Just finshed my AL Preview

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  • MSUSPartanPride
    MVP
    • Jul 2002
    • 1878

    #1

    Just finshed my AL Preview

    Yes, you may be calling me crazy at some points, but I am not afraid to take risks.

    -----------------------------------------------------------

    AL Preview

    AL East:

    Boston: The Red Sox are basically the same team that they were at the end of last season. They didn’t really sign any big name free agents, which may hurt them a bit. They did lose Cliff Floyd, which will hurt them in the lineup. However, if they can stay healthy, especially Manny Ramirez and Pedro Martinez, they will be successful this season. They may be able to pull an Angels, but only if the Yankees underachieve.

    Baltimore: The Orioles recently suffered a death inside the team, when pitcher Steve Bechler died of a heatstroke. They signed LHP Omar Daal, which may help their pitching staff a bit, but they are no where near the point of being contenders, especially in the division they are in. However, because of the Devil Rays, they may wind up in 4th place, but we shall see.

    Tampa Bay: The Devil Rays made two really big moves this off-season. They were able to sign former Mariners manager Lou Piniella, but in that deal, they lost their only all-star, Randy Winn, which doesn’t help their case. Look for them to improve slightly, but not enough to put them past 4th place in the east, they will battle with Baltimore to stay out of the cellar.

    New York Yankees: The Yankees biggest off-season acquisition was Japanese slugger Hideki Matsui, who will add some power to the OF, especially if his adjustment to ML pitching goes smoothly. Other than him, the Yankees have been pretty quiet this off-season, which means they will most likely take first. Taking first is what I expect them to do, unless Boston has a miracle season, and can stay with them till late September.

    Toronto: The Blue Jays were pretty quiet this off-season as well, they did sign RHP Tanyon Sturtze, who will add some nice depth to the pitching staff, along with Cory Lidle who they acquired in a trade with Oakland. Look for the Jays’ to have a better than expected year, but don’t get your hopes up, look for them to take 3rd in the east.


    Predicted East Standings:

    1. New York Yankees
    2. Boston Red Sox
    3. Toronto Blue Jays
    4. Baltimore Orioles
    5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays

    AL Central:

    Cleveland: The Indians were able to pick up only a couple free agents, one of them being OF Shane Spencer, formerly with the Yankees. They also signed LHP Terry Mulholland, who may add a bit more to the pitching staff. They did suffer a big blow in losing slugging 1B Jim Thome to free agency, which is what will hurt them the most. I don’t see the Indians doing much this year, 3rd in the Central would be most realistic for them.

    Twins: The 2002 AL Central champs look to repeat what they did last year, and that is a strong possibility, they are pretty much the same team they were, with the addition of RHP Mike Fetters, as well as some other free agents, they add depth to their lineup. They were also able to pick up the option on LHP Eddie Guardado. Look for them to take the AL wild card, but not the Central.

    Kansas City: The Royals took the wrong direction this off-season by losing more players than they gained, which is somewhat unusual, the only players they were able to pick up 6 free agents, who will not be able to help the Royals get much better. I didn’t think it was possible, but the Royals may actually be worse than last year, look for them to take last in the Central.

    Chicago White Sox: The White Sox by far impress me the most this year in the Central. They acquired RHP Bartolo Colon and RHP Billy Koch through trades, which will improve their pitching staff by a lot. By signing IF/OF Brian Daubach, they add protection to their lineup for Magglio Ordonez. Chicago looks very strong this year and I see them taking the Central.

    Detroit: The Tigers fired their former manger and picked up former Tiger’s shortstop Alan Trammel as their new manager. They are acting like they want to win, which is why they will improve on last year’s record by at least 10 wins, but 10 games more than 55, is only 65, which is still way below .500. I do see them staying out of the cellar this year though.


    Predicted Central Standings:
    1. Chicago White Sox
    2. Minnesota Twins
    3. Cleveland Indians
    4. Detroit Tigers
    5. Kansas City Royals

    AL West

    Seattle: The Mariners lost their manager Lou Piniella, but it was what they wanted. They picked up all-star Randy Winn as compensation for Piniella. That is about the only big acquisition they made though. They only signed 3 free agents, the most important being 1B Greg Colbrunn, who makes a good utility player. Overall, I still don’t see the Mariners as a playoff team, so I look for them to take 3rd in the West.

