Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

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  • jWILL253
    You know why I'm here...
    • Jun 2008
    • 1611

    #1

    Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

    So, as a Seahawks fan, I see a lot of arguments about Russell Wilson's talent at the QB position daily. Opinions tend to range from "He's a top tier QB" to "He's a (now overpaid) game manager, and the wheels will fall off once the defense regresses and Marshawn retires." The funny thing about the latter argument is the fact that I've never really heard that particular point about any other QB who happens to play with a great defense/RB.

    So, I've decided to do a little research (read: so much Googling I have carpel tunnel) into what separates a nearly average QB from a good one, and what turns a good one into a great one. I'll be using three QB's as examples for those three qualifiers, and I'll be examining those QB's in three categories:

    1. Statistical performance (Pro & College)
    2. Personnel
    3. Impact

    Let's start with a player that everyone considers to be the quintessential game manager QB.



    If you were to look at Trent Dilfer's collegiate stats without knowing anything about his pro career, you never would've guessed that he was the most managing-*** game manager to ever play the game.

    1. Stats:

    College:
    • 1992: 188/360 ATT, 3,000 yds, 21 TD vs 14 INT
    • 1993: 254/396 for 3,799 yards with 30 TD vs 5 INT. Won the Sammy Baugh Award.

    For his pro stats, we're gonna focus on his years in Tampa Bay and his lone year in Baltimore, as these years were his most productive:
    • 1995 Tampa Bay 224/415 ATT 54.0% 2774 yd 6.7 avg 4 TD 18 INT 60.1 QBR
    • 1996 Tampa Bay 267/482 ATT 55.4% 2859 yd 5.9 avg 12 TD 19 INT 64.8 QBR
    • 1997 Tampa Bay 217/386 ATT 56.2% 2555 yd 6.6 avg 21 TD 11 INT 82.8 QBR
    • 1998 Tampa Bay 225/429 ATT 52.4% 2729 yd 6.4 avg 21 TD 15 INT 74.0 QBR
    • 1999 Tampa Bay 146/244 ATT 59.8% 1619 yd 6.6 avg 11 TD 11 INT 75.8 QBR
    • 2000 Baltimore 134/226 ATT 59.3% 1502 yd 6.6 avg 12 TD 11 INT 76.6 QBR


    (source: Da wiki)

    So, basically what we have here is a QB who started out absolutely terrible, and progressed to merely "adequate" as his career went on. He never had a completion percentage over 59% in his entire career, and only threw more than 20 TD's twice. He's never hit the 3,000 yard mark either, and his career QBR sits at 70.2.

    Now, when you look at his ATT numbers in his best statistical year, 1997, you'll see that Dilfer never went over 33 ATT's. In fact, he's only finished with over 400 attempts in a season three times, and in two of those seasons, he finished with significantly less TD's than INT's. So obviously, he's a player who can perform at a decent level if you limit his opportunities to make fatal mistakes.

    2. Personnel

    http://www.pro-football-reference.co...D/DilfTr00.htm

    Dilfer is known for his lone year in Baltimore, as that was the year they won the Super Bowl. As you can see above, his stats for that year were about as average as average can be. It's no argument that he was surrounded by a great running back in Jamal Lewis, and a defense lead by Ray Lewis that ranks amongst the greatest.

    However, Dilfer's best years were in 1997 & 1998, when he was still in Tampa Bay. I decided to do a little digging on both of these teams... and it turns out that these were the Tony Dungy era Buccanneers, lead by a Top 5 defense, and with a young Warrick Dunn & Mike Alstott heading up the running game (and the receiving game, as no notable WR on the depth chart finished with more than 51 receptions in either year). However, neither offense in either year finished higher than 18th.

    To be honest, I'm kind of baffled here. There was way more offensive talent on the Ravens' Super Bowl roster (Lewis, Shannon Sharpe, Priest Homes) than there was on either of Tampa Bay's notable rosters, and yet Dilfer somehow managed to perform worse statistically on the Ravens, Super Bowl victory aside

    3. Impact

    I wouldn't blame you if any of you all thought that the backhanded compliment that is "game manager" was created solely as a shorthand for "Trent Dilfer". Simply put, his best praise was that he didn't make mistakes, despite his general lack of :wow: in his ability. And honestly, the statistics support it. He was able to visit the postseason two times, simply based on his proficiency to NOT **** it all up.

    Next time, I'll take a look at a QB who no one doubts as one of the better QB's in football. Stay tuned to find out who it is.

