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#151 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Nah, he picked Price and not Lelie on purpose. Lelie is the one that started to drop in production before coming to the Falcons, not Price. Price is the one that had one stellar year and then came back to earth in his first year with the Falcons.
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#152 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Where are you getting those numbers? Also, Look at DPAR. His rushing, while a plus, clearly does not overweight the fact that hes a worse passer than Kyle Orton, or Joey Harrington. |
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#153 | ||
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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#154 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
And if you add his Rushing Dpar, and his Passing DPAR... you get... Mark Brunell. |
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#155 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
As Bad as culpepper was in Miami, he was STILL better as a passer than Vick has ever been. He had a 60% competion percentage, , and a 6.9 YPA, both higher than Vick's career highs. In Culpepper's worst year, hes STILL better than vick, An FWIW, chambers is much worse than any of Vick's WRers. He caught less than 30% of the passes thrown at him this year IIRC. |
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#156 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2002
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In my opinon, Vick is right around the middle of the pack in terms of starting NFL QBs. He doesn't crack the top ten but might be in the top 15. He seemed to have the potential to be a lot better than that, but for whatever number of reasons hasn't really developed as a passer.
So I guess I'm in between the two poles on this one. I think he is definitely way overpaid, but I also think the Falcons could be successful with Vick at QB if they built a good team around him and used a scheme that fit his skills. |
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#157 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2001
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Quote:
but the falcons guys COULD fit the NE offense and there is the rub. Caldwell, Jackson, Gaffney, Brown could not fit the Falcon offense. I'd submit no receiver but the inside TE type fits the Falcon offense and I also submit that's a reflection of the scheme or qb overall.
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"Don't you have homes?" -- Judge Smales |
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#158 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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#159 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Right, and there never will be any way to tell. THe thing is, I see this as a case of Okham's razor: Either Atlanta has blown multiple first round Pick's on WR, picked up numerous overrated free agent Wide recievers, and failed to develope any project recievers, OR, vick is a poor passer. Sometimes the simplest explanation is the correct one. |
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#160 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
I don't fully understand these numbers. So, I don't know if you can just add them together. However, if you can, Mark Brunell, according to these numbers that you are supporting, is a top 15 QB. Which basically supports what I'm saying - especially when you add the "butts in the seat" and "merchandise" factor.
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Or, is this a case of Okham's razor: Doug Johnson: Quote:
Matt Schaub: Quote:
Neither guy could manage much more in comp % than Vick without some of the other pluses.
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Last edited by wade moore : 01-23-2007 at 03:34 PM. |
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#162 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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I really don't understand why posts in this thread count.
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#163 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Basically, you can add them together. Theyre supposed to be Points Above Replacement. Basically, Mike Vick was worth -6.3 points this year as a passer, and 32.4 as a rusher. Basically, if you took some random scrub from college, he'd get you 6 more points worth of field position in the passing game, and lose you 32 points in the rushing game. Its a cumulative stat, so frequency is rewarded. Mcnabb is ranked #7 having played only what? 6 games. He'd be up near Manning if he played 16. Charlie Batch played 3 games and had half the DPAR that Vick accumulated over a whole season. Don't forget:This was one of Vick's better seasons. In this season, he's been mediocre at best, but he makes Elite money. He's awfully similar to Eli Manning, in the fact that hes a workable NFL quarterback, but that he makes so much money that he ends up hurting the team. I think most of the Teams would love to have Mike Vick.... At $2M a year. At $16 M, most wouldnt touch him if they had the choice. |
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#164 | ||
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Once again, you're misrepresenting Vick's #'s. His career high YPA is 7.2. He also had a different year with 7.0 YPA. And I could point out how Culpepper had more INT's than TD's (or mislead and say he had almost double as many INT's as TD's) and over 5 sacks a game, or we can agree that 4 games is too small a sample size to compare to a full season.Quote:
I don't feel qualified to comment on the Falcons offense, but I figure Petrino is pretty smart and should be able to figure out a decent enough scheme. (My idea would be scrap all but one WR, add another TE and wingback in there and run some sort of the single-wing? that Arkansas ran with McFadden, slash misdirection type plays Wake Forest uses so successfully. It's not the option, so hopefully that alleviates the concern about Vick being hurt too much.) |
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#165 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Both those quarterbacks display the typical developement of an NFL quarterback. Rough first year, little better 2nd year, and breaking 60% in the third year. Mike Vick has shown no such improvement. Hes basically the same passer, in the 6th year of his career, as Shaub and Johnson were coming off their rookie years, getting almost no playing time. Thats pretty damning to me. |
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#166 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
I think you are greatly underestimating the ticket sales/merchandising factor here.