    Texas: The Rangers had a very busy off-season. They signed 8 free agents, the most important being Ruben Sierra, who will give A-Rod some protection. They did suffer a big blow by losing Ivan Rodriguez to free agency, who was both a big bat and a big part of the defense. Even with all of the acquisitions, they had more loses, which is why they will be cellar dwellers once again in the AL West.

    Anaheim: The defending World Series champions didn’t change that much over the off-season, they signed only a couple free agents, and lost quite a few players, but none of them will have much impact on the team. If they play the same style of ball they played last year, they will be good once again, and take the West, but that is if they are as good as last year, which I don’t think they will be, which is why they will wind up in 2nd in the West.

    Oakland: The Athletics didn’t do much in the off-season signing wise. They were somewhat trade-happy making 5 trades. They lost closer Billy Koch and RHP Cory Lidle, but they are too good to let those losses bring them down. That is why they will take the West this year and maybe make it to the World Series.

    Predicted West Standings:
    1. Oakland Athletics
    2. Anaheim Angels
    3. Seattle Mariners
    4. Texas Rangers



    -Mason Herron
    AKA MSUSpartanPride
  • BatsareBugs
    LVP
    • Feb 2003
    • 12553

    #2
    Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

    I've already done mine in Predictions for 2003, but I have a second opinion now.

    AL East:
    New York or Boston
    Toronto or Baltimore
    Tampa Bay

    AL Central:
    Chicago, Cleveland, or Minnesota
    Detroit or Kansas

    AL West:
    Seattle, Oakland, or Anaheim
    Texas

    This is my prediction.

    Comment

    • BatsareBugs
      LVP
      • Feb 2003
      • 12553

      #3
      Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

      I've already done mine in Predictions for 2003, but I have a second opinion now.

      AL East:
      New York or Boston
      Toronto or Baltimore
      Tampa Bay

      AL Central:
      Chicago, Cleveland, or Minnesota
      Detroit or Kansas

      AL West:
      Seattle, Oakland, or Anaheim
      Texas

      This is my prediction.

      Comment

      • cake612
        Pro
        • Jul 2002
        • 677

        #4
        Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

        The Red Sox are basically the same team as last year!!!!
        they completley revamped their bullpen with Mendoza, Timlin and Fox, plus got a major upgrade at first base with David Ortiz, Jeremy Giambi, and Kevin Millar. they also added todd walker who is a major offensive upgrade over rey sanchez. These may not be huge names but their all above average everyday players who will have a big impact on the team.
        Millar is a .300 hitter with a good eye and good power, Giambi had a .919 OPS last year and Ortiz is also a very good hitter. You might want to do a little more research before saying these kinds of things.

        Comment

        • cake612
          Pro
          • Jul 2002
          • 677

          #5
          Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

          The Red Sox are basically the same team as last year!!!!
          they completley revamped their bullpen with Mendoza, Timlin and Fox, plus got a major upgrade at first base with David Ortiz, Jeremy Giambi, and Kevin Millar. they also added todd walker who is a major offensive upgrade over rey sanchez. These may not be huge names but their all above average everyday players who will have a big impact on the team.
          Millar is a .300 hitter with a good eye and good power, Giambi had a .919 OPS last year and Ortiz is also a very good hitter. You might want to do a little more research before saying these kinds of things.

          Comment

          • MSUSPartanPride
            MVP
            • Jul 2002
            • 1878

            #6
            Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

            </font><blockquote><font class="small">Quote:</font><hr />
            The Red Sox are basically the same team as last year!!!!
            they completley revamped their bullpen with Mendoza, Timlin and Fox, plus got a major upgrade at first base with David Ortiz, Jeremy Giambi, and Kevin Millar. they also added todd walker who is a major offensive upgrade over rey sanchez. These may not be huge names but their all above average everyday players who will have a big impact on the team.
            Millar is a .300 hitter with a good eye and good power, Giambi had a .919 OPS last year and Ortiz is also a very good hitter. You might want to do a little more research before saying these kinds of things.