    As a conversation starter, what are the things you guys think separate QB's in terms of their abilities?
    jWILL
  • TripleCrown9
    Keep the Faith
    • May 2010
    • 23732

    #2
    Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

    Russell Wilson's basic.

    Spoiler
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    • ProfessaPackMan
      Bamma
      • Mar 2008
      • 63852

      #3
      Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

      Man just say that you don't think Wilson is a "game manager" and that he's an elite QB. You know damn sure you want to, lol.
      #RespectTheCulture

      Comment

      • TripleCrown9
        Keep the Faith
        • May 2010
        • 23732

        #4
        Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

        Originally posted by ProfessaPackMan
        Man just say that you don't think Wilson is a "game manager" and that he's an elite QB. You know damn sure you want to, lol.
        Nah, man. He's got a whole series of posts planned out leading up to that.
        Boston Red Sox
        1903 1912 1915 1916 1918 2004 2007 2013 2018
        9 4 1 8 27 6 14 45 26 34

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        • jWILL253
          You know why I'm here...
          • Jun 2008
          • 1611

          #5
          Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

          Can you just comment on the OP, please?
          jWILL

          Comment

          • ProfessaPackMan
            Bamma
            • Mar 2008
            • 63852

            #6
            Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

            Bruh, just post all the other QBs you're going to use as examples to prove/convince folks that Wilson is more than a game manager and should be considered an elite QB, since it's obvious this is where the thread will eventually head anyway.

            Not even sure what you're trying to say with the Dilfer comparison because it's not like Wilson has ever gotten compared to him at all since the situations with him and Dilfer in Baltimore were completely different.
            #RespectTheCulture

            Comment

            • thaima1shu
              Robot
              • Feb 2004
              • 5598

              #7
              Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

              Spoiler

              Comment

              • jWILL253
                You know why I'm here...
                • Jun 2008
                • 1611

                #8
                Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                I wasn't even gonna mention Russell outside of the OP. I was just using him as an example of a QB that tends to be divisive when it comes to what people think of what people consider to be a good or bad QB.

                I was actually gonna use Andrew Luck & Matt Ryan as "good" & "great" examples, and examine what separates them as players. I was waiting until I had found all the data, photos, etc. to support my research into them.
                Last edited by jWILL253; 08-29-2015, 09:25 PM.
                jWILL

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                • Hooe
                  Hall Of Fame
                  • Aug 2002
                  • 21555

                  #9
                  Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                  An elite quarterback is one who makes the routine plays more than the ones who don't. He makes the banal look extraordinary and the extraordinary look easy.

                  An elite quarterback is also a game manager because he takes what the defense gives him, be that a five-yard curl on a smash concept against a Cover 2 or a deep bomb over the top of a cornerback's head with no safety help.

                  IMO the discussion of "elite" vs "game manager" is not the correct lens to talk about quarterback play and it never has been the correct way to view the thing. It's more about what plays you have the potential to make (talent) and what plays the offensive system asks you to make and the plays you do make (understanding / grasp of the offense / situational awareness / football intelligence).

                  So (all this relatively speaking and speaking in broad brush strokes here) you have the high-talent high-intelligence quarterbacks (Rodgers, Luck), the high-talent low-intelligence quarterbacks (Cutler, Vick), the low-talent high-intelligence quarterbacks (Ryan Fitzpatrick, Shaun Hill) and the low-talent low-intelligence quarterbacks (guys who aren't making NFL rosters). Right now I would be more inclined to put Russell Wilson in the first group of quarterbacks than anywhere else.
                  Last edited by Hooe; 08-29-2015, 09:23 PM.

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                  • Rocky
                    All Star
                    • Jul 2002
                    • 6896

                    #10
                    Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                    jWILL, you're starting to remind me of z_revis during the Manning/Brady wars back in the day.

                    But I don't think anyone thinks he is just a game manager and the consensus seems that he is hovering on the lower tier of top QB's.
                    "Maybe I can't win. But to beat me, he's going to have to kill me. And to kill me, he's gonna have to have the heart to stand in front of me. And to do that, he's got to be willing to die himself. I don't know if he's ready to do that."
                    -Rocky Balboa

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                    • jWILL253
                      You know why I'm here...
                      • Jun 2008
                      • 1611

                      #11
                      Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                      Now onto the next QB, Andrew Luck. I thought about going for another QB here, but I wanted to go with a QB that is performing well know, and is still young enough to have a high ceiling that he hasn't reach yet.



                      The Caveman has been on fire from the moment he stepped onto the field in college, and his transition to pro football has been nearly perfect.