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#167 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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omg STOP
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#168 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Um, when Johnson actually got PT in his 4th year with the Falcons, he went down to 56%. The high numbers, imo, are a product of small sample size. When you look at the bigger sample sizes, they're closer to 55%. And, let's take this another way. According to your Football outsider stats: Doug Johnson: 2000 - -9.9 2001 - DNQ 2002 - 13.8 2003 - -3.4 Matt Schaub: 2004 - -18.0 2005 - 12.2 2006 - 4.8 I'm not going to dig up their rushing numbers, but I'm sure when you add in Vick's rushing numbers he's far better than these two.
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#169 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
Vick had one year at 7.21, and then his next highest was 6.97. Culpeppers's worst year was 6.93 and 7.02. So his two worst years were similar to vick's two best. He's also had multiple years over 8 ypa. Chambers had a DPAR of -19.8 this year. He was at 4.2 last year. 5.0 the year before. Chambers has hovered aroudn 50% completion percentage his whole career, while the guys around him sit much higher. Last edited by Synovia : 01-23-2007 at 03:50 PM. |
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#170 | |
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Sorry if you don't like a football discussion on a football message board.
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#171 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Here and There
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Well at least he's a good role model. You can overcome smoking pot and herpes to become a passable NFL QB.
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#172 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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#173 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
DPAR is a cumulative stat, so you can't use it in this case. IE a guy who gets .1 point over average and gets 100 plays is worth 10DPAR, while a guy who gets .5 over average and only gets 10 plays is worth 5 DPAR. Vick plays 16 games,so he should have magnitudes higher DPAR. If you want to compare players with unequal play time, use DVOA. Schaub this year: 31% Vick: -16.6% That means, if its 3rd and 12, and the league average is 10 yards, Vick will get you 8.4. Shaub will get you 13.1 yards. 2005 Schaub:28.9 Vick:-5.9 2004 Schaub:-70.7 (rookie year...rookies ALWAYS suck...except Roethlisburger) Vick:-24.9 Vick has continued to suck as a passer, and doesnt show any signs of getting any better. He's past the point where QBs typically learn, and hes not that good. |
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#174 | |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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I support this idea. |
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#175 | |
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Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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#176 | ||
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
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Last edited by BishopMVP : 01-23-2007 at 04:26 PM. |
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#177 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle
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Forget the stats, just watch him play. Right now, Vick is an average to slightly better than average starting QB. There are some real questions about whether he will get any better. Would alot of teams like to have him at average QB money - yes. But at his current salary, he is way overpaid. This hurts the team because he is not producing in a way that makes up for lost production at other positions due to his high salary. That's how I see it.
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#178 | ||
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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Quote:
Quote:
The only time a backup QB in Atlanta got significant enough PT to compare legitimately with Vick was Doug Johnson in 2003, and he got a -16 DVOA. |
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#179 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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If you think VIck is a slightly above average passer, you're seeing something different than I am. I'm seeing an abysmal passer who's running ability helps make up for it somewhat. Whether hes decent or average, or even good, remember that he cost his team multiple first round picks, and about the same amount of cap space as Peyton Manning and Marvin Harrison.
