Those are good points, stealyerface. I remember that setting to which you refer, and I always played with it on.
I have wondered about The Show in that regard. I have often started games with a pitcher who usually lights up the strike zone and I can paint on the black consistently, but on seemingly random occasions I can't find the zone. I'll have trouble just putting fastballs in for Ks (now, if I'm willing to throw it right down the middle I can get it in, but if I'm trying to hit corners, forget it).
Ran into that in Game 3 of my NLDS (no I haven't made it that far in '12 yet, I'm finishing off an '11 season before I get into '12). Walked Jimmy Rollins on 4 straight to open the game, got Polanco to pop up a pitch that he should have creamed, but then I go down 2-0 on Utley, manage to get fastball--that should be pronounced meatball--by him that he was clearly intending to take. Miss the next fastball down. And, on 3-1, I'm not giving in, I try a change up low and away, but despite what appeared to be a good release according to the meter, the ball went straight down the pipe, and subsequently went straight out of the park. The rest of the game was a struggle for this guy, but I muddled through. When I changed pitchers in the 5th, I had none of these problems.
Anyway, I've had situations like this and have wondered about what you are describing. Most times, I chalk it up to my thumb movements not being as precise one night versus another (I'm tired, I'm not concentrating, I'm distracted, etc.), but it could be something like the "variable stuff."
Also, I've heard it discussed, but never had a definitive understanding of this. Is there carry-over pitcher confidence from game-to-game? That is, if my closer blows a save, is his confidence entering the next game lower than if he had pitched effectively in the previous game?
I ask because recently my closer struggled through an extended period. He had a few a bad outings where he barely scrapped by gave up a run or two but still got the save, blew a save but was bailed out by a ninth inning bomb, on his next attempt blew a 4-run lead and took the loss (wasn't even a save situation, but I had him warmed up prior to scoring an additional run in the 9th), and blew his next save as well. After this, I was able to work him back into normal form by putting him in some situations where he would most likely succeed. Now he seems to be back to his old self.
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