MVP
                          • Jan 2007
                          • 3045

                          #252
                          Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

                          Originally posted by ojandpizza
                          Damn.. Adreian Payne was shot dead. Just 31 years old.
                          So, from this article says, Payne and his girlfriend came to the neighborhood at the request of the shooter's girlfriend to help with a domestic dispute. I would have said, hell no! Tell the girlfriend to call the police and let them handle that ****. My cop relatives & friends have always said those were the worst cases. You don't know what to expect or who's carrying.

                          A classic case of death by simp....sad...R.I.P.

                          Comment

                          • Majingir
                            Moderator
                            • Apr 2005
                            • 47473

                            #253
                            Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

                            *Ernie lists off guys who've won back to back MVP*

                            Jokic: Shaq didnt do it?!

                            Ernie: No, he didnt.

                            Jokic: I know, I was just joking.

                            Comment

                            • dubcity
                              Hall Of Fame
                              • May 2012
                              • 17872

                              #254
                              Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

                              Extremely OT: the LeBron Flamin Hot cheddar and sour cream Ruffles chips are some of the most boring chips you can eat. He has really fallen of since the LeBron's mix Sprite.

                              Comment

                              • zello144
                                MVP
                                • Jul 2013
                                • 2183

                                #255
                                Re: NBA Off Topic Thread

                                Originally posted by dubcity
                                Extremely OT: the LeBron Flamin Hot cheddar and sour cream Ruffles chips are some of the most boring chips you can eat. He has really fallen of since the LeBron's mix Sprite.
                                Should have never taken the Pepsi deal. If you sign with Pepsi and are an Athlete you do Gatorade commercials for them not chips.

                                Comment

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