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#180 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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#181 | |
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Hokie, Hokie, Hokie, Hi
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Kennesaw, GA
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Quote:
He plays the game in such a way that I find it impossible to compare his total effect to anyone else playing quarterback right now... All I know is that over the past six years, the Falcons have performed a whole lot better when he's in the game than when he's out of the game. Do I think Atlanta would be better with Manning, Brady or Brees as quarterback? Absolutely...every team would. Do I think they would be better with a Delhomme, Pennington, or any of the other two dozen quarterbacks in the league? I doubt it. |
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#182 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
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#183 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Quote:
But you CAN quantify it. There are average expectancies about how many points an offense scores from certain positions of the field. Moving from the 20 to the 40 has an expected increase in the amount of points you're likely to score on average on the drive, and it is very consistent, and very measureable. So yes, you CAN measure the amount that Mike Vick's running offset's his poor passing. Hes the best running quarterback in the league. He was worth 32.4 points of field position over your average replacement QB running the ball. He was worth -6 points throwing the ball. So that puts him 26 points above the average replacement scrub for the season. Which is 3 points below Mark Brunell, 2 points below Eli Manning, and almost the same as Jeff Garcia. Thats right, Jeff Garcia was worth 27 points above average in only what, 7 games? And it took Vick 16 games to accumulate the same amount of points? JPLosman was worth 22 for god sakes. |
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#184 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Dayton, OH
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Which one would you prefer right now, Vick or V. Young?
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#185 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Washington, DC
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Man there's a lot of crap.
Bring on Matt Schaub*, Atlanta's savior! * For those that are going to bring up the "backups always do well", I'm just trying to be a homer and troll, let it be. ![]()
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Sixteen Colors ANSI/ASCII Art Archive "...the better half of the Moores..." -cthomer5000 |
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#186 |
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Banned
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Astoria, NY, USA
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i hope the Giants try to aquire Vick to make him their RB (the position he really should be playing) now that Tiki Barber is gone.
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#187 | |
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Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
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Quote:
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The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
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#188 | |
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Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
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Quote:
Well, D.J. would fill it for a few weeks.
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The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
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#189 | |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Colorado
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Quote:
And very nearby, MLK is rolling over in his grave. |
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#190 |
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Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
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Yes, because of course MLK was all about running quarterbacks.
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The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
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#191 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Jan 2007
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Young. He's a much better passer, and hes much bigger, so much less likely to get hurt. He's also a rookie, which means he's most likely going to get better, as opposed to Vick, who is who we thought he was. |
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#192 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Colorado
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He was about something more important that that and it applies to everyone, including QBs, European soccer thugs, NHL and NBA players, et al. It seems like as long as a player is "exciting" and marketable, character doesn't matter - as Imran said is the unfortunate and inconvenient truth. Maybe that's why I like Tony Gwynn and LT so much. I want to grow up to be like them and not like certain others. |
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#193 | |
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Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
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Quote:
Apparently, your emotions won't allow you to see that sports are ENTERTAINMENT, and nothing else. Do you watch movies where there's violence? Where the proganist has flaws? TV or movies in which the actors have made horrid real-life lifestyle choices? Do you listen to music made by people with questionable lifestyles? It's no different. I am entertained by guys who can do impressive things on the field or court, period, not to get some silly morality play or something. Your attitude reminds me of that of a female (of course) friend of mine once who used to always whine about my dislike of Greg McMichael as the closer for the Braves. "You should like him! He's a Christian!" My response was simple: "Great! If I ever need a guest speaker for Sunday School, I'll be sure to keep him in mind." His eternal destination has nothing to do with how effective he was, or how much I enjoyed watching him. Give me Wohlers or Rocker or Alejandro at their best any day of the week, and twice on Sundays, over that boring, soft-throwing, ineffective McMichael.
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The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! Last edited by Ben E Lou : 01-23-2007 at 07:54 PM. |
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#194 |
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Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Colorado
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#195 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: San Jose, CA
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Actually, I think MLK would be quite happy with the state of NFL football right now. Black QB's are playing at a record level, and two black head coaches are meeting in the super bowl. There are always going to be a few players with less than pristine off the field records. If the worst anyone did in their lives was smoke a few joints, I think the world would be a fantastic place.
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Look into the mind of a crazy man (NSFW) http://www.whitepowerupdate.wordpress.com |
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#196 | ||
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lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
This sums up Vick very nicely imo.
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#197 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: New Jersey
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Quote:
You forgot McNabb in the list of Manning, Brees, and Brady ![]() |
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#198 |
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Resident Alien
Join Date: Jun 2001
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The Falcons need to go back to their old uniforms. The new ones are horrid.
I like Vick, but wish he would show a little more as a passer. |
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#199 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Alabama
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I just like how Peyton Manning has more rushing TDs this year than Vick.
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#200 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Only if McNabb stays healthy . Maybe he needs more Chunky Soup?
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