            <hr /></blockquote><font class="post">

            Damn Rookie, you are right, I overlooked all the trades they made, the FA's they signed didnt impress me. You always look at FA signings, and they look like gold, but when the season comes around, they dont do as good as hoped, unless they are big names.

            Comment

            • MSUSPartanPride
              MVP
              • Jul 2002
              • 1878

              #7
              Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

              </font><blockquote><font class="small">Quote:</font><hr />
              The Red Sox are basically the same team as last year!!!!
              they completley revamped their bullpen with Mendoza, Timlin and Fox, plus got a major upgrade at first base with David Ortiz, Jeremy Giambi, and Kevin Millar. they also added todd walker who is a major offensive upgrade over rey sanchez. These may not be huge names but their all above average everyday players who will have a big impact on the team.
              Millar is a .300 hitter with a good eye and good power, Giambi had a .919 OPS last year and Ortiz is also a very good hitter. You might want to do a little more research before saying these kinds of things.

              <hr /></blockquote><font class="post">

              Damn Rookie, you are right, I overlooked all the trades they made, the FA's they signed didnt impress me. You always look at FA signings, and they look like gold, but when the season comes around, they dont do as good as hoped, unless they are big names.

              Comment

              • SportsorDeath
                MVP
                • Jul 2002
                • 2870

                #8
                Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                Red Sox fan, are we?

                Give it up, please. David Ortiz, Jeremy Giambi, Millar and Todd Walker are not enough.

                After Pedro and Lowe, their starting rotation is a joke. What happens if Lowe doesn't have as good of a year as he did last season, or Pedro goes down (very real possibilities)? Pitching wins games, and the Red Sox don't have enough of it. They did fix their pen a lot, but what if their starters can't get leads for them to protect?

                Yankees will win the division, again.

                Comment

                • SportsorDeath
                  MVP
                  • Jul 2002
                  • 2870

                  #9
                  Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                  Red Sox fan, are we?

                  Give it up, please. David Ortiz, Jeremy Giambi, Millar and Todd Walker are not enough.

                  After Pedro and Lowe, their starting rotation is a joke. What happens if Lowe doesn't have as good of a year as he did last season, or Pedro goes down (very real possibilities)? Pitching wins games, and the Red Sox don't have enough of it. They did fix their pen a lot, but what if their starters can't get leads for them to protect?

                  Yankees will win the division, again.

                  Comment

                  • cake612
                    Pro
                    • Jul 2002
                    • 677

                    #10
                    Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                    Well looks like it's going to be a long night, i'm going to introduce you people to something that may seem odd to you, their called statistics and the tell you how good a hitter someone is. Just because you rarely hear about some players because they play in minnesota, philly and florida doesnt mean they arent good. Giambi had a .919 OPS with 20 HRs in just 313 ABs do you realize his potential if he gets 500 ABs which he almost definetley will this season. David Ortiz had an .839 OPS which is very good and he hit 20 HRs in only 412 ABs. Kevin Millar is a .300 hitter with a .871career OPS which means he is also a good player, if each of those players gets 500 ABs thats easily 75 HRs with an OPS well above .850 which is a major improvement over Daubach, Offerman and Clark. And the sox won 93 games with those squid playing on an everyday basis. Todd Walker is another .300 hiter with a good eye and reasonable power for a second baseman. As for the bullpen it's much much better than it was last year and i think they can easily get to 100 wins which will be good enough for a playoff spot this year.

