The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

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  • S_pierce10
    Rookie
    • Mar 2017
    • 66

    #556
    Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

    Originally posted by Cycloniac
    Should this project return for MLB 20?
    I say most definitely should. I love these rosters, the game is almost unplayable without them, to me

    Comment

    • The Kid 24
      It's Show Time!
      • Jan 2007
      • 14767

      #557
      Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

      Originally posted by Cycloniac
      Should this project return for MLB 20?
      Oh hell yes! I love putting your ratings into my Franchise.
      Milwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin Badgers

      Comment

      • No.27
        Pro
        • Dec 2015
        • 543

        #558
        Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

        Just checked and your V1 had 3061 downloads and sits with a 70 rating. Considering the vagaries of the vault I’d say your roster was very well received! If you have the time and still enjoy the process I’d say go for it.

        Comment

        • I_HATE_THAT_DUDE
          Pro
          • Apr 2010
          • 846

          #559
          Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

          Originally posted by Cycloniac
          Should this project return for MLB 20?
          Wont be the same if you don't!

          Sent From that S9 bayyyyyyy-beee

          Comment

          • Cycloniac
            Man, myth, legend.
            • May 2009
            • 6505

            #560
            Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

            Really enjoyed watching today's gameplay stream, getting the baseball itch

            Hard at work in the lab calculating ratings for the MLB 20 release of this project, almost finished with the AL
            THE TrueSim PROJECTS



            Comment

            • The Kid 24
              It's Show Time!
              • Jan 2007
              • 14767

              #561
              Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

              Originally posted by Cycloniac
              Really enjoyed watching today's gameplay stream, getting the baseball itch

              Hard at work in the lab calculating ratings for the MLB 20 release of this project, almost finished with the AL

              **** yes!

              Ur gonna release the spreadsheet like usual?


              Sent from my iPhone using Operation Sports
              Milwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin Badgers

              Comment

              • Cycloniac
                Man, myth, legend.
                • May 2009
                • 6505

                #562
                Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                Originally posted by The Kid 24
                **** yes!

                Ur gonna release the spreadsheet like usual?


                Sent from my iPhone using Operation Sports
                Yup, I'll drop it as soon as it's ready
                THE TrueSim PROJECTS



                Comment

                • trusaleen1
                  Rookie
                  • Apr 2009
                  • 384

                  #563
                  Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                  Originally posted by Cycloniac
                  Yup, I'll drop it as soon as it's ready
                  Loved the spread sheet last year, I actually enjoy implementing the changes myself.

                  Comment

                  • The Kid 24
                    It's Show Time!
                    • Jan 2007
                    • 14767

                    #564
                    Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                    Originally posted by trusaleen1
                    Loved the spread sheet last year, I actually enjoy implementing the changes myself.
                    Same here!
                    Milwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin Badgers

                    Comment

                    • The Kid 24
                      It's Show Time!
                      • Jan 2007
                      • 14767

                      #565
                      Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                      Damn, MLB 20 is gonna be amazing! Full minors on release day and then Cy’s spreadsheet!!


                      Sent from my iPhone using Operation Sports
                      Milwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin Badgers

                      Comment

                      • The Kid 24
                        It's Show Time!
                        • Jan 2007
                        • 14767

                        #566
                        Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                        Cy bud, any chance on adding minor leaguers to sheet?


                        Sent from my iPhone using Operation Sports
                        Milwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin Badgers

                        Comment

                        • Cycloniac
                          Man, myth, legend.
                          • May 2009
                          • 6505

                          #567
                          Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                          Originally posted by The Kid 24
                          Damn, MLB 20 is gonna be amazing! Full minors on release day and then Cy’s spreadsheet!!


                          Sent from my iPhone using Operation Sports
                          And hopefully some good franchise news tomorrow, fingers crossed!
                          THE TrueSim PROJECTS



                          Comment

                          • donnie112
                            Rookie
                            • Oct 2012
                            • 7

                            #568
                            Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                            When are you gonna drop the spreadsheet?
                            im really looking forward to it.


                            Loved the spread sheet last year!

                            Comment

                            • Cycloniac
                              Man, myth, legend.
                              • May 2009
                              • 6505

                              #569
                              Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                              Originally posted by donnie112
                              When are you gonna drop the spreadsheet?
                              im really looking forward to it.


