The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
Really enjoyed watching today's gameplay stream, getting the baseball itch
Hard at work in the lab calculating ratings for the MLB 20 release of this project, almost finished with the ALComment
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
**** yes!
Ur gonna release the spreadsheet like usual?
Sent from my iPhone using Operation SportsMilwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin BadgersComment
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
Damn, MLB 20 is gonna be amazing! Full minors on release day and then Cy’s spreadsheet!!
Sent from my iPhone using Operation SportsMilwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin BadgersComment
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
Cy bud, any chance on adding minor leaguers to sheet?
Sent from my iPhone using Operation SportsMilwaukee Brewers | Green Bay Packers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin BadgersComment
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
Damn, MLB 20 is gonna be amazing! Full minors on release day and then Cy’s spreadsheet!!
Sent from my iPhone using Operation SportsComment
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
The NL is currently being worked on, but I may spotlight certain players SDS mentions in their stream to see how ratings calculated via the TrueSim Projection System compare.Comment
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Re: The TrueSim Roster Project: MLB 19
Some thoughts and a semi-summary of today's ratings stream
-SDS uses a 3 year average like TPS, but uses a 33:33:33 ratio; TPS uses a 50:25:25 ratio
-HR/9 does NOT affect gameplay anymore
-60 is MLB average for most attributes
-Only DD overalls were shown, offline ratings differ (about 4 or 5 points higher offline e.g. Trout is 99 offline, 95 in DD)
-Ratings verus righties are weighed more heavily than versus lefties
-Players in secondary positions take 5 percent hit at reaction, fielding and arm accuracy
SP
5. Chris Sale (88)
4. Verlander (90)
3. Gerrit Cole (90)
2. Scherzer (92)
1. deGrom (92)
RP
5. Hendricks (83)
4. Giles (84)
3. Chapman (85)
2. Yates (87)
1. Hader (88)
C
5. Garver (80)
4. Sanchez (80)
3. Contreras (81)
2. Grandal (82)-"best pitch framer in baseball"
According to Statcast, Grandal was actually 3rd best last season. Austin Hedges was first. Relatively speaking though, Grandal had the highest sample size in the top 5 by a wide margin, so I will give them a pass there. It appears that SDS is using the fielding attribute for catchers to represent pitch framing again, which we started doing last year.
1. Realmuto (85)
1B
5. Rizzo (83)
4. Olsen (83)-mentioned as best defender at 1B last season
3. Goldschmidt (83)
2. Alonso (85)
1. Freeman (87)
2B
5. Torres (82)
4. Mcneil (83)
3. Albies (83)-"dominates lefties," TPS agrees
2. LeMahieu (84)
1. Altuve (85)
3B
5. Ramirez (85)
4. Chapman (85)-"best infielder in the game"
3. Bregman (87)
2. Rendon (88)
1. Arenado (91)
SS
5. Semien (83)
4. Bogaerts (83)
3. Story (85)
2. Baez (86)
1. Lindor (87)
Lf
5. Pham (83)
4. Gallo (83)
3. Soto (83)
2. Stanton (84)
1. Martinez (84)
CF
5. Marte (83)-"Has the speed"
4. Springer (85)
3. Katel Marte (86)
2. Acuna Jr. (89)
When discussing Acuna, it was mentioned that he has a great arm. While he was solid both in CF and LF last season, TPS suggests it is too soon to give his arm that level of praise.
In CF, he had a slightly above average hold rate of 44.8 percent (44.2 is league average for center fielders). However, in his two seasons, his arm in center is still below average and he has yet to register a kill at the position. He may be moved back to left as he showed a great arm there last season, but remains below league average there for his career as well.
We grade Acuna as having a weak but accurate arm (50 strength, 77 accuracy) with a plus-plus glove (77 fielding) and slightly above average jump and route running (63 reaction).
1. Trout (95)
RF
5. Harper (85)-"big bounceback defensive year"
After being an awful defender for years, Bryce Harper had a plus defensive year, albeit only slightly. His OAA of +1 is leaps and bounds above the -13 mark he had last year. He even improved his reaction and route running, almost achieving a league average Feet vs Average (he improved from -2 to -0.7).
4. Judge (88)-"best defensive player in the game"
This comment suggests that SDS uses defensive runs saved to drive its calculations. Judge had a stellar +19 defensive runs saved last season, a career best.
I like DRS and TPS uses it for infielders, but Statcast's Outs Above Average is the preferred metric for outfielders. It is more precise and the Statcast metrics are the future of analytics. Next year, we may consider using OAA for infielders as that data was just released this year.
We grade Judge as having a borderline elite arm (89 arm strength, 79 arm accuracy), and being an above average defender (68 fielding) but only an average when it comes to his jumps and route running (60 reaction)
For outfielder reaction this year, TPS uses Statcast's outfielder jump data, specifically the Feet vs Average metric. This compares how well outfielders react and run routes compared to league average.
3. Betts (89)-"defense took a hit last year but still great"
TPS agrees. Bett's OAA dipped to +7 this year, his lowest since the metric was introduced in 2016. He had a peak of +18 in 2017, so we expect a bounceback to at least his +11 mark in 2018.
We grade Betts as having a very good arm (82 accuracy, 81 strength) with an elite glove (93 fielding). He also reads the ball off the bat very well and gets good jumps regularly (76 reaction). He is still a stud.
2. Yelich (89)
1. Bellinger (90)Last edited by Cycloniac; 02-20-2020, 07:47 PM.Comment
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