                    Comment

                    • cake612
                      Pro
                      • Jul 2002
                      • 677

                      #11
                      Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                      Well looks like it's going to be a long night, i'm going to introduce you people to something that may seem odd to you, their called statistics and the tell you how good a hitter someone is. Just because you rarely hear about some players because they play in minnesota, philly and florida doesnt mean they arent good. Giambi had a .919 OPS with 20 HRs in just 313 ABs do you realize his potential if he gets 500 ABs which he almost definetley will this season. David Ortiz had an .839 OPS which is very good and he hit 20 HRs in only 412 ABs. Kevin Millar is a .300 hitter with a .871career OPS which means he is also a good player, if each of those players gets 500 ABs thats easily 75 HRs with an OPS well above .850 which is a major improvement over Daubach, Offerman and Clark. And the sox won 93 games with those squid playing on an everyday basis. Todd Walker is another .300 hiter with a good eye and reasonable power for a second baseman. As for the bullpen it's much much better than it was last year and i think they can easily get to 100 wins which will be good enough for a playoff spot this year.

                      Comment

                      • MSUSPartanPride
                        MVP
                        • Jul 2002
                        • 1878

                        #12
                        Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                        Todd Walker:

                        <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Year Ag Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG TB SH SF IBB HBP GDP
                        +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                        1996 23 MIN AL 25 82 8 21 6 0 0 6 2 0 4 13 .256 .281 .329 27 0 3 0 0 4
                        1997 24 MIN AL 52 156 15 37 7 1 3 16 7 0 11 30 .237 .288 .353 55 1 2 1 1 5
                        1998 25 MIN AL 143 528 85 167 41 3 12 62 19 7 47 65 .316 .372 .473 250 0 4 9 2 13
                        1999 26 MIN AL 143 531 62 148 37 4 6 46 18 10 52 83 .279 .343 .397 211 0 2 5 1 15
                        2000 27 MIN AL 23 77 14 18 1 0 2 8 3 0 7 10 .234 .287 .325 25 0 3 0 0 3
                        COL NL 57 171 28 54 10 4 7 36 4 1 20 19 .316 .385 .544 93 1 3 0 1 2
                        TOT 80 248 42 72 11 4 9 44 7 1 27 29 .290 .355 .476 118 1 6 0 1 5
                        2001 28 COL NL 85 290 52 86 18 2 12 43 1 3 25 40 .297 .349 .497 144 3 3 1 0 8
                        CIN NL 66 261 41 77 17 0 5 32 0 5 26 42 .295 .361 .418 109 1 0 0 1 6
                        TOT NL 151 551 93 163 35 2 17 75 1 8 51 82 .296 .355 .459 253 4 3 1 1 14
                        2002 29 CIN NL 155 612 79 183 42 3 11 64 8 5 50 81 .299 .353 .431 264 7 3 7 3 9
                        +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                        7 Seasons 749 2708 384 791 179 17 58 313 62 31 242 383 .292 .349 .435 1178 13 23 23 9 65
                        </pre><hr />

                        Jeremy Giambi

                        <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Year Ag Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG TB SH SF IBB HBP GDP
                        +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                        1998 23 KCR AL 18 58 6 13 4 0 2 8 0 1 11 9 .224 .343 .397 23 0 1 0 0 3
                        1999 24 KCR AL 90 288 34 82 13 1 3 34 0 0 40 67 .285 .373 .368 106 1 4 5 3 7
                        2000 25 OAK AL 104 260 42 66 10 2 10 50 0 0 32 61 .254 .338 .423 110 3 4 2 3 7
                        2001 26 OAK AL 124 371 64 105 26 0 12 57 0 1 63 83 .283 .391 .450 167 3 2 1 4 13
                        2002 27 OAK AL 42 157 26 43 7 0 8 17 0 0 27 40 .274 .390 .471 74 0 0 0 3 4
                        PHI NL 82 156 32 38 10 0 12 28 0 1 52 54 .244 .435 .538 84 1 0 2 1 1
                        TOT 124 313 58 81 17 0 20 45 0 1 79 94 .259 .414 .505 158 1 0 2 4 5
                        +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                        5 Seasons 460 1290 204 347 70 3 47 194 0 3 225 314 .269 .381 .437 564 8 11 10 14 35 </pre><hr />

                        I will give Walker credit, he has a .299 BA with 11 HR, but Giambi's average just doesnt cut it.