                      1. Stats

                      College:
                      • 2009: 162/288 ATT 2,575 yds 56.3% 13 TD 4 INT 143.5 QBR
                      • 2010: 263/372 ATT 3,338 yds 70.7% 32 TD 8 INT 170.2 QBR
                      • 2011: 288/404 ATT 3,517 yds 71.3% 37 TD 10 INT 169.7 QBR

                      (I didn't even know you could even get a QBR higher than 159.)

                      Pro:
                      • 2012: 339/627 ATT 54.1% 4,374 yds 7.0 avg 23 TD 18 INT 76.5 QBR
                      • 2013: 343/570 ATT 60.2% 3,822 yds 6.7 avg 23 TD 9 INT 87.0 QBR
                      • 2014: 380/616 ATT 61.7% 4,761 yds 7.7 avg 40 TD 16 INT 96.5 QBR


                      (source: Da wiki)

                      As you can see, Luck has been great from Day One, and has done nothing but improve since his rookie year. In particular, that enormous jump in productivity in 2014 is giving Colts fans flashbacks to Manning-era greatness at the QB position.

                      He has everything that stat junkies love: high passing attempts, a ton of yards, and a high TD count. But what separates him from other decent volume passers like Matthew Stafford, is that his productivity comes within the context of being the sole offensive threat on a largely underwhelming roster. Speaking of which...

                      2. Personnel

                      TJ Hilton aside, Luck has had the great privilege of being the player who carries the team on his back (doe) every week. His best weapons to date were an aging Reggie Wayne & the aforementioned Hilton. He also had the benefit of playing behind the truly elite rushing attack led by Trent Richardson. Add that to the middling (at best) defense, and it's pretty impressive that Luck has been so productive being the sole offensive threat, while also filling the shoes of a legend. His 9 4th QTR comebacks & 14 game winning drives speaks to his ability to carry a team to victory. With new additions like Frank Gore & Andre Johnson giving Luck more threats, we should see Luck take another big step forward in productivity.

                      3. Impact

                      There is absolutely no question about the impact Luck has at the QB position. Simply put, he tilts the field. What sets him apart from most other QB's is the fact that he understands the pro game so well at this early stage in his career, and still is only in his 4th year. His underrated mobility and pocket presence make trying to defend against him a nightmare.






                      I think a proper comparison for a player like luck is less Peyton Manning, and more Aaron Rodgers. Like Rodgers, Luck seems to have a great understanding of where everyone is on the field, as well as having a great feel for the pressure.
                      jWILL

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                      • wwharton
                        *ll St*r
                        • Aug 2002
                        • 26949

                        #12
                        Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                        You probably would've been better off not even mentioning Wilson because I think the opinion on him is more like Brady in the early years than Dilfer... I think most don't think he's proven he can be THE guy bc he hasn't had to, but not bc we think he can't. I'd say that was the dividing line in the salary conversation.

                        But in general, the game manager vs elite qb convo is a good one and I like how you're breaking these things down so it'd suck if the whole thing turned into another Wilson comparison (esp since it doesn't seem like that's your real intent here).

                        I think saying "Game Manager" is synonymous with "Trent Dilfer" is right on the money. He's the reason it's gotten such a negative reputation, when any QB that can't be a game manager is a problem. Saying someone manages a game shouldn't be an insult at all. The real question is if they can do more when asked or needed. Brady, Ben, Rivers all were asked to let the team around them do the heavy lifting while they got comfortable before being allowed to take over more. RG3 won ROY in that role and fighting it cost him his job.

                        You mentioned wondering about Dilfer's numbers in Baltimore with more talent... you also have to consider he didn't start until the middle of the season so that may have effected his numbers too. I look forward to seeing who else you break down.

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                        • TripleCrown9
                          Keep the Faith
                          • May 2010
                          • 23732

                          #13
                          Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                          Yeah, just the fact that they not only had to put Dilfer under center, but they had to use him to replace Tony Banks is a big nod to "game managers".
                          Boston Red Sox
                          1903 1912 1915 1916 1918 2004 2007 2013 2018
                          9 4 1 8 27 6 14 45 26 34

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                          • Bmore Irish
                            The Future
                            • Jul 2011
                            • 3461

                            #14
                            Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                            Spoiler

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                            • redsox4evur
                              Hall Of Fame
                              • Jul 2013
                              • 18169

                              #15
                              Re: Elite QB vs. Game Manager: A Disccussion

                              Originally posted by Bmore Irish
                              Spoiler
                              Let the debate begin.

                              I think he is honestly. He made what 5 or 6 straight playoffs and won a road game in all of them. He's got a SB.
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