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Inaccurate Statcast Data

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Old 02-27-2017, 11:23 PM   #9
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

It's still important to compare apples to apples.

Directly comparing a loaded-up OF throw velocity with an off-balance INF throw velocity is specious. Directly comparing a guy busting it for a triple and the same guy scoring easily from 2B is specious.

As for the HR distance, that does seem a bit inflated, but we'll need to see some more numbers before concluding off of exactly ONE home run that the data is off.

I think we need to see more data before making any judgments.
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Old 02-28-2017, 12:01 AM   #10
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

If say the Andrus run is based off of his speed rating for example then with the guys who make the rosters then adjust values based on real life data and maybe boost speed rating up if his speed in game doesn't match his real life speed. Just a thought

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Old 02-28-2017, 12:34 AM   #11
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

I found this video of a very similar play made by Ian Desmond in comparison to the Tulo play. At the 2:00 mark in the video, it says his throw was 63.8 mph
https://youtu.be/4Bnnek1oaN4
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Old 02-28-2017, 12:47 AM   #12
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

Got to agree with the OP. I think it also has to do a lot with the animations not being able to reflect closer to actual speed.
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Old 02-28-2017, 01:18 AM   #13
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

Quote:
Originally Posted by WaitTilNextYear
It's still important to compare apples to apples.

Directly comparing a loaded-up OF throw velocity with an off-balance INF throw velocity is specious. Directly comparing a guy busting it for a triple and the same guy scoring easily from 2B is specious.

As for the HR distance, that does seem a bit inflated, but we'll need to see some more numbers before concluding off of exactly ONE home run that the data is off.

I think we need to see more data before making any judgments.
Exactly, an off balanced throw from a SS is not the same as an outfield throw with a crow hop.
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Old 02-28-2017, 01:18 AM   #14
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data



Here's the only homer hit last year with a similar exit velocity to Turner's. And that had a launch angle 11 degrees lower. In fact, only 7 players hit a ball with an exit velocity over 118 mph all of last season.
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Old 02-28-2017, 06:32 AM   #15
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

Quote:
Originally Posted by ataranto2
I found this video of a very similar play made by Ian Desmond in comparison to the Tulo play. At the 2:00 mark in the video, it says his throw was 63.8 mph
https://youtu.be/4Bnnek1oaN4
I stand corrected. Now what about that 550 foot moonshot Turner hit, or Andrus topping out at 18.5?
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Old 02-28-2017, 07:48 AM   #16
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Re: Inaccurate Statcast Data

I also hope that sliders do not effect what is actually calculated.

For example, lets say a player runs 20 MPH from 2B to Home with sliders at default. If you adjust the baserunner speed slider, the runner should still be clocked at 20 MPH because even though the runner is technically running faster or slower, it is a global adjustment within the game and the player's "speed" within the context of the game should remain the same.

I would think this is already thought out because it is done properly with pitch speed....but just pointing out something that may have been overlooked.
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