                        Comment

                        • MSUSPartanPride
                          MVP
                          • Jul 2002
                          • 1878

                          #13
                          Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                          Todd Walker:

                          <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Year Ag Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG TB SH SF IBB HBP GDP
                          +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                          1996 23 MIN AL 25 82 8 21 6 0 0 6 2 0 4 13 .256 .281 .329 27 0 3 0 0 4
                          1997 24 MIN AL 52 156 15 37 7 1 3 16 7 0 11 30 .237 .288 .353 55 1 2 1 1 5
                          1998 25 MIN AL 143 528 85 167 41 3 12 62 19 7 47 65 .316 .372 .473 250 0 4 9 2 13
                          1999 26 MIN AL 143 531 62 148 37 4 6 46 18 10 52 83 .279 .343 .397 211 0 2 5 1 15
                          2000 27 MIN AL 23 77 14 18 1 0 2 8 3 0 7 10 .234 .287 .325 25 0 3 0 0 3
                          COL NL 57 171 28 54 10 4 7 36 4 1 20 19 .316 .385 .544 93 1 3 0 1 2
                          TOT 80 248 42 72 11 4 9 44 7 1 27 29 .290 .355 .476 118 1 6 0 1 5
                          2001 28 COL NL 85 290 52 86 18 2 12 43 1 3 25 40 .297 .349 .497 144 3 3 1 0 8
                          CIN NL 66 261 41 77 17 0 5 32 0 5 26 42 .295 .361 .418 109 1 0 0 1 6
                          TOT NL 151 551 93 163 35 2 17 75 1 8 51 82 .296 .355 .459 253 4 3 1 1 14
                          2002 29 CIN NL 155 612 79 183 42 3 11 64 8 5 50 81 .299 .353 .431 264 7 3 7 3 9
                          +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                          7 Seasons 749 2708 384 791 179 17 58 313 62 31 242 383 .292 .349 .435 1178 13 23 23 9 65
                          </pre><hr />

                          Jeremy Giambi

                          <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Year Ag Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG TB SH SF IBB HBP GDP
                          +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                          1998 23 KCR AL 18 58 6 13 4 0 2 8 0 1 11 9 .224 .343 .397 23 0 1 0 0 3
                          1999 24 KCR AL 90 288 34 82 13 1 3 34 0 0 40 67 .285 .373 .368 106 1 4 5 3 7
                          2000 25 OAK AL 104 260 42 66 10 2 10 50 0 0 32 61 .254 .338 .423 110 3 4 2 3 7
                          2001 26 OAK AL 124 371 64 105 26 0 12 57 0 1 63 83 .283 .391 .450 167 3 2 1 4 13
                          2002 27 OAK AL 42 157 26 43 7 0 8 17 0 0 27 40 .274 .390 .471 74 0 0 0 3 4
                          PHI NL 82 156 32 38 10 0 12 28 0 1 52 54 .244 .435 .538 84 1 0 2 1 1
                          TOT 124 313 58 81 17 0 20 45 0 1 79 94 .259 .414 .505 158 1 0 2 4 5
                          +--------------+---+----+----+----+---+--+---+----+---+--+---+---+-----+-----+-----+----+---+---+---+---+---+
                          5 Seasons 460 1290 204 347 70 3 47 194 0 3 225 314 .269 .381 .437 564 8 11 10 14 35 </pre><hr />

                          I will give Walker credit, he has a .299 BA with 11 HR, but Giambi's average just doesnt cut it.

                          Comment

                          • cake612
                            Pro
                            • Jul 2002
                            • 677

                            #14
                            Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                            OBP is much much much more important than average and look at it the last 2 years, batting average is a stat for noobs and very casual fans, if you really want to tell how good a hitter is look at his OBP/OPS Giambi is a very patient hitter with improving power and could have a breakout year this year.

                            Comment

                            • cake612
                              Pro
                              • Jul 2002
                              • 677

                              #15
                              Re: Just finshed my AL Preview

                              OBP is much much much more important than average and look at it the last 2 years, batting average is a stat for noobs and very casual fans, if you really want to tell how good a hitter is look at his OBP/OPS Giambi is a very patient hitter with improving power and could have a breakout year this year.

                              Comment

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