Felix Hernandez

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  • 12
    Banned
    • Feb 2010
    • 4458

    #16
    Re: Felix Hernandez

    Originally posted by JBH3
    I never would've imagined that someone would have to prove why Halladay is better.



    The Red Sox teams that Halladay faced in the early/mid 2000's were far superior than the last few years. Namely the 2003 Sox who scored the most runs out of any Red Sox club in the 2000's.

    I think that there's not much seperating Halladay and Felix in terms of dominance. Both dominate the game. Both induce the groundball quite frequently. Felix might be the better K artist, then again, he has had the luxury of facing opposing AL West teams 10+more times a season than Halladay. Fact.
    Definitely; I won't/can't argue with that.

    Comment

    • Coug00
      LOB
      • Jul 2002
      • 3476

      #17
      Re: Felix Hernandez

      Originally posted by Apostle
      I know you're damn good as far as your baseball knowledge so I don't wish to get in a debate, but Halladay had only one season with a sub-2.5 ERA... He won one AL Cy Young award (like Felix).
      Honestly, I don't see much of a difference in effectiveness between peak-Halladay and peak-Felix. And that's for league-adjusted and park-adjusted numbers. They're both work-horses. Felix's K rates are higher, Roy's BB walks are lower. ERA+, ERA- tend to prefer Felix, FIP, FIP- tend to prefer Roy.

      IMO, they're both great and its impossible to clearly define one better than the other. Its basically a comparison of Heidi Klum in her prime vs Brooklyn Decker in her prime.
      Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

      Comment

      • JBH3
        Marvel's Finest
        • Jan 2007
        • 13506

        #18
        Re: Felix Hernandez

        Originally posted by Coug00
        Honestly, I don't see much of a difference in effectiveness between peak-Halladay and peak-Felix. And that's for league-adjusted and park-adjusted numbers. They're both work-horses. Felix's K rates are higher, Roy's BB walks are lower. ERA+, ERA- tend to prefer Felix, FIP, FIP- tend to prefer Roy.

        IMO, they're both great and its impossible to clearly define one better than the other. Its basically a comparison of Heidi Klum in her prime vs Brooklyn Decker in her prime.
        Yea...both these guys are horses and dominate the game.

        Something interesting that I looked at just now. They pitched almost the identical amount of innings w/ Halladay going one more inning than Felix in 2010. Halladay's hit total against was pretty high, but the low walks score in his favor since he allowed 3 less base runners when comparing Felix's Hits+walks totals.
        Originally posted by Edmund Burke
        All that is needed for the triumph of evil, is for good men to do nothing.

        Comment

        • CabreraMVP
          MVP
          • Sep 2010
          • 1437

          #19
          Re: Felix Hernandez

          On a better team (not saying much) he'd be a real threat to win 25 games.

          He's got it all. Throws a ton of innings, strikeouts, great whip, he just has no weakness at all. Last year I remember seeing him come into New York a few times and shutting out New York. Nobody does that! Lol.

          He's not even 25 like you said, and he's already struck out over 1,000. He's the real deal.

          If he ever came available, I would have Scherzer, Porcello, Jackson, Jacob Turner, and anybody else not named Cabrera or Verlander on the first flight to Seattle.
          JayElectronicaBluElzhi2PacTheNotoriousB.I.G.ReksSc arfaceFashawnJeruThaDamaja

          Comment

          • 55
            Banned
            • Mar 2006
            • 20857

            #20
            Re: Felix Hernandez

            Originally posted by CabreraMVP
            On a better team (not saying much) he'd be a real threat to win 25 games.
            Not likely. Guys only get 32-33 starts per season and so many factors would need to happen for someone to win 25 games. There's a good possibility that we may never see that happen again.

            Plus, wins are an absolutely awful way to judge how good a pitcher is, but saying that is like beating a dead horse.

            Comment

            • CabreraMVP
              MVP
              • Sep 2010
              • 1437

              #21
              Re: Felix Hernandez

              Yes, it's a horrible indicator. But that doesn't mean there is no point to get them. I mean Hernandez won like 12 last year.

              That hasn't been done in forever, which shows how great Felix is. I swear that I read something where he went at least 7 innings, gave up 1 run, and lost like 6 or 7 of those games. The only real chance he has to win games is to be perfect. No other pitcher today can say that.
              JayElectronicaBluElzhi2PacTheNotoriousB.I.G.ReksSc arfaceFashawnJeruThaDamaja

              Comment

              • Coug00
                LOB
                • Jul 2002
                • 3476

                #22
                Re: Felix Hernandez

                Originally posted by CabreraMVP
                Yes, it's a horrible indicator. But that doesn't mean there is no point to get them. I mean Hernandez won like 12 last year.

                That hasn't been done in forever, which shows how great Felix is. I swear that I read something where he went at least 7 innings, gave up 1 run, and lost like 6 or 7 of those games. The only real chance he has to win games is to be perfect. No other pitcher today can say that.
                He lost 8 games in which the Mariners scored 1 or fewer runs.

                The major improvement with Felix was on display against Oakland on Friday. Didn't have his best stuff early, so he dropped his velocity, hit his spots, got ahead of the A's batters, and almost effortlessly cruised the next 8 innings. In the past, that would have been a meltdown.