                              Loved the spread sheet last year!
                              Since today seems to be SDS's ratings stream, I felt it fitting to release the sheet. The AL is done now, so here are those ratings:


                              The NL is currently being worked on, but I may spotlight certain players SDS mentions in their stream to see how ratings calculated via the TrueSim Projection System compare.
                              THE TrueSim PROJECTS



                              Comment

                              • Cycloniac
                                Man, myth, legend.
                                • May 2009
                                • 6505

                                #570
                                Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19

                                Some thoughts and a semi-summary of today's ratings stream

                                -SDS uses a 3 year average like TPS, but uses a 33:33:33 ratio; TPS uses a 50:25:25 ratio
                                -HR/9 does NOT affect gameplay anymore
                                -60 is MLB average for most attributes
                                -Only DD overalls were shown, offline ratings differ (about 4 or 5 points higher offline e.g. Trout is 99 offline, 95 in DD)
                                -Ratings verus righties are weighed more heavily than versus lefties
                                -Players in secondary positions take 5 percent hit at reaction, fielding and arm accuracy


                                SP
                                5. Chris Sale (88)
                                4. Verlander (90)
                                3. Gerrit Cole (90)
                                2. Scherzer (92)
                                1. deGrom (92)

                                RP
                                5. Hendricks (83)
                                4. Giles (84)
                                3. Chapman (85)
                                2. Yates (87)
                                1. Hader (88)


                                C
                                5. Garver (80)
                                4. Sanchez (80)
                                3. Contreras (81)

                                2. Grandal (82)-"best pitch framer in baseball"
                                According to Statcast, Grandal was actually 3rd best last season. Austin Hedges was first. Relatively speaking though, Grandal had the highest sample size in the top 5 by a wide margin, so I will give them a pass there. It appears that SDS is using the fielding attribute for catchers to represent pitch framing again, which we started doing last year.

                                1. Realmuto (85)

                                1B
                                5. Rizzo (83)
                                4. Olsen (83)-mentioned as best defender at 1B last season
                                3. Goldschmidt (83)
                                2. Alonso (85)
                                1. Freeman (87)

                                2B
                                5. Torres (82)
                                4. Mcneil (83)
                                3. Albies (83)-"dominates lefties," TPS agrees
                                2. LeMahieu (84)
                                1. Altuve (85)

                                3B
                                5. Ramirez (85)
                                4. Chapman (85)-"best infielder in the game"
                                3. Bregman (87)
                                2. Rendon (88)
                                1. Arenado (91)

                                SS
                                5. Semien (83)
                                4. Bogaerts (83)
                                3. Story (85)
                                2. Baez (86)
                                1. Lindor (87)

                                Lf
                                5. Pham (83)
                                4. Gallo (83)
                                3. Soto (83)
                                2. Stanton (84)
                                1. Martinez (84)

                                CF
                                5. Marte (83)-"Has the speed"
                                4. Springer (85)
                                3. Katel Marte (86)

                                2. Acuna Jr. (89)
                                When discussing Acuna, it was mentioned that he has a great arm. While he was solid both in CF and LF last season, TPS suggests it is too soon to give his arm that level of praise.

                                In CF, he had a slightly above average hold rate of 44.8 percent (44.2 is league average for center fielders). However, in his two seasons, his arm in center is still below average and he has yet to register a kill at the position. He may be moved back to left as he showed a great arm there last season, but remains below league average there for his career as well.

                                We grade Acuna as having a weak but accurate arm (50 strength, 77 accuracy) with a plus-plus glove (77 fielding) and slightly above average jump and route running (63 reaction).



                                1. Trout (95)

                                RF
                                5. Harper (85)-"big bounceback defensive year"
                                After being an awful defender for years, Bryce Harper had a plus defensive year, albeit only slightly. His OAA of +1 is leaps and bounds above the -13 mark he had last year. He even improved his reaction and route running, almost achieving a league average Feet vs Average (he improved from -2 to -0.7).

                                4. Judge (88)-"best defensive player in the game"
                                This comment suggests that SDS uses defensive runs saved to drive its calculations. Judge had a stellar +19 defensive runs saved last season, a career best.

                                I like DRS and TPS uses it for infielders, but Statcast's Outs Above Average is the preferred metric for outfielders. It is more precise and the Statcast metrics are the future of analytics. Next year, we may consider using OAA for infielders as that data was just released this year.

                                We grade Judge as having a borderline elite arm (89 arm strength, 79 arm accuracy), and being an above average defender (68 fielding) but only an average when it comes to his jumps and route running (60 reaction)

                                For outfielder reaction this year, TPS uses Statcast's outfielder jump data, specifically the Feet vs Average metric. This compares how well outfielders react and run routes compared to league average.


                                3. Betts (89)-"defense took a hit last year but still great"
                                TPS agrees. Bett's OAA dipped to +7 this year, his lowest since the metric was introduced in 2016. He had a peak of +18 in 2017, so we expect a bounceback to at least his +11 mark in 2018.

                                We grade Betts as having a very good arm (82 accuracy, 81 strength) with an elite glove (93 fielding). He also reads the ball off the bat very well and gets good jumps regularly (76 reaction). He is still a stud.

                                2. Yelich (89)
                                1. Bellinger (90)
                                Last edited by Cycloniac; 02-20-2020, 07:47 PM.
                                THE TrueSim PROJECTS



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