[nomo17k]

Also, another thing that complicates the matter is the fact that something like Baseball America's top prospects doesn't necessarily reflect true abilities of players. There have been so many overhyped prospects in the past, you know.

For example, reading the statement "About 70% of Baseball America top 100 prospects fail," depending on the perspective (like pretending injuries don't matter) we may also say "70% of top 100 prospects have been overrated by Baseball America."

So, one factor why you see so many "A" potential players end up becoming great players in games is because in games those "ratings" tend to reflect how they really perform, because game engine uses them directly. It's like exposing DNAs of individuals and what they obtain through nurture entirely, which never happens in real life.

Yeah, I know I don't like "hidden" potential or hidden ratings either, but all the uncertainties involved in real lives makes things is difficult (though interesting).