                He's not just an overpowering thrower anymore, he's become a pitcher. That was a very Roy-like performance on Friday.
                Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

                Comment

                • Chip Douglass
                  Hall Of Fame
                  • Dec 2005
                  • 12256

                  #23
                  Re: Felix Hernandez

                  Originally posted by Apostle
                  Felix needs a bit more consistency, too. His last two years have been sick, but Halladay was consistently dominant over a course of several years.

                  I think in a couple years, this could be revisited and the outcome could definitely change. At 24, Felix is just getting better.
                  By pitcher's WAR, Felix's last two seasons are Halladay's 5th-6th best seasons in Toronto. And they're Halladay's 6th-7th best seasons in K/BB ratio and 4th and 6th best in xFIP.

                  Felix is obviously great, but he should only be given credit for being the best pitcher in the AL and not much more.
                  I write things on the Internet.

                  Comment

                  • Chrisksaint
                    $$$
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 19127

                    #24
                    Re: Felix Hernandez

                    I though it was pretty obvious that Halladay was the best pitcher in Baseball right now and that's coming from a huge biased Josh Johnson fan lol
                    Saints, LSU, Seminoles, Pelicans, Marlins, Lightning

                    Comment

                    • Coug00
                      LOB
                      • Jul 2002
                      • 3476

                      #25
                      Re: Felix Hernandez

                      Originally posted by Chip Douglass
                      By pitcher's WAR, Felix's last two seasons are Halladay's 5th-6th best seasons in Toronto. And they're Halladay's 6th-7th best seasons in K/BB ratio and 4th and 6th best in xFIP.

                      Felix is obviously great, but he should only be given credit for being the best pitcher in the AL and not much more.
                      I don't think WAR or xFIP are good ways to directly compare player's seasons between decades. Way too many variables. For "catch-all" metrics, at least FIP-, tERA, xFIP-, and ERA- attempt to normalize by league and park so you can try to make these types of comparisons.

                      Looking at the two pitchers and viewing their 3 best seasons at three adjusting/normalizing pitching metrics, there really isn't a difference between the two.

                      ERA- best seasons...
                      Pitcher A: 57, 58, 63
                      Pitcher B: 54, 60, 63

                      FIP- best seasons...
                      Pitcher A: 69, 73, 76
                      Pitcher B: 53, 66, 69

                      tERA best seasons...
                      Pitcher A: 2.69, 2.93, 3.01
                      Pitcher B: 3.32, 3.35, 3.42

                      Spoiler
                      Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

                      Comment

                      • Chip Douglass
                        Hall Of Fame
                        • Dec 2005
                        • 12256

                        #26
                        Re: Felix Hernandez

                        Originally posted by Coug00
                        I don't think WAR or xFIP are good ways to directly compare player's seasons between decades. Way too many variables. For "catch-all" metrics, at least FIP-, tERA, xFIP-, and ERA- attempt to normalize by league and park so you can try to make these types of comparisons.
                        WAR also adjusts for league and park factors.
                        I write things on the Internet.

                        Comment

                        • brett the jet favre
                          MVP
                          • Nov 2009
                          • 1938

                          #27
                          Re: Felix Hernandez

                          Originally posted by Apostle
                          Best starting pitcher in the game?

                          I'm biased, but if I needed a win, he's the guy I'm sending to the hill.

                          Two straight sub 2.5 ERA seasons in the AL, and is still only 24. It's crazy to think that this is his SEVENTH season.

                          I'm not going to say he's better than Halladay, Lee, Lincecum yet... I'm just asking the question...
                          Heres how i see it, he's 24 and he's already Great! i personally think he's the best out there, but then again im a M's fan
                          Ducks, Mariners, Blazers, Lillard, Favre, Iverson, Griffey, Hernandez, Hawks, Wilson,

                          My Mariners dynasty!
                          XBL Gamertag- xLMJx21

                          Comment

                          • Coug00
                            LOB
                            • Jul 2002
                            • 3476

                            #28
                            Re: Felix Hernandez

                            Originally posted by Chip Douglass
                            WAR also adjusts for league and park factors.
                            To an extent. It also takes into account IPs and ERA, which obviously aren't adjusted.
                            Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

                            Comment

                            • CMH
                              Making you famous
                              • Oct 2002
                              • 26203

                              #29
                              Re: Felix Hernandez

                              I don't think you could really win this argument from either side.

                              True Aces like Halladay and Felix Hernandez are Aces because they are replaceable amongst one another.

                              Either one can be counted on in Game 7 of the World Series. There's a good chance that in 10 games, you'd split it 50/50.

                              The one advantage Felix has is his youth. Then again, one advantage you can give Halladay is his experience.

                              I hate looking at things in that way, but you pretty much know that Halladay will continue to be this good until he just gets old and can't do it anymore. There's always the small chance that the young pitcher somehow loses a grip on his talent.
                              "It may well be that we spectators, who are not divinely gifted as athletes, are the only ones able to truly see, articulate and animate the experience of the gift we are denied. And that those who receive and act out the gift of athletic genius must, perforce, be blind and dumb about it -- and not because blindness and dumbness are the price of the gift, but because they are its essence." - David Foster Wallace

                              "You'll not find more penny-wise/pound-foolish behavior than in Major League Baseball." - Rob Neyer

                              Comment

                              • 55
                                Banned
                                • Mar 2006
                                • 20857

                                #30
                                Re: Felix Hernandez

                                Originally posted by CMH
                                Either one can be counted on in Game 7 of the World Series.
                                Felix Hernandez has never pitched in a single postseason game in his entire career (and he won't anytime soon if he remains in Seattle) so I don't know you can say that with such confidence.

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