1. The save situation became a save situation quickly.
There are times when a late rally in the bottom of the 8th and the top of the ninth will happen while there are a couple of setup/middle men warming in the pen. These guys are preparing to pitch in the current situation, with their team trailing. The cpu will only get the closer up when the current situation is a save situation. So if your rally ends abruptly, say with a DP, there's insufficient time for him to be warmed up properly. Hence, the cpu manager decides to "buy" an out, maybe 2, with a reliever who is already warm. When the closer is properly warm, he will bring him, most times after the first guy has gotten into trouble. The problem is that the AI does not anticipate the situation changing by getting the closer up while the potential lead run is on base. It waits until the save situation is current. Most times, this too late.
2. The closer is fatigued. If you have used him a couple of games in a row, then he is less than 100% rested. The cpu will attempt to rest him by bringing somebody in who is rested. Now, in my franchise, because of the way I set up my bullpens, this guy is usually the pitcher in the long relief spot. He is the 6th starter, but also really the 12th man on the staff. Because he is not used everyday, he is the one most rested. So, he's the guy the cpu goes to when trying to rest the closer. But he will have the closer warming up. If this guy gets into trouble, then the cpu will reluctantly bring the closer in, albeit with is pitching arm dragging the ground.
I am relatively new to The Show franchise with a lot of time on my hands. I hope this isn't redundant and helps in trying to have the most realistic experience in the game as possible.
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